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This Is How Close US And Russian Jets Are To A Dog Fight Above Syria

Tyler Durden's picture




 

With Russia now effectively controlling the skies over Syria and with the US chiding Moscow for “targeting” America’s CIA-trained proxy armies, everyone is anxious to know how long it will be before NATO’s F-16s have an actual, live fire run-in with Russian Su-34s. 

As we noted on Monday, the biggest threat here is the close proximity at which everyone is now operating: "What happens next? Well, with the previously discussed Russian naval blockade of Syria as a likely next step, and with both US and Russian warplanes already flying back and forth above Syria, and now both superpowers having a legitimate, if only in the eyes of their own media, justification to dispatch land troops, what was until now a mere proxy war is about to become full blown land combat on Syrian soil, one which will soon involve both Russian and US ground, sea and airborne forces."

How close to this eventuality are we, you ask? Well, to let CBS tell it, about 20 miles:

U.S. pilots flying F-16s out of Turkey first picked up the Russian planes on radar. The Russians closed to within 20 miles, at which point the American pilots could visually identify them on their targeting cameras.

 

Lt. Gen. Charles Brown, commander of the American air campaign, said the Russians have come even closer than that to his unmanned drones.

 

"The closest has been within a handful of miles of our remotely piloted aircraft," said Brown. "But to our manned aircraft they've not been closer than about 20 miles."

 

Brown said he intends to simply work around the Russians in Syria, and he doesn't think they will crowd out American operations.

 

"We're up a lot more often than [the Russians] are so when we do have to move around [them] for safe operation, it's for a small period of time compared to the hours and hours that we're airborne over Iraq and Syria," said Brown.

A radar map lays this out best: the yellow aircraft are Russian, the green are American.

Go ahead and start the countdown to an "accident", false-flagged or otherwise.

 

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Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:07 | 6634910 JustObserving
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It's very likely that there may be an accident.  It's first time since WW II that US and Russia have been bombing the same country

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:08 | 6634917 Groundhog Day
Groundhog Day's picture

Gonna take right in to the...dangerzone

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:11 | 6634925 JustObserving
JustObserving's picture
US ratchets up war rhetoric against Moscow following Turkish intercept of Russian jet

 

By Thomas Gaist 
6 October 2015

 

US and NATO officials escalated their rhetoric against the government of Russian President Vladmir Putin on Monday, seizing on disputed reports of incursions into Turkish airspace by Russian warplanes.

The Russian planes entered Turkish airspace near the town of Yayladagi, the Turkish government announced Monday.

Asked about the Russian maneuvers while addressing Spanish military leaders in Madrid on Monday, US Defense Secretary Ashton Carter reiterated his previous assertion that Russia’s growing military involvement in Syria “is tantamount to pouring gasoline on the fire of civil war.” He denounced Russian intervention in Syria as “way off track” and “doomed to fail.”

“By taking military action in Syria against moderate groups targets, Russia has escalated the civil war, putting further at risk the very political resolution and preservation of Syria’s structure of future governance it says that it wants,” Carter said.

http://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2015/10/06/syri-o06.html

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:18 | 6634949 philipat
philipat's picture

What could possibly go wrong? The US would never sacrifice a drone in a false flag surely??

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:25 | 6634984 toady
toady's picture

Don't call me Shirley. 

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:27 | 6634995 Latina Lover
Latina Lover's picture

Remind me again, the USSA is supporting moderate terrorists to overthrow Assad, WHY?

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:35 | 6635042 Urban Roman
Urban Roman's picture

Because he is naughty.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:43 | 6635096 Keyser
Keyser's picture

Because Qatar and Saudi Arabia want a pipeline through Syria to southern EU... And also to take out the Russian naval base in Syria, just like they want to do the same in Crimea... See a pattern?

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:54 | 6635160 StackShinyStuff
StackShinyStuff's picture

And they have a Death Star!!!  Bomb them now!!!

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 10:00 | 6635188 bob_stl
bob_stl's picture

If each of those airplanes were the actual size as shown on the map, they would be a few mile long and a couple miles wide.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 11:02 | 6635428 Eirik Magnus Larssen
Eirik Magnus Larssen's picture

Jokes aside, the situation reminds of a scene from the film "The Hunt For Red October", where the American & Soviet ambassadors have a tense exchange over the "inherent dangers" of having each other's armies in close proximity.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 12:17 | 6635744 SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

"We're up a lot more often than [the Russians] are so when we do have to move around [them] for safe operation, it's for a small period of time compared to the hours and hours that we're airborne over Iraq and Syria," said Brown.

Of course, we're up a lot more but we're not really doing anything, and this Putin guy is making us look bad by actually doing something in just a few days.  Other than that, we're up there a lot more just flying around, hoping some stupid shit happens we can use to start WWIII.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 12:49 | 6635841 sunaJ
sunaJ's picture

Well, not bombing ISIS, that's for sure. Two narratives that have fallen apart are the following:

1.  US is fighting ISIS.  That is not true.  Perhaps they kept them "in-check" in Iraq (if not completely allied with them as appears to be the case in Syria), but this is a false narrative obviously.  Contributing to the downfall of this narrative is the revolt within the pentagon, CIA and NSA that said, "No, things are not going well 'against' ISIS," that is because the narrative of us defeating them had to be maintained even though we were not fighting them.  The frontline intelligence gatherers just didn't get the memo that it is all for show and the few who have nefarious interests in the defeat of Assad don't care about the fight against ISIS.

