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Peak Government Is Here: Martin Armstrong Warns "From Here On Out, It Gets Real"

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Submitted by Martin Armstrong via ArmstrongEconomics.com,

ECM2015-2020

The unleashing of Russian firepower in Syria in support of the Syrian government came precisely on the day of the Economic Confidence Model. I have come to learn from observing this model that major world events, whatever the major focus may be, appear to line up with the ECM.

CycleOfWar-2014

This target has been huge for us given that we have TWO WAR CYCLE MODELS: (1) civil unrest that leads to revolution, and (2) international war. It is sort of like the Blood Moon stuff insofar as it does not line up so easily. The main convergence of the War Cycle between both models began to turn in 2014. The economic war against Russia imposing sanctions began on March 6, 2014 (2014.178) when Obama signed Executive Order 13660 that authorizes sanctions on individuals and entities responsible for violating the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine. The next day, this order was followed by Executive Order 13661, which claimed that Russia had undermined the democratic processes. On March 20, 2014, Obama issued a new Executive Order: “Blocking Property of Additional Persons Contributing to the Situation in Ukraine”. This order expanded the scope of the two previous orders to the Government of the Russian Federation; it included its annexation of Crimea and its use of force in Ukraine, which the U.S. claimed was a threat to the national security and foreign policy of the United States. Then on April 28, Obama imposed more sanctions on Russia.

The third round of U.S. sanctions on Russia began from October into December 2014 over the turning point. On October 3, 2014, Joe Biden said, “It was America’s leadership and the president of the United States insisting, oft times almost having to embarrass Europe to stand up and take economic hits to impose costs.” The EU imposed sanctions on December 18, 2014, which banned some investments in Crimea and halted support for the Russian Federation Black Sea exploration of oil and gas. The EU sanctions also prevented European companies from offering tourism services and purchasing real estate or companies in Crimea. On December 19, 2014, Obama imposed sanctions on Russian-occupied Crimea by executive order, which prohibited exports of U.S. goods and services to the region.

The actual turning point was 2014.8871: November 20, 2014. The one event that took place precisely on that day was the Supreme Court’s ruling to allow same-sex marriage in South Carolina. This decision sparked civil unrest against the government throughout the Bible Belt states. On that same day, Obama took executive action on immigration. On November 24, the Missouri Grand Jury made ruled not to indict Officer Wilson in the shooting of Michael Brown on August 9, which sparked the beginning of civil unrest, such as the Black Lives Matter movement, in a rebuke of corrupt police forces.

With this turning point on the ECM (2015.75) marking the precise day when Russia began actively bombing Syria to defend its allied government, even sending in troops, should be of great concern in the form of a warning sign with red lights that blink. Russia’s bombings have captured the headlines; the press claims that Russia is attacking civilians but has not mentioned that these civilians are rebels trying to overthrow the government that Obama supported. The press is misrepresenting what is taking place.

chinese-transport

There are also reports that China has entered the game by sending in troops to Syria. Obama is creating a threat of world war as Russia and China are now in alignment in Syria and both are opposed to U.S. policy. There is a direct confrontation taking place all because U.S. policy is out of its mind and tries to topple what it calls “dictatorships” from Iraq, Libya, and now Syria. There is no alternative replacement and this brain-dead policy dreamed up in Washington has no end game objective.

This is turning into a direct confrontation between the three leading powers in the Middle East. For what purpose? All because Obama and crew did not like Putin? They created Putin by failing to curtail the bankers who tried to take over Russia to get their hands on all the commodities back in 1999. Whether the government was behind the banking objectives or whether it came in after the fact to protect the bankers amounts to the same thing. This is one reason why they have been trying to block “The Forecaster” from airing in the United States, whereas it has been making headlines and nightly news shows in Europe where they suffered the economic blows of these sanctions.

The other side of 2015.75 will be a lot more serious than many suspect. This concentration of confidence in government marks the peak — from here on out, this will not be a video game — this is real.

 

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Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:06 | 6622103 Mark Mywords
Mark Mywords's picture

Global fascism.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:41 | 6622261 Buckaroo Banzai
Buckaroo Banzai's picture

Not fascism-- Technocracy.

THE DARK HORSE OF THE NEW WORLD ORDER IS NOT COMMUNISM, SOCIALISM OR FASCISM. IT IS TECHNOCRACY.

"With meticulous detail and an abundance of original research, Patrick M. Wood uses Technocracy Rising to connect the dots of modern globalization in a way that has never been seen before so that the reader can clearly understand the globalization plan, its perpetrators and its intended endgame.

