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NASA Warns: 99% Chance Of At Least A 5.0 Quake Hitting LA Within 30 Months
If scientists at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena are correct, a moderately-sized earthquake is expected within the next two-and-a-half years.
As CBS LA reports, JPL experts predict a possible 5.0 magnitude quake in Los Angeles, but say it very well could be stronger.
JPL geophysicist Dr. Andrea Donnellan, along with seven other scientists, has been using radar and GPS to measure Southern California’s chances for a sizable earthquake, and has made a sobering hypothesis about another big one.
“When the La Habra earthquake happened, it was relieving some of that stress, and it actually shook some of the upper sediments in the LA basin and moved those a little bit more,” Dr. Donellan said.
However, according to Dr. Donnellan, those strains remain, with enough power to produce an even larger quake in the same epicenter in La Habra.
“There’s enough energy stored to produce about a magnitude 6.1 to 6.3 earthquake,” Dr. Donnellan described.
The new NASA-led analysis of a moderate magnitude 5.1 earthquake that shook Greater Los Angeles in 2014 finds that the earthquake deformed Earth's crust across a broad region encompassing the northern Los Angeles Basin and northern Orange County. As Fox LA adds rather ominously,
The shallow ground movements observed from this earthquake likely reflect strain accumulated on deeper faults, which remain locked and may be capable of producing future earthquakes.
"The earthquake faults in this region are part of a system of faults," said Donnellan. "They can move together in an earthquake and produce measurable surface deformation, even during moderate magnitude earthquakes. This fault system accommodates the ongoing shortening of Earth's crust in the northern Los Angeles region.
Tectonic motion across the Los Angeles region is distributed on an intricate network of horizontally and vertically moving faults that eventually release accumulated strain in the form of earthquakes, such as the destructive 1994 magnitude-6.7 Northridge earthquake.
Donnellan said a future earthquake to release the accumulated strain on these faults could occur on any one or several of these fault structures, which may not have been mapped at the surface. "Identifying specific fault structures most likely to be responsible for future earthquakes for this system of many active faults is often very difficult," she said.
* * *
Seismologists at the US Geological Survey have questioned that probability, suggesting it may in fact be slightly lower, stating: “…the accepted random chance of a (magnitude five) or greater in this area in three years is 85 percent, independent of the analysis in this paper.”
USGS uses different methods from radar and GPS, such as fault maps and models, to develop their results.
Regardless of the discrepancy in percentage, scientists agree that the probability of at least a moderate-sized earthquake in Los Angeles over the next three years is high.
“We all need to be prepared. That’s not new for LA.”
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Suspicious0bservers, yo.
www.suspicious0bservers.org/sun-trigger-large-earthquakes/
So, they have a big quake and slide into the ocean, their drought problem is SOLVED. Everything is still awesome...
The Krugster is uncorking his Astroglide.
That would solve many, many problems.
And create exponentially greater disasters at all levels of humanity.
Love 'em or hate 'em, CA still holds a pretty large place at the table.
Umm, no, will pass on Krugster unleashing the astroglide...won't solve any of my problems.
Your's however...whatever floats your boat.
I drive right past the Vaquez rocks often. 5.0 eathquakes are not what worries me. Vasquez is the kind of earthquake that scares me. They say they were flipped past 90 degrees not simply tipped up and pushed. That was some big shaking.
Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the face. Let's see how prepared the unwashed masses are when infrastructure crumbles.
Sounds as though you enjoy the prospect. Troubled?
Who wouldn't enjoy that? The paper pushing parasites.
ain't it the truth! it will be tough for LA. and when LA gets hit by the Big One, the outcome will be a LOT WORSE than most people are expecting. That's my gut feel.
You think it'll be tough for LA?
LA will be the 'epicenter' (pun intended) for disaster aid. EVERYTHING will flow to there. In the meantime, peripheral areas, Antelope Valley, Victor Valley, Inland Empire will be waiting for God knows how long for any sort of aid. We're in those areas the UN/US decreed should be wild life corridors that should be eradicated of human life. so....
Well, they would just call 911 right? Just when some people do when there is no internet...
Earthquakes. First Moon Landings then Glibal Climate Change. Yet another NASA hoax.
NASA has zero credibility at this point.
...and Global Warming and the GOP will be blamed
Fuck LA.
fuck california...........
Goodbye California by Alistair MacLean 1977 - terrorists Nuke San Andreas
Same plot stolen by Superman.
Truth is I quite enjoy your stories too. I've got stories to tell too, I could write a book about the BS family law. I'm a (now) penniless old farmer (well 53yo) but 12 years ago I fought it out with my millionaire big city lawyer ex-wife and survived and stayed in my kid's lives as more than a 'see-them-in-the-park-on-Sundays' Dad, and today, well let's just say we do the Priscilla Presley thang : )
but I'm here at Zero Hedge to put the wind up about what that Fifth Assessment Report means, like it or not. No, I'm not paid to do this. Want tell me to GFY or call me a one-trick pony? Ok, but remember, I've taken on goliath and won.