 

2.  US is indifferent about Assad:  Obviously, the US cares a great deal about Assad...so much so that it appears that his removal is the primary reason for the corporate intervention.  There is no concern about ISIS or humanitarian backwash and this is laid bare for anyone paying attention to see.  Problem is, hardly anybody pays attention.

We, the US, are fucked and well should be.  If only we could actually, you know, have a say in our government, that would be swell.

Russia called the bluff and won the hand.

 

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 13:25 | 6635955 Paveway IV
Paveway IV's picture

The radar graphic is a perfect example of U.S. desperation. Notice the collection of U.S. drones in northern Latakia and Idlib just north of the four Russian aircraft. Now, we're not bombing anything there. That's all 'moderate rebel' (= al-Jabha al-Shamiya or JaS) head-choppers, including Chechen and Uighur terrorists. The leftover FSA members are scattered around the JaS, but the JaS are literally an extremist head-chopper group by their own claims. The only distinction they have is that the group excludes both al Nusra and ISIS head-choppers because all three are in a head-chopping gang war with each other. JaS Front is just milking the stupid-assed U.S. for money, explosives and weapons through the left-over FSA mercs that are already part of the JaS Front. In fact, they're the group that looted the fresh batch of 'moderate rebels' weapons and pickups the U.S. sent from Turkey. That is, before all those 70 moderate rebels defected TO the JaS head-chopper Front. 

So back to the drones. What the hell is the U.S. looking at if they're not attacking the 'good' JaS Front head-choppers? Well, we're gathering intel to feed to them so they can attack Syrian troops, Hezbollah and now (I guess) the Russians. That's all the U.S. has left in Syria: supply kill toys and intel to head-choppers. 

The danger on the radar graphic is not Russian and American jets fighting each other or colliding. Neither side has any desire for that, and neither do the pilots. The next logical step for Russia is to take out U.S. drones spying for the head-choppers, and they're going to do that with their ECM drone-frying gear. So you can expect the next round of squealing from Washington to be from someone like McCain after he wet-starts his Depends: "That damn Putin SHOT DOWN one of our head-chopper intel drones! That's an ACT OF WAR."

Expect the MSM to ramp up and pin the narrative by blurring the distinction between a manned figher jet and a drone. "They shot down one of our combat aircraft" sounds a lot worse to the knuckle-dragging Americans than "They fried one of our drones". It won't stand up as an excuse for full-blown war, but expect the same tired indignation from Washington and plenty of references to furious quotes from nutjobs like McCain. All the while, the U.S. military will refuse to say what intel is being collected and who (among the various head-chopper groups) are we giving this intel to. Just like they will never account for the tons of bulk explosives we're shipping across the Turkish border to them for their cannon-launched barrel bombs (which have caused far more civilian deaths than all of Assad's 'barrel bombs' combined).  

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 13:28 | 6636042 Ace006
Ace006's picture

Excellent analysis.

I don't get the "barrel bomb" thing.  Does a "barrel bomb" have a larger bursting radius than a nice, aerodynamically elegant bomb or cluster bomb casing?  Is shrapnel from a barrel bomb worse than shrapnel from the "right" kind of bomb or an official artillery shell?

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 14:06 | 6636133 Paveway IV
Paveway IV's picture

A barrel bomb is any container stuffed with bulk explosives and lobbed or dropped somewhere else. They're less efficient blast-wise than a manufactured bomb, but 20 lbs. of explosives like ANFO can still level a building, so close enough. Their crude nature isn't what makes them indiscriminate - it's how they get to the target.

The Syrian forces drop them from helicopters that stay well above shoulder-fired SAM range. That probably puts them somewhere within a quarter-mile or so of what they were actually trying to hit. You can't really aim them when you roll them out the back of a helicopter - the best you can do is target an entire neighborhood and hope it lands somewhere inside. They literally use barrels, so the amount of explosives is probably closer to 100 lbs. In a lot of cases, they ARE targeting entire neighborhoods. When the JaS Front Chechen takfiris move their whole family into a Syrian town they took over (after chopping some heads), the Syrians figure "Why the hell not?".

For their 'Hell Cannons', JaS head-choppers use containers like short propane cylinders and add a gun tube, mortar or rocket motor and fins. They are just as indiscriminate as helicopter barrel bombs. Their accuracy means they're only good for neighborhoods, not city blocks and not specific buildings. They're smaller than helicopter bombs, but the head-choppers can set up a cannon and lob dozens of these things at a time into a town causing a lot more damage. Head-chopper hell cannon 'ammunition' is made from bulk explosives that has to be shipped to them from Turkey, meaning the U.S. or Saudi Arabia or Turkey is ultimately providing the bulk explosives to JaS for making these neighborhood-bombs. It's not just ammonium nitrate fertilizer - in many cases, you can see that the JaS head-choppers are using some kind of plastic-like explosives as filler - maybe RDX or HDX. It's nothing they could possibly make themselves and they use tons of it.