In the heat of the Great Depression during the 1930s, prominent scientists and engineers proposed a utopian energy-based economic system called Technocracy that would be run by those same scientists and engineers instead of elected politicians. Although this radical movement lost momentum by 1940, it regained status when it was conceptually adopted by the elitist Trilateral Commission (co-founded by Zbigniew Brzezinski and David Rockefeller) in 1973 to be become its so-called "New International Economic Order."

In the ensuing 41 years, the modern expression of Technocracy and the New International Economic Order is clearly seen in global programs such as Agenda 21, Sustainable Development, Green Economy, Councils of Governments, Smart Growth, Smart Grid, Total Awareness surveillance initiatives and more.

Wood contends that the only logical outcome of Technocracy is Scientific Dictatorship, as already seen in dystopian literature such as Brave New World by Aldous Huxley (1932) and Nineteen Eighty-Four by George Orwell (1948), both of whom looked straight into the face of Technocracy when it was still in its infancy.

With over 250 footnotes, an extensive bibliography and clarity of writing style, Wood challenges the reader to new levels of insight and understanding into the clear and present danger of Technocracy, and how Americans might be able to reject it once again."

http://www.technocracyrising.com

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:53 | 6622324 Jamesfk13
Jamesfk13's picture

It's socialism ran by technocrats.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 17:09 | 6622657 ThroxxOfVron
ThroxxOfVron's picture

"In the heat of the Great Depression during the 1930s, prominent scientists and engineers proposed a utopian energy-based economic system called Technocracy that would be run by those same scientists and engineers instead of elected politicians.   Although this radical movement lost momentum by 1940, it regained status when it was conceptually adopted by the elitist Trilateral Commission (co-founded by Zbigniew Brzezinski and David Rockefeller) in 1973 to be become its so-called "New International Economic Order."

The elitist Trilateral Commission (co-founded by Zbigniew Brzezinski and David Rockefeller) has nothing to do with science and engineering.

This is just another cover story to make Oligarchy palatable to those that believe they have more value than others aka 'exceptionalism'.

The very work 'elitist' provides the ideological supposition that these people are somehow superior -in their own view.

Elitism predicated on false narratives of scientific and ethical exceptionalism is precisely the false and hubristic ideological construct that is being propagated by the trans-nationalists/globalists and which is being pursued in the neo-lib/con agenda of imperialism.

They are saving the World alright.  FOR THEMSELVES.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 19:28 | 6623245 A Nanny Moose
A Nanny Moose's picture

What good Continuity of Government, if there is nobody left to govern?

Sat, 10/03/2015 - 10:10 | 6624594 Bendromeda Strain
Bendromeda Strain's picture

The elitist Trilateral Commission (co-founded by Zbigniew Brzezinski and David Rockefeller) has nothing to do with science and engineering.

I think you missed the point. The end game sought by Globalist Inc. absolutely sees the benefit in warping technology to their aims, and buying science off in pursuit of their goal. Using the only tool in their toolbox, the only thing they produce besides evil thought - counterfeit fiat, they use the corrupt intersection of environmentalism and surveillance to enslave ignorant humanity. If that doesn't get the job done in a timely fashion, there is always DARPA.

"Satan laughing spreads his wings". 

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:08 | 6622114 abyssinian
abyssinian's picture

How real? Dow to 30,000? Seems like there are some people, something out there kept buying stocks, no matter what's happening or what's going to happen. 

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:14 | 6622148 pods
pods's picture

There is so much funny money still around it has to be put somewhere.

pods

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:24 | 6622190 kaiserhoff
kaiserhoff's picture

Peak government yes, but only because they are out of money.

They lost confidence and consent of the governed decades ago.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:31 | 6622216 vq1
vq1's picture

Im not so sure. I still hear people argue over which party to vote for. Lost confidence? yes, with the current administration, but the next guy.... he'll turn things around...

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:37 | 6622221 SRSrocco
SRSrocco's picture

I imagine I will receive a great deal of backlash for saying this... but what the hell.  Martin's got a lot of DIEHARD followers.

While Martin says some intresting things, the guy doesn't believe in PEAK OIL.  So, to him... all his nifty charts are based on business as usual for the next 1,000 years.  This is also a good way to SUCKER IN more folks into buying his overpriced subscriptions or products.

PEAK GOVERNEMENT is here because PEAK OIL is here.   You don't need to pay $1,000 or attend his overpriced conventions to understand the dynamics.

Watch for U.S. oil production to decline 30-40% by 2020 and 60-70% by 2025.  This should be the nail for the U.S. Dollar and Empire.  Regardless of what Martin's nifty charts have to say.

Again, Martin makes a lot of BLING selling timing charts to poor unworthly slobs.  Peak oil will do more to change the world than anything governments will do going forward.