The State bankrupted me and tried to disappear me from my two very young children. I'm not a big fan of The State. Please don't be confused.
Later Dude : )
http://ds.iris.edu/seismon/
Or the great unzipping quake that start near the Mexican border and unzips its way to Alaska. If mother nature says its your time? Its your time.
Since the quakes are caused by a tectonic plate pushing INTO the USA on the left coast, that would be some Nature's trick to 'unzip'. It would imply that that the tectonic plate suddenly reversed direction. Wonder how many hamsters in wheels that would take?
Hamsters serve a more noble purpose in CA.
No wonder they're never seen on pet adoption segments on the Local News...
Way off the scale. Well beyond human understanding.
Not sure why everyone thinks the west coast is going to split into the ocean (of course for most it's most likely just wishful thinking for CA's demise) but the major faults are supposedly crunching together north and south, i.e. San Fran and LA are inching towards either. God forbid they both meld into one giant shit hole.
From here, High Desert, it looks, and smells, like they already HAVE melded into one giant shit hole. They control the entire fucking state with their population and moronic governments. It's so bad that we're having to pay huge fucking taxes to gradually link the two together, from other, much smaller, shitholes, via a bullet train that will have to stop at every little shithole between the two.
Meantime we buy steel from China, pay the Coolies, and sell the entire program back to them so we can lease it back.
Calipornia Dreamin'!
Hey NASA. Where's your Moonbase?
Quick! Someone blame this on Global Warming.
Dup.
Race, food, poverty riots are coming ... they will likely use HAARP to cover that up with a little disaster ... something to create "stimulus" for the economy.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2JwIEeuPsSc
I lived in LA for 23 years (escaped in 2011).
A 5.0 quake is a pipsqueak. Wouldn't even rearrange the deck chairs......
Dear Chinese investor, be quick, buy a house before they are all gone.
Buy an insurance company before they are all gone.
Buy a bank before they are all gone.
Always said a natural disaster could push things back in our favor....
NASA: We can narrow down the date for a mere $25B... upfront in 10's and 20's.
Sorry, we've been losing at the track.
Just 5.0? That isn't near enough to disencumber the rest of us from those useless eaters.
They'll just be forcibly inserted amongst us anyways.
Obama and co. have been doing this for 6+ years now. Look at all the 3rd world degenerates that have been shipped to north dakota, maine, north carolina, etc...
This is in their political attack plan to seed conservative states with dead beat, murdering, rapist, democratic voting Free Shitters.
"Look at all the 3rd world degenerates that have been shipped to north dakota, maine, north carolina, etc...
This is in their political attack plan to seed conservative states with dead beat, murdering, rapist, democratic voting Free Shitters."
Hey, I've got a truck driving nephew from Utah that's working for those frackers!!
I watched this movie called San Andreas and they already told me that it would happen.
Map looks like an old John Madden play by play screen.
If Bo Jackson ain't in there I ain't a playin it.
Predicting a 5.0 magnitude earthquake sometime in 30 months in that region is like predicting it will rain sometime in the next year - well, OK, slight exaggeration. But a 5.0 earthquake every 30 months is not particularly implausible manifestation window. It's been a long time since I looked at frequency/magnitude data for California (took a university course focused on California earthquakes in 1987, middle aged fart that I am). My memory of the data is a little foggy. But I know that 5.0 mag shakers are common enough to make this prediction somewhat of a ho hum event. ...and a 5.0 isn't a big deal and would likely cause only trivial damage. That's not a big magnitude quake, and the building codes in California easily deal with that magnitude.
- Eric Dubin, Managing Editor, The News Doctors
...and since when does NASA get involved in this arena? Last couple of years, it seems... Perahps they're growing tired spinning global warming, climate change alarmish and diversifying their focus LOL
- Eric Dubin, Managing Editor, The News Doctors
Remote sensing...your soaking in it.
Palmolive?!
Get this shit off my hands!!
Fuck NASA and their *staged moon landings*.
Fuck NASA and their *staged moon landings*.
Bwahahahahahahahahahaha . . . . LMFAO! Dude, get a big/good enough telescope and a clear night with a full moon and you can see the landing sites yourself.
NOT A CHANCE-that would destroy his delusional thinking=oh wait! Stanley Kubrick and NASA sent all that junk up there to MAKE IT LOOK like we had landed there
Whatever helps you sleep at night.
Go check out Crrow777 on youtube and see the lunar wave he filmed. The moon is not a rock in the sky that people can visit.
When was the last time scientists were correct about anything?
