Why We’re Sliding Towards World War

George Washington's picture

Paul Craig Roberts – former Assistant Secretary of the Treasury under President Reagan, former editor of the Wall Street Journal, listed by Who’s Who in America as one of the 1,000 most influential political thinkers in the world, PhD economist – wrote an article about the build up of hostilities between the U.S. and Russia titled, simply: “War Is Coming”.

Similarly, Ronald Reagan’s head of the Office of Management and Budget – David Stockman – is posting pieces warning of the dispute between the U.S. and Russia leading to World War 3.

Trend forecaster Gerald Celente – who has been making some accurate financial and geopolitical predictions for decades – says WW3 will start soon.

Investment fund manager and adviser Martin Armstrong has charted the “cycles of war” back to 600 BC … and says that we’ll have major wars between now and 2020. He has written pieces recently entitled, “Why We will Go to War with Russia“, and another one saying, “Prepare for World War III“.

Investment adviser Larry Edelson – who has long studied the “cycles of war” – recently wrote:

This year … we will also be hit by another ramping up of the related war cycles.




All part and parcel of the rising war cycles that I’ve been warning you about, conditions that will not abate until at least the year 2020.

Former Goldman Sachs technical analyst Charles Nenner – who has made some big accurate calls, and counts major hedge funds, banks, brokerage houses, and high net worth individuals as clients – says there will be “a major war”, which will drive the Dow to 5,000.

Veteran investor adviser James Dines forecast a war as epochal as World Wars I and II, starting in the Middle East.

What’s causing the slide towards war? We discuss several causes below.

Debt, Economic Collapse and Distraction

Martin Armstrong – who studies cycles, and managed multi-billion dollar sovereign investment funds – argues that war plans against Syria are really about debt and spending:

The Syrian mess seems to have people lining up on Capital Hill when sources there say the phone calls coming in are overwhelmingly against any action. The politicians are ignoring the people entirely. This suggests there is indeed a secret agenda to achieve a goal outside the discussion box. That is most like the debt problem and a war is necessary to relief the pressure to curtail spending.

Armstrong says the same thing caused Turkey to shoot down a Russian fighter jet over Syria:

This mess lies squarely in the hands of the Obama Administration and then to have the audacity to pretend Turkey had a right to defend its airspace when not being attacked is just too much. These people NEED war to distract everyone from the Sovereign Debt Crisis that is causing the collapse of governments for a system of borrowing year after year with ABSOLUTELY no intention of ever paying any debt off.

The same logic applies to Europe and other countries …

Armstrong writes:

Our greatest problem is the bureaucracy wants a war. This will distract everyone from the NSA and justify what they have been doing. They need a distraction for the economic decline that is coming.

Billionaire hedge fund manager Kyle Bass notes:

Trillions of dollars of debts will be restructured and millions of financially prudent savers will lose large percentages of their real purchasing power at exactly the wrong time in their lives. Again, the world will not end, but the social fabric of the profligate nations will be stretched and in some cases torn. Sadly, looking back through economic history, all too often war is the manifestation of simple economic entropy played to its logical conclusion. We believe that war is an inevitable consequence of the current global economic situation.

Billionaire investor Jim Rogers notes:

A continuation of bailouts in Europe could ultimately spark another world war, says international investor Jim Rogers.




“Add debt, the situation gets worse, and eventually it just collapses. Then everybody is looking for scapegoats. Politicians blame foreigners, and we’re in World War II or World War whatever.”

Economist and investment manager Marc Faber says that the American government will start new wars in response to the economic crisis:

A Handful of People Make a Killing Off War

War is very good for a handful of defense contractors and banksters who make huge sums from backing unnecessary war.

America is now officially an oligarchy.  And a high-level Bush administration official – Colonel Lawrence Wilkerson – says that the oligarchy controls American war-making decisions.

So the people who stand to make a killing from wars push the government into fighting them.

Voodoo Economics

Many influential economists and talking heads hold the discredited belief that war is good for the economy.

Therefore, many are overtly or more subtly pushing for war under the mistaken view that it will help the economy.