Okay.... let the beating begin... LOL

 

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:39 | 6622247 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

You're not alone Steve. Good ole Marty has his head in his ass on lots of topics, most notably on gold and silver manipulation.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:49 | 6622299 Buckaroo Banzai
Buckaroo Banzai's picture

For a guy with "his head in his ass" about gold and silver, he has been exactly correct on his gold and silver price calls over the last few years. He has been saying that the right place to be since 2011 was the stock markets: EXACTLY CORRECT.

As far as manipulation is concerned--who cares if it is happening or not? Either it isn't, and you look like a fool for believing it is; or it is, and you are a fool for believing that you or anyone else is going to be able to stop it.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:51 | 6622316 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Are you that fucking dumb Buck? Apparently so...

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:54 | 6622330 Buckaroo Banzai
Buckaroo Banzai's picture

Dumb? You're the one named after a botched CIA operation.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:04 | 6622368 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Not that it matters but it happened on my birthday....4/17/1961. 

So are you going defend MA's Dow 30K prediction as well?

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:18 | 6622456 Buckaroo Banzai
Buckaroo Banzai's picture

If you knew anything about Armstrong, you'd know he sets multiple targets based on what happens at various turning points in the future. But you are right about one thing: he expects the Dow to rise dramatically once it hits a short term bottom in the near future.

Frankly I don't give a shit what you think; sell Dow puts all day for all I care. But there will be an avalanche of dollars coming out of government debt of all kinds over the next few years, and that money has to go somewhere that is liquid, deep, politically stable, and portable across borders. That pretty much means one place: the U.S. stock markets.

Just because something is overvalued, doesn't mean it can't get WAY more overvalued.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:28 | 6622500 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Of course you dont give a shit about truth and honesty and neither does he. 

"that money has to go somewhere that is liquid, deep, politically stable, and portable across borders. That pretty much means one place: the U.S. stock markets."

LOL. Keep drinking the MSM/Wall St Kool Aid pal.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:36 | 6622531 Overfed
Overfed's picture

Well, the perception is that the US stock markets are stable, liquid, blah blah blah. And they probably are when compared to the stock markets in other countries. Not that that is saying much.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 17:55 | 6622877 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Exactly. I guess that point is lost on this thread.

And how come nobody remembers Marty's bad calls and failed predictions?

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 19:32 | 6623264 A Nanny Moose
A Nanny Moose's picture

Are you really using Stock Market, Liquid, and Portable, in the same sentence? I would hedge with bullett, beer, and PMs.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 22:59 | 6623790 cornflakesdisease
cornflakesdisease's picture

You are large and erect . . . (eyes roll)

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:08 | 6622395 moneybots
moneybots's picture

"You're not alone Steve. Good ole Marty has his head in his ass on lots of topics, most notably on gold and silver manipulation."

 

Manipulation takes place within the trend.  All commodities have been declining.  That has been the trend. LIBOR was manipulated within the trend.  Since 1981, the trend on rates has been toward zero.  Running stops in the stock market is manipulation within the trend.

The price of gold went parabolic in 2011.  Parabolics fail.  The Nikkei parabolic failed.  The Nasdaq parabolic failed. 

As they say, never marry a stock.  Never marry a commodity, either.

 

 

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:13 | 6622439 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Fuck me. This place is really declining in troll quality.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 19:10 | 6623186 Machine Parts
Machine Parts's picture

Hey Bay of Pigs, you seem like a real douche bag and are bringing down the overall quality of this site.  Shut the fuck up.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 23:00 | 6623792 cornflakesdisease
cornflakesdisease's picture

Whatever you do Bay of Pigs, don't poke their god (Putin) in the eye with a stick.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:39 | 6622248 centerline
centerline's picture

Not just energy.  Water, food, etc.  And the icing on the cake is max social complexity (supply chains that have all gone from robust to fragile... JIT with incredible interdepency/logistics).  Too many people all competing for fewer and fewer resources.  Organic growth is stalling... and modern economies can't even handle a drop in acceleration (ref. 1990's deregulation... synthetic growth/leverage), let along the human race moving into a stationary period (followed by a die off).

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:45 | 6622280 two hoots
two hoots's picture

Even cake will be in short supply.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:47 | 6622295 centerline
centerline's picture

The cake is a lie.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:04 | 6622370 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

It's the pie that is a lie.  Or is it the lie to get pie?

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:42 | 6622265 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

It ain't going to be a Hubbart peak either.  It will be a Seneca cliff.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:55 | 6622333 Okienomics
Okienomics's picture

Chris Martensen has been sounding the alarm on Peak Oil = Doom for years, all the while oil production has been increasing and prices falling!  There is undoubtedly a point in time when we will have peak oil production, and this may be it.  But if so, and if the Seneca cliff is the scenario, why the hell is oil $40/bbl? 

