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Initial Jobless Claims Suddenly Surge To 5-Month Highs, Continuing Claims Spike

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Weak surveys, mass layoffs, and poor outlooks appear to have finally rippled through the government's data and sparked a significant rise in initial jobless claims. Up 13k to 282k, this is the highest claims since early July. Of course, it remains below the Maginot Line of 300k which 'proves' everything is awesome, but initial claims is now at the same level as it was when The Fed ended QE3. Perhaps more notable is the spike in continuing claims (up 3.8%) - the end biggest jump since 2008 to 3 month highs.

Big jump in initial claims...

 

but continuing claims saw their 2nd biggest weekly rise since 2008...to 3 month highs.

 

So what happens next?

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Thu, 12/10/2015 - 09:42 | 6903702 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

Let's be frank. The fed doesn't want the stock market to go down. EVER.

Thu, 12/10/2015 - 09:53 | 6903761 madcows
madcows's picture

Well, if YOU owned more than half of the total market, would you want it to go down?!

Thu, 12/10/2015 - 10:08 | 6903836 El Oregonian
El Oregonian's picture

Yo, Janet-honey, we're going to need a lot more juice...

Thu, 12/10/2015 - 10:15 | 6903864 45North1
45North1's picture

Think of it as JY Jelly...

Thu, 12/10/2015 - 11:28 | 6904200 More Ammo
Thu, 12/10/2015 - 10:13 | 6903854 ThirteenthFloor
ThirteenthFloor's picture

Until the day you leave. Watch carefully when the elite exit, the game is finished.

Thu, 12/10/2015 - 10:59 | 6904066 Hitlery_4_Dictator
Hitlery_4_Dictator's picture

Listen, my business deals directly with layoffs. I am getting tons of desperate calls and people being price sensative. This happened right before the big event of 2008 and then it went parabolic. 

Thu, 12/10/2015 - 09:42 | 6903703 Silverhog
Silverhog's picture

Just a teaser until the rate hike. 

Thu, 12/10/2015 - 09:43 | 6903708 E.F. Mutton
E.F. Mutton's picture

Oh Noes! We can't possibly raise rates now! Wink Wink...Nudge Nudge...

Thu, 12/10/2015 - 09:45 | 6903716 WTFUD
WTFUD's picture

Scrapheap Challenge.

Thu, 12/10/2015 - 09:45 | 6903718 JRobby
JRobby's picture

Because layoffs are accelerating. Usually they lie about these types of things.

Thu, 12/10/2015 - 11:50 | 6904313 Handful of Dust
Handful of Dust's picture

More layoffs and moarjoblessness pushes up the 95 million to 96 million?

 

That oughtta push the BLS unemployment rate below 5%.

Thu, 12/10/2015 - 13:04 | 6904830 MopWater
MopWater's picture

Where is the daily job cuts guy?!?

Thu, 12/10/2015 - 09:50 | 6903741 Cautiously Pess...
Cautiously Pessimistic's picture

But what about double seasonally adjusted temporary low-paying hiring for Christmas/Hanukkah/Kwanza/Festivus???

Thu, 12/10/2015 - 10:19 | 6903886 I AM SULLY
I AM SULLY's picture

(that's the recovery summer)

(happening around XMAS)

Thu, 12/10/2015 - 09:54 | 6903768 DeepFriedLizards
DeepFriedLizards's picture

When the fed allows something which even vaguely resembles the truth to go public, it's time to worry.

Thu, 12/10/2015 - 09:57 | 6903772 DeepFriedLizards
DeepFriedLizards's picture

What's the deal?  First I get a network attack and then a double post?  

 

I guess it worked.

Thu, 12/10/2015 - 10:15 | 6903860 Laddie
Laddie's picture

The Darkness cometh...for Whites

ALL job growth since 2000 was taken by immigrants:
http://cis.org/all-employment-growth-since-2000-went-to-immigrants

THE COMING DARKNESS: A Warning for Americans: A message from South Africa Written in 2000 by the wife of a former conservative member of parliament, they still reside in South Africa.

Thu, 12/10/2015 - 10:36 | 6903959 Cautiously Pess...
Cautiously Pessimistic's picture

Interesting article she penned.  It was from 2004.  Amazing how prophetic it is, now that we have moved over a decade from her writing it.  One line that struck me.... 'When the "majority" took over in South Africa, the first targets were our national symbols'  This is exactly what has manifested here, and is growing like a cancer.  This urge to erase historical figure heads and historical facts.  Truly sad to watch us circle the toilet bowl.....

 

Thu, 12/10/2015 - 10:28 | 6903925 surf0766
surf0766's picture

We never win at jobless claims. We are going to make jobless claims great again. Jobless claims are going to be huge.

Thu, 12/10/2015 - 10:52 | 6904038 yogibear
yogibear's picture

LOL, right before the Fed's meeting...... suprise!

Of course Obama and the fed knew ths.

Could it be that there will be no rate hike in December? Surprise!

The fed's plan all along.

Everyone is adhering to the liberal script of printing and QE until the currency dies. 

Thu, 12/10/2015 - 11:02 | 6904076 pazmaker
pazmaker's picture

Janet needed this to get out of the promised rate hike.

Thu, 12/10/2015 - 11:22 | 6904164 Hohum
Hohum's picture

Unadjusted is down 5K year over year.  Before we collapse, that figure will be consistently higher.

Thu, 12/10/2015 - 12:18 | 6904475 Sam Spade
Sam Spade's picture

The unadjusted claims soared by 121,685 (from 262,796 to 384,481).  What exactly is responsible for that kind of spike this time of year, such that it requires the seasonal adjustment?

Thu, 12/10/2015 - 13:17 | 6904945 MopWater
MopWater's picture

I bet they still raise rates...then it "causes" the economy to tank...then they slam down negative rates to "save" the economy...

"We tried, we really did, but you saw what happened when we raised rates!"

Thu, 12/10/2015 - 23:43 | 6908447 neilhorn
neilhorn's picture

Orange bowl or Cotton bowl?

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