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Good News Is Terrible News: Dollar Surges As Bonds, Stocks, Commodities Purge After Payrolls Print

Tyler Durden's picture




 

"Everything is awesome." The Fed got just what it wanted... surge in jobs and a surge in wages - which has sent December rate hike odds from 56% to 74%.

 

A big surge from before...

 

This appears to be a problem for everything else.

 

The dollar has soared (EURUSD almost a 1.06 handle), Bond yields have exploded (though the long-end is notably outperforming), stock prices plunged, and commodities across the board are getting hammered.

 

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Fri, 11/06/2015 - 09:45 | 6757443 -.-
-.-'s picture

But! Your last article?! Payrolls?! What happened to the party?!

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 09:50 | 6757481 Hype Alert
Hype Alert's picture

Don't worry, it's priced in.  ;)

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 09:54 | 6757506 negative rates
negative rates's picture

Ich achtung,     baby.

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 10:06 | 6757588 Hitlery_4_Dictator
Hitlery_4_Dictator's picture

This is amazing. I'm so happy, Christmas came early. This proves the FED was right all along and was smart of them to wait! This poves with out a shadow of a doubt that December IS the time to raise rates. I'm so relived and I'm sure so is the FED. We'll be back to normal rates very soon now. The only question is how much will they raise it in Dec? I'm thinking at least .75 now. Congrats FED! The Dec hike is nothing but a formaility now. 

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 10:15 | 6757628 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Things sucked last Friday, but now we're ready to rock n roll on higher rates this Friday!

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 12:27 | 6758205 schnydz
schnydz's picture

.75 like a drop in the bucket! 

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 09:48 | 6757464 Itch
Itch's picture

If the S&P can handle a quater point then it can go and fuck itself.

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 09:49 | 6757473 seek
seek's picture

Whelp, there's a "good fucking morning!" gold print if I ever saw one. /sarc

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 09:51 | 6757484 MountainsRoam
MountainsRoam's picture

Stock markets will be up no matter what today since they are no longer based in reality! I got a feeling reality is very close to making a return party though.. What a horrowshow haha

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 09:52 | 6757490 cpnscarlet
cpnscarlet's picture

PMs back in the downward channel.

Success, FED.

Better start enjoying taking it in the ass like this.

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 10:00 | 6757547 seek
seek's picture

Yeah, we're basically at 2008 levels of pricing on AU, and it's like that whole multiple-trillions-of-dollars-printed thing never happened.

I'm to the point where I just DGAF anymore. Nothing is real, everything is lies.

I think I'm now months away from just saying fuck money, converting everything to hard goods in a few strategic stashes and just dropping out of society altogether. This current system has nothing to offer anyone who actually works other than penalties and fines. Fuck them all.

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 10:15 | 6757629 Vlad the Inhaler
Vlad the Inhaler's picture

Buy low, sell high.

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 12:38 | 6758248 Anopheles
Anopheles's picture

Or, if you buy now, it will be Buy High, Sell Low. 

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 09:53 | 6757498 adr
adr's picture

More people are supposedly working and making more money, STOCKS FALL.

Last month was terrible, less people working than they thought, STOCKS SOAR 12% TO THE BEST MONTHLY GAIN EVA!

The market is truly insane.

I think all we truly need to embrace the insanity fully is President Sanders.

Any alien civilization watching us would at that moment turn their devices off and say, "Have a nice life Earthlings, we're out."

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 09:56 | 6757522 negative rates
negative rates's picture

Nope, they would say, your out, we'll try again with the nice life.

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 09:55 | 6757513 spastic_colon
spastic_colon's picture

merely a distraction from the elections as the current party is losing ground........they will not raise rates in december because this report will be a distant memory to the next terrible report.

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 09:57 | 6757514 ThirteenthFloor
ThirteenthFloor's picture

No rate hike once the Fed went ,gov
Markets will be red today. Things are inverted. Dollar climb hurts and LC fall hurts.

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 10:01 | 6757538 Anopheles
Anopheles's picture

Gold down even more, and just on specualtion of a quarter percent rise.  What will happen when interest rates actually rise? 

The past couple years I've been saying that gold is still HIGH and as soon as interest rates go up, even a little, gold will plummet.    Have had lots of good laughs at the expense of gold bugs, who, in their magical thinking, keep saying that gold is cheap and buy.  Nope, you ain't seen nothing yet. 

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 10:02 | 6757557 FreeShitter
FreeShitter's picture

Gold will only go back to its forner glory when this ponzi explodes. Simple as that.

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 12:34 | 6758237 Anopheles
Anopheles's picture

This is the same ponzi that is keeping gold high.  Gold is a luxury, and when the chips are down, so go luxuries. 

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 13:38 | 6758497 Spitzer
Spitzer's picture

Dumb fucker. Gold went up while interest rates went up in the 70's and 80's. Gold exploded higher when Greenspan lifted rates in 2004 to 2006. gold will go up when rates really do go up. Not when they talk about them going up but when they go up

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 10:08 | 6757597 seek
seek's picture

Gold is incredibly cheap, because it's being priced in USD that is utterly worthless long-term. Unfortunately the CBs are in control of the markets so there's no way to see this truth. At some indeterminate point in time but likely in your lifetime the whole fascade is going to implode -- by their own admission in 2008 we were hours away from total systemic collapse, and you're insane if you think the situation has improved since then.

I do agree, though, we'll probably see gold go lower, shit, it might even go to zero, before this happens, but it's purely an artifact of an unreal market. When it reverses it will happen at a speed so fast no one will have time to act, and AU will probably be priced either in terms of itself or in a currency other than USD.

