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Gallup Reveals What Americans Are Doing With Their "Gas Savings"

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Perhaps the longest-running pipe dream among confused economists and other talking heads over the past year has been that thanks to plunging oil and gas prices, American consumers' capacity for discretionary spending will surge as a result of these so-called "gas savings".

What all these incorrect forecasts ignored was two main things: i) reality, as all such forecasts completely ignore the far greater and disproportional spikes in healthcare and education costs, and of course, rents, which more than offset the discretionary dry powder available to most Americans; ii) empirical evidence on what Americans had actually spent their "gas savings" on.

While we had shown countless examples of the first point, over the weekend Gallup conveniently provided much needed facts on the second.

Gallup's finding: Americans' reported changes in spending have remained stable in most categories of goods and services over the past year - except for gasoline, with 35% reporting they spent more on gasoline in the August-September period.

More from Gallup:

At the end of this summer, 35% of Americans said they were spending more on gasoline, which is up from 21% earlier this spring but still nowhere near the levels measured last summer (58%). Americans in the third quarter were nearly as likely to be spending less (31%) as they were to be spending more (35%) on gas and fuel. Just 12% said they were spending less one year ago. The net change in spending (percentage spending more minus percentage spending less) has swung wildly from +46 last year, to -34 this spring, to +4 today.

Gallup's punchline which will male all macrotourist economist shiver in their underwear as they debate the recovery from their parents' basements:

These trends continue to illustrate that Americans are still primarily spending more on things they need -- but not on things they want. They still say they are spending less, rather than more, than they did in the past year on discretionary purchases such as retirement investments, leisure activities, clothing, consumer electronics, dining out and travel.

There is a silver lining: "Net spending on travel and dining out has become significantly less negative." So not all hope is lost.

Finally, the implication:

After more than a year of following Americans' self-reported spending patterns, several conclusions seem worth reinforcing. First, net changes in spending -- the percentage of Americans reporting that they are spending more within a category minus the percentage saying they are spending less -- have been fairly stable for all categories, except gas or fuel. It's possible that people's reports of spending may be less sensitive to modest cost increases or spending fluctuations than to more dramatic shifts, such as the variations in gas prices over the past year. People may simply be inclined to overlook smaller spending changes in what they report. Conversely, people may interpret stable prices following a big slide as a sort of increase, and adjust their reports to reflect this.

Or, as Gallup also observes, courtesy of perennially rising prices for staples, what little discretionary spending power US consumers have left is spent on, simply enough, more gas.

 

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Mon, 10/12/2015 - 13:24 | 6659092 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

Interesting economics at work.

Your cost of raw material drops to less than half.

You cost of shipping drops by a third.

Cost of Goods sold stays the same or actually rises.

???

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 13:28 | 6659118 knukles
knukles's picture

Lemme tell y'all why this is not good news.
Because all them savings are being spent on big time luxury items.
People are so Damned Broke that dining out is taking the place of vacations.
                                       Y'all gettin' this, yet?
                                                  HELLO!?!?!?

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 13:38 | 6659187 Silky Johnson
Silky Johnson's picture

The fucker went down for 2 weeks a couple months ago and it's right back up. What gives?

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 13:52 | 6659259 Nenad
Nenad's picture

Obama will not finish his second term! Current Events Linked to Ancient Biblical Prophecy!

http://motivationdose.com/is-america-babylon/

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 14:22 | 6659426 11b40
11b40's picture

Why do you post this silly shit after every article?  Have you confused Zero Hedge with this one?

http://raptureready.com/

 

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 19:38 | 6660711 o r c k
o r c k's picture

  Nenad may be a scripture-addled sycophant of the Jim Jones school of bartending.

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 15:00 | 6659597 upWising
upWising's picture

Hey Nenad!  When y'all get Rapturated, can I have the keys and titles to your cars?  Where shall I forward your credit card bills?

www.landoverbaptist.org

"America's Favorite Church"

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 16:00 | 6659838 Lorca's Novena
Lorca's Novena's picture

hey fuckface go lght the oven and insert penis stat.

