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Spot The Odd One Out

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Seriously...

 

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:13 | 6817690 thesonandheir
thesonandheir's picture

The dip when it comes will be the mother of all dips.

 

Just buy it.

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:16 | 6817711 Pladizow
Pladizow's picture

Well yeah! This is simply capital fleeing the scene of the crime!

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:39 | 6817818 kralizec
kralizec's picture

What crime?  This is all quite "legal".

 

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:13 | 6817691 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

LMT FTMFW!!!

Too soon?

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:47 | 6817844 flyingpigg
flyingpigg's picture

Probably Central Banks at work to show terrorism will not hurt the economy.

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:13 | 6817694 pound the vix
pound the vix's picture

My puts expire worthless today.  Market crash coming soon. 

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:17 | 6817718 ShorTed
ShorTed's picture

you too, huh?

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:13 | 6817698 Francis Marx
Francis Marx's picture

No gold? If it closes below 1079 today, put a short in because thats bearish.

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:20 | 6817734 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

 

 

You mean if GLD closes below 1079.

Just a gues here, but you don't have any physical gold in your possession right?

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:25 | 6817755 Consuelo
Consuelo's picture

"You mean if GLD closes below 1079"

 

Perfect...

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 12:14 | 6817845 Francis Marx
Francis Marx's picture

Hi Mayem. Yes I have gold.

I mean if Gold closes at 1078.90 or less today friday.., put in your shorts.  GLD is fine. Its hard to guess because gold market doesnt close till 5. So its a good guess at the 4pm GLD close.  I would go to the january or later contracts with options. Gives one some room.  If it gets down to the 1050's range Then sell and wait for a ramp. Then buy shorts agian in the ramp, then sell the dip ect...

 

Its kind of funny when someone says something that no one likes, they become child like and think it will happen just because someone says so lol.    No...it just the numbers and the Time cycle that makes it so..

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:28 | 6817771 RafterManFMJ
RafterManFMJ's picture

My key technical support is $999.00; it breaks there, I'm selling the second car and buying more!

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 13:11 | 6818207 Francis Marx
Francis Marx's picture

Update at twelve: if gold closes below 1071 today, a lot of ears are going to be popping on the way down next week.  Look to 1040 ish.

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:15 | 6817707 Panic Mode
Panic Mode's picture

The defense companies share up because of buying the rumours of bombing the shit out of Syria.

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:33 | 6817783 Fred Hayek
Fred Hayek's picture

But . . . ?! We already did that. We were seriously and genuinely doing our best to stop that evil ISIS. Weren't we?

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:15 | 6817708 Hohum
Hohum's picture

OPEX. As ZH has pointed out.

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:16 | 6817714 Your guess is a...
Your guess is as good as mine's picture

Is this a repeat of a thousand calls for a crash in the S&P, trillions of dollars ago?

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:30 | 6817776 surf0766
surf0766's picture

When it comes time to pay and they begin taking yours for your own good, you will have more than enough to cover for the rest of us. Please continue and thank you for being you.

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:17 | 6817719 huggy_in_london
huggy_in_london's picture

Well, its pretty obvious that the govts waded in early in the week to ensure that "no terrorist can defeat our markets".

Its hilarious how the talking heads on tv 6 weeks ago at the lows were saying how they thought the market was expensive, they hated it etc... now, at the highs, they love it again, and are bullish.  Clearly they are merely momentum monkeys.

The market was barely "fair" under 1900.  At 2100 its (once again) expensive.  Good luck buying here.

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:19 | 6817723 cowdiddly
cowdiddly's picture

Let's see

Place gold on lockdown, Keep the bottom from completely falling out of oil, let the Euro drift down just right to keep from blowing something up, Morning Goose the stockmarket, and hold US 10 year to total manip and we make one more day. Just your free markets at work.

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:29 | 6817774 Consuelo
Consuelo's picture

Gold is on permanent 'lockdown' until:

 

a. The Chinese decide to unveil their physical holdings for the purposes of (fill in the blanks).

b. U.S. foreign policy decides to get really stupid in their back yard.

 

 

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:18 | 6817724 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

What goes up......must go up higher. 

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:18 | 6817727 hangemhigh77
hangemhigh77's picture

They should have a "humping" index. I would think humping would be up after a terrorist attack. All the sheep are literally fucking terrified.

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:47 | 6817849 Baa baa
Baa baa's picture

Yeah, sure... Terrified we are... Careful how you use that word "All".