 

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 12:33 | 6758231 Anopheles
Anopheles's picture

Just becasue you WISH  something to happen, doesn't mean it will.  No, gold is a commodity and will only get cheaper relative to whatevery unit of meause you want to use.

Total systemic collapse in 2008?  Not by a long shot.   Down, yes, but out, not even close. 

And speaking of 2008, gold PLUMMETED.  Tell us, why was that? if it's supposed to be miracle money? 

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 13:35 | 6758489 seek
seek's picture

Gold fell because the banks holding it sold it -- they last, most liquid asset -- to save themselves. It plummeted in the first half of September 2008, and then launched in the coming months.

Let's give you a refresher, since your statement makes it clear you have no idea what gold did in 2008.

15 July - Gold hits peak of $962.

10 September - hits low of $749. Here's a refresher on the news that day. Lehman was imploding, stocks were dropping and people were trying to generate liquidity using their most liquid assets.

12 days later:

22 September - hits $887. Here's the news for then.

You'll notice in that article, "Gold prices jumped more than $44 an ounce as investors looked for safer assets than stocks and also worried about the inflationary aspects of the bailout plan". That's a 5.2% move up in gold in a day, and up 18.4% from the Lehman collapse low.

Oh, and that bailout plan -- why is that taking place? Because the banks were imploding. How serious was that?

Here's an excellent summary from Wikipedia:

By the morning of September 18, money market sell orders from institutional investors totalled $0.5 trillion, out of a total market capitalization of $4 trillion, but a $105 billion liquidity injection from the Federal Reserve averted an immediate collapse.[22][23] On September 19 the U.S. Treasury offered temporary insurance (akin to Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation insurance of bank accounts) to money market funds.[24] Toward the end of the week, short selling of financial stocks was suspended by the Financial Services Authority in the United Kingdom and by the Securities and Exchange Commission in the United States

And not close to total systemic collapse? Watch this video, which confirms what multiple representatives reported, and that Paulson also confirmed was the case. Virtually every player directly involved has confirmed -- months to years later -- that due to the drawdown rates, the US and global economy were hours from collapse. The situation was so serious they had to double the FDIC insurance limit and provide a $700 billion bailout to banks less than a week after Lehman, and the Fed had to dump $105 billion into the market just to keep it working for a few hours. The outflows were so great they literally couldn't keep up, which is why the bailout and FDIC guarantees happened -- to stop the outflows and prevent the collapse of the global financial system.

You need to go back to school or start paying attention, and probably would be a good idea to stop spewing blatantly incorrect statements.

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 10:11 | 6757613 Monetas
Monetas's picture

Does Putin get paid in Euros (the currency, not the pipple) .... for his oil and gas .... oh, my .... that's like a banana republic .... slipping on it's own banana peel .... and this on the heels of the Surprise in Sinai .... sorry, Putin lovers :<) ?

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 12:11 | 6758119 farflungstar
farflungstar's picture

Can't you get your nose out of Putin's ass for just 5 seconds? Sheesh.

I love how you take pleasure out of dead civilians. Piece of shit.

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 10:12 | 6757614 Kina
Kina's picture

Gold in AUD hasn't changed that much.

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 10:19 | 6757653 SSRI Junkie
SSRI Junkie's picture

australia's cb doesn't print gold like the us fed does. they may some day, just not today. the us fed is on a non-paper wealth destroying fanatical binge.

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 10:15 | 6757634 BouncingCat
BouncingCat's picture

How convenient!  The market doesn't like being lied to.

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 10:17 | 6757637 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Proving the only thing that matters now is the continued free flow of free money.

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 10:17 | 6757640 rajbihani
rajbihani's picture

Dollar rising will not be good for America. If dollar rises other emerging market currencies like Chinese Yuan will fall and in order that Yuan doesn't fall too much, China would sell their treasury bonds to collect dollars and from those dollars they will buy yuan so that yuan doesn't fall and in the process they will be able to get rid of dollars and treasury bonds. Other emerging market countries will also start selling US Treasury bonds to prevent their currencies from falling. As a result of this, the whole world will loose trust on treasury bonds which will make the yield to rise. So then it will be more difficult for American goverment to repay their debt and get more cheaper debts. Once the dollar will reach its own country it will create the hyperinflation. Yellen thinking to raise rates is a great mistake.

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 10:20 | 6757659 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

You can say that again!

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 10:17 | 6757641 rajbihani
rajbihani's picture

Dollar rising will not be good for America. If dollar rises other emerging market currencies like Chinese Yuan will fall and in order that Yuan doesn't fall too much, China would sell their treasury bonds to collect dollars and from those dollars they will buy yuan so that yuan doesn't fall and in the process they will be able to get rid of dollars and treasury bonds. Other emerging market countries will also start selling US Treasury bonds to prevent their currencies from falling. As a result of this, the whole world will loose trust on treasury bonds which will make the yield to rise. So then it will be more difficult for American goverment to repay their debt and get more cheaper debts. Once the dollar will reach its own country it will create the hyperinflation. Yellen thinking to raise rates is a great mistake.

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 10:36 | 6757714 Law97
Law97's picture

And just like that, stocks are green by the open. 

Fri, 11/06/2015 - 10:38 | 6757725 Baronneke
Baronneke's picture

"Everything is awesome." The Fed got just what it wanted... surge in jobs and a surge in wages and soon a surge in stocks as well.   Bad news is good news, good news is also good news so for the time being.......everything is fixed, but........the Big Bang will be coming, no matter what.

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