They never claim to be correct.
They just claim they've studied the shit out of something and this is what it looks like.
To quote Richard Feynman...
You don’t like it… go somewhere else!
To another universe! Where the rules are simpler, philosophically more pleasing, more psychologically easy. I can’t help it! OK! If I’m going to tell you honestly what the world looks like to the… human beings who have struggled as hard as they can to understand it, I can only tell you what it looks like.
And I cannot make it any simpler, I’m not going to do this, I’m not going to simplify it, and I’m not going to fake it. I’m not going to tell you it’s something like a ball bearing inside a spring, it isn’t.
So I’m going to tell you what it really is like, and if you don’t like it, that’s too bad.
Now they're predicting earthquakes with this level of certainty?? Me smells a rat . . . HAARP anyone?
Time to grab some future ocean front property east of the San Andreas fault line.
Too late, Barbara Boxer's husband bought it all via the Mojave Reserve (whatever the fuck it was called) Act.
One of the biggest federal land grabs of all time.
Stupid prediction.....like saying it's gonna rain in Tacoma....
And remember, folks: 70% of all accidents are caused by 40% of all accidents....
70% of all accidents are caused by 40% of all accidents....
Sounds like an "unknown unknown" to me . . . .
So, how do you short California? Is there an ETF for that?
C'mon, Ty, don't just throw hysterical red meat out there and then not provide the A1 sauce.
Nice funbags
I lived in LA for 18 years. For a 5.0 earthquake, we wouldn't even get up from the dinner table.
Wouldn't or couldn't? ;-)
Yeah, but after awhile you get seasick from those hanging lights. Just stay out in the open, and play golf like the chief.
He's not exaggerating.
A 5.0 wouldn't even stir the turds in the toilet, and it's too low for us to even care to look.
I was born in LA, lived there during the 6.7 Northridge quake, remember that morning distinctly - 5.0 is nothing, is this article for real?
However, an inspired, true prophet predicted over 100 years a go that massive destruction is coming to southern California. She was "shaking like a leaf" when she revealed this vision, declared that it will reach to Riverside, Loma Linda, Redlands and San Bernardino all the way to LA. Property will be worthless.
Lots of broken windows to boost GDP.
They recently discovered for the first time that the Newport/Inglewood fault is actually as deep as the San Andreas, has helium3 leaking out of it, and it runs right through the center of LA county and down to Newport Beach in Orange County, was responsible for the very nasty Long Beach quake of 1933. It hasn't triggered a big quake since then, but apparently could, and being so local could do some real damage.
But predicting a 5.0 shaker ain't nuthin, it's like predicting Tom Brady's balls will deflate again sometime in the next three years.
I saw a bumper sticker:
Someday A Giant Earthquake Will Hit California and All Land East of the Rockies Will Slide Into the Atlantic Ocean.
The NASA data clearly shows that the Russians have built a base in the San Fernando Valley, the Chicoms are building an artificial island port off Santa Monica, and Assad has killed squirrels in the San Gabriel mountains using deadly nerve gas.
Maybe if they fall into the ocean they'll stop worrying about climate change?
Ya but, ya but, ya but if they all fall into the ocean the oceans will rise and swamp New York and Nebraska under a 600 foot flood of.... of climate change.
Prior to the next earthquake, NASA from space observes huge crowds (in the 100s of millions) in China mysteriously move to a certain location and all jump at the same time.
So THAT'S what all those strategically placed Ghost Cities were all about!!
JPL silly puddy. Not one word of the sun. CME's create earthquakes. The sun is in a dying zone. Our atmosphere is shrinking. That's to helping the climate change adgenda. Without CME, you cannot restore the atmosphere. Our nigger president of US has no idea. He thinks buying Tom's shoes will help poverty in Africa.
Somewhere a home insurance company is going out of extortion. To bad it's not 100% 9.4 with a apac and southern poverty law meetings right in the middle of lalaland.
Come on Tyler,..you know anything coming from NASA is a fraud and lies.!
But but... the Muslim researchers said it was true!
The headline's a joke, right? I'm in the Midwest and a little over a week ago we had 4.8 frackquake, woke me up in the middle of the night, really shook. No ZH coverage of that.
Is this the new Global Earth Disruption that only a global tax will fix?
Piss off NASA. I thought the marxist changed your mission.
Trouble comes in threes, firestorms from this summer, predicted floods for this winter due to el nino, and earthquakes should be the third hit. Sounds about right.
Duh. Been around 20 years from the '72 quake to the '94 quake... and another 20 till now. Giving a prediction of 3 years is sort of a safe bet... and no one will remember this bullcrap... unless it happens... then these clowns will crow like the vile buzzard Hillary about it.
