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Indians Refuse To Give Their Gold To The Government: Only 30 Kilograms Take Part In "Gold Monetization Scheme"

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Two months ago we gave our most recent review of what we dubbed the soft launch of India's gold confiscation program, when the government's "voluntary"gold-to-paper backed bonds conversion went, well, gold: back then, Modi's government approved the gold monetization plan and sale of sovereign bonds proposed several months ago by the Reserve Bank of India.

The plans were first announced by Finance Minister Arun Jaitley in February as measures to woo Indians away from physical gold. As Jaitley explained the deposited gold would be auctioned, used to replenish the Reserve Bank of India's reserves or be lent to jewelers. Subsequently, gold "depositors" can redeem in gold or cash depending on the tenure. Said otherwise, an attempt to "fractionally-reserve" gold, which would then be used a source of gold rehypothecation in the country that despite all the government's efforts, remains starved for physical gold.

Now, one week after the gold scheme's official launch, we take a look at how has it has done so far. In one word, so far the "gold monetization" plan has been a disaster with a laughable 30 kilograms in gold tendered by the people from physical into "government-backed" form.

The Times of India has the details, and reports that in the first-week "collection by the government's sovereign gold bond scheme has been rather tepid with less than Rs 10 crore being reported to the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). The scheme, which closes on November 20, allows investors to purchase between 2 and 500 grams of gold-equivalent.

The spin was immediate: "bankers say that in any issue, savvy investors - including high net worth individuals - usually hold off until the closing date before locking in their funds." Or maybe they don't lock in their funds at all since giving the government your physical gold in exchange for a interest payment - in other words, converting gold into a paper asset with the government's blessing - is about as stupid as it gets. 

TofI adds that "the money raised through the sale of these bonds will form a part of government borrowing. According to sources, the RBI, which manages government borrowings, is keeping track of the collections and it has got a number of below Rs 8 crore until last weekend. Of this, around Rs 6.5 crore has been reported by banks and another Rs 1.35 crore by the Post Office. The government has fixed the issue price at Rs 2,684 per gram, which means that the gold-equivalent of the bonds is less than 30kg."

The government has been aggressively marketing the scheme on three main points:

  • It is more remunerative than buying gold as the investor gets an interest of 2.75% in addition to getting returns equivalent to the value of gold on maturity. Incidentally this is far below the rate of inflation, so the nominal interest does not even cover rising prices). 
  • Second, there is no risk of theft since the gold is held in dematerialized form.
  • Thirdly, although the bond has an eight-year tenure, it offers liquidity as it is accepted as collateral and there is also a premature exit option at the end of five years.

Alas, none of these appear to have had any impact on people's willingness to part with bullion.

Which brings us to our conclusion from two months ago, when we said that "the one thing to watch for is a shift in the posture of the Indian government: for now participation in the gold monetization scheme is voluntary, and largely geared to the general public with the 500 gram/year limit. But if and when the Modi cabinet starts "urging" the population, and certainly when threats of fines and/or prison time emerge, that is when we will finally have confirmation that the second coming of Executive Order 6102 has arrived."

If and when that happens, expect a full-blown global press to obliterate the price of gold as the gold confiscation wave is finally unleashed, first in India then everywhere else.

 

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Wed, 11/18/2015 - 22:03 | 6811765 JustObserving
JustObserving's picture

Around 20,000,000 kilos of gold in India and the government gets 30 kilos?

Wed, 11/18/2015 - 22:04 | 6811773 seek
seek's picture

Yeah, I think it's safe to say distrust of the government is as high (or higher!) in India as it is in the US.

Indians have long been known to be an intelligent culture.

Wed, 11/18/2015 - 22:11 | 6811791 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

Gold is money and nothing else is.

Except silver, but you get the point ;)

Wed, 11/18/2015 - 22:31 | 6811851 LowerSlowerDela...
LowerSlowerDelaware_LSD's picture

Something witty about sacred cows here but I can't think of anything.

Wed, 11/18/2015 - 23:27 | 6812006 Anonymous User
Anonymous User's picture

They rather take it in the ass than give up their bling-bling.

Is the only thing helping them to get  (ugly as hell) chicks:


http://www.thepornster.com/video/74/indian-wife-takes-it-in-the-ass

 


Thu, 11/19/2015 - 01:47 | 6812210 Kprime
Kprime's picture

no need to watch that, he's just a government agent in charge of repatriating physical gold; he's just probing for her gold.

