Russia, Iran Begin "Promised" Assault On Syria's Largest City In Final Bid To Restore Assad

Tyler Durden's picture

Earlier this week, we noted that Iran had reportedly sent “thousands” of troops to Syria in preparation for an offensive aimed at retaking the city of Aleppo. 

With a population of more than 2 million, Aleppo was Syria’s largest city prior to the war and it’s now run by a hodgepodge of rebels and militants including al-Qaeda, the Free Syrian Army, and ISIS. 

To get an idea of the effect the war has had on the city, have a look at the following before and after nighttime light emissions images:

The battle is also notable for the scale of Iran’s involvement. Between Hezbollah and Iranian forces, the battle for Aleppo is shaping up to be the largest ground operation orchestrated by Tehran to date. 

Here’s more, via Reuters

Syrian troops backed by Hezbollah and Iranian fighters launched an offensive south of Aleppo on Friday, expanding their counter-attack against rebels across western Syria with support from Russian air strikes.


Aleppo, a commercial and industrial hub near the border with Turkey, was Syria's largest city before its four-year civil war, which grew out of protests against Assad's rule.

 

Control of the city, still home to two million people, is divided between the government and rebels.

 

"This is the promised battle," a senior government military source said of the offensive backed by hundreds of Hezbollah and Iranian forces which he said had made some gains on the ground.

 

It was the first time Iranian fighters had taken part on such a scale in the Syrian conflict, he said, although their numbers were modest compared to the army force. "The main core is the Syrian army," the source said.

 

Hezbollah, which has supported Assad in several battles during the civil war, said the army was carrying out a "broad military operation" with support from Russian and Syrian jets. It made no mention of Hezbollah fighters in its brief statement.

 

Two senior regional sources told Reuters this week that Iran has sent thousands of troops to Syria to bolster an offensive underway in Hama province and ahead of the Aleppo attack.

And a bit more from AFP:

Russian air cover is backing offensives by Syria's army and allied militias in the central provinces of Homs and Hama, as well as Aleppo in the north and Latakia along the coast.

 

On Friday, the Syrian army pushed south from the provincial capital Aleppo city, where control is divided between regime and rebels forces, as Russian air strikes pounded the villages of Al-Hader and Khan Tuman and nearby localities.

 

"The Syrian army started a new front on Friday and advanced to take control of the villages of Abteen and Kaddar" about 15 kilometres (12 miles) south of Aleppo city, said Observatory head Rami Abdel Rahman.

 

He said "dozens" of Russian aerial attacks in the past 24 hours had struck the area, which is controlled by a patchwork of groups including rebels, Islamist fighters and Al-Qaeda's Syria affiliate, Al-Nusra Front.

Note also that Aleppo is near the so-called "anti-ISIS" zone that the US and Turkey humorously proposed to create a few months back, which means that Iran, supported by Russian air power, is now conducting an all-out ground assault very near territory Turkey likes to think it effectively patrols (if not controls). 

But the real key here, is this (again from Reuters): "The assault means the army is now pressing insurgents on several fronts near Syria's main cities in the west, control of which would secure President Bashar al-Assad's hold on power even if the east of the country is still held by Islamic State."

In other words, if Iran and Russia manage to retake Aleppo (and you know they will because remember, thanks to Hezbollah, this isn't a team that's going to be confused by the vagaries of urban warfare), Assad's rule is restored.

Just like that. 

From there, the situation would morph and what you would have is a kind of Wild West scenario, only in Syria "West" would mean "East" and Assad, Russia, and Iran, having secured most of the critical cities and territory, would be free to simply mount up and push east on a kind of search and destroy mission. 

So apparently, the US and its regional allies in Riyadh and Doha have a couple of weeks to figure out what to do here or else this is going to be over and suddenly, Washington will find itself in the awkward position of having to negotiate for a transition away from an Assad government that has been fully restored. 

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JustObserving's picture

The Nobel Prize Winner will not appreciate Russia and Iran ending his war in Syria which has claimed over 300,000 lives and created more than 4 million refugees.

Besides, the billions he spent on founding and funding ISIS are all wasted.  Perhaps, he can drop more ammunition on Syria today.

Sergei Lavrov said that Russia regrets the fact that the United States refused to accept the UN Security Council statement condemning the shelling of the Russian Embassy in Damascus.
VinceFostersGhost's picture

 

 

and created more than 4 million refugees.

 

The assault on Europe has begun.....can you say Caliphate?

COSMOS's picture

Europe/NATO reaps what it sows for its dreams of a qatar-turkey pipeline and the creation of TERROR INC.

Paveway IV's picture

Syrian troops are in Aleppo Governorate, but I don't think that means an assault on Aleppo itself quite yet. Reuters and WaPo seem to think the city is the objective, but it will take weeks to clear out the areas around the city.