We are as guilty of war crimes by enabling and supplying materials for indiscriminate munitions use as Syrian Forces are for using helicopter barrel bombs. It's just that the Hell Cannons and their source of bulk explosives is scrubbed from the media as well as the civilian casualties they cause. The various rebel groups are know to use their Hell Cannons to take out neighborhoods sympathetic to Assad, and then filmed and put on the internet as evidence of Syrian helicopter barrel-bombing.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 16:36 | 6636878 SWRichmond
SWRichmond's picture

Paveway,

One has to wonder about the drones.  Since the drones a) communicate and b) are computers, they can be hacked.  Who is to say that hacked drones cannot be used to discredit their owner?  Say, by blowing up the wrong shit?

US over-reliance on tech IMO is contributing greatly to its demise.  Breathing our own fumes, as it were.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 22:49 | 6638379 scrappy
scrappy's picture

Can anyone confirm this?

Russia "Violated" Turkish Airspace Because Turkey "Moved" Its Border

http://www.moonofalabama.org/2015/10/russia-violates-turkish-airspace-be...

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 13:17 | 6636009 Ace006
Ace006's picture

@sunaJ,

Very good.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 12:40 | 6635887 A Nanny Moose
A Nanny Moose's picture

"This business will get out of hand, and we'll be luck to live through it."

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 17:37 | 6637150 TonyRUs
TonyRUs's picture

"In my position i'm sometimes compromised by the fact that Moscow does not always tell me everything."

(You people have watched that movie as many times as i have! LOL)

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 10:02 | 6635195 giovanni_f
giovanni_f's picture

US military presence in Syria in full compliance wih international law. USA! USA! USA!

/sarc

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 11:34 | 6635580 Blankone
Blankone's picture

There is an easier solution to some of this.  Putin should abide by the contract that Russia signed in 2007 and deliver the S-300/S-2500 systems that Syria and Iran contracted for.  Russia and later Putin refused to honor their contract.

If Syria had that system these outside countries would not be flying thier jets into Syria and bombing the Syrian forces.  That would also remove the risk of an accident by keeping the unauthorized planes out of Syria.  The failure of Putin/Russia to honor the contracts brings into question the motives and intent of Russia.

If Syria had those systems in the south it would allow coverage for Lebanon as well.  Furthering a relationship wth hezbollah and strenghening the hold hezbollah has on Lebanon.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 11:57 | 6635696 Nenad
Nenad's picture
Tue, 10/06/2015 - 12:50 | 6635919 pazmaker
pazmaker's picture

By what right and authority is the USA flying over Syrian Airspace?   Who gave them permission?   Syria has granted permission to Russia tooperate in their airspace.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 15:34 | 6636581 August
August's picture

If plucky little Israel can overfly Syria as it chooses, then the Earth's Ruling Power can do the same. And the US military works directly for the Earth's Ruling Power.

For that matter, so does plucky little Israel.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 11:56 | 6635697 Nenad
Nenad's picture
Obama will not finish his second term! Banned independent documentary reveals the truth. This will scare millions! Current Events Linked to Ancient Biblical Prophecy! http://motivationdose.com/is-america-babylon/
Tue, 10/06/2015 - 13:28 | 6636041 frankly scarlet
frankly scarlet's picture

"and there will be a mighty wind that will lay low the mountains and raise up the seas and the Goldman shall rule for a thousand years" if the word of God is anything to go by

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 12:05 | 6635746 Poundsand
Poundsand's picture

He didn't honor it because both of those countries would have those things turned on all the fricking time.  The more time spent targeting the US aircraft (drones for the most part) the easier it is for the US to engineer countermeasures and eventually make them far less potent.  Best to hold back the new stuff for when you really need it.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 13:52 | 6636122 Blankone
Blankone's picture

Assad and Iran honored all the provisions of the contract.

Now excuses are being made for Putin/Russia not honoring their contract.  And doing so by blaming Syria and Iran.  That is BS.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 19:48 | 6637771 Lurk Skywatcher
Lurk Skywatcher's picture

Care to post a transcript of that contract that you claim to know everything about?

 

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 21:38 | 6638209 Bunghole
Bunghole's picture

The contract is in yiddish, just like the source.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 13:13 | 6635996 Ace006
Ace006's picture

Why, yes I do now.  I never thought about that.  It didn't occur to me that the U.S. would be so reckless as to try to pick off a major Russian military base in Ukraine.  I always thought only that it was an indication of U.S. stupidity that we didn't provide assurances to the Russians re the Black Sea Fleet. 

I thought our foreign policy was insane before.  Now I am at a loss to find a word that indicates something is worse than "insane."

This manufactured anti-Russian "hysteria" is just unbelievable.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:44 | 6635100 RallyRoundTheFamily
RallyRoundTheFamily's picture

and a butcher

a naughty butcher

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 10:02 | 6635198 giovanni_f
giovanni_f's picture

Worse than Madeleine Albright?

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 13:34 | 6636061 Ace006
Ace006's picture

The Butcher of Damascus.

The Monster of Mesopotamia.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:44 | 6635105 JimmyRainbow
JimmyRainbow's picture

and he eats fresh human unborns for breakfast

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:48 | 6635126 Zwelgje
Zwelgje's picture

after kicking some puppies.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 10:42 | 6635350 nuclearsquid
nuclearsquid's picture

That screen isn't radar.  it is also pretty meaningless without a scale.  Source?

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 11:11 | 6635435 cowdiddly
cowdiddly's picture

Whad is dis, an Atari game? If Yellow is Russian and Green is American and Syria has none, then the poor stiffs in the purple and blue aircrafts must be the next MH17 flights about to happen?