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 05:16 | 6812389 VinceFostersGhost
VinceFostersGhost's picture

 

 

Yeah.....I'm gonna pay the fine.

 

Screw you bitch!

Wed, 11/18/2015 - 23:54 | 6812048 Dead Canary
Dead Canary's picture

Uh... Sacred cows make the tastiest burgers?

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 00:40 | 6812105 City_Of_Champyinz
City_Of_Champyinz's picture

I'm long Indian government metel detector contracts

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 08:47 | 6812662 Jethro
Jethro's picture

I've actually eaten a holy cow before, when I lived in New Delhi.  Worst beef ever.  Tasted exactly like their diet, which literally is garbage.

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 09:59 | 6812859 grumpyoldgit
grumpyoldgit's picture

for once betting your shirt actually means something

Wed, 11/18/2015 - 22:52 | 6811911 Osmium
Osmium's picture

WOW, no comment from teh Coinhead?

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 09:59 | 6812850 grumpyoldgit
grumpyoldgit's picture

could we use platinum?

 

I think the broader point is anything can be money provided it's supply cannot be limited or expanded by fiat

 

The market (as in freely/voluntary transacting economic actors) is the only sustainable and moral way of decising what money is

Wed, 11/18/2015 - 22:08 | 6811781 HungryPorkChop
HungryPorkChop's picture

And those idiots that loaned out the 30 kilo's to their govt deserve a Darwin Award because they have a better chance of getting killed by a Coke machine tipping over than ever getting back their gold.  ROFL

Wed, 11/18/2015 - 22:10 | 6811786 SSRI Junkie
SSRI Junkie's picture

the indian government probably loaned the gold to themselves to see if they could get the ball rolling...no such luck

Wed, 11/18/2015 - 23:37 | 6812017 seek
seek's picture

And at a whopping 30Kg, it's safe to say the government doesn't trust itself to return it.

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 00:21 | 6812079 nosam
nosam's picture

The 30 kilos are probably mainly from the temples. Even they dont seem to trust the government because 30 kilos is is a token amount compared to their stock.

Indians would be wise to keep their gold away from their NWO puppet banking head Raghuram Rajan. He recently sent some gold to London for convenience in transactions.

Wed, 11/18/2015 - 22:50 | 6811903 813kml
813kml's picture

Indians are just being practical, twenty pounds of gold necklaces are essential when trying to get into the downward dog.

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 02:11 | 6812233 Larry Dallas
Larry Dallas's picture

Indians are streetwise.

Wed, 11/18/2015 - 22:21 | 6811822 SHEEPFUKKER
SHEEPFUKKER's picture

Why don't they just by some from our friends at the CRIMEX? lol

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 08:44 | 6812654 commoncourtesy
commoncourtesy's picture

Good way to shift those 'lookey-likey' faux gold bars.

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 00:33 | 6812087 chrsn
chrsn's picture

Well, that affirms my belief that people in India are generally pretty smart.

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 00:48 | 6812119 Reichstag Fire Dept.
Reichstag Fire Dept.'s picture

The Indian government got 0.0000015% of the gold monetized...I'd say that's a massive sucess!!! ...considering that I wouldn't have thought anybody would have been that stupid as to part with physical gold for paper.

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 01:39 | 6812206 lasvegaspersona
lasvegaspersona's picture

If anything can rile the Indians it would be gold confiscation. Modi knows better I'm certain.

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 08:13 | 6812575 Tarshatha
Tarshatha's picture

I'm utterly and completely shocked they got one ounce.

It will come out soon that even that 30kg was staged.

Wed, 11/18/2015 - 22:07 | 6811769 Francis Marx
Francis Marx's picture

Hahahaha!

 

Politicians are completely stupid world wide. Well maybe not Putin though. Chess player.

Wed, 11/18/2015 - 22:11 | 6811792 nmewn
nmewn's picture

It's like a Gold Buy Back Program...or sumpin.

Just bring us in Grandpa's old gold coins he's got sitting around in the closet before they get out into the street in the wrong hands and they hurt someone!...lmao!

If we can save one child, it will have been worth it ;-)

Wed, 11/18/2015 - 22:19 | 6811813 logicalman
logicalman's picture

Some people seem to think brown people are dumb.

This should settle any argument.

