You Want War? Russia Is Ready For War

Tyler Durden's picture

Authored by Pepe Escobar, originally posted at Sputnik News,

Nobody needs to read Zbigniew “Grand Chessboard” Brzezinski’s 1997 opus to know US foreign policy revolves around one single overarching theme: prevent – by all means necessary – the emergence of a power, or powers, capable of constraining Washington’s unilateral swagger, not only in Eurasia but across the world.

The Pentagon carries the same message embedded in newspeak: the Full Spectrum Dominance doctrine.

Syria is leading all these assumptions to collapse like a house of cards. So no wonder in a Beltway under no visible chain of command – the Obama administration barely qualifies as lame duck – angst is the norm.

The Pentagon is now engaged in a Vietnam-style escalation of boots on the ground across “Syraq”. 50 commandos are already in northern Syria “advising” the YPG Syrian Kurds as well as a few “moderate” Sunnis. Translation: telling them what Washington wants them to do. The official White House spin is that these commandos “support local forces” (Obama’s words) in cutting off supply lines leading to the fake “Caliphate” capital, Raqqa.

Another 200 Special Forces sent to Iraq will soon follow, allegedly to “engage in direct combat” against the leadership of ISIS/ISIL/Daesh, which is now ensconced in Mosul.

The US Air Force fighter jets
 
These developments, billed as “efforts” to “partially re-engage in Iraq and Syria” are leading US Think Tankland to pen hilarious reports in search of “the perfect balance between wide-scale invasion and complete disengagement” – when everyone knows Washington will never disengage from the Middle East’s strategic oil wealth.

All these American boots on the ground in theory should be coordinating, soon, with a new, spectacularly surrealist 34-country “Islamic” coalition (Iran was not invited), set up to fight ISIS/ISIL/Daesh by no less than the ideological matrix of all strands of Salafi-jihadism: Wahhabi Saudi Arabia.     

Syria is now Coalition Central. There are at least four; the “4+1” (Russia, Syria, Iran, Iraq plus Hezbollah), which is actually fighting Daesh; the US-led coalition, a sort of mini NATO-GCC combo, but with the GCC doing nothing; the Russia-France direct military collaboration; and the new Saudi-led “Islamic” charade. They are pitted against an astonishing number of Salafi-jhadi coalitions and alliances of convenience that last from a few months to a few hours.

And then there’s Turkey, which under Sultan Erdogan plays a vicious double game.  

Sarajevo All Over Again?

“Tense” does not even begin to describe the current Russia-Turkey geopolitical tension, which shows no sign of abating. The Empire of Chaos lavishly profits from it as a privileged spectator; as long as the tension lasts, prospects of Eurasia integration are hampered.

Russian intel has certainly played all possible scenarios involving a  NATO Turkish army on the Turkish-Syrian border as well as the possibility of Ankara closing the Bosphorus and the Dardanelles for the Russian “Syria Express”. Erdogan may not be foolish enough to offer Russia yet another casus belli. But Moscow is taking no chances.

NATO country flags wave outside NATO headquarters in Brussels on Tuesday July 28, 2015
 
Russia has placed ships and submarines capable of launching nuclear missiles in case Turkey under the cover of NATO decides to strike out against the Russian position. President Putin has been clear; Russia will use nuclear weapons if necessary if conventional forces are threatened.

If Ankara opts for a suicide mission of knocking out yet another Su-24, or Su-34, Russia will simply clear the airspace all across the border via the S-400s. If Ankara under the cover of NATO responds by launching the Turkish Army on Russian positions, Russia will use nuclear missiles, drawing NATO into war not only in Syria but potentially also in Europe. And this would include using nuclear missiles to keep Russian strategic use of the Bosphorus open.

That’s how we can draw a parallel of Syria today as the equivalent of Sarajevo 1914.

Since mid-2014 the Pentagon has run all manner of war games – as  many as 16 times, under different scenarios – pitting NATO against Russia. All scenarios were favorable to NATO. All simulations yielded the same victor: Russia.

And that’s why Erdogan’s erratic behavior actually terrifies quite a few real players from Washington to Brussels.  

Let Me Take You on a Missile Cruise

The Pentagon is very much aware of the tremendous heavy metal Russia may unleash if provoked to the limit by someone like Erdogan. Let's roll out an abridged list. 

Russia can use the mighty SS-18 – which NATO codenames “Satan”; each “Satan” carries 10 warheads, with a yield of 750 to 1000 kilotons each, enough to destroy an area the size of New York state.

The Topol M ICBM is the world's fastest missile at 21 Mach (16,000 miles an hour); against it, there’s no defense. Launched from Moscow, it hits New York City in 18 minutes, and L.A. in 22.8 minutes.

