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Chinese Officials Admit To "Significantly Faking And Overstating" Economic Data

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Slowly all the wheels of the legacy propaganda narrative are falling off, only this time dealing not with some ridiculous economic "recovery" tripe (for those still confused, the global economy just suffered its worst USD-denominated GDP collapse in 50 years), but with the credibility of Chinese data, which most have known is completely fabricated, only there was never an actual admission from within. Now there is.

According to China Daily, several local officials in China's Northeast region sought to explain dramatic economic drops in their areas by admitting they had faked economic data in the past few years to show high growth when the real numbers were much lower, Xinhua News Agency reported on Friday.

The report cited several officials in the region who acknowledged they had "significantly overstated data ranging from fiscal revenue and household income to GDP."

Three years ago Liaoning province's GDP growth was reported at 9.5 percent, but its current figure?over the first three quarters of this year?is just 2.7 percent. Jilin's growth was reported at 12 percent three years ago, but its current rate is 6.3 percent in the same period.

The revelation about the inflated figures came as the GDP growth of the three Northeast provinces ranked the lowest nationwide.

Of course, while the economy was growing, nobody cared that the numbers were absolutely ridiculous: after all, it confirmed the narrative of growth. Guan Yingmin, an official in Heilongjiang province, said local investment figures were inflated by at least 20 percent, which translates to nearly 100 billion yuan ($15.7 billion).

As a reminder, Heilongjiang province is where we reported recently a local coal miner, Longmay Mining Holding Group, the biggest met coal miner in Northeast China laid off a record 100,000 workers in one fine September day.

China Daily also notes that if the local financial reports were true, some single counties' GDP would have surpassed Hong Kong. An earlier audit by the National Audit Office found one county in Liaoning that reported annual fiscal revenues 127 percent higher than the actual number.

Again: as long as everyone was "growing", it didn't matter if the numbers were fabricated - in fact, the more made up the better.

Why? As a staff member in the Jilin provincial finance department, who asked not to be identified, told China Daily that in past years, local officials competed each other to lure external investment projects. They reported the promised investment value, whether it had been achieved or not, as the investment figure. So the bigger the "reported" growth, the higher the likelihood of being awarded the project, which in turn means millions in government funds being directly embezzled by corrupt local officials, money which would promptly then end up in some duplex in NYC, San Fran or Vancouver.

But why is all this emerging now? Simple: it is all the fabricated data's fault why the current growth (or rather, economic collapse) is so terrible:

"If the past data had not been inflated, the current growth figures would not show such a precipitous fall," one official was quoted as saying.

Brilliant: if only we hadn't made up ridiculously high data in the past, the comps to one, two or more years ago would not look so terrible.

What was left unsaid is that if "data had not been inflated", it would be negative and instead of 7% GDP growth we would be asking just how big China's GDP contraction will be this year.

We bring all this up in the aftermath of this weekend's "strong" Chinese industrial production and retail sales data because it too is completely fabricated and goalseeked. Only now there is no doubt.

 

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Mon, 12/14/2015 - 19:33 | 6923570 Normalcy Bias
Normalcy Bias's picture

Well, you have to give them credit. Americans would never admit to doing this.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 20:45 | 6923801 knukles
knukles's picture

Well said.  For if we were to say anything bad about it, it would be racist, bigoted and impolite exemplified by not only the thoughts but even the touch of your fingers on your Qwerty keypad, defining extreme micro-aggressions against the entire Chinee population and there's simply not enough space over there for everybody insulted, frightened and intimidated to have their very own personal safe cuddly space lined with yak hair and pig snot.  So I'll simply say; "I fucking toldja so.  Those little yellow bastards are scheming, dangerous untruthful Commie pinko bastards who're even copycatting our crony capitalism and doing it better and cheaper than we do.  Only Donald can save us now"  There.  I said it.  Floating dead pigs in the Yangtze for everybody!  China, where all the kids are above average.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 21:07 | 6923900 remain calm
remain calm's picture

So when Is the USSA going to have its Mia Culpa moment?