So what happened with that over hyped oil spill out there not long ago? Did the world end? No it didn't, but it will when the nuke plants are compromised by an catastrophic earthquake or tsunami. Not only that but I don't even know of a single nuclear waste storage/disposal that isn't leaking. There was another earthquake at Fukushima today... and yet the Californian environmentalists are harping about carbon fucking dioxide. Life is funny.
"So you're telling me there's a chance!"
Well we're not too disturbed here in California, we don't roll out of bed until it's least a 7:)
Here's a real earthquake...
Discovery of the Centruy, yet crickets.
https://theyoungearth.org/2015/10/16/t-rex-soft-tissue-find-of-the-century/
Absofuckinlutly fantastic.
Now we'll have Jurrasic Park to thin out the herd to the 500k target.
Newsflash.....Dinosaurs are fake, never existed. And "fossil fuels?" No such thing. Anything else you'd like to learn today?
Won't happen - any energy from the earthquake would be dissipated and absorbed into the feet of millions of illegal immigrants!
They'll get it right one day,month,year,decade or century on this earth quake
Sounds like NASA is trying to justify their existance just before the debt ceiling.
I am hoping for a 9.5 there and in San FagSico
I'd prefer a neutron bomb. That way the stinky progressives and the Pelosi voters would be gone and we'd have one awesome piece of land to start over with. I fucking love SF and the north coast. But like all the other awesome places around the world, they're always overrun by the least desirable element.
This is pretty much how I feel about California:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E8vmaj75xzE
On a related note:
Bill Hicks Take on L.A.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tx4maV6EJQM
Pushing back resonant frequency will cause earthquakes - Tesla proved it and he gave us AC/DC current - he was no fool !
Looks like its time to put NASA on the short-timer list of federal agencies. Their time has come and gone. Somebody notify the Donald.
5.0 ain't shit.
Depends on your building code.
In N.Z. a 5-6 doesn't rate as a big quake.
Over 6.5 is a good shake
But then we have about 14,000 detectable quakes each year.
I would like to propose a question.
Earthquakes have been very difficult to predict (Spent my youth in NZ) to date, what mesurements or tests have been done which make the probability much more certain.
The credability of this article could have been lifted if it had explained the science behind the call.(So what is new).
Also fellow commentors need to understand a magnitude quake close to the surface can be quite damaging, deep quakes "Yes you can sleep through".
Im sure they are making it up. Like all economic calculations that come with a probability.
"73.2% chances of recession in the next 19 months..." as if they actually ran a calculation.
Im sure they are making it up. Like all economic calculations that come with a probability.
"73.2% chances of recession in the next 19 months..." as if they actually ran a calculation.
just wait for the military to be doing some training ........................and BAM fucking earth quake pop out of now where
how do I play this, long Nevada beach-front property, or sort the casino's, they lose a lot of customers.
These a**holes ought to stick to "predicting" global wamring or making Arabs fell good (hey! that's what ovomit says they ought to be doing - don't blame me) or "predicting" how many hurricanes there will be this season or that "recovery" is just around the corner, or . . .
Well, you get the idea.
"Predicting" isn't a strong suite of the gobernm'nt!
You mean those NASAholes are still planting the bombs ?
The house price is way too crazy, probably only a 9.0 earth quake or Yellowstone eruption can shake it off.
This is SO funny to me. I lived through the Northridge earthquake. I was there when it happened. I lived through AFTERSHOCKS of that quake that were bigger than what NASA is predicting. This is nothing more than NASA trying to scare people by promoting this fear-porn. LA HAS EARTHQUAKES. That's what happens when your city is right on top of the San Andreas faultline. I heard that people even take bets on how big the next quake is going to be. I just have to laugh when I think about NASA trying to scare people with this. I guess they don't have anything else interesting to do right now.
NASA has been full of phony-balony hot air since their inception.
Hopefully the whole shitty state goes down the tubes...if not, at least take SFO.
Is this a joke? This is like predicting next year it will be sunny most of the year in Loa Angeles
Is NASA in charge of HAARP now?
No. Some Alaskan Community College bought it from the Navy.
Real piss ur pants scary, right? We covered that yesterday.
NASA. Making muslims "feel good about themselves". predicting rain has water in it again.
I thought NASA's mission was to teach Muslim Astronauts how to predict global warming
it will fall off into the sea
"possible 5.0 magnitude quake in Los Angeles"
and do $10 billion in improvements.
Jack Parsons who founded the lab was a satanist along with his cronies Crowley and Hubbard. NASA is 99% black magic and 1% bullshit.
As long as Star Wars still comes out in December I'm fine with losing tv.
Don't worry, there's lots of "undocumented immigrants" ready to help (themselves to slightly damaged goods).
Since when is NASA doing terrestrial geological surveys? Did that start right after the outreach to the Muslim world?
Coming Executive Order: Earthquake Zone Cap & Trade