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 13:55 | 6659275 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

My Mother has saved enough on gasoline that she can now afford to eat Cat Food instead of eating lower cost Dog Food.  She said something about coming over for dinner on Friday, that she had a "Fancy Feast" prepared for dinner.  I declined.

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 14:44 | 6659527 r00t61
r00t61's picture

But the meal would help to make your fur more shiny and full...

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 14:44 | 6659532 cheech_wizard
cheech_wizard's picture

Alpo was on sale last week. 69 cents a can. I stocked up for the apocalypse.

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 14:52 | 6659566 Dick Gazinia
Dick Gazinia's picture

I go for the Dinky Dee

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 13:58 | 6659297 Rockfish
Rockfish's picture

If you call dining out moving up from the condement counter of 7-11 to Chilpolte. Or how about a couple of extravegant REDbox movies. 

Yea the extra 10-20 bucks a week for my sons family - man their livin large. I told him he should have been a plumber. 

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 17:52 | 6660333 maxamus
maxamus's picture

Yes, EVERYBODY gets it, you are on a website that has been saying this for years.  No, you do not have some magical insight that absolutely no one else has.

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 13:32 | 6659140 Nunyadambizness
Nunyadambizness's picture

It's the new math.

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 14:24 | 6659439 mrdenis
mrdenis's picture

Property taxes in NJ will bury the homeowner .....

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 17:53 | 6660335 maxamus
maxamus's picture

If I was forced to live in NJ I would want to be buried.

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 13:24 | 6659094 Dazman
Dazman's picture

But the bald talking head on CNBC said I was getting a tax cut!?

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 13:27 | 6659112 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

Somehow that brough back memories of Bush the Junger's 300$ to every murican tax payer....

I think I distinctly remember burning mine...

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 13:37 | 6659150 Never One Roach
Never One Roach's picture

Sorry, Dazman, every Demobrat candidate has primised yuuuuuuuge tax increases on the middle class and massive increase in gubmint spending. I was surprised Hitlery admitted it as part of her platform but she was aiming to capture the FSA and parasitic votes by promising them moar free shit, pensions and so on.

 

I am not too sure where Bush, Carly "The Bloodthirsty" Fiorino and Rubio stand since all they talk about is moar war.

 

Trump is the only one who has actually mentioned the plight of America's middle class and the destruction Barry has done to it.

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 13:57 | 6659290 Baa baa
Baa baa's picture

It's about the climate, stupid! Lord save us from his good intentions. Provided any are good, so throw in the bad ones too!

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 14:17 | 6659397 DetectiveStern
DetectiveStern's picture

They made everyone get more gas efficient cars. Less gas is sold. Companies need to keep the prices up to get the margins. 

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 13:26 | 6659099 Took Red Pill
Took Red Pill's picture

Wait! I thought oil was low due to decreased demand? So the price goes down and people spend more, that would increase demand, no?

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 13:56 | 6659286 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Using logic is rayciss.

Tue, 10/13/2015 - 11:36 | 6662965 de3de8
de3de8's picture

And you think anything is governed by supply and demand anymore? Silly boy.

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 13:27 | 6659106 RopeADope
RopeADope's picture

Say what?

Gas savings go to pay down mortgages. Or can Fed economists tell me what other way you can immediately turn each $100 gas savings into a $300 payment reduction in this age.

I didn't think so...

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 13:27 | 6659109 Dre4dwolf
Dre4dwolf's picture

Been wondering how long it will take them to catch on, quick delete the article before they find out and gas prices go back up.

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 13:29 | 6659122 TheReal_JimmyK
TheReal_JimmyK's picture

I'm saving a whopping $25 a month on gas. Deciding on which priate Greek island to buy with my savings has been a challeng to say the least.

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 13:36 | 6659167 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

Gawd, the irony....so thick you can cut it with a knife...

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 14:49 | 6659550 vq1
vq1's picture

put that money away and in a month you can buy some apple stock. 

 

American dream, road to riches! you'll be a millionaire! 

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 19:43 | 6660722 o r c k
o r c k's picture

You mean apple "sauce".

