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Tens Of Thousands Of Properties To Be "Dumped" On London Real Estate Market By 2017

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Submitted by Mike Krieger via Liberty Blitzkrieg blog,

One of the most spectacular bubbles inflated as a direct result of the oligarch giveaway colloquially known as “central bank policy” in the years since the global economic meltdown, has been the London real estate market. There are many reasons for this, but the primary one is the fact that London was seen as one of the best places for shady billionaires to park illicit funds, i.e., money laundering.

With a cratering in emerging market economies, as well as tax changes in the UK, much of that trade is now over. As such, some players are now scrambling to get out before the bottom drops.

If the following article is even remotely accurate, London real estate investors need to pay close attention.

From the Evening Standard:

As many as 60,000 homes bought off-plan in new developments in areas such as Nine Elms are scheduled for completion by the end of 2017 and many will be put up for sale immediately because of the growing disillusion with London, it says.

 

It follows the announcement of a three per cent stamp duty surcharge on buy-to-let or second homes from April, adding £15,000 to the cost of buying an average property in the capital.

 

Faisal Durrani, head of research at agent Cluttons, said: “We can expect a flood of supply with non-domiciled investors returning off-plan residential stock to the London market, especially throughout 2016. Based on research obtained from Molier, we estimate approximately 60,000 homes are due for completion in 2016 and 2017.

 

“Of these, we believe between 50 to 60 per cent have been sold off-plan to international buyers. Therefore, it is likely that up to 30,000 properties could be returning to the market in the coming two years.”

 

The glut of homes on the market is likely to push down prices of new-build apartments, although most will still be out of reach for most first-time buyers. Developers also fear that the drying up of foreign investment could undermine the viability of future schemes.

 

Some of the buyers who flocked to the launch of luxury developments a few weeks ago are already demanding their money back.

 

Adam Lawrence, chief executive of property firm London Square, said between 10 per cent and 15 per cent of buyers wanted their reservation fees to be returned. He said: “If you are buying a two or three-bed flat in Streatham, you are likely to be a normal person who just wants to buy property as an investment — not a gazillionaire. Most people are going to think twice now. 

Of course, the writing has been on the wall for quite some time. See:

Luxury London Real Estate Prices Plunge 11.5% Year-Over-Year

Luxury London Home Sales Plunge 26% – Has this Mega Real Estate Bubble Finally Burst?

But have no fear, CNBC sees no bubble in London.

Screen Shot 2015-12-14 at 11.11.30 AM

Keep calm and speculate on.

 

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Tue, 12/15/2015 - 14:06 | 6926568 Dubaibanker
Dubaibanker's picture

Real estate around the world is in a BIG BUBBLE!

Tue, 12/15/2015 - 14:10 | 6926589 Money Boo Boo
Money Boo Boo's picture

The bubble is in a bubble that bubbled from another bubble, to soon bubble itself into another bubble

 

bubble on, bithchezz

Tue, 12/15/2015 - 14:17 | 6926619 Mr.Sono
Mr.Sono's picture

CNBC is so smart, best fictional tv channel in the world.

Tue, 12/15/2015 - 15:47 | 6927048 JRobby
JRobby's picture

People will pay to watch good fiction. Just ask the 127 watching CNBC right now!

US BANKS, HEDGIES & PE should dump all of their shadow inventory at the same time!

Sorry, I must have had a mini stroke

Tue, 12/15/2015 - 14:13 | 6926601 nope-1004
nope-1004's picture

Epic bubble.  People are unemployed or off the labor participation chart, yet with rates manipulated lower to keep the banking system afloat, they can "afford" just about anything.  Housing is the extreme outlier to this incredible debt & low interest rate experiment and when it blows up, it's going to be absolutely stunning.

 

Tue, 12/15/2015 - 15:07 | 6926882 Kirk2NCC1701
Kirk2NCC1701's picture

8 Billion Sheeple around the world are a Bubble.

Tue, 12/15/2015 - 14:12 | 6926598 847328_3527
847328_3527's picture

1) Money laundering;

2) zero down no doc loans;

3) Greater Sucker Theory;

4) unlimited bank bailouts; and,

4) pure stupidity.

 

All coming to a crashing end for these houses 300% or more still overpriced.

Tue, 12/15/2015 - 16:48 | 6927283 K_BX
K_BX's picture

but its brick and mortar - always going up. buy, while there is still land for sale.

Tue, 12/15/2015 - 14:17 | 6926622 yogibear
yogibear's picture

Bubble #2

New and improved!

Tue, 12/15/2015 - 14:22 | 6926651 youngman
youngman's picture

Moving to London for all the good food......and the sunny days....

Tue, 12/15/2015 - 14:23 | 6926657 WTFRLY
WTFRLY's picture

It won't matter, the war is coming

Tue, 12/15/2015 - 14:38 | 6926732 youngman
youngman's picture

must be all of those Polish guys that thought they found billions in gold on the Nazi train....

Tue, 12/15/2015 - 14:55 | 6926812 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Oh, I forgot all about the Nazi train.  They ever find that gold?  No?  Ah, c'est la vie.

Tue, 12/15/2015 - 14:48 | 6926775 Bit Coin Hacker
Bit Coin Hacker's picture

CeeNBlondeC-nts

Tue, 12/15/2015 - 14:53 | 6926808 Larry Dallas
Larry Dallas's picture

Before you take a bath, you must have bubbles.

Tue, 12/15/2015 - 15:00 | 6926850 kaboomnomic
kaboomnomic's picture

London.. The piece of lands that's literally umder sea waters. And people flocked to buy that piece real estate at exhorbitant price?? HEY!! WELCOME DUDES!!

Tue, 12/15/2015 - 15:01 | 6926854 Dead Canary
Dead Canary's picture

See! CNBS sez it isn't in a bubble. So there.

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