Put another way, are you betting the farm long on CL contracts?

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:02 | 6622362 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

I wouldn't touch the paper markets with a 10' pole.  They neither match production costs nor what people can afford.  And the oil price, should it stay this low, is going to cause some major problems in the junk bond market.  Whether paper oil is going to go up or down is anybody's best guess, because there will be pressure for it to do both at the same time. 

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:50 | 6622308 SRSrocco
SRSrocco's picture

LOL.... not only is Martin Armstrong so predictable... so are his followers.

By the way, maybe some of you all might enjoy reading my newest article:

INDIA vs COMEX: Physical Silver Demand Will Destroy Paper Rigged Markets

 

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:06 | 6622383 Fractal Parasite
Fractal Parasite's picture

For the longest time Martin Armstrong has been banging on about “2015.75” (end of Q3) as some major turning point according to his famous computer model... and now we're there and it sure has been a dramatic week.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:20 | 6622464 moneybots
moneybots's picture

"LOL.... not only is Martin Armstrong so predictable... so are his followers."

 

The thing is, Martin has been right, thus far.  The price of anything goes both up and down.  Deflationary pressure has been building, thus commodity prices have been falling.  Gold and silver are commodities.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 23:03 | 6623799 cornflakesdisease
cornflakesdisease's picture

The same way Peter Schiff has been right.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:07 | 6622355 Bumpo
Bumpo's picture

Peak Oil is about as real as Fossil Fuels coming from Fossils. Russia proved Abiotic Oil was real decades ago when it drilled through miles of Basalt in Vietnam when it discovered the White Tiger Oil Field.

Try and keep up.

http://peakoil.com/geology/abiotic-oil-and-gas-a-theory-that-refuses-to-...

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:21 | 6622455 SRSrocco
SRSrocco's picture

Bumpo,

Funny you happened to mention that.  For the folks who continue to believe in ABIOTIC OIL, they have been deluded by lousy information.  If we look at REAL DATA coming out of the United States, Russia and Saudi Arabia, this is the result:

TOTAL WELLS DRILLED 2014

Saudi Arabia = 399

Russia = 8,688

USA = 35,669

Now, if Russia found all this abiotic oil in these deep wells, why did they drill 22 times more wells than Saudi Arabia while their prodction is about the same?

You will notice that the USA gets the #1 price for drilling the most wells.  You can thank that to the lousy efficiency of SHALE OIL.

People will continue to believe in the lousy abiotic oil theory because they fail to research REAL FACTS.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:21 | 6622474 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Why introduce intelligence into the argument?

s/

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:24 | 6622485 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

Even if abiotic oil were real, which it is not, the rate at which it is created is still never actually brought up, nor how that compares to the rate at which it is being consumed. 

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:43 | 6622566 Diet Coke and F...
Diet Coke and Floozies's picture

Just like Dr. Albert Bartlett said all those years ago...

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F-QA2rkpBSY

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 21:36 | 6623596 PhoQ
PhoQ's picture

Abiotic oil is only reduced in huge quanties in space.

Earth has never been in space, so there can't be any abiotic oil there.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:19 | 6622463 TradingTroll
TradingTroll's picture

Martin Armstrong posted publicly, at no cost, several bullet proof trades that have made traders millions.Dec 31/15: short oil, euro, copper.Short bunds.  Short Dax. Sell Chinese stock market at June top. Buy for bounce at bottom.And the icing on the cake: Aug 21, short US markets for steep correction. $10,000 in futures options ( puts) would be over $200k Aug 24 9:30am eastern.So to all you armchair analysts who criticize Armstrong,  you cannot generate a fraction of the successful trades MA has. Some people here on ZH love to bitch about this n that despite the fact they contribute zero in comparison.  The phrase 'useless eaters' comes to mind.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:56 | 6622608 El Vaquero
El Vaquero's picture

Armstrong's models may spit out correct predictions for all I know.  I don't really follow him that closely.  But even if they do, it merely means that he is putting the actual drivers or proxies of the actual drivers in his models.  He may very well be doing the equivalent of using ice cream sales to predict crime rates, when variation in both is often going to be driven by the weather. 

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 20:43 | 6623472 My Days Are Get...
My Days Are Getting Fewer's picture

I followed MA's missive when he was warehoused at the Ft Dix Stockade, a place that I had helped run in 1967-68.  I even considered visiting him - I didn't go.  His insights into Roman history were facinating.  Now, he is out of jail and trying to make a living.