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 21:12 | 6923924 JamesBond
JamesBond's picture

When is MarketWatch going to profer theirs for pumping, "China leading the way financially for the wrold" shit?

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 21:23 | 6923956 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

No, no, no.  You misunderstand.  It was just that small handful of "rogue low level employees" faking the data.  Everything else is absolutely truthful and accurate.  Please move along, nothing more to see here.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 21:44 | 6924031 wee-weed up
wee-weed up's picture

 

 

Sounds like a "bullet to the back of the head" will be in order...

A chilling message to others.

Too bad Jon Corzine wasn't Chinese.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 21:52 | 6924076 old naughty
old naughty's picture

So when Is the USSA going to have its Mia Culpa moment?

It takes two (buyers-and-sellers) to tango...

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-12-14/nobody-could-have-possibly-seen...

 

 

chi-mera.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 22:07 | 6924133 highandwired
highandwired's picture

Is Merkel Hitler's daughter?  https://youtu.be/Sx2haIRJHeY?t=15m19s

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 22:08 | 6924138 Muh Raf
Muh Raf's picture

I fake you rong time, onry 10 lemibi

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 22:08 | 6924139 HardAssets
HardAssets's picture

Ahhhh . . .probably trained at Ivy League schools in Amerika.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 21:23 | 6923960 OldPhart
OldPhart's picture

Ho Gnu?

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 20:45 | 6923806 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Pssst...they are still lying. The key is to deflate the (lie) bubble gradually.

<We have not begun to fight tell the truth....and won't until the lie is no longer effective.>

What they just did was infuse another lie with 'truth' by admitting to past lies.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 20:49 | 6923838 McMolotov
McMolotov's picture

JERRY: What about the breathing, the panting, the moaning, the screaming?

ELAINE: Fake, fake, fake, fake.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 21:20 | 6923946 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Mrs Cog doesn't fake it, right honey?

Um......Honey?

;-)

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 21:23 | 6923957 Mrs. Cog
Mrs. Cog's picture

lol

No soup for you - one year!

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 21:25 | 6923965 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

I can live without the soup. The other thing........not so much.  

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 21:04 | 6923891 Antifaschistische
Antifaschistische's picture

this is getting very confusing, are these Chinese guys going to get 'erased' for lying about their numbers, or for admitting to lying about the numbers.   I think 'admission' is the real crime here.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 21:08 | 6923905 Sanity Bear
Sanity Bear's picture

clearly they are mentally unstable - only wingnut conspiracy theory freaks believe governments lie

 

Governments always tell the truth, that's why I love Big Brother!

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 20:45 | 6923820 Paveway IV
Paveway IV's picture

Jilin - home of some of my favorite ChiScam smallcaps. Those guys are the absolute masters at ripping off stupid Americans - they had it down to an art form.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 21:09 | 6923909 Antifaschistische
Antifaschistische's picture

more power to them!  What kind of idiot buys a small cap stock from China, that sells a product they've never seen, to a customer they've never met, made in a factory they've never visited or even truly know if it exists...

...the Chinese laugh all the way to the bank at how stupid American's are.   It's damn embarassing.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 21:37 | 6924009 MrNosey
MrNosey's picture

It looks like the dominoes are going to start falling!

Some more smoke and mirrors....

http://beforeitsnews.com/conspiracy-theories/2015/12/the-fix-is-in-franc...

 

 

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 19:34 | 6923576 Doppelganger71
Doppelganger71's picture

Hory shet.............................................

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 21:09 | 6923908 MissCellany
MissCellany's picture

Wei tu hai?

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 23:04 | 6924346 Laowei Gweilo
Laowei Gweilo's picture

3 of the provinces you are comenting on are pronounced locally with a hard L you imbecile

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 19:36 | 6923593 Joe Tierney
Joe Tierney's picture

China fakes it?

 

Oh come on! This is reary browing my mind!

