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How One "Lucky" Options Trader Made A 60,000% Return Over The Weekend

Tyler Durden's picture




 

With Keurig Green Mountain trading around $51 late on Friday, one "hopeful" options trader decided it was an opportune time to buy 99 $60 call options (controlling 9,900 shares or around $594,000 worth at the strike) which unless something miraculous happened would expire entirely worthless within a week. Well... a miracle happened over the weekend, CMGR was bought at a 78% premium and that "lucky" options trader cashed in his lottery ticket with a 60,000% return.

 

 

With a strike requiring a 20% gain in less than 7 days... seems like a very lucky last-minute winning buyer of this lottery ticket.

 

h/t @SJosephBurns

 

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Mon, 12/07/2015 - 11:59 | 6887966 order66
order66's picture

Nothing unusual there.

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:01 | 6887981 Truther
Truther's picture

Dimon's love child.

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:10 | 6888015 pods
pods's picture

Hillary.  Just another lucky thing like her cattle futures.

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:18 | 6888038 JRobby
JRobby's picture

She(He) is a cattle future

He(She) is a future cattle

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:25 | 6888096 InjectTheVenom
InjectTheVenom's picture

but, how do we know that whoever bought these calls, wasn't maybe already short the stock outright/naked, maybe planning to cover some shorts this week, and the calls weren't just a hedge, "just in case" ?  

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:29 | 6888112 Manthong
Manthong's picture

Who did he know and how did he know him?

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:54 | 6888263 SumTing Wong
SumTing Wong's picture

Worse...who is the dumb ass on the other side of the trader. Typically it is me, but not this time..

All we can hope is that it is one of the market makers.

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 13:04 | 6888313 Stackers
Mon, 12/07/2015 - 13:43 | 6888524 Buckaroo Banzai
Buckaroo Banzai's picture

99 calls?? Why not an even 100? Or is that some sort of reporting requirement threshold?

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 13:05 | 6888323 Leopold B. Scotch
Leopold B. Scotch's picture

I'm sure Lord Blankfein has a hand in it, so stop asking question.

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 14:07 | 6888664 CPL
CPL's picture

It's how you pass a bribe in the open with a tax receipt.  Should be able to look at the transaction ownership to find out the names.  As shady and as crooked as markets are, every transaction on a public market has to have a filing done for all the bean counters and lawyers to sign.

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 14:35 | 6888793 spanish inquisition
spanish inquisition's picture

Perfect for paying off a congressman who can trade on inside info

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 14:35 | 6888794 spanish inquisition
spanish inquisition's picture

Perfect for paying off a congressman who can trade on inside info

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 13:57 | 6888604 Ramesees
Ramesees's picture

Don't bring reason or understanding of trading to this debate!  We know he's guilty!!!!

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:30 | 6888116 Oracle 911
Oracle 911's picture

Why not both?

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:16 | 6888042 manofthenorth
manofthenorth's picture

I would bet $495 that "LUCK" had nothing to do with it.

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:17 | 6888045 y3maxx
y3maxx's picture

No fluke here...definite insider trade.

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:35 | 6888151 Doubleguns
Doubleguns's picture

There is no such thing as insider trades any more. They are just more informed traders. 

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:23 | 6888078 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

Behold, the EMH in all its glory.  It's a Free Market, and you ain't in it.

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:55 | 6888240 jeff montanye
jeff montanye's picture

it's a big club and we ain't in it.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i5dBZDSSky0

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:56 | 6888259 OregonGrown
OregonGrown's picture

I have 90 gold miner options that close january 2017 i bought at 5 cents as well.... Hoping for the same POP!  

Is it going to take a year to see the miners explode?  I got 5 on it.... we will see!

 

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:02 | 6887973 Ghost of PartysOver
Ghost of PartysOver's picture

I wonder who wrote those options?   Probably a 20 something with a little account that thinks he knows everything about trading.  After all he/she would be a precious Snowflake.

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:10 | 6888016 ShorTed
ShorTed's picture

I'm sensing a micro-aggression.  Is there a safe space here?

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 13:33 | 6888481 Yancey Ward
Yancey Ward's picture

Almost certainly someone writing a covered call trying to squeeze income out of his/her holding.  Literally kicking his own ass this morning.

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:01 | 6887980 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

Pussy. Should have bought 999 calls. 

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:02 | 6887984 CHoward
CHoward's picture

"What did he know and when did he know it?"

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:03 | 6887987 Glass Seagull
Glass Seagull's picture

 

 

Sometimes I wish I were lucky as opposed to well hung (in Japanese yen terms).

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 13:01 | 6888293 tarabel
tarabel's picture

 

 

Well, we'll strike you from the list of those who ought to be well hung in American judicial terms.

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:03 | 6887988 franciscopendergrass
franciscopendergrass's picture

Was this the same guy that bought puts on airline stocks before 9/11?

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:03 | 6887990 A Dollar Short
A Dollar Short's picture

The buyer's last name must have been Clinton..

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:07 | 6887993 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Cha-ching!  Surely, this trader has no inside knowledge.

"30-1 on double sixes!" Ah...the "luck" of the dice!

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:08 | 6888005 exartizo
exartizo's picture

soooo..... $300k

on a $500 bet.

nice.

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:17 | 6888047 JRobby
JRobby's picture

Better than horse racing (most of the time)

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:12 | 6888026 allamerican
allamerican's picture

nice trade you lucky bastard..

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:12 | 6888027 SpanishGoop
SpanishGoop's picture

He wanted to sell but pressed the wrong button and then the market closed before he....