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 13:30 | 6659130 i_call_you_my_base
i_call_you_my_base's picture

Knowing americans, they all traded in a four cylinder for a six or eight. The gas prices will be a wash. But that's how most people think about expenses, a reduction in one and you just adjust that one item up. In other words, you keep the same percentage and get a better one. I bet if cable TV was reduced by $15 per month, everyone would get HBO.

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 13:31 | 6659135 seek
seek's picture

This is the same Gallup that is no longer covering the presidential race.

Whether this makes their polling more or less accurate is for you to decide. I'm very curious to know if they were asked to step aside due to accuracy in order to avoid the same fate as a particular bond-rating firm.

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 17:04 | 6660114 stacking12321
stacking12321's picture

i hear the ceo of that company has publicly said some double-plus un-good things.

Jim Clifton, the Chairman and CEO of Gallup, recently told CNBC that he was worried he might “suddenly disappear” if he disputed the accuracy of what the U.S. government is reporting as unemployed Americans, Wall Street on Parade reported.

“I think that the number that comes out of BLS [Bureau of Labor Statistics] and the Department of Labor is very, very accurate. I need to make that very, very clear so that I don’t suddenly disappear. I need to make it home tonight.”

But he contended that the percent of full time jobs in this country as a percent of the adult population “is the worst it’s been in 30 years.”

His appearance on CNBC came days after he claimed the official unemployment rate being trumpeted by the White House, Wall Street and the media is a "big lie."

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 13:41 | 6659207 besnook
besnook's picture

they are spending more money on gas to go where? hey honey, we have an extra ten dollars in our gas budget. let's drive somewhere.

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 13:52 | 6659254 Baa baa
Baa baa's picture

In many states, "Driving somewhere" is not an option, it is required and often entails healthy distances.

Geez, people are self absorbed!

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 14:47 | 6659540 cheech_wizard
cheech_wizard's picture

Home in one state, work in another... I'm not complaining, I get to travel home once a month rather than on just the long weekends.

Standard Disclaimer: SPLURGE!

 

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 13:49 | 6659241 rejected
rejected's picture

"Americans are still primarily spending more on things they need -- but not on things they want"

Not in my family,,, My son, a truck driver home for 10-15 days a year just purchased a brand new Harley for $23,000 at 7.5%. (7 Years).

Could have rented the same bike while home to ride around for far less.

The upside? Hoping he'll ask me to exercise it for him :))

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 14:16 | 6659388 Peanut Butter E...
Peanut Butter Engineer's picture

My credit card offers me rate of 6.5% and I thought that was rip off already! In local bank I can get 3.2% interest rates... Your son is getting rip off.

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 16:21 | 6659931 cowdiddly
cowdiddly's picture

You both are getting ripped off.

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 16:54 | 6660082 Peanut Butter E...
Peanut Butter Engineer's picture

How can I get rip off if I didn't spend any money? Lol, I got those info due to inquiry for another investment real estate.

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 14:34 | 6659483 lunaticfringe
lunaticfringe's picture

Some items, like a Road King, are non negotiable. Your son intuitively knows this.

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 13:52 | 6659257 RobD
RobD's picture

I have been cash negative(pulling money from savings to make ends meet) for quite a while, the lower gas prices plus moving closer to work has just stopped the bleeding.

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 13:59 | 6659301 Berspankme
Berspankme's picture

I have been cash negative ever since that fucking cunt Bernanke started his thievery. Fuck You Ben. I have dumped cable TV, never eat out, eliminated my land line phone, got rid of smartphone and leave lights off in my house at all times except for a small reading light. I shop for any clothing needed at goodwill. Fuck You Ben

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 14:54 | 6659573 vq1
vq1's picture

why dont you guys get a sallie mae loan and go to or back to college and further your education. 

 

Then graduate and get a great, high-paying job with benefits. 

 

ohhh just kidding, what year is it again?

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 17:55 | 6660348 maxamus
maxamus's picture

If you just BTFD for the past 8 years you would have made a lot of money.