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 19:37 | 6923595 Francis Marx
Francis Marx's picture

So basiclly they are saying...Get ready for really bad news and losses in the economy

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 20:34 | 6923780 Falling Down
Falling Down's picture

"We're in deep shit, and our empty ghost cities are even empty-er".

Tue, 12/15/2015 - 00:52 | 6924668 Jethro
Jethro's picture

I should probably ship them some tumbleweeds .

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 20:33 | 6923778 Tinky
Tinky's picture

Perhaps I shouldn't have asserted that I am "average sized".

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 21:09 | 6923911 remain calm
remain calm's picture

Well, if you stand in front of one of those circus mirrors you can be huge.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 20:38 | 6923791 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

shocking

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 20:39 | 6923793 1stepcloser
1stepcloser's picture

Wi tu Lo = Fake the GDP

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 20:41 | 6923798 Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

And yet, according to some (wet-dreamers and pump & dump shills), "China will be the one to take down King Dollar".

Good one.  ROTF, LMAO.  

Newsflash:  China is in on the Ponzi scam, not to take it down.  Chinese oligarchs are in the fiate game to get richer, not to make revolutions, FFS.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 20:45 | 6923822 Neil Patrick Harris
Neil Patrick Harris's picture

Agreed. They just joined the Western currency alliance (aka the SDR). There's still a bit of competition between members, but for the most part, the one-world government is coming together quite nicely.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 20:42 | 6923807 ThroxxOfVron
ThroxxOfVron's picture

Official statistics are a bullshit/fraud?

You mean in China?

I thought that the Chinese statisticians and economists were generally educated in the US at prestigious schools such as Harvard..

-Who the fuck taught them to lie and commit fraud??

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 20:59 | 6923874 Falling Down
Falling Down's picture

Kruggers can't be reached for comment.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 20:43 | 6923812 I AM SULLY
I AM SULLY's picture

The Chinese government and its petty officials ALSO lie about economic statistics?

(like the U.S. ...)

(who would have thought)

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 20:45 | 6923818 DrZipp
DrZipp's picture

Harbor Freight has a 11 Gauge Roofing Nailer for $99.  Probably cheaper at the source factory in Guangdong.

 

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 20:47 | 6923824 CHoward
CHoward's picture

Oh those sneaky lil Chinamen caught on to good ole U.S. capitalism.  Talk fast and throw in a dash of bullshit and you can make millions.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 20:54 | 6923861 MsCreant
MsCreant's picture

 "you can make millions" 

By printing! Just like the US!

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 20:47 | 6923828 i_call_you_my_base
i_call_you_my_base's picture

China Daily or Xinhua would never print this without direction / approval from the government.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 23:06 | 6924351 Laowei Gweilo
Laowei Gweilo's picture

it's because the numbers don't matter that much

i mean, heilongjiang, really? 20% of investment there is like 0.2% in guangdong

it's symbolic... it let's them hint or set precedent at some local corrupt officials lying on the economy without them actually lying about specific numbers that matter

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 20:50 | 6923839 V for ...
V for ...'s picture

This is what you get when international financiers of no fixed abode ally with a Politburo of no morality or care for their own kith and kin.

Cry, cry baby. Lick the City of London's jackboot.

Consequences.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 20:50 | 6923842 Arnold
Arnold's picture

Seasonally Adjusted

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 20:53 | 6923856 MsCreant
MsCreant's picture

Okay, I'm heavily invested in Chinese stawks. I get to sue somebody because they misrepresented themselves so that I can recoup my losses from the fraud, right? Just like in the US, right? Am-i-rite!

