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High Yield ETFs Are Already Tumbling In The Pre-Market

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Small doors, large crowds. Amid yet more liquidations (Brazilian Bank BTG flushing its European credit exposure and Lucidus US HY fund), the large high-yield bond ETFs are tumbling in pre-market as two years worth of under-water easy-money trend-followers head for the exits from the "highly liquid" ETFs.. . and crush what little liquidity there is in the underlying. When will The Fed step in and buy US HY debt to stymie "fire-sale" prices?

This will be the 8th drop in the last 9 days...

As MacroMan noted earlier,

In the meantime, ponder the idea that there are still 19.6 million more shares of HYG and 41 million more of JNK than existed at the end of last year, and ask yourself what those holders are going to do in the coming weeks.

 

Then ponder on what professional holders of high yield and other credit will do after having gorged for the last several years only to see the wheels finally start to fall off.

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Mon, 12/14/2015 - 09:23 | 6920964 Mark Mywords
Mark Mywords's picture

Negative feedback loops are bitches, bitchez.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 09:27 | 6920987 El Oregonian
El Oregonian's picture

Welcome to the circus of high-yield/ high -wire acts!!!

HURRY! HURRY! HURRY! STEP RIGHT UP!

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 09:45 | 6921042 order66
order66's picture

Oil under $35, HY cratering, I guess it's time to start dipping the toes back in biotechs and shale.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 12:49 | 6921875 Fish Gone Bad
Fish Gone Bad's picture

Nah, hold tight. It will take some time to punish that many smart people.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 09:38 | 6921014 ShrNfr
ShrNfr's picture

Actually, you have that backwards. This is a positive feedback loop. Negative feedback creates stability, positive feedback amplifies what is happening.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 09:41 | 6921026 Mark Mywords
Mark Mywords's picture

You forgot that this is an Orwellian world now. Up is down, positive is negative, etc.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 09:42 | 6921029 Money Counterfeiter
Money Counterfeiter's picture

Moar $$$$$$$$  QEIV 1.2 tr.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 09:49 | 6921051 orez65
orez65's picture

"When will The Fed step in and buy US HY debt to stymie "fire-sale" prices?"

Soon to come:

When will The Fed step in and buy US Treasuries to stymie "fire-sale" prices?

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 10:03 | 6921090 3rdWorldTrillionaire
3rdWorldTrillionaire's picture

USTs will remain the haven for at least a few more years...

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 10:46 | 6921220 Angel_Eyes
Angel_Eyes's picture

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Mon, 12/14/2015 - 09:26 | 6920978 Omega_Man
Omega_Man's picture

Gold should be a good buy over the next few weeks

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 09:39 | 6921017 Angelo Misterioso
Angelo Misterioso's picture

Gold has been in its own little negative feedback loop -

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 09:26 | 6920979 BandGap
BandGap's picture

Why aren't the European markets tanking since they have a head start on the festivities?

Something doesn't seem quite right.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 09:29 | 6920991 Dead Canary
Dead Canary's picture

By the pricking of my thumbs, something wicked, this way comes.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 09:27 | 6920986 toadold
toadold's picture

Is it just me, but do any kind of metal coins look like the best way to store cash?

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 09:30 | 6920994 yogibear
yogibear's picture

Fed's North Korean, own everything, economics will implode.

Blow those bubbles larger and large, then look surprised when they pop.

Like Bernanke's subprime housing is contained.

How did that work out ivy league PhD's?

This time, same game but larger and different.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 09:30 | 6920995 nmewn
nmewn's picture

Well, thank goodness it's all physical, at least they can all gather round the ole burn barrel in their torn over coats and fingerless gloves and each throw a few in to keep their hands warm.

Just imagine if it was something digital that was crashing ;-)

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 09:32 | 6921000 scintillator9
scintillator9's picture

The SEC has proposed a rule on Friday, December 11, that would force ETF's to limit their derivatives exposure, possibly forcing most leveraged ETF's to close.

https://research.tdwaterhouse.ca/research/public/Markets/NewsArticle/166...

 

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 09:37 | 6921009 RawPawg
RawPawg's picture

sorta like Black Friday sheep banging on the doors in a frenzy to be let in so they can unload their debt buying more crap on the shelves

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 09:40 | 6921024 PirateOfBaltimore
PirateOfBaltimore's picture

SJB, son.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 09:42 | 6921030 rogerrabbithole
rogerrabbithole's picture

Better put some clowns with trampolines on wall st.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 09:47 | 6921047 NEOSERF
NEOSERF's picture

Just end of year window dressing...nothing to see here...Jan will be up 8%

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 09:57 | 6921076 brushhog
brushhog's picture

What we are seeing is the effect of rates rising on their own, due to market pressure. Hopefully the days of only receiving 6-7% for a bond that should be paying 12-14% are over. These bonds have been over priced, and the cheap money that keep these schemes afloat is coming to an end.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 10:03 | 6921088 DontFollowMyAdv...
DontFollowMyAdviceImaDummy's picture

Any of those $25 energy bonds trading below $5 yet?

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 10:04 | 6921095 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

I wonder how much of the Feds balance sheet 'other assets' in includes various ETF's.  I feel like the Fed is the only owner of stocks at this point. 

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 10:08 | 6921100 franzpick
franzpick's picture

Bad Day at Black Rock 50% off sale: Coming soon here.

http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=Hyt&inst...

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 10:05 | 6921104 taketheredpill
taketheredpill's picture

Then ponder on what professional holders of high yield and other credit will do....

 

Pray, pray and then pray some more that there are enough other managers in the same boat that when all is said and done regardless of whether they don't receive a bonus this year that they at least can keep their jobs.

Career-Safety in numbers.

 

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 10:10 | 6921115 youngman
youngman's picture

Funny or not ..how gold and silver are not safe havens yet.....this junk bond crash is going to be big...and you watch more regulations on the way....

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 11:23 | 6921453 Crocodile
Crocodile's picture

Would you consider "JSB" as a bet on the implosion?  Just asking for your opinion..thanks.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 10:10 | 6921118 katchum
katchum's picture

If you don't mark it to market price, there is no problem.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 10:11 | 6921119 db51
db51's picture

The Bazooka is being primed and the Helicopters are on the launch pad.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 10:15 | 6921134 hairball48
hairball48's picture

Friday is options day as well. Should be fun watching the chaos this week.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 10:34 | 6921190 Yancey Ward
Yancey Ward's picture

My long run prediction is that the Fed ends up eventually trying to buy everything financial in one last catastrophic QE.

Mon, 12/14/2015 - 10:38 | 6921203 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

man they really are worried about the g.i. joe with the kung fu grip

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