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US Services Economy Surges To 7-Month Highs (As Manufacturing Hits 2 Year Low)

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Following US Manufacturing PMI's tumble to two year lows, amid slowing new orders and employment, Markit reports that US Services PMI rose to 56.5 - its highest since April. Amid a solid increase in job creation (low-paying compared to the job weakness in manufacturing) and improvement in business growth, the divergence between Services & Manufacturing is at its highest since Q3 2013 which presaged a complete collapse in Services.

 

Does 2013 ring any bells?

 

Commenting on the flash PMI data, Chris Williamson, chief economist at Markit said:

“The US economy is showing further robust economic growth in the fourth quarter, with the pace of expansion picking up in November.

 

“The upturn in the flash PMI brings the surveys up to a level indicative of 2.3% annualised GDP growth in November, up from 1.8% in October.

 

“The surveys therefore suggest the economy is on course to grow by just over 2% again in the fourth quarter, providing additional reassurance on the strength of the economy after yesterday’s GDP revision. The revision to official GDP annualised growth from 1.5% to 2.1% has brought the official third quarter growth rate into line with that signalled by the PMI.

 

Hiring remains healthy, albeit down on the trend seen earlier in the year. The November survey results are consistent with a non-farm payroll rise of approximately 180,000, down from an average of just over 200,000 in the first ten months of the year.

 

“The faster pace of growth and healthy hiring trend were accompanied by the sharpest rise in average selling prices seen for four months, providing a triple-boost to the chances of the Fed hiking interest rates at its next meeting.”

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Wed, 11/25/2015 - 10:55 | 6837771 MFL8240
MFL8240's picture

Laughable!

Wed, 11/25/2015 - 11:07 | 6837837 LowerSlowerDela...
LowerSlowerDelaware_LSD's picture

Woo, hoo!!!  More part-time bartenders.  Can't have a BOOMING economy without a lot of heavy drinking...

Wed, 11/25/2015 - 10:56 | 6837778 madbraz
madbraz's picture

not corrupt!

Wed, 11/25/2015 - 10:57 | 6837782 SSRI Junkie
SSRI Junkie's picture

they just print whatever numbers they want to justfiy their means to an end

Wed, 11/25/2015 - 11:00 | 6837791 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

“Let me be clear that negative interest rates was not something that we considered very seriously at all today. It was not one of our main policy options under consideration..." Ms. Yellen said.

Wed, 11/25/2015 - 10:59 | 6837793 Gatos Locos
Gatos Locos's picture

They must  have hired more  greeters  at Walmart.

Wed, 11/25/2015 - 11:18 | 6837886 silverer
silverer's picture

You know what I noticed yesterday, while walking around in a Home Depot?  Of every employee wearing a safety orange apron out on the floor, every one I saw looked over 65 years old.  I wondered why they were hiring these guys instead of young people in need of their first job?   Then I realized it:  The old folks were sacrificing themselves for the Home Depot's success.  Think about it:  they deserved retirement, but became captives of a failed American system.  Government promises, which turned out to be lies.  Home Depot takes advantage, as a large corporation does these days, and benefits because they see how much better these workers are in several areas:  knowledgeable, reliable, trustworthy, honest, even tempered, responsible, used to interfacing and socializing with people in a real way (face to face reality).  Home Depot benefits because these people need little training, appreciate the job, can be counted on and trusted to produce the required results instead of excuses, etc.. They are in effect, squeezing the last drops of blood out of the fading traditional American worker.  If this isn't an indicator of a failed state, I don't know what is.

Wed, 11/25/2015 - 12:04 | 6838195 Next to Arch Stanton
Next to Arch Stanton's picture

I've noticed that too.  At the other end of the services spectrum, would be some of the older department stores.  Recent experience at Macy's was an eye opener (I rarely go to a department store but we were picking up some housewares).  Retail clerk was a 20-something female who didn't care much for the people she was dealing with.  At the register, she didn't acknowledge us, just starting grabbing merchandise to scan.  Sniffing repeatedly until she finally wiped her nose on her arm.  Had trouble working the register and had to seek assistance of the older employee.  No "Thank You" when finished.  I feel bad for my kids and what kind of economy and society they will have to survive in.

Wed, 11/25/2015 - 12:46 | 6838469 Normalcy Bias
Normalcy Bias's picture

Been to a Sears in the last year? I've seen Funeral Homes that were more lively and upbeat.

Wed, 11/25/2015 - 11:19 | 6837899 PaulyKman
PaulyKman's picture

My dad stole my son's job at a McDonald's drive-up window :(

Wed, 11/25/2015 - 11:02 | 6837810 KansasCrude
KansasCrude's picture

Markit is nothing but a FED lackey.  Their numbers become more laughable by the month....

Wed, 11/25/2015 - 11:05 | 6837827 hmn
hmn's picture

Buy the dip...always works.  Fed has your back.  Easy money.

Wed, 11/25/2015 - 11:07 | 6837835 Ajax_USB_Port_R...
Ajax_USB_Port_Repair_Service_'s picture

US Service Economy Surges!

Great! Now even more young adults can continue to live with their parents.

Wed, 11/25/2015 - 11:08 | 6837842 RawPawg
RawPawg's picture

bartender giving you 2 mugs of beer instead of 1

yeah,your that thirsty

Wed, 11/25/2015 - 11:08 | 6837847 silverer
silverer's picture

Things will be better than ever when the bulk of the population focuses their expenditures on alcohol and food, which is what the US has continuously geared up for.  One big, happy party!  Liberalism works!  We have arrived!

Wed, 11/25/2015 - 11:12 | 6837858 yellowsub
yellowsub's picture

Companies use re-org to fire higher wage and re-hire at lower.

Seeing this w/o the lay off rate doesn't really show anything but then again companies that provide severance would skew the numbers some.

Wed, 11/25/2015 - 11:19 | 6837896 Herdee
Herdee's picture

Go out for pizza or have a BigMac attack,you're helping the service sector.That's the speed of the recovery.It's all low paying crapola slavery. John McCain and all the Neocon Warmongers sold America out to Communist China to help finance the $19 trillion dollar deficit and send American jobs overseas.Then you see McCain pictured with his CIA so-called moderate terrorists funded by CIA drug money from Afghanistan and the same groups have links to the same Saudi Arabia organisation behind 911.It's a very sick world in Washington and the Neocons think they are above the law.Topit off,Obama meets with the King of Saudi Arabia who is the world's largest supporter or terrorism and human rights abuses.Obama is nothing more than a cheap CIA whore.

Wed, 11/25/2015 - 11:22 | 6837910 PaulyKman
PaulyKman's picture

It's been doing wonders for healthcare, no?

Wed, 11/25/2015 - 11:23 | 6837921 SillyWabbits
SillyWabbits's picture

The curious task of economics is to demonstrate to men how little they really know about what they imagine they can design.

 

Friedrich August von Hayek

Wed, 11/25/2015 - 11:30 | 6837968 Smegley Wanxalot
Smegley Wanxalot's picture

Little do they know that despite all their rosey hopes and predictions, it still might snow unexpectedly this winter, causing a drop in business.

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