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Treasury Yields Are Crashing

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Bloodbath for a near record short net Treasury speculative position as rate-hike odds collapse and the entire UST curve plunges. The belly is collapsing 13-15bps (biggest drop in 5Y and 7Y yields since January) and the long-end is dropping significantly.  Between the 10Y highs of 2.0597% and lows of 1.9022%, the drop was 15.75bp - that is the biggest intraday drop since Sep 18, 2013, the day the Fed did not Taper.

 

All yields are now lower on the year with 5Y near 2015 lows (down 42bps since end-Dec).

 

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Fri, 10/02/2015 - 10:26 | 6620610 madcows
madcows's picture

10-yr back below 2...

Let me know when it gets back down to 1.6.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 10:52 | 6620769 Spitzer
Spitzer's picture

Another day where the Euro is playing the safe haven currency yet nobody says anything

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 10:26 | 6620616 Jlasoon
Jlasoon's picture

WW3 just around the corner folks. 

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 10:33 | 6620659 dimwitted economist
dimwitted economist's picture

WW3 is HERE! (not because of this though)

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 10:59 | 6620811 Took Red Pill
Took Red Pill's picture

Yes, world wars are called that after the fact.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 10:28 | 6620633 Mark Mywords
Mark Mywords's picture

But stawks have made a nice 'w' shape and are staging a valiant comeback effort.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 10:47 | 6620733 Crocodile
Crocodile's picture

Long squeeze into a short squeeze; S&P should end around 1920 +/- 8pts imo.  Certainly by next Tuesday the 1940 target should be maintained; unless they lowered the goal-post, which is always possible since they are like the Calipornia firefighters; trying to put out too many fires at once, the difference is in Calipornia, the same people running the FED started the fires.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 10:29 | 6620639 Friedrich not Salma
Friedrich not Salma's picture

"[Janet] get to da choppa!"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xs_OacEq2Sk

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 10:31 | 6620650 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Cracks me up that the "smartest people in the room" don't get the fact that we are Japan and they keep trying to  short treasuries.   

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 10:38 | 6620688 Bell's 2 hearted
Bell's 2 hearted's picture

i'm locked and loaded .... and i've got your 6

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 10:48 | 6620734 FlacoGee
FlacoGee's picture

This is Bulls and Bears psychology 101.  

New York v Chicago. 

Left v. Right. 

Bloods v. Crips. 

Gay v. Straight.  

Keynesians v. Austrians.

Downers v. Stimulants.

QE v. Pain

 

We are Japan.  

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 10:49 | 6620756 madcows
madcows's picture

otherwise known as Extend and Pretend.  They're hoping that at some point the zombies come back to life.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 10:32 | 6620652 Slowdrip
Slowdrip's picture

Remember to, 'Duck and Cover'....

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 10:33 | 6620663 azusgm
azusgm's picture

Wonder how business is at the repo window.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 11:53 | 6621140 the grateful un...
the grateful unemployed's picture

theres plenty of liquidity in the system from QE1~3 they just need to keep it rolling over. reverse repo does not sound like that right way

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 10:35 | 6620671 youngman
youngman's picture

Risk off....risk off....lol....buy something that you know they are going to print trillions more of the same thing....

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 10:37 | 6620677 big rock
big rock's picture

The long bond is going to 2%.

 

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 10:45 | 6620716 azusgm
azusgm's picture

How to add liquidity -- naked short.

Here's the Treasury failure to deliver info. Currently running $50 billion/day. For something traded electronically.

Seriously.

http://www.dtcc.com/charts/daily-total-us-treasury-trade-fails

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 11:29 | 6621000 Crocodile
Crocodile's picture

Dr. Jim Willie states this is back-door QE and being done through the FED's reverse REPO window where the major Central Banks are selling naked, which is illegal; continuous back-door QE at about a TRILLION per month...nice to have a printing machine until it quits working.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 11:46 | 6621094 azusgm
azusgm's picture

I heard him say that it was the Wall Street banks who are the underwriters on energy futures and bonds who the Fed must be allowing to naked short to them. They are holding paper that is falling apart. If this is true, the FED is illegally keeping them alive.

So corrupt.

End times.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 11:51 | 6621126 the grateful un...
the grateful unemployed's picture

moar, do you have link?

 

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 12:11 | 6621223 azusgm
azusgm's picture

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CHC5EvkOGp4

Start at 11:45 and listen to 17:55.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 10:49 | 6620757 arbwhore
arbwhore's picture

T-Bills negative. Ahh... the "safety" of US Government securities.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 10:50 | 6620759 Ajax_USB_Port_R...
Ajax_USB_Port_Repair_Service_'s picture

Radar O'Reilly to algo control center: “Choppers!”

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 10:56 | 6620788 joego1
joego1's picture

What part of "you are getting no return of/on your investment" don't you get?

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 11:00 | 6620816 madcows
madcows's picture

Well, it's better to go backwards at the rate of inflation, than to go backwards at the rate of stocks liquification.  In other words, tis better to lose 5% per year than to lose 50%.  Oh, yeah, it's called NIRP.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 11:13 | 6620894 azusgm
azusgm's picture

Possibly this is part of being the world's reserve currency during an unwind. Treasury paper ~ USD ~ liquidity.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 10:58 | 6620802 Rikky
Rikky's picture

i'm waiting to refinance into a 3% rate.  Patience will be rewarded.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 11:06 | 6620841 cowdiddly
cowdiddly's picture

Banksters marching cadence:

Nirp Nirp nirp nirp,

Nirp nirp, nirp nirp

Nirp.

Fri, 10/02/2015 - 12:03 | 6621175 the grateful un...
the grateful unemployed's picture

http://soberlook.com/2014/07/window-dressing-with-feds-reverse-repo.html

 

read on about day after the end of the quarter

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