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What On Earth Is Going On With Caterpillar Sales?

Tyler Durden's picture




 

We have been covering the ongoing collapse in global manufacturing as tracked by Caterpillar retail sales for so long that there is nothing much to add.

Below we show the latest monthly data from CAT which is once again in negative territory across the board, but more importantly, the global headline retail drop (down another 11% in August) has been contracting for 33 consecutive months! This is not a recession; in fact the nearly 3 year constant contraction - the longest negative stretch in company history - is beyond what most economists would deem a depression.

Perhaps CAT should come up with a new economic term to describe the true state of global manufacturing.

Source

 

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Mon, 09/21/2015 - 12:52 | 6575033 RopeADope
RopeADope's picture

Interesting that it appears to coincide with the Bucyrus purchase.

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 13:02 | 6575082 venturen
venturen's picture

CENTRAL PLANNING 101

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 13:04 | 6575093 kaboomnomic
kaboomnomic's picture

With this news
http://wolfstreet.com/2015/08/13/us-container-freight-exports-fall-off-c...

Isn't drops of industrial tools expected?

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 13:04 | 6575094 BuddyEffed
BuddyEffed's picture

"Perhaps CAT should come up with a new economic term to describe the true state of global manufacturing."

How about "The Grand Delusion"

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 13:09 | 6575114 csmith
csmith's picture

All negatives working at the margin:

1. Recycling worldwide. (hurts mining)

2. Solar and wind energy (hurts mining, oil and gas)

3. Chinese capex wave is OVER. (hurts construction)

4. U.S. commercial and resi construction still weak vs. last cycle.

5. This shit doesn't wear out for 30 years.

 

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 13:12 | 6575125 Head_Shots_Work
Head_Shots_Work's picture

Can u say Kubota? Price competition. 

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 13:22 | 6575160 803Mastiff
803Mastiff's picture

Does anyone remember the Ceridian UCLA Pulse of Commerce Index that mysteriously disappeared prior to our last presidential election. It was showing the economy flatlining as Obama was bragging how he had turned the economy around.

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 13:40 | 6575218 nidaar
nidaar's picture

miners are bleeding, so do their suppliers.

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 13:43 | 6575232 Peak Finance
Peak Finance's picture

CAT management is just fucking retarded.

I can turn around the company in like 10 minutes with a few million bucks.

1) Cry to government, bribe some people, spend a few million (pols are cheap now) 

2) Anoter few million, write white papers, present to media, get Mainstream media to crow about Cat going under! OMGZ the last of our big manufacturing gone!! Government must do something! 

3) EPA Chimes in! OMGZ old cat's belch deisel fumes, cause global warming!

3) Present solution, "Cash for Cat Clunkers!"  turn in old cat for 20% off on new models!

4) Offer 0% 50 year financing! 

Cats fly of fthe lot!

Serously CAT management, What's so fucking hard about this? 

Tue, 09/22/2015 - 07:18 | 6578047 Arnold
Arnold's picture

Thank your lucky stars that your MBA has not  completely impoverished you.

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 13:47 | 6575251 quasi_verbatim
quasi_verbatim's picture

Perhaps the Worldwide Caterpillar Boycott has something to do with it.

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 14:06 | 6575358 Dominus Ludificatio
Dominus Ludificatio's picture

I do not like Caterpillar corporation. They buy other companies and close them down shortly after.Their biggest problem is the downturn in the mining industry.The high value dollar will speed up their misery.

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 14:57 | 6575587 AMPALANCE
AMPALANCE's picture

Besides the fundemental problems like the one you mentioned, the tier 4 regulations will be the end for both Cat and John Deere, no-one wants to pay that much money to deal with expensive over complicated diesel engines. Slightly used much cheaper tier3 engines are a much better option for most.

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 23:44 | 6577623 northern vigor
northern vigor's picture

Cat has  priced itself out of the market. I see most guys buying other breeds.

 

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 14:52 | 6575565 Atomizer
Atomizer's picture

Someone can hack CAT GPS software to robosigning new ilegal voting system. Or face robotic CAT software to destroy your home. 

Pepper needs to ask the CAT board of Directors. Disney will develop a new amusement ride to sell new carnival attractions under derivative debt obligations. 

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 15:05 | 6575630 HowdyDoody
HowdyDoody's picture

Call it karma for being Zion's bitch

http://www.oocities.org/israel1mathknight/D9-idf-pic407.jpg

 

 

Mon, 09/21/2015 - 23:00 | 6577541 Hope Copy
Hope Copy's picture

there is a rumor that John Deere has gone after its dealers for holding excess inventory at far to high a price, in a manner that has thwarted export of older tractors and agricultural equipment...  but many farmers covet that older equipment as it is not encumbered with excessive technology and emissions equipment..  So what is really going on.  The grain markets are in contraction with prices about at last years levels as excessive rain has cut into yields..  Rental land is under attack by the University of Illinois for having to high a price and demands a 20-25% cut in cash rent.  Will we see farmland prices crash in the next year or two?>

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