Challengers Give Declining Empires “Itchy Fingers”

Historians say that declining empires tend to attack their rising rivals … so the risk of world war is rising because the U.S. feels threatened by the rising empire of China.

The U.S. government considers economic rivalry to be a basis for war. Therefore, the U.S. is systematically using the military to contain China’s growing economic influence.

Competition for Resources Is Heating Up

In addition, it is well-established that competition for scarce resources often leads to war. For example, Oxford University’s Quarterly Journal of Economics notes:

In his classic, A Study of War, Wright (1942) devotes a chapter to the relationship between war and resources. Another classic reference, Statistics of Deadly Quarrels by Richardson (1960),extensively discusses economic causes of war, including the control of “sources of essential commodities.”A large literature pioneered by Homer-Dixon (1991, 1999) argues that scarcity of various environmental resources is a major cause of conflict and resource wars (see Toset, Gleditsch, and Hegre 2000, for empirical evidence).




In the War of the Pacific (1879–1884), Chile fought against a defensive alliance of Bolivia and Peru for the control of guano [i.e. bird poop] mineral deposits. The war was precipitated by the rise in the value of the deposits due to their extensive use in agriculture.




Westing (1986) argues that many of the wars in the twentieth century had an important resource dimension. As examples he cites the Algerian War of Independence (1954–1962), the Six Day War (1967), and the Chaco War (1932–1935). More recently, Saddam Hussein’s invasion of Kuwait in 1990 was a result of the dispute over the Rumaila oil field. In Resource Wars (2001), Klare argues that following the end of the Cold War, control of valuable natural resources has become increasingly important, and these resources will become a primary motivation for wars in the future.

Former Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan (and many world leaders) admitted that the Iraq war was really about oil, and former Treasury Secretary Paul O’Neill says that Bush planned the Iraq war before 9/11. And see this and this. Libya, Syria, Iran and Russia are all oil-producing countries as well …

Indeed, we’ve extensively documented that the wars in the Middle East and North Africa are largely about oil and gas. The wars in Syria and Iraq are about pipelines.  The war in Gaza may be no exception. And see this. And Ukraine may largely be about gas as well.

And James Quinn and Charles Hugh Smith say we’re running out of all sorts of resources … which will lead to war.

Central Banking and Currency Wars

We’re in the middle of a global currency war – i.e. a situation where nations all compete to devalue their currencies the most in order to boost exports. Brazilian president Rousseff said in 2010:

The last time there was a series of competitive devaluations … it ended in world war two.

Jim Rickards agrees:

Currency wars lead to trade wars, which often lead to hot wars. In 2009, Rickards participated in the Pentagon’s first-ever “financial” war games. While expressing confidence in America’s ability to defeat any other nation-state in battle, Rickards says the U.S. could get dragged into “asymmetric warfare,” if currency wars lead to rising inflation and global economic uncertainty.

As does billionaire investor Jim Rogers:

Trade wars always lead to wars.

Given that China, Russia, India, Brazil and South Africa have joined together to create a $100 billion bank based in China, and that more and more trades are being settled in Yuan or Rubles – instead of dollars – the currency war is quickly heating up.

Indeed, many of America’s closest allies are joining China’s effort … which is challenging America and the Dollar’s hegemony.

Multi-billionaire investor Hugo Salinas Price says:

What happened to [Libya’s] Mr. Gaddafi, many speculate the real reason he was ousted was that he was planning an all-African currency for conducting trade. The same thing happened to him that happened to Saddam because the US doesn’t want any solid competing currency out there vs the dollar. You know Gaddafi was talking about a gold dinar.

Senior CNBC editor John Carney noted:

Is this the first time a revolutionary group has created a central bank while it is still in the midst of fighting the entrenched political power? It certainly seems to indicate how extraordinarily powerful central bankers have become in our era.


Robert Wenzel of Economic Policy Journal thinks the central banking initiative reveals that foreign powers may have a strong influence over the rebels.