If his trading prophasies are so on the mark, why is is not executing them himself - $10 k into $200 k.  He could stop publishing and just trade for his own account.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 22:48 | 6623764 Buckaroo Banzai
Buckaroo Banzai's picture

He does trade for his own account. Has a shitload of money.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 23:52 | 6623895 roccman
roccman's picture

Economic collapse, environmental collapse, and civil collapse are all being defined by the peaking of oil.

That said, the peaking of oil is only a temporary condition... Temporarily.

Cull a few billion resets the peak clock to buy just enough time for some to hitch a ride on a light particle out of this material realm.

Or die trying.

Does anyone really think there is not a much larger agenda running in the background?

CERN is the most advanced machine humans have ever built. Unfortunately you need a population of billions to run the machine.

Zero sum for some.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:26 | 6622198 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Bread and circuses don't come quite as cheap as they used to.  

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:24 | 6622193 sprintjump
sprintjump's picture

Armstrong predicts that foreign capital in-flows will send the markets up. I have a hard time trying to figure MA out... on one hand, the ECM seems to have some merit. On the other, to me, it seems like the markets have been completely taken over by CB's... so how in the world can a computer algorithm predict this kind of CB involvement/manipulation?

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:31 | 6622215 centerline
centerline's picture

The gist is that manipulations cannot affect the larger trend.  Thus, short term is noise but on a longer timeframe things are more predictable (cyclical) in a broader sense.  "On a long enough timeline...".

I think MA's belief that cyclical events follow a pattern so exactly is a bit goofy though.  Yeah, nature is all about cycles.  Virtually everything is cyclical in one way or another.  But, the interaction of all those cycles is too complex to shake out so specifically. 

However, I won't throw the proverbial baby out with the bathwater.  MA's work has credit.  He has been more right than wrong for quite some time.  I wouldn't ignore what he has to say.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:03 | 6622365 Buckaroo Banzai
Buckaroo Banzai's picture

Armstrong's thesis is that CB's don't set the trends, rather, they are perpetually one step behind the trends. They are reactive, not proactive. This thesis has a lot of empirical evidence to back it up. Look at Yellen right now: she has been completely overtaken by events, and doesn't know whether to run, shit, or go blind. Same thing happened to Bernanke in 2007 and Greenspan in the late 90s.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:06 | 6622386 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Bullshit. What a bunch of pathetic nonsense.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 23:11 | 6623814 cornflakesdisease
cornflakesdisease's picture

Your really think Yellen makes the decisions?

Don't think so.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:11 | 6622422 Hussflier
Hussflier's picture

the ramp up in Glencore proves your comment 100% correct!

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:25 | 6622488 SurlysonofaBitch
SurlysonofaBitch's picture

Some 'people", or some computers?

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:09 | 6622120 wmbz
wmbz's picture

"The unleashing of Russian firepower in Syria in support of the Syrian government came precisely on the day of the Economic Confidence Model".

 

Well, Obozo&Lurch say, that the Russian involment is disruptive!

As we all know these stalwart symbols of Amerika are rock solid and instill fear everywhere they tread!

 

Piss off.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:21 | 6622180 astoriajoe
astoriajoe's picture

Did someone say Disruptive? Puting should IPO that shit. 

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:11 | 6622129 TheObsoleteMan
TheObsoleteMan's picture

I have just one thing to say about that: BTFD!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Anyone else notice today's action? No reason at all for this reversal, besides either devine intervention or outright manipulation.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:32 | 6622223 vq1
vq1's picture

yea cuz it means no rate hike. ever. and more free money coming soon. 

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 23:13 | 6623821 cornflakesdisease
cornflakesdisease's picture

According to Mr. Armstrong, there is no manipulation.

 

For all we know, his quant box is a Uuija Board.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 23:15 | 6623825 cornflakesdisease
cornflakesdisease's picture

According to Mr. Armstrong, there is no manipulation.

 

For all we know, his quant box is a Uuija Board.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:23 | 6622187 JustObserving
JustObserving's picture

And then they all shorted gold? Or silver? Or both?

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:34 | 6622188 JustObserving
JustObserving's picture

Can we blame "mass-murderer" Putin for that?

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:13 | 6622143 pods
pods's picture

Finally some doom porn. I was stuck thinking about the riding tricycle with the Brazillian twins.

I think China is the big wildcard here. Russia seems to be pretty level in regards to their response.

China's engine is misfiring and they have a LOT of young guys that they do not want sitting around thinking.