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 11:03 | 6635438 pods
pods's picture

They took a screenshot of Asteroids and updated it a bit.

pods

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 11:21 | 6635501 nuclearsquid
nuclearsquid's picture

Just like our government to turn killing into a sterile video game.  

The drone consoles probably look like Candy Crush.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:57 | 6635173 worbsid
worbsid's picture

No that's Hillary.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 10:58 | 6635422 gimme soma dat
gimme soma dat's picture

Does she purchase them from Planned Parenthood?

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 11:01 | 6635429 grunk
grunk's picture

And he doesn't floss afterward.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:55 | 6635158 philipat
philipat's picture

"Don't call me Shirley."

Roger that Roger, guess I chose a bad week to stop sniffing glue?

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:54 | 6635161 Shigure
Shigure's picture

Because he studied ophthalmology at Western Eye Hospital in London?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Western_Eye_Hospital

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 10:31 | 6635314 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

Ah yes, hospitals.

Thats what is missing from the mapa.

So the US is busting a 'no fly zone', we all know what happens next.

As state keeps telling us , theres no ISIS there so why are ther US planes ?

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 10:46 | 6635376 CheapBastard
CheapBastard's picture

Well, at least the Sovereign Nation of Syria invoted the USSA there.

 

 

... wait a sec ....

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 11:34 | 6635579 Freddie
Freddie's picture

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3345326/posts

US Should Attempt To Disarm Russians In Syria: Brzezinski

He is insane. He should send his c**t daughter over there to fight.  Evil old Satanic f**k,

Even the people at Free Republic are laughing.  50% of the people at FR are good. The rest are Jonathan Pollard conservatives who bow to Bibi and TPP & Goldman Sachs Ted Cruz.

Even Franklin Graham (Billy Graham's son) has said good things about (Christian) Russia.

 

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 12:48 | 6635911 cheech_wizard
cheech_wizard's picture

Someone needs to fix Brzezinski's lead deficiency as soon as possible. 

Attribution to ZH where I first read about this tragic medical condition known as "lead deficiency".

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 22:19 | 6638315 monk27
monk27's picture

.. US Should Attempt To Disarm Russians In Syria: Brzezinski

Well, US could "attempt" it but the results might be spectacularly unpleasant for us...

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 10:49 | 6635387 Chris Dakota
Chris Dakota's picture

They want something to happen.

As the Pax Britannia made way for Pax Americana it makes way for Pax Judaica.

But the world is too big for the small number of Jews to rule, so it must be downsized.

nuclear war.

 

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 10:58 | 6635423 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

If you already control something, there is no need to own it.

Plus you have plausible deniability.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 10:52 | 6635402 Shigure
Shigure's picture

Cheers Winston

BTW thanks for the heads up about Israel and its water supply - it was new to me

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 14:17 | 6636230 Cosmicserpent
Cosmicserpent's picture

Because he tried to sell oil for something other than DOLLARS.  Nothing will get you killed faster.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:46 | 6635111 DeadFred
DeadFred's picture

In-fighting between the Reptilian subspecies? I give, why?

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:54 | 6635159 venturen
venturen's picture

are you talking about Democrats or Republicans?

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 10:11 | 6635246 froze25
froze25's picture

I their a difference at the top of those two groups, other than the line of BS they use on the lower level party members?

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:46 | 6635117 philipat
philipat's picture

Um, pipelines and energy?

 

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:55 | 6635165 J Jason Djfmam
J Jason Djfmam's picture

Don't forget water!

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 10:10 | 6635238 froze25
froze25's picture

Moderate Groups like Al-nusra, the same Al-nusra that openly pledged loyalty to Al-Qaeda?  What a joke, moderate my eye.  As said before we are not Al-Qaeda or ISIS's or what ever name they pick out of their behinds Air Force.  The Saudi's are a State sponsor to these Wahhabist  extremist.  You look at the Wahhabi vs the Shiite, their actions and you come to the same conclusion that we are supporting the extreme nut jobs headed by the Saudis. 

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 13:43 | 6636098 Ace006
Ace006's picture

But, but . . . we ARE their air force.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 10:26 | 6635302 nosam
nosam's picture

"Remind me again, the USSA is supporting moderate terrorists to overthrow Assad, WHY?"

They want Assad out because he used chemical weapons apparently. So we are destroying Syria to save it. Try to keep up. /s

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 10:37 | 6635335 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

Keeping up is hard!

 

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 11:07 | 6635451 goldsaver
goldsaver's picture

Try Viagra.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 11:47 | 6635640 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

I don't like making my jokes too obvious... :-) I actually had Viagra in the follow-up line, but erased it.

That said, when a dog and a bitch fight, is it still a dog fight?

Because one of the parties here is some one's bitch...and we all know which is bitch and who is whooo!

Wed, 10/07/2015 - 05:16 | 6638711 IronForge
IronForge's picture

The ChemWeapons Story was debunked as being instigated by the USA_Backed_Rebels for a FalseFlagOps.  

You "aren't keeping up" here on ZH and the non MSM outlets enough.  Come here daily.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 10:42 | 6635354 Pa Kettle
Pa Kettle's picture

"moderate terrorists"

Best line ever!