This suggests we have a bit more than a ragtag bunch of rebels running around and that there are some pretty sophisticated influences. “I have never before heard of a central bank being created in just a matter of weeks out of a popular uprising,” Wenzel writes.

Indeed, some say that recent wars have really been about bringing all countries into the fold of Western central banking.

Runaway Inequality

Paul Tudor Jones – founder of the Tudor Investment Corporation and the Tudor Group, which trade in the fixed-income, equity, currency and commodity markets – said recently:

This gap between the 1 percent and the rest of America, and between the US and the rest of the world, cannot and will not persist.


Historically, these kinds of gaps get closed in one of three ways: by revolution, higher taxes or wars.

And see this.

War Is Destroying Our National Security, Our Democracy and Our Economy

We spent trillions in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Yet we’re now less safe after 13 years of war.

Never-ending wars are also destroying our democratic republic. The Founding Fathers warned against standing armies, saying that they destroy freedom. (Update). Perversely, our government treats anti-war sentiment as terrorism.

The Founding Fathers – and the father of free market capitalism – also warned against financing wars with debt. But according to Nobel prize winning economist Joseph Stiglitz, the U.S. debt for the Iraq war could be as high as $5 trillion dollars (or $6 trillion dollars according to a study by Brown University.)

Indeed, top economists say that war is destroying our economy.

But war is great for the bankers and the defense contractors. And – as discussed above – governments are desperate for war.

So it’s up to us – the people – to stop wider war.

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dizzyfingers's picture

GW: please don't debase yourself: Who's Who? Really? http://www.forbes.com/forbes-life-magazine/1999/0308/063.html



tumblemore's picture

The banking mafia usually start wars because it increases debt and they get paid interest on every drop of blood they cause - hence why most wars are banker's wars.


This time I think it's slightly different because the banking mafia have already created too much debt (and caused a global stagnation in the process).


As a result of banksters screwing up the world economy the rest of the world (RoW) are trying to break away from the financial system created after WWII and to protect their global dominance the banking mafia are using the US military (via bought politicians and media) to scare the RoW into backing down. Russia is standing up to the banking mafia because they are currently the only ones who can.


So it's a game of chicken between Russia (with RoW quietly cheering from behind) and the banking mafia with their pawns.




There's also a separate but overlapping strand involving neocons wanting to use the US military to destroy Israel's enemies.




On top of that there's also now a massively complex multi-factional regional war including a sunni vs shia conflict and a Kurds vs everybody conflict which was set off as a result of the Iraq invasion.


This part is the wild card that will likely set it all off.

dizzyfingers's picture

Wars solve oil-glut problems.

Raymond_K._Hessel's picture
Raymond_K._Hessel (not verified) Nov 27, 2015 10:41 AM
Carl LaFong's picture

Who are these "zionists" that everybody is so afraid of? Are they Jews? I don't get it. There are definitely Jewish banksters and tech jerk-offs who are very powerful and corrupt. But are the Clintons, Bushes, Obama, Merkle, Hollande, the Rockefellers, Fords, Halliburtons, Gates, and the many other non-Jewish neoCons and NWO elitists, munitions manufacturers and thousands of other monsters Zionists as well? Based on the anti-zionist comments I read here, it doesn't seem that all Jews are "zionists" and all "zionists" are Jews. Is there a new definition of "zionists" that includes all these gentiles? If so, where can one find this definition?  

Raymond_K._Hessel's picture
Raymond_K._Hessel (not verified) Carl LaFong Nov 27, 2015 10:48 AM

'Pursuit of comprehensive peace with all of Israel’s neighbors was to be abandoned for selective peace with some neighbors (namely Jordan and Turkey) and implacable antagonism toward others (namely Iraq, Syria, and Iran). The weight of its strategic allies would tip the balance of power in favor of Israel, which could then use that leverage to topple the regimes of its strategic adversaries by using covertly managed “proxy forces” and “the principle of preemption.” Through such a “redrawing of the map of the Middle East,” Israel would “shape the regional environment,” and thus, “Israel will not only contain its foes; it will transcend them.”'