As for the US, we are that fat old prom queen who still puts on her dress she can no longer zip up, takes a deep breath, and smiles for the mirror one last time. (then she makes some Mac and Cheese for the kids, eats some ding dongs, and gets ridden like she was stolen by her blubbery prom king)

pods

 

 

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:33 | 6622226 centerline
centerline's picture

lol.  My favorite post today so far.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:45 | 6622278 Consuelo
Consuelo's picture

++++ pods

 

Dealing with Russia via the Wolfowitz Doctrine is one thing, dealing with a newly-formed 'tag-team' - which seems fairly obvious and pragmatic that they would become such, presents a bit of a 'wrinkle' (?) for Washington, no...?

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:14 | 6622146 60B3
60B3's picture

Not sure if our fearless leader could win a game of checkers at this point. Way out of his league

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:42 | 6622266 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

Nothing but a groomed-from-birth frontman--a truly empty suit.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:44 | 6622271 withglee
withglee's picture

He's not our leader ... he's our administrator.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:51 | 6622318 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

He's our mac-daddy.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:52 | 6622322 Sparehead
Sparehead's picture

He's not in the game to win it, he just likes to say "king me".

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:17 | 6622158 SurlysonofaBitch
SurlysonofaBitch's picture

Could someone translate this article into Englih for me?

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:22 | 6622181 pods
pods's picture

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sGUNPMPrxvA

Basically this is what is up.

pods

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:22 | 6622185 s2man
s2man's picture

Yeah.  Thought it was me.  I'm not sure what he is saying, either.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:25 | 6622196 stant
stant's picture

Failure to maintain confidence in . Gov = war

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:46 | 6622291 Money_for_Nothing
Money_for_Nothing's picture

Move to a place that is predominantly Christian.
Make friends.
Buy canned good.
Buy bottled water.
Buy guns and ammunition.
Learn to hunt fish and camp out.
Buy tools and learn a useful trade.
(any money left over) Buy gold and silver coins.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:27 | 6622202 Jack Burton
Jack Burton's picture

Obama's Pentagon masters have informed Obama that they may intend to defend Terror groups backed openly by the USA against Russian Air Attacks. If indeed true, let me sum up what this implies.

The US begins to provide a combat air patrol over it's favored terror groups, daring Russia to attack them. This would bring world war closer than at anytime since the Russian Submarine aimed a nuclear tiped torpedo at a US Destroyer off of Cuba back in the Cold War.

If the Pentagon annouces it will provide air cover for terror groups, we are looking down the barrel of WWIII.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:34 | 6622228 Shemsu
Shemsu's picture

Stay on topic. It's easy to be discursive. 

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:38 | 6622243 venturen
venturen's picture

Obama pentagon master?...you are kidding right? Are these the one that tell him we need a gay to be secterary of the Army? Obama money masters tell him what he needs to know. Other than that Obama is a idiot doing as he told.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:57 | 6622338 Consuelo
Consuelo's picture

 

 

I have to agree there.    Just his mannerisms and various 'habits' shall we say, are not indicative of someone who is making heady decisions, especially in the arena of foreign policy.   

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:49 | 6622296 BuddyEffed
BuddyEffed's picture

I remember the vehemence George Bush used to use when he pronounced the word al Qaeda, and he would throw in a little verbal hitch while using a tone conveying disgust and contempt.

Now somehow there are some of these al queda that are supposed to be our buddies? Get outta here. No way Jose.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:27 | 6622490 Fractal Parasite
Fractal Parasite's picture

Jack, in 4 years of the war against Syria, the Pentagon has not unleashed its firepower in the way they did in Libya, Iraq, Afghanistan, Yugoslavia, and all the rest.

Langley, on the other hand, is fully committed to war against Syria, and, if anything, are the ones who need to protect their terror assets in the country or else get them the hell out of there fast.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:35 | 6622230 Grandad Grumps
Grandad Grumps's picture

And what is the useful purpose of war that justifies it? Refresh my mind please, I forgot.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 21:40 | 6623605 PhoQ
PhoQ's picture

Billions of dollars to the instagators.

Highly lucrative if you have no soul.

Sat, 10/03/2015 - 00:09 | 6623928 roccman
roccman's picture

"Suppose two men at cards with nothing to wager save their lives. Who has not heard of such a tale? A turn of the card. The whole universe for such a player has labored clanking to this moment which will tell if he is to die at that man's hand, or that man at his. What more certain validation of a man's worth could there be? This enhancement of the game to it's ultimate state admits no argument concerning the notion of fate. The selection of one man over another is a preference absolute and irrevocable and it is a dull man indeed who could reckon so profound a decision without agency or significance either one. In such games as have for their stake the annhililation of the defeated the decisions are quite clear. This man holding this particular arrangement of cards in his hand is hereby removed from existence. This is the nature of war, whose stake is at once the game and the authority and the justification. Seen so, war is the truest form of divination. It is the testing of one's will and the will of another within that larger will which because it binds them is forced to select. War is the ultimate game because at last war is a forcing of the unity of existence. War is god." Cormac McCarthy

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:38 | 6622242 buttmint
buttmint's picture

...flocks of black swans are arriving.