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 21:04 | 6923890 Lost in translation
Lost in translation's picture

If you party with Corzine, then yes.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 22:45 | 6924297 herkomilchen
herkomilchen's picture

Go ahead and sue.  When you don't come home, we'll look after your wife.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 20:58 | 6923869 xrxs
xrxs's picture

This is Chinese for "don't raise rates, Janet"

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 21:02 | 6923881 Racer
Racer's picture

The Chinese admit to faking yet the US and others do not... hmmm, which is the ACTUAL fake economy, please stand up

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 21:09 | 6923910 Sanity Bear
Sanity Bear's picture

... and everyone stands up all at once

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 21:11 | 6923920 Vinividivinci
Vinividivinci's picture

Riiiight, like the chinese are gonna admit this openly.
Sounds to me like they're giving a bullshit reason for the PBOC to devalue the RMB even further...devaluation war is now really on, bitchez!

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 21:13 | 6923928 Baby Eating Dingo22
Baby Eating Dingo22's picture

Moot

As long as stocks are up, nobody cares why

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 21:29 | 6923981 netpounder
netpounder's picture

Yuan devaluation is making more sense now.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 21:32 | 6923996 Vlad the Inhaler
Vlad the Inhaler's picture

And the reason we're telling you this right now is because fuck you Yellen!

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 21:34 | 6924010 Mena Arkansas
Mena Arkansas's picture

No problem. They can get a job with the BLS.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 21:41 | 6924041 Goldbugger
Goldbugger's picture

Holy Fuck, what dat mean?

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 23:00 | 6924335 surf@jm
surf@jm's picture

Tell that guy the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics is hiring.......

He should fit right in.......

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 23:29 | 6924442 FreeNewEnergy
FreeNewEnergy's picture

Come on, all this way down the comments and I get to post

Nobody could have seen this coming!!!

Tue, 12/15/2015 - 00:01 | 6924542 robertocarlos
robertocarlos's picture

What was the name of the poster who said GDP was negative everywhere? I miss him.

Tue, 12/15/2015 - 00:10 | 6924567 robertocarlos
robertocarlos's picture

EKM.

Tue, 12/15/2015 - 00:27 | 6924605 onmail1
onmail1's picture

This is capitalism

China must show the world how to deal with fakers

---------

okee

Divide the number with the minimum wage per day

You get no. of days

Then give these bastards a sentence

for so many days in jail of hard labor

let them earn money in jail for that duration

That is justice

let them understand the value of money

Tue, 12/15/2015 - 00:46 | 6924649 Jethro
Jethro's picture

It was clearly a sham years ago when they were reporting 8% growth rates. Only because 8 is an auspicious number for Chinese people.  

Tue, 12/15/2015 - 00:51 | 6924663 truthalwayswinsout
truthalwayswinsout's picture

China has always been Enron times 1 billion.

 

Tue, 12/15/2015 - 07:58 | 6925049 lucky and good
lucky and good's picture

To most of the world China's economy remains veiled behind a shroud and is far from transparent. Not only because China is far away from our shores, but the fact is their economy is very controlled by the government that acts as its puppet master and corruption has flourished. The bottom-line is we often have a difficult time getting real information on what is happening. To many of us it has become clear that China is in a situation similar to what America faced in 1929 following a period of rapid growth and credit expansion.

This is written not to diminish the accomplishments of China or to question their progress, but to point out much of what we have witnessed is the result of one time factors that have largely played out. Several factors have drastically changed politically, socially and from a military perspective since the days when America fueled China's growth. The article below titled, "China's Veiled Economy" highlights some of the reasons for doubting China.

 http://brucewilds.blogspot.com/2015/12/chinas-veiled-economy.html

Tue, 12/15/2015 - 08:07 | 6925059 goldenbuddha454
goldenbuddha454's picture

Reality stranger than fiction; when the Chinese admit fudging numbers before we do.

Tue, 12/15/2015 - 09:04 | 6925148 Pumpkin
Pumpkin's picture

No shit.

Tue, 12/15/2015 - 16:09 | 6926975 honestann
honestann's picture

See what happens when you send Chinese kids to universities in the USSA, and they get trained as experts in fraud rather than reality?

When they finish school and return home, they teach and practice endless forms of fraud they learned in the USSA.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!