Carl LaFong's picture

One can debate the wisdom of that strategy (I personally think it was a mistake). But, what does that have to do with my question?

Johnny Horscaulk's picture
Johnny Horscaulk (not verified) Nov 27, 2015 8:36 AM



Very largely.

Iraq was not about oil for the Ziocons who led the charge from their think tanks and newspapers.


Niall Of The Nine Hostages's picture

Our masters are well aware that when their free sea of oil in Saudi runs out all the Fed-confetti in the world won't be able to stop the Great Reset, Russia's becoming leader of a free, prosperous and Islam-free Eurasia, and the abomination that is the United States flying apart, with the Union Army self-disbanding or turning on the banksters once anybody with any choice stops cashing Uncle Sugar's shit checks.

Compared to a fair trial, nuclear holocaust must be looking pretty good to our betters right now. They never had any intention of letting the meek inherit the earth while the earth was still habitable.

Not to mention that one of the reasons they enjoy power in the first place is the thrill psychopaths get from cruelty for cruelty's sake. 

dexter_morgan's picture
A Handful of People Make a Killing Off War

Rothschilds primarily. ZWO/NEOcons in general

Escapeclaws's picture

Don't the Rothschilds ever get tired of making money? You know it's really pretty boring being obsessed with money.

AGAU's picture

Why we're sliding to World Peace and Prosperity,

We are sliding to World Peace because we are now able to recognise the control mechanisms used to dictate our every thought.

Start using silver today. Get it in circulation  - not in boxes.


lakecity55's picture

WW1: It could be said Britain feared a rising Economic Germany under the Kaiser as a threat to its own faltering empire.

WW2: The world was mired in depression. Within about 4 years, Japan invaded Manchuria, Germany invaded Europe, and the Japs attacked the USA.

WW3? Reckless and irresponsible bankers collapsed the economy in 2008. Resources are getting scarce. The demise of the dollar would create Havoc for the Atlanticists. War?

Yes, it's possible, if you follow the money...

Noplebian's picture
Noplebian (not verified) Nov 26, 2015 4:33 PM
WW3 – Turkey/ISIS/Russia – The Countdown Has Begun


lasvegaspersona's picture

Another...the anonymous blogger who together with his American friend FOA (and the source of underlying ideas for FOFOA)...said that there was hopefully a way out of the American debt mess without war. The idea is that if the world can continue internationl trade as the dollar implodes, all countries can maintain enough stability to resolve issues without resort to war.

In the end the dollar dies (as it must due to the fact that it is at the end of its useful life as a fiat currency and as the global reserve). This hyperinflationary end will relieve the US of its externel debt. It will of course  leave all the accumulated wealth stored in dollars  worthless. It will hurt individuals. The central banks that hold US paper however can come out unscathed. The gold they hold on their balance sheets will rise in price and the empty space where treasuries once stood will be filled with gold's new higher price.

Consider the Euro. It holds roughly 60% gold and 40% bonds, mostly US Treasuries, in current dollar valuation. If Treasuries go to zero then gold would be the only asset left. It would suddenly be the only surviving reserve asset on the planet. Its price would no longer be expressed in dollar terms but the  purchasing power of an ounce would rise dramatically. The Euro would survive and the EZ would suffer sustainable loses even in the face of the greatest default in human history. Even the USA would still have its gold. The Fed's dollar would be gone but the American government's Treasury still holds 8133 tons (...yes I am aware there are opinions to the contrary)

Other countries are preparing in a similar manner. Certainly China and Russia are. All would ultimately be able to walk away from the coming demise of the dollar.

So while there can be many causes for war, a war due to betrayal of a financial promise does not need to occur in this instance. If China and Russia do not want war they could easily just ignore the US to some  extent and allow the collapse to occur. They might even derive some national pleasure watching the US deal with the end of 44 years of exorbitant privilege.

US leadership could still press for war to obscure the problems in the finances of the nation but there is not exactly an overwhelming groundswelll of support for war. In fact I'd say the interest in having it out with the Ruskies or the ChiComs is nil in the hinterlands and even just mixed in DC. This isn't 1939. Everyone is nuked up. Only madmen would play a brinksmanship game in the face of total annihilationn of the species.....unfortunately that does not mean it can't happen.