Many recent jim willie podcasts shed some light on matters.

This winter does not look good at all....no way can a day 'n date be determined. Various events are all conspiring to make a mess of things....

 

as when the toilet bowls swirls around 'n around....

 

 

 

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:49 | 6622306 Consuelo
Consuelo's picture

Scheisse dollar...

 

 

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:50 | 6622254 JDFX
JDFX's picture

Peak Capitalism . The financial experts talk of a six year bull run in stocks. The muppets actually fail to see the reality of selling into the mark ups of new highs. Bull run...... LOL. It's painful, I whince, even, watching the expert financial suits, grasping and thrashing about, trying to cling to a, their best daily, hourly, rational explanation of market behaviour. I pray. They're prey. Let's eat !

Best not spook the sheep too much, on the ole' ' Bank Note ' farm.....  :)

 

Hopefully they'll encourage dollar cost averaging , or buy and hold for the long term , again ! It really does help pacify the sheep. And , makes the shepherds , legitimate,  in and of, purpose !  

 

It's a co existing , self fulfilling, human exploiting, bank note farm, baby ! 

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:44 | 6622273 Amish FinEng
Amish FinEng's picture

The Amish don't care. We do advise you to keep your eyes on those filthy jews and don't let them export any wealth as this thing comes down. They're going to want to flee the country.

Lock them in the USSA and then make them pay for what they did to you!

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:35 | 6622526 MoHillbilly
MoHillbilly's picture

Shit, you all think the Jews are bad try doing business with the Amish /Mennonite whatever they call themselves. Talk in "Swiss" so the "English" can't understand them, beat you down on every price and if something is just laying around it must be free. Plus, your fucking horse and buggies tear the shit out of the road shoulders.

 

P.S. Take a fucking bath more than once a month

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 17:53 | 6622871 RabbitChow
RabbitChow's picture

You are correct; they speak swiss german. Take a swiss person with you next time.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 15:48 | 6622298 atthelake
atthelake's picture

101 perfect storms and all started by America.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:01 | 6622357 TheObsoleteMan
TheObsoleteMan's picture

400+ point reversal boys and girls, those in the know bought calls hand over fist at the low, then riding them up all day. Bad news, is good news. It has been that way for years now.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:08 | 6622396 TradingTroll
TradingTroll's picture

Bad news is good news. Wrong. If that were true Dow would be over the May high of 18xxx.  Instead we're 16 xx xle up.  Bad new is...still bad news!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:06 | 6622385 atomicwasted
atomicwasted's picture

Bullshit astrology.  Armstrong needs a long vacation and a psychiatrist.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:23 | 6622482 The Indelicate ...
The Indelicate Genius's picture

^yes.

sophistry - all of it. thank you.

Astrologer meets client
Tricks of the trade

http://www.astrology-and-science.com/a-meet2.htm

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:45 | 6622571 moneybots
moneybots's picture

"Bullshit astrology.  Armstrong needs a long vacation and a psychiatrist."

 

History, not astrology.  The business cycle dates back to Biblical times.  The ancient year of Jubilee is the modern Kondratieff Winter, or grand reset, as someone else put it.

 

 

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:51 | 6622593 Amish FinEng
Amish FinEng's picture

Once you look at the light, the light is forever changed.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 21:42 | 6623608 PhoQ
PhoQ's picture

Armstrong already had a long vacation. In a federal prison, charged with the heinous crime of contempt of court.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:22 | 6622479 NoTTD
NoTTD's picture

So, till now it's been a video game?  Where the hell was I?

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:53 | 6622601 moneybots
moneybots's picture

"So, till now it's been a video game?  Where the hell was I?"

 

Probably on your iPhone or android smart phone.

Someone wrote, the next war won't be televised.  That's when it becomes real.

 

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 16:59 | 6622627 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

And if nothing happens he just says, "See, the wars peaked out at my tipping point, just like I said".  If you read this tard, his verified trading calls since he got out of prison, for losing a whole lot of other people's money and trying to hide it, are terrible.  Thenthere is all that stuff he claime he predicted that no one can verify, which I am certain is also bull crap.  He said buy oil over 80 for the big rally before it went to 40.  He said short it at 40 before it went to 60.  He said buy stocks several months ago for the big rally, after years of saying wait for a pullback.  He said gold was going to 5k before it dumped.  He said buy the dollar at the peak of the last up move.  

