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Hawkish-er Yellen Sparks Dollar Pop As Stocks, Bonds, Commodities Drop

Tyler Durden's picture




 

A hawkish Yellen a week ago sparked an exuberant rally because "rate hikes must mean the economy is awesome" but a hawkish-er Yellen today sparked turmoil as the dollar jumped and bonds, stocks, and commodities dumped... (though we note markets had been anticipating some of this move into her statement)

 

Smashing Dec rate hike odds to 60% (from 50% overnight)

 

Everyone knows you never go full Hawk-tard...

 

Still, stocks are holding most of the gains from the Hawkish FOMC statement...

 

Futures once again show the craziness this week best..

 

But Trannies were worst today as a late-day panic buying effort as Nasdaq and Small Caps were ramped to unchanged

 

As S&P 2,100 was clearly important to the machines.... as VIX was used to ensure it closed above that level

 

Yesterday's credit decoupling extended dramatically after Yellen's comments...

 

Yesterday's VIX decoupling also extended notably...

 

Treasury yields were ugly, although most of the heavy selling pressure was in the short-end... as 30Y ended the day unchanged and 2Y +5bps

 

With yields notably higher still from The FOMC statement (again with the short-end underperforming)

 

As 2Y Yields hit 4 year highs...

 

The US Dollar extended gains against the majots - with EURUSD plunging to a 1.08 handle - now up 1.3% sicne Friday...

 

 

Dollar strength did not help the slide in commodities... with crude worst today but PMs pummeled this week...

 

Crude crashed back from yesterday's exubeerant highs after production and inventories rose...

 

Precious Metals have been pummelled...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

Bonus Chart: Food vs Friends...

 

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Wed, 11/04/2015 - 17:09 | 6750186 Callz d Ballz
Callz d Ballz's picture

-50, isn't that clever.

Wed, 11/04/2015 - 17:10 | 6750197 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

My goodness, it was a bloodbath out there today you guys! DOW down a cliff diving .01%... I was all like, OMG!

Wed, 11/04/2015 - 17:21 | 6750245 RopeADope
RopeADope's picture

I had adjusted this month's VAR models to only allow for a 1 point daily variation in the S&P. The carnage that produced today...

Wed, 11/04/2015 - 21:05 | 6751539 Brooks_Orpington
Brooks_Orpington's picture

Those 28 basis point plunges are a killer.  I had to sell my dog to cover my losses.  And he was a pretty good dog.

Wed, 11/04/2015 - 17:11 | 6750198 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

even im kinda of surprised how hard theyve hit the phony paper prices of Gold and Silver beginning with thed last Fed "we can never raise rates" bullshit release and continuing into todays incoherent idiot speak by Old Yellen...

but its cool if they wanna hand over some more Silver tonight or tomorrow morning below $15 having bought a little Gold ealier in the week...

just sayin'...

to everbody else - just hang in there if u can....and if u dare....

Wed, 11/04/2015 - 17:17 | 6750219 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

$80 drop on nothing but false words......I just hope we get to see that Mr. Yellen has died a violent death.  It is well deserved. 

Wed, 11/04/2015 - 17:21 | 6750249 e_goldstein
e_goldstein's picture

I'd settle for a stroke.

Wed, 11/04/2015 - 17:24 | 6750266 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Yea then we can just watch her live out her days drooling into some tapioca pudding....good ending.

Wed, 11/04/2015 - 17:12 | 6750206 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

GOLD dropping $10@day. Only 5 months and paper price will be zero. Bring it on Tribe. 

Wed, 11/04/2015 - 17:13 | 6750211 RopeADope
RopeADope's picture

Fed chaircritter blather days sometimes produce bearish engulfings. That timely 1:56 machine stick save seemed to prevent that from happening this time around.

Wed, 11/04/2015 - 17:17 | 6750227 Rainman
Rainman's picture

I'm now accepting orders for Dow 20k hats .... perfect Xmas gifts for the whole family.