I'm thinking this is just part of the cutting of supply lines to Aleppo and driving all the head-choppers away. Going into the city itself is going to be tough, and both al Nusra and ISIS have tons of explosives there. Everything will be booby-trapped.

It would make a lot more sense if they were just reclaiming territory in south Allepo Governorate and did not try to go into Aleppo city itself for a while.

Badsamm's picture

Carpet bomb day and night, the bulldoze it. Nothing to save anyway., that city was destroyed 2 years ago

OrangeJews's picture
OrangeJews (not verified) Badsamm Oct 16, 2015 11:32 AM

So is Ishmael's promised land Europe?  I'm getting so confused in all of this!

Blankone's picture

Yes, but the fight will be different this time.  Ground forces locate and identify pockets of ISIS and Russia hits them from helicopters and jets.  The cost to the Syrian troops should be less than previous such pushes.

As you say, the interior of the city may be difficult.  But this time ISIS will not be able to drive out the back door with US air support to cover their retreat. 

yomutti's picture
yomutti (not verified) JustObserving Oct 16, 2015 7:19 AM

Wackoism - Obama had about as much to do with "founding and funding" ISIS as he does with founding and funding the Red Army.

 

JustObserving's picture
ISIS: The jihadist movement stamped “Made in America

The fact remains, however, that the US, the major European powers, and their regional allies all previously lent financial, military and political support to ISIS and similar groups, which have “Made in the USA” stamped all over them. They have, until now, played a significant part in Washington’s efforts to overthrow the regime of President Bashar al-Assad in Syria, as part of a broader effort to gain control of the region’s vast energy resources and transit routes.

https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2014/07/30/isis-j30.html

Uchtdorf's picture

yomutti's point above is that the decision to support found and ISIS was made at a level higher than Obama. He's not denying US culpability.

Max Cynical's picture

Agreed...the CIA hardly acts at the behest of the President. They're operating independently and probably provide a minimal amount of false info to the WH with full knowledge that whatever they disclose to the WH will immediately be leaked.

VinceFostersGhost's picture

 

 

They still take orders......from Bush?

 

Dammit.....I just knew it!!!

SixIsNinE's picture

there must be some reason Jebbers wants the office ....

StychoKiller's picture

Which one?  If your Munny is on G.H.W.Bush, collect yer winnin's!

TuPhat's picture

His comparison to the 'Red Army' makes his statement completely ludicrous no matter how you look at it.

Urban Redneck's picture

No.  The decision is not made at a higher level than Obama, it is made at a subordinate level to Obama, and that is precisely the problem.  Just because the BOY skips his PDBs or phones/emails them in from the golf course and abdicates his own authority to others (unsupervised), and doesn't do his job, doesn't let him off the hook.  Apparently, no one ever taught him what the actual job of the President is, or the responsibilities that the job entails.  Even a certifiable TARD like Shrub understood he was delegating his authority to Cheney and his cabal at the "undisclosed locations".

BullyBearish's picture

Unfortunately your dislike for our current "president" blinds you to the talk show host the role of president has been reduced to...he has no power...his masters will kill him and his family if he interferes with their wishes

justdues's picture

Correct the "President" is the PR, TV,PC,good looking black/white multi-cultural,diversified,caring gay,family man who mouths soothing scripted soundbites to a nation of industrially fed obese educationally indoctrinated Hollywood brain washed pharmacuitically pacified herd of human goyim cattle owned by Masonic Satanical Zionist central bank corporatists or something along those lines and thats not just USA Corp cattle  but most of the "Western"nations livestock

Herd Redirection Committee's picture

In terms of military intelligence clearance, isn't the President something like 30th in the pecking order?

11b40's picture

Yomutti is a zio troll.  Showed up a few weeks ago.

Beowulf55's picture

3 weeks........2 days.......

 

this is a one time pass..............your forgiven for being so obtuse.

swmnguy's picture

Don't give a pass like that to an obvious Latvian troll.

If not Latvian, then...whatever.  Nobody cares where "Yomutti" is really from.  It's all just trolling.  If "Yomutti" would grace us with an extended piece of logic and analysis, better.  But we'll just get self-referential partisan snark from this user.

Herd Redirection Committee's picture

At least we know where the mysterious red arrows appear from...

Bob's picture

Try an image search using the term "McCain with ISIS" and you'll get an eyeful of photographic evidence of overt US involvement. 

farflungstar's picture

Schmuckism - the disease of the brain that imagines AmeriKa is merely an innocent bystander when people are dying halfway around the world. Plausible deniability. Got it. 

The only cure for schmuckism is application of .556 rule to the temple. 

Lurk Skywatcher's picture

America has forgotten that for Plausible Deniability to work it needs to be plausible to the outside observer, not just the actor.

Otherwise its just called Delusion.