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 11:17 | 6635478 TAALR Swift
TAALR Swift's picture

Why?

Because of need for Lebensraum.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 12:09 | 6635750 joe90
joe90's picture

Here is what Assad himself thinks http://thesaker.is/major-interview-38-questions-of-syrian-president-bash...

"If I were a pretext for terrorism in Syria, what is the pretext for terrorism in Yemen. I’m not in Yemen. Who is the pretext for terrorism in Libya? Who is the pretext for terrorism in Iraq? In fact, if we take the example of ISIS, you will find that it did not emerge in Syria. It emerged in Iraq in 2006 when the Americans ran most things, if not everything, particularly the security issues in Iraq. It emerged there on their watch; and all ISIS leaders graduated from the prisons which used to be run by the United States, not the Iraqi government. This does not make any sense. Western officials in America and elsewhere acknowledge that they created this extremism through al-Qaeda in Afghanistan in the beginning to fight the Soviet Union. ISIS is a by-product of al-Qaeda that came in a different form and in a different region. What they say does not have any value. The West always looks for some other party or person to hold them responsible because they will not say that it was them who supported terrorism and stood against the Syrian people and sought to destroy them together with their culture, heritage and all the basics of their lives."

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 13:08 | 6635984 Ace006
Ace006's picture

@Latina Lover,

That would be the $64 question.  I always thought that sending or financing moderate terrorists to kill people in another country was an act of war, yet I'm not aware that Obama I has sought one from the Congress. 

What's a declaration of war when your name is B.H. Obama?

But maybe, I'm wrong.  Maybe that isn't an act of war.  Maybe Venezuela sending troops to kill members of the Nevada National Guard wouldn't be an act of war.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 13:36 | 6636073 WFO
WFO's picture

Remind me again, the USSA is supporting moderate terrorists to overthrow Assad, WHY?

Greater Israel.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:27 | 6634992 Occident Mortal
Occident Mortal's picture

The main thing here is that Russian planes are operating in Syria under invitation of the sovereign government of Syria whereas US planes have no such invitation and are there illegally.

If there is any accident in Syrian airspace whatsoever, who will be to blame?

 

Putin wants an "accident" so he can go before the 196 member UN Council and declare the US in breach of all manner of international laws. After which the US will simply ignore any scolding from the UN member and this will just make the entire UN and Bretton Woods world order look ridiculous and Archaic... During this period of Americans taking exception it will give China and Russia plenty of diplomatic ammunitation to create a parallel international organisation with far more Asian representation.

 

That is the play here, Putin wants a tangle with F-16's so he and the Chinese can launch a diplomatic world coup.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:41 | 6635082 Question Reality
Question Reality's picture

NATO complains about a brief incursion into Turkey without Turkish permission, yet all these green planes are well over the border without Syrian permission. Hmmm...

Turkey complains Russia is using Daesh as an excuse to attack other terrorist groups, yet Turkey is using Daesh as an excuse to attack Kurds...

Hmmm.... Acceptable our no?

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:44 | 6635106 Keyser
Keyser's picture

Do as I say, not as I do... Western mentality is humorous at best and criminal at worst... 

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 10:18 | 6635264 Sages wife
Sages wife's picture

Criminal at least.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 10:38 | 6635309 Max Cynical
Max Cynical's picture

"We're up a lot more often than [the Russians] are so when we do have to move around [them] for safe operation, it's for a small period of time compared to the hours and hours that we're airborne over Iraq and Syria," said Brown

If US sorties were so effective, how come the MSM isn't trumpting the success.

Hard to believe much of anything coming from the US gov these days.

"Nearly 75 percent of U.S. bombing runs targeting the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria returned to base without firing any weapons in the first four months of 2015, holding their fire mainly because of a lack of ground intelligence and raising questions about President Obama’s key tactic in pushing back an enemy that continues to expand its territory in the war zone.

The U.S. conducted 7,319 sorties over Iraq and Syria as part of Operation Inherent Resolve in the first four months of 2015. Of those, only 1,859 flights — 25.4 percent — had at least one “weapons release,” according to data provided by United States Air Force Central Command. That means that only about one in every four flights dropped a bomb on an Islamic State target."

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2015/may/31/us-bombers-hold-fire-on-...

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 10:58 | 6635424 11b40
11b40's picture

You have to wonder, too, that when they did release their weapons did they hit anything meaningful?

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 11:36 | 6635585 spyware-free
spyware-free's picture

The hypocrisy is breathtaking. We should all by offended by how stupid they think we are.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:48 | 6635130 shovelhead
shovelhead's picture

The UN will jealously guard their right to issue useless statements of condemnation against any possible interlopers.

Expect a letter of condemnation to follow.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 10:46 | 6635378 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

If not a letter of condemnation, at least a hypocritically self-righteous tweet..

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 11:18 | 6635482 yomutti
yomutti's picture

The main thing is that the Syrian government are even worse murderers than many terrorists. The fact that Russina forces are there at Assad's invitation doesn't make them more legitimate - It makes them less legitimate. Let's have a brief refresher on Russia's client the Assad family:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1982_Hama_Islamic_uprising

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_massacres_in_Syria

 

yes indeed, the Asads are great match for Putin's Russia.

 

 

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 16:50 | 6636950 MSimon
MSimon's picture

yomutti - 1 week 6 days

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 13:56 | 6636142 Ace006
Ace006's picture

The "debate" in U.S. official circles just assumes we have the right to operate in the airspace of any nation that displeases us. 