I point this out because he claims to be giving "trading" advice, not opinions or long term ideas.  He claims he is timing.  He is as terrible as Gartman.  And his blog is full of historical factual inaccuracies.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 21:43 | 6623612 PhoQ
PhoQ's picture

Most of what we call 'history' is full of factual inaccuracies.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 17:08 | 6622681 Hubbs
Hubbs's picture

Looking at the picture of the Chinese cargo transport, my first impresssion is that it looks new, unlike the old broken down, worn out, junkers the US is flying.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 21:44 | 6623616 PhoQ
PhoQ's picture

The Chinese stopped loaning the US money to build new ones.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 17:17 | 6622713 the grateful un...
the grateful unemployed's picture

sorry this looks a lot like Bob Prechters Socionomics. he has charts which delineate all the social moods, which you have to agree includes ECM. to me public confidence in anything is a joke especially when you are discussing some form of utility, whether its water electricity or money, the only time people sqwuak is when the supply is shut off. george bush ran the country with less than half favorable ratings. for eight years. there is always this talk that investors lose confidence in the fed. no matter which policy the fed takes the rich will always have the trade. the difficulty with running an economic model which has a declining number of participants seems obvious, the public votes their own self interest but the politician must serve the greater good so matter how large the estranged minority becomes.  we're no where near peak government and certain global economic policies will concentrate more power in the hands of haves. rome took centuries to capitulate, and even then all of its effective models of government were perpetuated. a utility transports some vital commodity, they keep the lights on, and they set the rates. they may be badly managed but really there is nothing to it. you just have to understand the nature of electricity.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 18:25 | 6623018 Manipuflation
Manipuflation's picture

Well, well, well you never guess what I just found.  I just called some people who should and would know about this and they have never heard of it.  We never run many articles for Agriculture on ZH but I think you had all pay attention to this because it will affect every single one of you.  This not my opinion either.  I need to read more on this I think I have read enough to know what I am seeing here.  Many of you folks do not have experience in agriculture or animal husbandry but I am in the field and have been for my entire life so I know what this means and what will result from it.

Veterinary Feed Directive.  Brought to you by the FDA.  Do you want a hot livestock tip?  Read this shit...

 

http://www.fda.gov/AnimalVeterinary/NewsEvents/CVMUpdates/ucm448620.htm

 

Now apply your economic knowledge and tell me what the result will be.  I have a very good idea on what the intent is as well and it is not good.

Looks like I had better do some reading up on anti-biotics for animal stock because some Obama-care for animal feedstock is coming our way.  And it never went through CONgress. 

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 18:40 | 6623089 Ban KKiller
Ban KKiller's picture

I trust the world leaders to do whatever their war profiteering masters tell them to do. 

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 21:18 | 6623531 Phoenix901210
Phoenix901210's picture

This was an extremely good article. However, it is what I suppose the author does, the bare bones of some of these political trends.

It did not mention a more detailed case of the financial war (fair enough, Tyler covers that). However, these smaller trends link with lrager trends. Israel has had a lot to do with the China explosions for instance which is why China is sending troops to help in Syria.

http://t.co/STguhP5sJR

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 21:40 | 6623604 Abolton
Abolton's picture

Wrong, wrong, wrong. There is no such thing as "peak confidence in government." Those dumbasses that are Americans will pull their hand back from a hot stove–temporarily–but they will never be smart enough to walk out of the kitchen.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 21:46 | 6623623 PhoQ
PhoQ's picture

They'll walk out of the kitchen when the free food runs out.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 22:59 | 6623788 Omega_Man
Omega_Man's picture

anyone but us gov please...we need to rid the world of evil once again.. this time it's US turn to get wiped.... just like the nazis...

 

buy big bags of rice... it will keep you alive

 

the american people are also to blame for their greed... supporting greed, living off greed and arrogance... no one will shed a tear for them... even israelis will dance in the streets, but it shall be the last dance

Sat, 10/03/2015 - 07:33 | 6624282 Raoul_Luke
Raoul_Luke's picture

We have peak government in terms of size but I don't know where this clown gets off in asserting peak "confidence in governance," as everything I have seen of late indicates confidence in government is way down (and declining) - precisely because of the failed big governmentism/warmongering of Bushbama.

 

If we end up going into world war it will be for the same reason we always go into world wars - the failed Keynesians need to cover the tracks of their failed economic policies.

Sat, 10/03/2015 - 14:19 | 6625557 Usura
Usura's picture

Washington has no end game objective but this does not matter. Washington will not be around for the end game. The end game is Eretz Israel:

 

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