Jack Burton's picture

That's why ISIS deploys the American Military's TOW Anti Tank Guided Missile across the battlefields of Syria. No, Obama didn't supply modern anti tank guided missiles to ISIS. Fucking Santa Claus dropped a few hundred of them out of his sleigh on the way north. You can't connect top line American weapons supplied to all major ISIS front line units with America. I tie these weapons to Santa, he is the one who keeps supply lines open to ISIS to fight a major war on a daily basis, arms, ammunition, food, fuel, uniforms, body armor, radios, and electronic counter measures. All these flow from Santa to ISIS. Look at a map, only Santa could keep the supply lines open. The CIA has and had nothing to do with ISIS first rate and unlimited weapons supplies.

Of course we know America's CIA would never do deals with jihadists, Jihadists are America's mortal foes. Remember Bush the younger vowed to get them.

Flagit's picture

 

No, Obama didn't supply modern anti tank guided missiles to ISIS. Fucking Santa Claus dropped a few hundred of them out of his sleigh on the way north.

I thought you were being sarcastic, ya know, just trying to be funny. I didn't think you were serious.

http://d3mfoxizwrqdu.cloudfront.net/Blogs/mitch_knox/bad_santas/robot-santa.jpg

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=egW2rCorom4

theallseeinggod's picture

correction:

The US had as much to do with creating ISIS as it had with creating Al Qaeda in Afghanistan. 

junction's picture

The Russian strategy is simple, a variation of Hannibal's Cannae plan. The Russians will provide air support to destroy ISIS transport vehicles fleeing the city while Assad forces encircle Aleppo.  The only way out of the surrounded city will then be by helicopter airlift provided by Saudi puppet Obama.

just the tip's picture

..... and yelling "remember stalingrad!!!!!".

NihilistZero's picture

"The Nobel Prize Winner will not appreciate Russia and Iran ending his war in Syria..."

Please, PLEASE, stop referring to this conflict (or anything else) as "Obama's". He is less than an empty suit. If I shoot you with my hand up a Muppet's ass, I killed you, not Kermit the fucking frog. You guys sound like total 'tards when you ascribe almost ANY Executive Actions (especially those regarding foreign policy) to Obama's personal beliefs or reasoned decisions. So please... stop. It's really fucking annoying.

Badsamm's picture

He was dumb enough to take the microphone, deserves a trial just the same. Remeber Baghdad Bob- well, they still killed him

StychoKiller's picture

"Baghdad Bob", if he's dead, died from natural causes.

Philo Beddoe's picture

Aleppo? 

I think my dog is hungry. 

First we take Aleppo than it is on to Kibble and Bitz. 

Monetas's picture
Monetas (not verified) Philo Beddoe Oct 16, 2015 7:55 AM

Aleppo was one of the Three Stooges .... silly wabbit ?

farflungstar's picture

Aleppo was a Marx brother.

SoDamnMad's picture

Someone please assure me neither the EU nor the US will be responsible for rebuilding Syria.

Usurious's picture
Usurious (not verified) SoDamnMad Oct 16, 2015 7:13 AM

send the bill to televiv........

Philo Beddoe's picture

I heard they are bad tippers. 

froze25's picture

I have read that some of the residents like to order entrees and split them.  That is why the sharing fee was introduced in restaurants.  I have also read that one will order a coke with no ice but then ask for a second glass of just ice.  But who knows.

11b40's picture

That would mean the U.S. still pays for it.

theallseeinggod's picture

US AIDS on the way. Jobs for US companies in exchange for moar sovereign debt of the Syrian state.

Jacksons Ghost's picture

Aleppo has bloodbath written all over it. Air power will mean little there. Hezboallah will have to go house to house. Ironic that Hezboallah will have to mimic IDF tactics, as they will be the ones in urban fighting as the attacker. Usually they are the defender.

yomutti's picture
yomutti (not verified) Jacksons Ghost Oct 16, 2015 7:21 AM

Yes, it should be a major improvement of the Lebanese gene pool.

 

skepsis101's picture

hey mother (fucker),

you might just take a .38 toi your right temple.  That would be so much easier on all of us.

Ms No's picture

Notice that trolls ALWAYS upvote themselves?  I am starting to wonder if there is a manual.

new game's picture

door opened by force, geez who do i kill? fucking insanity, thanks merica, anything else the world needs from the fucker upper of the ages? disgusting shit propagandised to a world dumbed and dumbed to dumber than a fifth grader. hurry cnn make this a "good" situation whilst mericans play counterstrike. 

NoWayJose's picture

You can see the Russian strategy - take out command centers and supplies first - then do the assault - so the the rebel fighters in Aleppo have no help from the outside and are totally on their own. I can almost guarantee that every vehicle heading into Aleppo is going to be checked or destroyed by air assault.

CunnyFunt's picture

Used Land Cruiser parts will be a booming business in Aleppo.