 

Wed, 11/18/2015 - 22:22 | 6811824 Francis Marx
Francis Marx's picture

Percy...    does your mother know your online with out taking your medication?

Wed, 11/18/2015 - 22:29 | 6811847 logicalman
logicalman's picture

Please explain the relevance of your comment.

 

Wed, 11/18/2015 - 22:45 | 6811891 sleigher
sleigher's picture

Smart enough to turn it into clothing.  That may seem weird or gaudy or something, but when they are searching your bag at the airport, I doubt they will think to test your shirt.

Wed, 11/18/2015 - 22:23 | 6811829 Mandel Bot
Mandel Bot's picture

This is what will happen in the US when the gummint tries to collect all the guns.

Wed, 11/18/2015 - 22:27 | 6811834 Hongcha
Hongcha's picture

Gold is down hard this year in US dollars only.  Hence the Cash4Gold stores.  There are at least a dozen here in fucking Concord CA, numbnuts USA, home of the eight-year F350 no-down loans.  Unreal. The next correction will be a doozy.  The future of the Bay Area is disturbing to contemplate.

Wed, 11/18/2015 - 22:55 | 6811918 sleigher
sleigher's picture

So glad I moved away from there.  I miss some things, but that all goes away when I read statements like yours.

Wed, 11/18/2015 - 22:26 | 6811838 BandGap
BandGap's picture

Get married in India, they take in quite a haul of gold and silver. Guys I work with literally go back to India and throw the wedding for their entire towns. The biggest so far that I have heard of is 6000 guests. It is customary to give a gift of gold or silver at these weddings.

The pictures of their weddings are incredible. All of them have paid under $8000 for their weddings, BTW.

Wed, 11/18/2015 - 23:14 | 6811977 theliberalliberal
theliberalliberal's picture

Yeh went to my mates wedding near Bhuj. Pretty sure I was first white guy in their village. Giving them gold is part of the ceremony.

Wed, 11/18/2015 - 22:31 | 6811854 SgtShaftoe
SgtShaftoe's picture

The Indians have a little more sense than the people in the west. They know their governments are inept, corrupt and useless. The people in most western countries wave the flag with such a vigor.

Wave harder fucker or you'll go to the camp!

Wed, 11/18/2015 - 22:41 | 6811879 GRDguy
GRDguy's picture

Indians still remember their wealth being stolen by agents in the City of London Corporation.

(British East India Company / also known as The Honourable Company)

They'd rather fight than go through that again.

Wed, 11/18/2015 - 23:03 | 6811937 flyingcaveman
flyingcaveman's picture

That's not enough for them?  Just re-hypothicate that shit.  What the fuck is the problem?

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 00:35 | 6812099 silverer
silverer's picture

Are those guys called hypothecaries?

Wed, 11/18/2015 - 23:46 | 6812034 Dragon HAwk
Dragon HAwk's picture

Re-Hypothicating Gold in India is  showing

 the Same gold necklaces to 8 different girls trying to get laid...

 or is it showing them to 8 guys i get so confused

 

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 01:10 | 6812158 Zero-Hegemon
Zero-Hegemon's picture

Some towns in India have no girls AT ALL. Usually the mother-in-laws forces the daughter-in-laws to have an abortion if the fetus is a girl. So the one unlucky female that tries to walk through some of these areas will be lucky to survive after she is gang banged by about twenty dudes. Scary place. I guess they don't have trigger warnings or micro-agressions.

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 00:16 | 6812078 Muc Metals
Muc Metals's picture

Indian gold holders aren't stupid enough for giving away their physical stuff against a paper promise which will be broken sooner or later.  

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 00:34 | 6812095 silverer
silverer's picture

Smart move, dudes.

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 00:41 | 6812107 83_vf_1100_c
83_vf_1100_c's picture

Why am I thinking of MyRA? Cultural differences aside, anyone smart enough to buy phyz isn't gonna give it away to the .gov.

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 00:47 | 6812116 onmail1
onmail1's picture

Recently it was found (or lost) that the place where Indian customs kept its kilos (or tonnes) of confiscated gold had nothing but gold painted blocks (probably insiders looted all) .

Similarly ,the gold from GMS may also vanish someday & find its way back to switzerland or british caymen islands

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 06:13 | 6812435 August
August's picture

FWIW the Padmanabhaswamy Temple in Kerala with super-major holdings of assorted treasure ("by far the wealthiest institution and place of worship of any kind, in the recorded history of the world") is reported to also possess "gold plating equipment", and it seems that at times the security procedures surrounding the opening of vaults was not always followed with the strictest diligence.