There's also the (slightly) more complicated question of the absence of a declaration of war against Syria.  What is the legal basis for us to over fly Syria, let alone attack anything there or train and supply "moderate terrorists" as some one else has aptly termed them?

I don't think Putin wants an "accident" involving U.S. planes.  Couldn't he just have his U.N. ambassador take this issue of an attack on a sovereign nation up with that corrupt body?  I thought the deal after WWII was that we got to war when we are attacked or, if the peace of the world is threatened, we get the U.N. involved. 

Let the U.S. hem and haw about the legal justification for this out in public. Right now what we're doing is hidden behind a smokescreen of lies and obfuscation.  We really are something else.  It's worse than illegal.  It's stupid.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 23:51 | 6638487 Global Observer
Global Observer's picture

 

Putin wants an "accident" so he can go before the 196 member UN Council and declare the US in breach of all manner of international laws.

The Security Council has only 10 members and the US has a veto on any resolutions the UNSC may pass. The UN General Assembly can condemn the US all it wants and the US won't care. Everyone in the world already knows the US had been operating outside of international law and an "accident" involving the US and Russian aircraft now won't suddenly make the UNGA condemn the US, in anyway embarassing to the US, like the EU nations too joining the condemnation. 

 

There are two possible scenarios here that can change things significantly.

1. Syrian military downs a US aircraft. They couldn't have done it earlier without risking a fullscale invasion. But now they can, knowing Russia has committed itself to defending the Syrian government and foreign aircraft operating inside Syria without the government's permission are legitimate targets for the Syrian military. It will be a highly embarassing situation for the US, since they can't escalate and at the same time can't downplay the incident.

 

2. Israel conducts air raids on Syria and causes losses of Russian military assets. Now, this can easily be taken up by the UNSC. A mere apology from Israel, like in the case of USS Liberty, will not do, since Israel had no justifiable, to the rest of the world, reason to be operating inside Syria. It will be an incident for Israel, the equivalent of the invasion of Kuwait by Saddam's Iraq. "Friends" suddenly become punishers. The US, in order to protect Israel from a fullscale military response by Russia, will have no choice but to agree to sanctions against Israel. Once that begins, we know how it goes. Israel can't be unaware of that possibility, so they will be very cautious about conducting operations inside Syria, but just like Saddam and Kuwait they will be baited into by the US.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:28 | 6635000 SMG
SMG's picture

This is a prelude to WWIII, but not all out WWIII.   WWIII is planned to be started between US & Russia/China, sometime in the 2020s, so you have time to prepare.   The purpose of this war is to depopulate the global, and usher in a global technocratic government.  You're signal to head to the bunker will be when N. Korea attacks the South.

Here's a good analysis of the situation if you're interested:

http://www.worldaffairsbrief.com/keytopics/threats.html

Here's a draft constitution for the new global government:

http://worldparliament-gov.org/constitution/the-earth-constitution/

Here's a monument the Oligarchs built that states their desire to depopulate, with the desired population being 500 mil:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georgia_Guidestones

You can survive if you prepare, good luck!

 

 

 

 

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:31 | 6635017 ToSoft4Truth
ToSoft4Truth's picture

What's the advantage to waiting for the 2020's? 

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:33 | 6635031 cowdiddly
cowdiddly's picture

It may be a rumor that 1 Tomahawk missle has 500 oz of silver, But silver likey the morning headlines just the same.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 10:14 | 6635252 froze25
froze25's picture

Yeah, he had a good interview on Alex Jones on Friday Oct 9th.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:38 | 6635052 SMG
SMG's picture

That's when Russia/China's new weapon systems which will be competitive with the US's come online.  This includes China's huge new blue water navy.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:39 | 6635072 Motasaurus
Motasaurus's picture

Apparently we've entered some super cycle of the 7 year cycle, so that we are supposed to have a 7 year economic depression before total destruction of current world structures and rebuilding the new, global one after the war (which should end in 2022 ish).  

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:38 | 6635064 stocker84
stocker84's picture

Thanks, Nostradumbass.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:46 | 6635113 Slomotrainwreck
Slomotrainwreck's picture

Here's a draft constitution for the new global government:

I searched the Preamble and guess what. 'Freedom' is not mentioned. Oops, someone forgot.

Rights have become law of the land.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 10:05 | 6635215 shovelhead
shovelhead's picture

Georgia Guidestones...

Some cracker hippy pays to have some slabs stood up to drum up some tourism and they're now supposed to be a "Message From God" or some other crazy-assed shit.

They need a soundtrack...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kjxSCAalsBE

*facepalm*

C'mon people, really?

Go back to seeing Jesus in toast and doorscreens.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 10:40 | 6635343 pods
pods's picture

Cracker was jealous of the nutter on the west coast that found the gold plates and the magic glasses.

I came up with better shit when I was high.  At least I think I did.

pods

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 10:24 | 6635288 froze25
froze25's picture

The Georgia Guidestones are truly a reason to despise the NWO and recognize that the NWO is State sponsored and completely deranged.  500,000,000 is much easier to control than 7 billion.  That is a 93% reduction.  Nut jobs, rather than focus our energy on going to space they would rather keep us down and controlled.

