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Fed Rate-Hike Odds Collapse After Jobs Debacle

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Rate-hike odds collapsed to 28% for December... 

 

with April 2016 now the market's earliest expectation for liftoff...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Fri, 10/02/2015 - 08:50 | 6620005 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Rates going negativer.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 08:58 | 6620047 tarsubil
tarsubil's picture

Just like Wile E. Coyote, as long as we don't look down, we won't fall.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 09:01 | 6620055 bania
bania's picture

wake me up when Waiting for Godot ends.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 09:19 | 6620147 wolfnipplechips
wolfnipplechips's picture

Whoops! Well, now what do we do, Janet? Still want to throw that rate hike propaganda around?

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 09:51 | 6620363 Viffer
Viffer's picture

Not looking down is pretty dangerous to do when your kicking the can down the road.  Sooner or later you will kick it over the cliff and not even know it.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 09:03 | 6620064 Bryan
Bryan's picture

Rate hike is like a carrot on a stick.  It's just a *little* bit ahead out there, but always unreachable.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 08:51 | 6620006 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

I find it funny that at place on that chart do we see the "market" pricing in a Japan scenerio. Tyler, is there a similar chart for Japan anywhere? It would be interesting to see if a rate hike is ever priced in.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 08:54 | 6620025 gdiamond22
gdiamond22's picture

QE4 bitchez

 

They can't run a post office or setup a website, but they can absolutley run the global economy.

 

 

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 08:53 | 6620018 two hoots
two hoots's picture

The Fed is a market manipulation tool.  

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 08:56 | 6620026 Dubaibanker
Dubaibanker's picture

There can NEVER be a rate hike in US dollar, EVER!

It's UNPOSSIBLE!

Every month, the jerks (sorry, the assholes working on trading desks of various banks) tell us that the rates will rise in the future!

I think the traders (sorry, the assholes working on trading desks) are predicting their own future which is dark!

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 08:54 | 6620028 ThirteenthFloor
ThirteenthFloor's picture

"How you like 'em odds Oscar?"
"I don't, but they are what they are"

No hike until dollar regime is disintegrated.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 08:58 | 6620044 stant
stant's picture

Cash is king, until its banned

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 08:59 | 6620050 WTFRLY
WTFRLY's picture

Haaaaaaaaaaaaa fuck them

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 09:03 | 6620063 Sir SpeaksALot
Sir SpeaksALot's picture

all China's fault

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 09:09 | 6620107 Gatos Locos
Gatos Locos's picture

Why can't we have a real leader like Putin?

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 09:57 | 6620408 rejected
rejected's picture

Because we're exceptional and don't need one.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 09:09 | 6620109 Temerity Trader
Temerity Trader's picture

They will not hike, ever...all B.S. to try to make the fools believe everything is fine. But this is a society in total decay, no need for God when you can worship a Fed banker, or feel good just by having the newest I-Toy. People’s lives mean nothing anymore, endless wars for oil and power and daily shootings by people who feel they have nothing to live for anyway. A world awash in debt thanks to Wall Street and a media circus endlessly telling the lemmings to buy more stuff. Even a Fed banker commenting on how he watches Cramer, and millions counting on those bankers to make them “wealthy”.

As the economy winds down and unemployment soars, there will be even more disenfranchised and lost souls filled with hatred and angry. It will get far uglier as the markets tumble back to reality and the Fed-induced property bubbles again burst. Millions from around the globe will pour in, fleeing total chaos. Satan will be loving it.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 09:20 | 6620152 Redart
Redart's picture

S&P500 target 1983.25. We are 100 points below that target. short the dip and get burned

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 10:47 | 6620732 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Targeted by whom, Gartman?

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 19:52 | 6623319 Redart
Redart's picture

By the imbalance between buyers and sellers. "It's a bit technical.." -batman

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 09:21 | 6620155 khakuda
khakuda's picture

No surprise here. They promised a rate increase barring any negative data so, of course, they needed some negative data not to raise rates to let them off the hook. Not too hard to print it up. Can always revise it away later.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 09:22 | 6620162 peterk
peterk's picture

US is an economic keynsian failiure

Japan too, but theyre still on the kamakazi mission

Weimar Republic here we come!

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 09:48 | 6620342 agent default
agent default's picture

The moment of reckoning is approaching fast from all fronts.  The question is will it be an external or internal shock that comes first and starts the unraveling.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 09:55 | 6620396 rejected
rejected's picture

Whoopee!! More money printing,,, that'll fix our economic woe's just like is has the last 7-8 years. 

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 10:23 | 6620593 Sanity Bear
Sanity Bear's picture

Rate hike odds just went from never to never.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 11:43 | 6621079 Winston Smith 2009
Winston Smith 2009's picture

"Fed Rate-Hike Odds Collapse After Jobs Debacle"

Like anyone other than a clueless moron would have expected a hike at any time this year or next with the entire world economy obviously headed where it's headed. Job figures that hugely understate the actual employment issue are simply a sign for the clueless who can't see all of the other data. 

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 14:43 | 6621971 honestann
honestann's picture

They're kidding, right?  People actually think the federal reserve will hike rates in March 2016... after they are forced to admit the USSA has been in deep recession for months?

Yeah, that'll happen.  NOT.

Very soon even "regular folks" will start to realize the economy is permanently screwed as long as the federal reserve continues to manipulate... and gold and/or silver will soon go "no delivery".  Just watch.  By March... if not this year.

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