Not to worry, though. Those high priests are pretty darn holy, so it's all good.

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 00:50 | 6812123 Reichstag Fire Dept.
Reichstag Fire Dept.'s picture

Do these Indian Gold Bonds come in the form of a roll?

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 01:07 | 6812153 Zero-Hegemon
Zero-Hegemon's picture

Perhaps a sausage roll, but not beef

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 06:42 | 6812460 Max Steel
Max Steel's picture

hahahaha

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 01:06 | 6812143 Zero-Hegemon
Zero-Hegemon's picture

Probably 30 Kg of gold bitcoins, these people aren't stupid, have been around for thousands of years, their culture has seen it all. No need to worry though, the government will for sure leverage those 30 Kg a billion to one, economy will grow!

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 01:21 | 6812172 DaveA
DaveA's picture

If someday paper money is worthless and gold is illegal, how are the men with badges and guns supposed to get paid? I suppose cops could just steal what they need or force shopkeepers to accept worthless banknotes, but in such a lawless environment, the word "illegal" has no meaning.

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 05:19 | 6812394 moratar
moratar's picture

When china started using paper money the penalty for not accepting paper currency was death. So you joking around about forcing might not be joke at all.

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 07:35 | 6812522 herkomilchen
herkomilchen's picture

If there are penalties associated with not accepting paper, just set one price in paper and another price in gold.  Your prices in paper money can be sky-high.  No one will pay with paper except a crony first receiver or government official on an expense account and you can quickly unload the paper for goods you can sell for gold.

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 01:41 | 6812207 Kprime
Kprime's picture

hell 30 kilos? here in america we could fractionally reserve that gold into 7 trillion in bonds by friday.

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 01:53 | 6812220 Dre4dwolf
Dre4dwolf's picture

Monetizing is pretty much just counterfeiting, why even monetize, just print.

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 01:58 | 6812224 Badsamm
Badsamm's picture

Everything looks great on paper

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 01:58 | 6812225 Badsamm
Badsamm's picture

Everything looks great on paper

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 05:02 | 6812375 Aussiekiwi
Aussiekiwi's picture

I love this reason for converting Physical Gold into Electronic Gold given by the government.

'Second, there is no risk of theft since the gold is held in dematerialized form.'

In other words, nobody can steal it because it no longer actually exists ....and now its gone.

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 07:39 | 6812526 DIGrif
DIGrif's picture

They should have said "there is no risk of theft, because we have already stolen it"

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 05:25 | 6812401 medium giraffe
medium giraffe's picture

Indians generally don't use toilet paper, probably why they weren't interested.

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 06:44 | 6812462 Max Steel
Max Steel's picture

lol

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 09:05 | 6812702 Fukushima Fricassee
Fukushima Fricassee's picture

"lol" is punk ass, something Obama and SOS Lurch might use in emails.

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 05:42 | 6812411 cinderalle
cinderalle's picture

last time i checked Ben Bernake said that gold is not money, wonder why governments want it

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 06:54 | 6812475 SMC
SMC's picture

Only gold is money.

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 06:55 | 6812476 Badsamm
Badsamm's picture

I want myra

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 09:11 | 6812715 Fukushima Fricassee
Fukushima Fricassee's picture

Mulato Yanker reems ass

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 07:54 | 6812543 sudzee
sudzee's picture

The POG in India in 1980 - 2015 rose some  24x in local currency. Indian gov't offer won't tempt anyone. 

Thu, 11/19/2015 - 12:36 | 6813626 DosZap
DosZap's picture

ROTFLMAO.

If these  STUPID Indian government officials try and seize the Indian populations gold, hey, it's their ass, and heads on a pike.

Jus sayin.(really good luck with that one)/s

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 03:27 | 6816781 rsh00
rsh00's picture

I have another article (referenced back to reuters) that says that the actual collection is...hold your breath...400 grams!

http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/only-400-gm-in-modis-gold-de...

The other scheme of actually selling gold coins by the government has had a runaway success.

Wed, 11/25/2015 - 13:08 | 6838658 Max Steel
Max Steel's picture

Exactly tyler fudged his number its 400 grams not 30 kg!!

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