For the record I am personally against being evaporated in a nuclear furnace knowing a lot of people I care about are sharing the same unpleasant experience in the last milliseconds of their existence.

I am saying war in not inevitable. 

All Out Of Bubblegum's picture

Marx wasn't wrong about everything.

"Thus we find every tyrant backed by a Jew, as is every Pope by a Jesuit. In truth, the cravings of oppressors would be hopeless, and the practicability of war out of the question, if there were not an army of Jesuits to smother thought and a handful of Jews to ransack pockets."

-Karl Marx


nah's picture

If society feels it needs war we are loosing our civilization


war has nothing valuable in it


save death

numapepi's picture

You know, I was thinking toilet paper is probably a good investment, because when the shit hits the fan... people will need a lot of toilet paper.



rejected's picture

Well, just keep plenty of cash on hand. Problem solved.

tarabel's picture



When the shit hits the fan, people are going to need baby wipes more than toilet paper.

Depending on whether they have their mouths open at the time, Listerine and toothbrushes could also make good investments.

xavi1951's picture

Seriously!  Will this end the tax credit for solar?

overmedicatedundersexed's picture

the war on climate will save the planet..as obuma said: "we will show the terrorists we can save the world from AGW, by meeting in Paris. They have not won.."

Is this insanity in plain sight ?? can it be more clear ?this man is insane?

if he is, then WWIII can happen as leadership are bat shit crazy.

put that in your musing on causes of war.

terrifying to think this guy has power of atomic war with just the push of a few buttons.

He is the biggest threat to our nation by far.


lakecity55's picture

He cannot push any button, enter any code unless he is ordered to do so by the Deep State. Therefore, it does not matter (up to a point) how bonkers he is.

GreatUncle's picture

I don't think we will have WW3 but a continual state of small wars.

Small wars help some of the economic issues to disappear enabling a nation to continue just a little bit longer without having to face up to the economic reality. When the effect wears off though start another one and this has been going on for a decade now with a legacy of failed states as examples.

So after Syria who will be next?

dreadnaught's picture

well if the GEORGIA GUIDESTONES are any indicator, those in power want to reduce the worlds population to 500,000,000-just enough slaves to serve those in control-WW3 is a forgone conclusion-attrition just wont do the job

actually letting the earth go wild again will be a plus even if im not part of it

tarabel's picture



As I've mentioned previously, I'm okay with 500 million.

There's 300 million Americans with guns. Everyone else is free to split up the other 200 any way they think is fair.

wanderer9641's picture

I am sure that the 300 million with guns will do some housecleaning first -  goodbye to politicians, bankers and lawyers

rejected's picture

Drive around,,, look how ameriKans treat each other on the roads and public places. Look how rude and discourteous they are towards each other. Look how selfish, conceited and arrogant they are.

An avid 2nd amendment fan but I'm not sure 300 million of these asswipes with guns is a good thing when the SHTF.

Rancho Texican's picture

Just hope for your sake you don't run into me.

tarabel's picture



It all depends on which part of the country you are in. Out here in the 80% that is not in the grip of the Eurofag acolytes, it is still America. The things you complain about are invisible to me-- as are stop lights, traffic cops, and intrusive regulators. Yet somehow us rednecks manage to survive.

As Reagan said: The ten most feared words in the English language: I'm from the government and I'm here to help you.


J Jason Djfmam's picture

Don't worry, the up coming Darwin Games will weed out the riff-raff.

Lost in translation's picture

You stole my thunder, agreed completely.

The behavior on public roads tells the story...