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 13:55 | 6659283 Give up. Realit...
Give up. Reality is not scientific nor even mathematical.'s picture

The Neilson people have a nice poll.  And they pay you to take it.  Every time I get the Neilson poll-taking envelope, I take their money and put it in my wallet. And then I tell the Neilson people that again, I have no TV.  I haven't had a TV since digital TV got their claws into the industry.

 

How much is your cable bill?  What's in your wallet?

 

At these prices I buy high test.  It gives me much better gas milage.  And high test makes my old Volvo run like an old Volvo.

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 15:29 | 6659717 Sokhmate
Sokhmate's picture

Assuming I would accept the bombardment of brain-rot programming of 5trillion channels of cable/dish for free, I would only turn the tv on (on mute, with a cardboard covering the screen) if and only if i get paid $10 per brain-rotting advertisemet that streams through.

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 13:59 | 6659300 pound the vix
pound the vix's picture

As a CPA I can tell you, people have no idea how they spend their money

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 14:19 | 6659406 Peanut Butter E...
Peanut Butter Engineer's picture

As an engineer I can tell you that a lot of tax preppers have shitty credit score.

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 15:12 | 6659642 inosent
inosent's picture

good point! For like 2 years now I keep telling myself "OK, I am going to audit all of my expenses to see where it is all going". Still waiting. Hopefully in the next couple weeks. I am at least *aware* at the POS of what I am spending on. I have limits as to how much I put out for any sort of purchase, and daily limits. I am pretty good at controlling spending and limiting expenditures. My basic rule is "don't buy anything" lol. I pretty much like to move as much as i can into my trading acct and use the money to make more. my wife, we have separate accounts, bank, CC, savings, everything, when she gets money (she has a pretty good job and makes good coin) she starts to get the shakes. "must ... spend ... money". I know a lot more about her spending because I take care of her books and am constantly trying to get her to stop spending. she's no good with #s and doesnt really understand what I am doing each month. I play a little trick on her that enables me to move a lot of her earnings into savings. she is doing a lot better.

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 14:21 | 6659425 fowlerja
fowlerja's picture

There is a silver lining: "Net spending on travel and dining out has become significantly less negative." So not all hope is lost.

Damn...does this mean all the recent bartenders and waitress hires are going to lose their jobs? If so, guess unemployment goes up and the Fed will have to go from ZIRP to NIRP...guess the FED can blame their policy change on low gas prices... damn Saudia Arabia...look what you have done to my country...

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 14:59 | 6659591 vq1
vq1's picture

I thought layoffs reduce the unemployment numbers? Im sure I read that somewhere. 

 

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 14:23 | 6659434 grapeape
grapeape's picture

i spend most of my money on blow and ho's. the rest i just waste

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 15:32 | 6659726 Sokhmate
Sokhmate's picture

with the ho price savings, you can spend on more ho's

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 14:31 | 6659466 RaceToTheBottom
RaceToTheBottom's picture

I thought all the gas price savings went to pre-purchasing Helicopter fuel?

Those things don't fly on solar you know!

 

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 15:07 | 6659627 zrussell
zrussell's picture

My gas savings was eaten up by my monthly water bill drought surcharge (CA).

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 15:37 | 6659750 Falling Down
Falling Down's picture

My "gas savings" was eaten up by my 23% increase in out-of-pocket health premiums, plus the additional $43/week (max per federal law) I have to sock into an HSA, due to the $11,000 deductible I have on the family plan.

Thanks, Obongo! Thanks, health ins co's!

 

Mon, 10/12/2015 - 16:05 | 6659855 Lorca's Novena
Lorca's Novena's picture

What happens when NOBODY GIVES A FUCK ANYMORE? I know quite a few people on the edge.... I save 60 a month on gas, that savings goes to the dmn grocery bill which has doubled in 16 monthsl. The end is nigh

Wed, 10/14/2015 - 14:59 | 6667951 SweetDoug
SweetDoug's picture

'

'

'

The pricks up in Canada, have somehow figured out to keep the gas prices at ? $1.00/L Cdn. when oil is ?$47 bucks a barrel.

When it was $110/barrel last summer, the price was $1.10/L.

Bring on the electrics.

 

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