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:18 | 6817729 Thisisbullishright
Thisisbullishright's picture

Moar terror is definately bullish!

BTFPTATH

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:20 | 6817736 hangemhigh77
hangemhigh77's picture

If there are no gay terrorists that's racist.

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:25 | 6817754 Banker Buster
Banker Buster's picture

Central bankers have been coming out since beginning of Oct, one after another.  We are at trading range highs on the daily chart and "should" be sellers up here, but Draghi is now coming out with more QE talk.  So the thing they do is when it's a good or decent area for bears to come in, they all start coming out talking shit about how they are going to QE or NIRP or keep ZIRP longer and no rate hikes.  All in an effort to blow out the bears and create buying from those bears.  They do this then shut up, then the market starts to weaken, then they come out again.  Manipulation, that's all it is.  

Dear central banks, let the market be a market.  Don't be scared because once we clear the books you can stop worrying about manipulating it every few days because the market will have it's own legs to stand on.  So raise rates, take QE off the table for good and lets do this.

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 12:36 | 6818080 Kaervek
Kaervek's picture

Why would they stop if it works oh so well?

There will be no rate hike, for whatever reason they will use this time (global turmoil, china weakness, bad data, blood in morning urine, ...)

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:27 | 6817764 Niall Of The Ni...
Niall Of The Nine Hostages's picture

Interest rate target held, oil price target held.

Everything is awesome, as far as the important are concerned.

French widows, widowers and orphans, not so much, but who cares about them?

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:30 | 6817775 Hubbs
Hubbs's picture

Tylers:

 

Do a series of correlation dot graphs with S&P price in real dollars on the Y axis vs an adjusted/weighted "blend" of traditional determinants/correlators of factors determining stock prices in the past, like actual EPS, true inflation, savings, interest rates, debt load  etc on the x axis.

 

I'll bet that at some time, maybe  decades ago, the  dots would cluster around a higher correlation value, whereas today, the dots have exploded all over the graph, indicating ZERO correlation of stock prices to ANYTHING.

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:35 | 6817795 Banker Buster
Banker Buster's picture

Probably so.  Sad times it is indeed.  There is one correlation, the one to the Fed balance sheet.

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 12:24 | 6818027 Hubbs
Hubbs's picture

oops. You're right. I forgot. But I could make the excuse that I, nor anyone else except the FED, knows what's on its balance sheet.

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 15:39 | 6818899 alphahammer
alphahammer's picture

 

Correlation is not causation.

 

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:32 | 6817782 thismarketisrigged
thismarketisrigged's picture

up 250, up 250, flat as a pancake for 2 days this week, and of course the friday meltup which will prob result in a 250 plus pt day again.

 

#NOTRIGGEDATALL#

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 15:38 | 6818891 alphahammer
alphahammer's picture

 

Well Mr Buffet, if you KNOW its rigged, then why aren't you front running the #MARKETRIGGERS and buying your own private island?

#CMONFORFUCKSAKE

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:35 | 6817791 highwaytoserfdom
highwaytoserfdom's picture

NOTHING HERE LOOK AWAY..

Tin Foil Hat

 

"Sweet Caroline Sweet Caroline Sweet Caroline"

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:43 | 6817830 MajorFall
MajorFall's picture

The next crash will take all the central banks with it.

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 12:01 | 6817913 RopeADope
RopeADope's picture

No, they can keep markets closed and let everyone know what the committee has decided the politically correct index level is.

Onward Soviet Amerika!

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 11:46 | 6817842 scintillator9
scintillator9's picture

And the Baltic Dry Index just hit a new lower low of 498 today!!

Just think, on December 5, 2008, during the "Great Recession", it only hit 663.

But, clearly, everything is FIXED now.

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 13:16 | 6818246 Y4-B_v8
Y4-B_v8's picture

ISIS will just get more and more pissed until they get the US and world economies in shambles. (as if they arent now)  Nothing like asking them do one better themselves.  They are scattered around the world to much to be "confined".  

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 13:55 | 6818463 aztrader
aztrader's picture

When a terrorist attack jacks up the market, you kind of wonder what is really going on.   I am surprised that the terrorists haven't  gone after the central bankers and other wall street types?   Would this affect the markets and really upset the status quo?............

 

 

Fri, 11/20/2015 - 15:36 | 6818882 alphahammer
alphahammer's picture

 

Who said the Paris attack "jacked up the market"?

This a chart. It has things on it.

Correlation (or lack of) is not causation.

For fuck sake...

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