Berspankme's picture

I still expect something that will lead to a suspension of election in 2016, maybe War or maybe economic collapse but these evil bastards like the magic mulatto. He does just as he's told

petroglyph's picture

What difference do elections make? Presidents are picked from the appointed candidates, wtf?

dizzyfingers's picture

Absolutely! Don't support organized crime, don't vote.

tarabel's picture



If there were some way commeasurate with the survival of freedom and the maintenance of personal honor, I would be in favor of postponing or avoiding the onrushing war. Since I do not see another pathway that would clear off the tyrannical deadwood fastened around the necks of all men of goodwill in every country, I would prefer to get it over with-- after perhaps a short period for additional last-minute preparations.

"The war," to summon the spirit of Patrick Henry, "is inevitable. And let it come. I repeat, sir, let it come."

The one thing I fear the most is that war will come and I will be in some nursing home waiting to find out who my new overlords will be and hoping that they will be kind to an old man who cannot hurt them in any way.

dreadnaught's picture

"old man" eh? blow your cover?

tarabel's picture



A cute blonde avatar and/or one with big tits is an irresistible lure. Right?

SmittyinLA's picture

Where I live Mexican invasion and Mexican voters are causing debt and collapse, LA is the new "city of Bell CA" and everything is being looted in CA, even CALPERS is being looted.

LA scrapped a perfectly good power plant because it used ocean water, using ocean water for cooling is now "illegal" by the CA legislature.

Meanwhile in San Diego.... they're building a desalination plant to use the same water a power plant was scrapped in LA for using.

Ocean water for power no
Ocean water for drinking OK

Lost in translation's picture

LOVE your posts, Smitty. I live in LA too and you tell it like it is, no BS. You're spot-on.

BTW is your son still with the wealthy mainland lady? Just wonder how that's going, my (limited) experience with mainland people has been not good...

jomama's picture

You mean using ocean water to cool nuclear reactors?


Slight omission on your part?

Commander Cody's picture

LA has no nuclear power plants.  Slight error on your part?

Tall Tom's picture

Even San Onofre is shut down,

rsnoble's picture

If they claim 'the world isn't going to end' and crap like 'won't abate till 2020'.............then bet your fucking ass it's all scripted.  I don't normally buy into that theory, but if that's what they're saying and there still out doing business deals instead of hiding in bunkers for something they're so sure about.............not only is it scripted, they have the fucking script.

rsnoble's picture

Or, I suppose it's possible they are just FUCKING STUPID.

SgtShaftoe's picture

Yes they're stupid.  All psychopaths tend to take things too far.  It's the swing of the pendulum.  It's very nearly at the end of it's pass and will return to normalcy shortly.  Bunkers are completely fucking stupid (although seductive).  George Patton made a very important quote regarding this subject of the french Maginot line: "Fixed fortifications are the monuments to the stupidity of man."

Net net: Bunkers are usually completely fucking stupid and useless.  They'll just shoot you when you go outside to take a piss, take out the garbage, etc, etc. 

blindman's picture

THE HEART IS associated and connected to all
dependent functions.
nothing survives without it.
"“Above all else guard your heart, for from it flows the wellsprings of life.”
~ Proverbs 4:23

By Catherine Austin Fitts

Globally, the leading cause of deaths is heart disease — approximately 7.5 mm deaths a year. Let’s call heart disease what it really is: a broken heart.

Globally, violence causes 1.6 million deaths annually. If you break that that down in the United States, 611,000 people die each year from a broken heart, 16,000 from homicide and 41,000 from suicide. That’s to say, each day 1674 people die from a broken heart, 112 from suicide and 43 from homicide.

More people died in France two weeks ago from a broken heart than from covert warfare and false flags.

This means that, globally, you should be spending (at a minimum) ten times as much concern about the risk of those you love dying of a broken heart than from violence. In the developed world, you should spend (40) times as much concern on protecting yourself and your loved ones from a broken heart as from terrorist acts or violent crime.

While I appreciate that it is hard to ignore the latest boogeyman, understand that one of the goals of the people organizing and financing these operations and the subsequent boogeyman media shriek-o-meter is to destroy your faith, your hope and your love.

Consequently, there is nothing more important you can do today than to nurture your faith, your hope and your love."
Guard Your Heart
Catherine, News & Commentary on November 21, 2015 at 9:11 pm