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S&P Earnings Expectations Tumble 15 Days In A Row - Longest Streak Since Financial Crisis

Tyler Durden's picture




 

While stocks surge ingloriously on the back of a credibility-less Fed (and hope that PBOC, ECB, BoJ will unleash QE-moar)...

 

S&P 500 forward earnings expectations are down 15 days in a row - that is the longest losing streak since the financial crisis. In fact, S&P 500 earnings expectations are down over 2% year-over-year.  

 

The last time earnings growth expectation swung from positive to this negative was August 2008... and we know what happened next...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Tue, 10/20/2015 - 13:21 | 6690096 LowerSlowerDela...
LowerSlowerDelaware_LSD's picture

bullish

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 13:22 | 6690101 Hype Alert
Hype Alert's picture

Absolutely best news eva.

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 13:50 | 6690207 GernB
GernB's picture

BTFD

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 23:51 | 6692840 mkkby
mkkby's picture

Times are bad, war, social unrest...  look, look over there -- hurry, hurry STAR WARS MOVIE. 

I hear it's called Niggas Cap Da Empire.

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 14:10 | 6690304 Osmium
Osmium's picture

It's bullish as long as the expectations are lowered BEFORE earnings announcements.  Then they can say LOOK, we beat expectations!!!

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 13:21 | 6690098 Hype Alert
Hype Alert's picture

Is no problem.  Fed!

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 13:22 | 6690102 MFL8240
MFL8240's picture

No problem, has no effect on the price when manipulation  is involved.

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 13:23 | 6690105 herkomilchen
herkomilchen's picture

While stocks surge ingloriously on the back of a credibility-less Fed (and hope that PBOC, ECB, BoJ will unleash QE-moar)

Perfect summary of current state.

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 13:25 | 6690113 ajkreider
ajkreider's picture

So, just to be perfectly clear - you're comparing a chart where the earning go from $126 - $124, with on that has earnings go from $100 - $64. 

 

Cracking analysis.

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 13:49 | 6690203 xrxs
xrxs's picture

96 to about 90 by around Oct 20th 2008 by the chart above, and it kept going thereafter.  ZIRP has likely helped keep EPS up by reducing the denominator.  Still early in the earnings season.

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 13:55 | 6690225 Fahque Imuhnutjahb
Fahque Imuhnutjahb's picture

Hey man!  Stop harshing my melodrama!

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 13:26 | 6690114 Handful of Dust
Handful of Dust's picture
Man Threatens to Shoot Employees and Burn Restaurant Down Over Incorrect Order

 

The employees forgot the eggs on the man's sandwich.

Receiving the wrong order is frustrating, but it is never a good enough reason to make violent threats. According to M Live, a man in his 40s threatened to burn down a restaurant in Flint, Mich., and shoot its employees last week. Why? Because they had forgotten the eggs on his sandwich.

 

http://www.msn.com/en-us/foodanddrink/restaurantsandnews/man-threatens-t...

 

American's are 'exceptional.'

 

Barry Hussein said so.

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 13:35 | 6690149 LowerSlowerDela...
LowerSlowerDelaware_LSD's picture

Did he get the eggs on his sandwich?

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 13:45 | 6690183 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Yep, because only the US has people who are crazy/violent. Also, just being in Flint Michigan is well enough to cause 1 to fly into a homicidal rage.

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 13:48 | 6690199 Fahque Imuhnutjahb
Fahque Imuhnutjahb's picture

 

 

Maybe there's more to the story.  Hypothetically, this coulda been the umpteenth time he was stiffed on his eggs, after numerous

requests, that were met with apathy and derision.  Then this time he lifts his bread to see if he finally got the eggs, only to find

an egg colored post-it note saying "Yo Mamma".  Well of course he could not let this stand, and thus we have our headline.

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 13:26 | 6690115 venturen
venturen's picture

a month or two to go before the end of the stock market as we know

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 13:29 | 6690131 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

SP just got the greenlite to add on another 5% at least.

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 13:30 | 6690135 Panafrican Funk...
Panafrican Funktron Robot's picture

Yeah, but 2008 was pre-QE.  This current rally is essentially front-running further QE.  

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 13:33 | 6690145 E.F. Mutton
E.F. Mutton's picture

Here's how Wall Street actually analyzes this data:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L8oAQOvOEXY

 

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 13:35 | 6690148 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

moar buybacks can fix this

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 13:37 | 6690158 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

Nah, not bad enough.

 

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 13:37 | 6690159 Ajax_USB_Port_R...
Ajax_USB_Port_Repair_Service_'s picture

I haven't gotten laid for over 15 days in a row. My expectations have tumbled.

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 13:39 | 6690168 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

Pump and dump it my friend...

But after 15 days I think I should warn you that it sometimes spits in your eyes, so wear safety glasses...

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 14:20 | 6690356 BandGap
BandGap's picture

Thank you for the fine thoughts following a hearty lunch.

BTW - why do we assume he is a he?

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 13:41 | 6690181 Thisisbullishright
Thisisbullishright's picture

Yep, all we need is Moar QE, Moar free money, Moar rigging of markets...

MOAR, MOAR, MOAR!!

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 14:17 | 6690340 r3ct1f13r
r3ct1f13r's picture

Two more days and I'm going Keltner Channel Surf all over this one.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ovHT4ik8JVA

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 14:28 | 6690408 Tarheel
Tarheel's picture

classic example of chart maniupulation to prove a person's theory.

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 15:43 | 6690820 ich1baN
ich1baN's picture

I could be wrong here, but isn't the scale of change in forward SP earnings significantly different than 2008. It looks like in 2008 for every 100 point move in the S&P, earnings moves 5 points, while in 2015 every 100 point move in the S&P results in earnings moving 1 point. 

Anyone want to comment or provide further insight?  

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 20:01 | 6691906 tiger215
tiger215's picture

S&P earnings will be around $115. At 15 times that is 1725 S&P index. Oil comanies and related are going to tank (no pun intended). Just like Walmart and Chipotle and so many others recently, the blood is going to run in the streets.

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 20:21 | 6691982 TheAntiProgressive
TheAntiProgressive's picture

Ooopppsss.  Didn't see that coming.  Get out there and buy, buy, buy!!!!

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