 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georgia_Guidestones

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:19 | 6634951 Spitzer
Spitzer's picture

If the US had any integrity , it should just get the hell out of there.

This is how close the Nobel peace prize winner is getting to starting world war 3. A few miles. Fuck...

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:23 | 6634968 jakesdad
jakesdad's picture

didn't alannis morisette write a song about this kind of thing?

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:26 | 6634991 CheapBastard
CheapBastard's picture

I'm glad I had a chance to visit Istanbul before it's gone either lost fo a Dresen like destruction, or extremist take over.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:46 | 6635099 Eirik Magnus Larssen
Eirik Magnus Larssen's picture

One could argue the latter already came to pass with Erdogan's reign. Especially from a Kurdish perspective.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 10:18 | 6635266 Normalcy Bias
Normalcy Bias's picture

Do we have a choice between WWIII and having to listen to Alanis Morissette?

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 11:22 | 6635502 J Jason Djfmam
J Jason Djfmam's picture

"Isn't it moronic?"

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:29 | 6635005 Took Red Pill
Took Red Pill's picture

That's okay. Hillary will fix it. She's calling for a no fly zone!

http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/hillary-clinton-create-no-fly-z...

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:41 | 6635086 Motasaurus
Motasaurus's picture

I'd love to see them enforce a no-fly zone on the Russians. 

I'm a little sad Russia didn't enforce a no-fly-zone over Syria the minute they started operations. I really want to see those S400s in action. 

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 10:04 | 6635211 Arnold
Arnold's picture

Much as with Bears in the Air,

the former Soviets are as much into seeing what the limits are,

as they are in bombing the crap out of the sand brothas.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 10:22 | 6635279 Question Reality
Question Reality's picture

Maybe they're getting ready for live field trials of an S500 export version.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 11:27 | 6635537 spyware-free
Tue, 10/06/2015 - 20:36 | 6637973 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

Well, I'm calling for a NO BullSh!t zone!  Think any politicians would be able to open their cry-holes if it comes into effect?  :>D

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:19 | 6634953 pods
pods's picture

I could swear that the radio told me on my way into work that NATO was upset that Russia violated NATO's airspace, and then talked about overflights of Turkey.

Shouldn't those yellow icons be to the north of that line?

Or has MY media told ME a fib?

/shocked

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:19 | 6634954 silvermail
silvermail's picture

The girl transferred me to the officer on duty, who very politely explained: "Even before the military operation in Syria, the General staff of the Defense Ministry made a responsible decision. The essence of this solution lies in our traditional Russian desire to adhere strictly to the principles of legality and justice. So now, all of our munitions are divided into two categories: regular and moderate. Against ordinary terrorists, we use only conventional munitions. Against moderate terrorists, we use solely moderate ammunition. So don't worry, we take into account the moderation of some of the terrorists and treat them with justice."

After these words, I felt relieved. But I still asked: "Do you really use exclusively moderate ammo against moderate terrorists, is this true?!"

The source said: "Word of honor!". 

I felt much better. To clarify, I asked: "Tell me, how your conventional munitions differ from the moderate?"

"Our conventional munitions differ from moderate exactly the same as regular terrorists in Syria are different from the moderate terrorists: they are painted with different paint, in a lighter and more moderate tones," - said the officer and hung up.

http://fortruss.blogspot.com.cy/2015/10/russian-justice-moderate-ammo-fo...

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:37 | 6635060 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

Up there with the best of the Onion.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 10:11 | 6635247 shovelhead
shovelhead's picture

The scary part is that it makes perfect sense when mirrored against Washington's position.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 10:49 | 6635360 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

the very dangerous munitions have lead paint,instead of oil.

See the difference ?

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:20 | 6634958 Payne
Payne's picture

Pretty easy to prevent an accident, ISIS does not have any Aircraft !!

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:32 | 6635023 toady
toady's picture

Actually, I  believe the Iraqis dropped their weapons and ran away from an airbase full of aircraft. ISIS doesn't have any pilots, so I guess it's the same as not having any aircraft....

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 10:50 | 6635394 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

There are mercenary pilots too y'know....everythign available, fur a price..

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 11:22 | 6635505 Payne
Payne's picture

No one is that mercernary unless Drone.  Go fly into sh#t storm ?

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 11:51 | 6635667 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

How is that different from driving, walking or running into one?

Heard of Barry Seal? And all of the CIA's flying fronts? Working in and out of hostile jungles to get the white powder?

Anyways, via wired, 4 years ago, I think th esupply situation is probably as good still?

U.S. Hiring Mercenary Air Force for Iraq Rescues

http://www.wired.com/2011/11/iraq-diplomats-search-rescue/

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:24 | 6634974 Peter Pan
Peter Pan's picture

The Turks can go and f...k themselves. When Turkey performs incursions into Greek airspace almost daily despite constant protests by the Greek Government, NATO and the US say nothing, do nothing and are good for nothing.

 

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:27 | 6634986 Money Counterfeiter
Money Counterfeiter's picture

You know he’s right.  The Russian planes need to go south and engage the IDF Air Force.  

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 12:58 | 6635952 MrBoompi
MrBoompi's picture

I hope you're just being sarcastic, because that's the last thing anyone needs.  A confrontation between US/Israel/NATO and Russia/China/Iran may be just fine to some folks (always big business, arms manufacturers, and big banks), but it would be a disaster for almost everyone else.  

