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The Last Two Times Business Inventories Were This High Relative To Sales, The US Was In A Recession

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Business Inventories jumped 0.3% MoM in September (notably more than the 0.0% change expected) and the highest since June led by a surge in Retailers restocking (+0.8% despite sales being unchanged). Retailers Sales are up 1.7% YoY but Retailers' Inventories are up 5.1% YoY.

With Sales unchanged (manufacturers -0.4%), the inventories-to-sales ratio surged to 1.38x - the highest since the financial crisis.

 

 

Like retail sales, the last 2 times inventories were this high relative to sales, The US was in recession.

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Fri, 11/13/2015 - 11:11 | 6786425 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Whew, we've exited the depression and been upgraded to a recession. That's a relief. 

Fri, 11/13/2015 - 11:14 | 6786441 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

With two "last time it was this bad we were in a recession" stories up at the same time are the Tylers trying to tell me something?

I know for sure it can't be that we're going into another recession.  Not a damned one of us here will live long enough to see the next officially declared recession.

Fri, 11/13/2015 - 11:17 | 6786458 XAU XAG
XAU XAG's picture

It's all good

 

When a chart is going from left to right upwards ..................it's all good...............oh wait

Fri, 11/13/2015 - 12:36 | 6786747 Skiprrrdog
Skiprrrdog's picture

Yeah, what is up with that? IMHO, a *recession* would be a step up from where we have been...

Fri, 11/13/2015 - 11:16 | 6786451 Surviver22
Surviver22's picture

This is how would war between Russia and America look like..
http://motivationdose.com/alive-after-the-fall/

Fri, 11/13/2015 - 11:22 | 6786473 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Bye, Bye NASDAQ 5000, it's been nice knowing you.

Fri, 11/13/2015 - 11:23 | 6786477 Bill of Rights
Bill of Rights's picture

Ha ha ha ha ha ha with all the downgrades and major, major  retailers showing dismal numbers they come out with this ha ha ha ha just proves once again the Government numbers are phony.

 

What a joke!

Fri, 11/13/2015 - 11:29 | 6786492 swanpoint
swanpoint's picture

Raise the fucking FED rate already! I'm tired of waiting for this shit house to collapse: DOOOOOOOOOO IT!!!!

Fri, 11/13/2015 - 12:11 | 6786641 FreeShitter
FreeShitter's picture

No shit...I want to try out this new .308

Fri, 11/13/2015 - 12:26 | 6786715 Colonel Klink
Colonel Klink's picture

I'm doing my part to ensure that inventories remain high.  A big fuck you to the corrupt, fascist government, The Fed, and big corporations.

Sounds like inventory is highest since Lehman.

Fri, 11/13/2015 - 12:58 | 6786836 A_Gobshite
A_Gobshite's picture

This requires government intervention, we need laws/regulations that make consumers purchase these goods pronto

Fri, 11/13/2015 - 12:59 | 6786840 NOZZLE
NOZZLE's picture

Stopped by Patten Cat yesterday in Elmhurst Illinois to pick up some parts couldn't help but notice at least 50 brand new wheel loaders almost spilling out of the fenced in lot into the street.  I've never seen there are lot so packed new machinery.

Fri, 11/13/2015 - 13:47 | 6787010 DC Beastie Boy
DC Beastie Boy's picture

We're still in the recession.

243 Win Mag

Fri, 11/13/2015 - 14:04 | 6787081 Falling Down
Falling Down's picture

Some CNBS idiot was blathering about "strong car sales", yesterday.

Every salesman I know, amd they're in two states, says sales are down double digits from a year ago.

Bailout in 3...2...1...

Fri, 11/13/2015 - 18:17 | 6788513 Youri Carma
Youri Carma's picture
The U.S. already is in a recession: http://forum.prisonplanet.com/index.php?topic=267901.0
Sun, 11/29/2015 - 13:37 | 6852883 Ddaina
Ddaina's picture

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