Wed, 11/04/2015 - 17:19 | 6750240 RawPawg
RawPawg's picture

this is all setting up for a Nov Coasting till Dec drama ramps up

i don't know if my ZH withdrawals will last that long

somebody please hold me.

Wed, 11/04/2015 - 17:20 | 6750242 Miss Expectations
Miss Expectations's picture

Here's a Little Shop of Horrors picture that may come in handy:

http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-8EfWZCkYptI/T9SSLG_wf_I/AAAAAAAAISA/BJij3Dd0C2...

Wed, 11/04/2015 - 17:26 | 6750282 pebblewriter
pebblewriter's picture

Just finished a pretty thorough look at how USDJPY and CL-fueled algos have driven the market higher, with a focus on the past five weeks in particular.  If you'd like to better understand the daily machinations that allow stocks to knife through overhead resistance, have a look.

http://pebblewriter.com/how-they-did-it/

Wed, 11/04/2015 - 17:27 | 6750283 Falconsixone
Falconsixone's picture

fuck yellen

Wed, 11/04/2015 - 17:28 | 6750296 FreeShitter
FreeShitter's picture

No thanks, but she can fuck herself.

Wed, 11/04/2015 - 17:38 | 6750357 Flying Wombat
Flying Wombat's picture

Extreme And Blatant Gold Futures Manipulation: Bad Jobs Report Ahead?

 

TND Guest Contributor:  Dave Kranzler

http://thenewsdoctors.com/?p=533571

Wed, 11/04/2015 - 17:40 | 6750373 Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

Trannies, trannies, trannies. Trannies in the WH, trannies on Wall St., trannies on ZH.

Getting tired of all these Trannies everywhere.

Wed, 11/04/2015 - 19:15 | 6750927 The Gladiator
The Gladiator's picture

You forgot to say Michelle.

Wed, 11/04/2015 - 21:00 | 6751514 Brooks_Orpington
Brooks_Orpington's picture

Even the trannie in my F150 is giving me trouble.  I'm tired of trannies too.

Wed, 11/04/2015 - 17:46 | 6750407 Hubbs
Hubbs's picture

I wonder if the FED's jawboning is directed mainly towards suppression of gold as a result of a perceived  "stronger" dollar with an increased .25% interest, or is  it just that I am pissed that I bought gold at 1148 last week

Wed, 11/04/2015 - 18:00 | 6750478 Hubbs
Hubbs's picture

duplicate

Wed, 11/04/2015 - 18:25 | 6750630 taopraxis
taopraxis's picture

Gold goes down every damn day, does it not? Kind of sad. Added more this afternoon, though. Trading my plan. Maybe I can become the new fade trade. I figure the payroll report will result in further tankage, probably below $1100, so still holding only 2/3 of my full paper gold position. Hammer that gold down because I'll be buying...once I get fully long, though, expect my attitude toward market declines to turn decidedly less cavalier.

Thu, 11/05/2015 - 13:22 | 6754000 brada1013567
brada1013567's picture

Belief

Wed, 11/04/2015 - 18:29 | 6750656 gcjohns1971
gcjohns1971's picture

Not sure how 'Prepared to implement negative rates should the data indicate a downturn" is hawkish.

Hawkish next to what?

Wed, 11/04/2015 - 19:28 | 6751016 wisebastard
wisebastard's picture

raising the interest rates is great because Obama is cool and Hillary is awesome...............................I learned that in school today after I leanred how to put on a condom with out my hands................

Wed, 11/04/2015 - 19:38 | 6751066 CHoward
CHoward's picture

Is Michelle a Tranny?

Wed, 11/04/2015 - 19:50 | 6751145 Phoenix901210
Phoenix901210's picture

Sarah Connor: The Machines had taken over the finance, but no one knew. At 15:51 EST on August 8th 2015. Skynet became self aware, and it didn't want to give up it's power over the worlds finance. Through those it controlled all politics.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!