 

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:13 | 6888030 aliki
aliki's picture

im sure the najarian brothers will tout this as an options trade they piggybacked on friday but decided to tell noone until today

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:14 | 6888034 Mr. Cynic
Mr. Cynic's picture

Nothing unusual here, just a wild-ass shot in the dark that happened to hit the bullseye.

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:15 | 6888036 Kreditanstalt
Kreditanstalt's picture

Why anyone would ever buy those wasteful and expensive machines and coffee pods is curious...

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:17 | 6888046 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

 I'm looking forward to the GoFundMe page for the counterparty. 

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:19 | 6888058 commishbob
commishbob's picture

Nah, my guess is that this is probably legit and just a simple case of the Law of Large Numbers.

If it was someone who truly had insider info, they'd have purchased 10,000 - 100,000 calls, not 99 and spent only $495. 

Sounds to me like a lucky dude taking a one-in-a-million flyer..and it worked. 

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 14:46 | 6888854 THE COIN
THE COIN's picture

And if you look at the daily  chart spike in volume from 2 weeks ago marking a bottom you can see someone buying this.

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:19 | 6888060 SpanishGoop
SpanishGoop's picture

Probably a small home trader so he can easly go to jail for insider trading or some other charges.

If on the other hand this had been an institutional trader.

 

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:22 | 6888075 Bangin7GramRocks
Bangin7GramRocks's picture

It's like they knew the ball would land on red 20. No gambling going on here. Just some straight-up high falutin' financierin' by fancy folks in purty suits.

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:24 | 6888086 Barrack Chavez
Barrack Chavez's picture

And once again, the over paid losers at the SEC can't find anything to investigate, so they will focus on harassing Suzy housewife with endless compliance paperwork.

INCONVENIENT FACT:  The SEC had five overflowing 11x17 boxes filled with evidence against Bernie Madoff years before he was caught.  The "enforcement division" refused to take any action until they were embarassed into doing so.

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:30 | 6888118 the grateful un...
the grateful unemployed's picture

hillary to going to stop this kind of thing, along with shady real estate deals and commodity future trading without margin calls it all has to stop and this is the gal to do it

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:31 | 6888123 jimfcarroll
jimfcarroll's picture

Hillary's cattle futures broker?

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:33 | 6888140 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

Dear SEC, start here "BofA Merrill Lynch and Credit Suisse provided fairness opinions to Keurig Green Mountain."

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:39 | 6888160 SantaClaws
SantaClaws's picture

How about an article about the trader who was on the other side of this trade?  Someone sold the calls and either lost the opportunity to gain, or, if the calls were sold naked, they got killed by the same amount.

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:49 | 6888228 Bear
Bear's picture

looking to make $495, 50 times in a row ... with only loss at $300,000.

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:38 | 6888167 falak pema
falak pema's picture

1000 call girls for each call. Now that some call center. He doesn't need to go to heaven, you only get an option for 72 and they are the only option allowed FOREVER.

Jeez..imagine not being able to play the roulette in heaven and sleep with a new call girl of your choice on the odd day.

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:41 | 6888184 Francis Marx
Francis Marx's picture

TYLER....That was my trade. Im the person =)

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:48 | 6888221 bada boom
bada boom's picture

I bet it was Martha Stewart again.

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:50 | 6888239 ZeroPoint
ZeroPoint's picture

Well Kenny Rogers did say - You've got know when to hold 'em....

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:52 | 6888249 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

   Another prime candidate for options traders anonymous.

   And gold gets pile drived along with CL this morning.

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:57 | 6888275 Bear
Bear's picture

I think there is good news there. It use to be that the 'pile drives' would push down 15+ points, now they can only muster 8 ... bottom may be in.

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 12:55 | 6888264 rbianco3
rbianco3's picture

I hope Martha Stewart saw this, shell make sure that person fries in hell. 

Or else it was DHS raising phantom cash

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 13:00 | 6888285 Bear
Bear's picture

Citadel probably on other side .... SEC sure to break the trade.

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 13:10 | 6888353 arbwhore
arbwhore's picture

Hardly a lot money in WS terms here.

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 14:32 | 6888777 U4 eee aaa
U4 eee aaa's picture

small casino chip even for retail. I assume someone sold these to him. I hope they were holding the shares behind it or they are just stupid. You can generate income selling calls but you better have shares to back your bottom.

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 13:25 | 6888432 Wannabee
Wannabee's picture

Well let's see: Dimon, Blankfein, Asness, Cohen, Moynihan, et al. Wink twice if I'm getting warm.

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 13:39 | 6888507 Lmo Mutton
Lmo Mutton's picture

"Lucky" is not probable cause. Leave Hillary alone.

/sarc

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 14:15 | 6888701 Stlouiemike
Stlouiemike's picture

It was that long haired surfer kid in the mail room who saw the pre release announcement, he borrowed the money from his grandma.

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 14:38 | 6888809 Apocalicious
Apocalicious's picture

At least he was smart enough to keep in under 100 lot. No one will notice it this way...

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 14:42 | 6888828 graftvshost
graftvshost's picture

Good thing he only bought 99 options - I bet 100 or more would have triggered an investigation...

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 14:56 | 6888905 emsolý
emsolý's picture

Could also have been a closing buyer who is just happy today that he's not on the losing side, having collected a regular premium and closed out for 5 cents to free up what little margin was left on this trade

Mon, 12/07/2015 - 16:14 | 6889319 RaceToTheBottom
RaceToTheBottom's picture

NSA should be able to tell us where he got his information....

Tue, 12/08/2015 - 01:06 | 6892044 KashNCarry
KashNCarry's picture

Nice bit of weekend cash for a Big Apple party!

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