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:25 | 6634982 mr1963
mr1963's picture

Let's see how the affirmative action air force does against the "best of the best" in the Russian planes shall we. Anyone want to bet there's no historic photo?

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:52 | 6635153 chunga
chunga's picture

Since the Russians started their campaign against ISIS we've seen video of them hitting various targets every day. The 'Murikans have been at it for a while but I haven't seen any videos except stolen trucks, weapons, and heads being chopped.

Maybe I just missed them...or maybe it's some new etiquette deal that they just don't show it because they're the "good guys"?

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 11:23 | 6635514 J Jason Djfmam
J Jason Djfmam's picture

Sorry, National Security.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 10:17 | 6635261 Itch
Itch's picture

Gonna take right in to the...dangerzone

 

That's what your boyfriend says.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 12:40 | 6635890 The central planners
The central planners's picture

And still US gov has the nerve to say that its Russia that is violating sovereign air space.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:20 | 6634956 Friedrich not Salma
Friedrich not Salma's picture

And since Turkey claims its airspace extends 5 miles past its border, yes, that's likely.

 

- Turkey treats as threatening any aircraft within 5 miles of border

- Officials: Turkey would have attacked had jet crossed border

Link, FWIT:

http://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/nation-world/world/article37739349.html

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:29 | 6635008 sam i am
sam i am's picture

 

Russia and Islam Working Together, a Basic “How-To”

 

http://thesaker.is/russia-and-islam-working-together-a-basic-how-to-repost/

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:31 | 6635020 NoGodsNoMasters...
NoGodsNoMastersNoMotherland's picture

US ans Russia shariing the same intereset, the same bed, US concentrates more on the south east asia part while Russia is the new hegemon for the arab countries. Kissingers visit to Moscow a few months back was the start of this pivot towards asia.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:40 | 6635081 HungryPorkChop
HungryPorkChop's picture

As Gerald Celente has forecasted many times:  Currency wars lead to trade wars.  Trade wars lead to hot wars. 

Tick tock, tick tock as all of these countries have over indebted themselves and are not going down without a fight.  Monetary reset?  Could turn into a war that does the resetting!

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 11:44 | 6635626 Lex_Luthor
Lex_Luthor's picture

The only thing muricans are bombing is empty rock...

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 12:28 | 6635834 post turtle saver
post turtle saver's picture

"With Russia now effectively controlling the skies over Syria..."

*shows diagram where Russians are obvious minority in the air*

nice facepalm, Tyler...

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 12:53 | 6635929 MrBoompi
MrBoompi's picture

Whatever happens, no doubt they will call it an accident whether it was intentional or not.  The US is caught in a sticky trap since they won't admit they are supporting ISIS.  We don't take kindly to folks that get in our way.  If anyone believes these neocons will just abandon their efforts in Syria and elsewhere I think they will receive a rude awakening.  

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:08 | 6634912 knuppel
knuppel's picture

Why are nato planes incursing syrian airspace unrequested?

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:09 | 6634918 venturen
venturen's picture

I didn't know Israel was in NATO?

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:10 | 6634921 knuppel
knuppel's picture

this seems to be the turkish syrian border area

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:23 | 6634971 philipat
philipat's picture

"Why are nato planes incursing syrian airspace unrequested?"

In complete violation of International law. Not that the "Exceptional" country ever bothered much about International law?

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:50 | 6635084 nnnnnn
nnnnnn's picture

 

 

"I didn't know Israel was in NATO?"

the secret vip-member is rulig the nato

the goyim have to please its great master

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 11:31 | 6635566 J Jason Djfmam
J Jason Djfmam's picture

Hence: ZATO.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:42 | 6635093 sushi
sushi's picture

NATO generals would be contacting their Russian counterparts about the violation of Turkish airspace.

"It's unacceptable to violate the airspace of another country," Stoltenberg told reporters.

 

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:24 | 6634973 Ghordius
Ghordius's picture

don't get overboard. NATO has many faults, it nevertheless did never, ever, include Israel

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:26 | 6634990 Peter Pan
Peter Pan's picture

Ghordius you are damned right on an official level but unoficially you must not forget that Israeli spies have access to virtually every communication and secret that the Europeans have.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:28 | 6635003 philipat
philipat's picture

Secrets?

 

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:59 | 6635074 philipat
philipat's picture

And The EU has such integrity that the French were somehow "Persuaded" not to present the motion for Palestinain Statehood to the recent UN Genral Assembly? Damn, those NSA Dossiers must be really good.

The EU is being destroyed by The US, deliberately. Sanctions on Russia make no sense, and US Policy in The ME is forcing millions of refugees into Europe. Yet Cameron talks about "THe Butcher of Bagdhad, sorry, I meant Damascus". Did he mean the False Flag chemical attacks or what?

Why doesn't Europe grow a pair and tell The US to FO, just like Russia has done? This servitude and vassalhood is becoming embarassing isn't it? This view is, fortunately, becoming more widespead as a result of Putin's calling of The US bluff in Syria..

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:10 | 6634922 ShorTed
ShorTed's picture

The "rebels" requested it...just ask them.

Tue, 10/06/2015 - 09:38 | 6635067 JimmyRainbow
JimmyRainbow's picture

3 out fo 5 random rebel groups like mujo warplanes above head.

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