Russian submarines – as well as Chinese submarines – are able to launch offshore the US, striking coastal targets within a minute. Chinese submarines have surfaced next to US aircraft carriers undetected, and Russian submarines can do the same.

S-400 Triumph (SA-21 Growler) air defense system
 

The S-500 anti-missile system is capable of sealing Russia off from ICBMs and cruise missiles. (Moscow will only admit on the record that the S-500s will be rolled out in 2016; but the fact the S-400s will soon be delivered to China implies the S-500s may be already   operational.)

The S-500 makes the Patriot missile look like a V-2 from WWII.

Here, a former adviser to the US Chief of Naval Operations essentially goes on the record saying the whole US missile defense apparatus is worthless.

Russia has a supersonic bomber fleet of Tupolev Tu-160s; they can take off from airbases deep in the heart of Russia, fly over the North Pole, launch nuclear-tipped cruise missiles from safe distances over the Atlantic, and return home to watch the whole thing on TV.

Russia can cripple virtually every forward NATO base with tactical – or battlefield – small-yield nuclear weapons. It’s not by accident that Russia over the past few months tested NATO response times in multiple occasions.

The Iskander missile travels at seven times the speed of sound with a range of 400 km. It’s deadly to airfields, logistics points and other stationary infrastructure along a broad war theatre, for instance in southern Turkey.

NATO would need to knock out all these Iskanders. But then they would need to face the S-400s – or, worse, S-500s — which Russia can layer in defense zones in nearly every conceivable theater of war. Positioning the S-400s in Kaliningrad, for instance, would cripple all NATO air operations deep inside Europe.

And presiding over military decisions, Russia privileges the use of Reflexive Control (RC). This is a tactic that aims to convey selected information to the enemy that forces him into making self-defeating decisions; a sort of virus influencing and controlling his decision-making process. Russia uses RC tactically, strategically and geopolitically. A young Vladimir Putin learned all there is to know about RC at the 401st KGB School and further on in his career as a KGB/FSB officer.

All right, Erdogan and NATO; do you still wanna go to war?

 

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Squid Viscous's picture

let's roll! drag Larry krudlow and Lynnsy Graham out of the gay bars, send the to the front lines stat!

SMG's picture

We don't want war, the Globalists want war so they can roll in their NWO.  Don't support them, we all lose if that happens.

Freddie's picture

I like and respect the Russians, NovoRussians, Syrians and others fighting to protect the Syrian people including Hezbollah who are also protecting Christian Syrians.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u3d_yxJhmjk

Here is Putin at Christmas Mass that starts at Midnight and goes for 3 hours.  He does it every year at a different church.  American politicians are at bath houses.

The American white men I have known like Trayvon football thug heroes like little girls.   They play fantasy sports and update their Facebook page like little girls.  Or get giddy about Star Wars.  Pathetic.

Russian men are generally smarter and they are far more serious.  they do not cheer on white genocide by Trayvons on the ball field like fu**ing sheep boys.

 

 

XuscitizenSweden's picture

Hi Freddie. Where do you live? I'm curious.....I like most of what you write.

Freddie's picture

Thanks.

Pick a country that has the worst puppet President in probably the history of the world. 

A puppet installed to destroy the country. 

Here is a clue:  He is not even from here.

I weep for this country plus the people in Western Europe and elsewhere.  They are controlled by evil puppet leaders and an evil newsmedia. 

You can say what you want about Putin but he appears to truly care for his country and his people.   Assad appears to be another leader. 

Freddie's picture

By the way - I have been to Sweden when I was younger.  Beautiful country and people.  I weep what the globalists have done to Western Europe and pray that some in Eastern Europe will rise up to help the western Europeans get their countries back and send back the invaders to where they came from. 

monk27's picture

Somebody explain to me how exactly is that "Full Spectrum Dominance" thing supposed to work in a conflict against Russia or China ? Hint: in such a conflict satellites (military or otherwise) will go out first, probably long before any ICBM launch...

tmosley's picture

"enough to destroy an area the size of New York state."

Jesus Christ get your number right. That is enough to destroy New York CITY, not New York State. A weapon powerful enough to destroy a state is unusable because the debris injection into the atmosphere will kill everyone on Earth. Tsar Bomba only had a destructive radius of about 60 miles (ie unsheilded people 60 miles away get third degree burns), and that was 50 MT.

zvzzt's picture

partly true. regarless of the specifics for this weapon, most developers figured out the problems with one big and high yielding bomb like the Tsar Bomba. Hence the development of MRV and MIRVs. So basically (and I do not know the specifics of this weapn) it is still possible to destroy a "state of ABC" with many MIRV like lower yielding weapons to prevent fall out on the other side of the globe. After all, there must be a winner in a nuke confrontation.... *sigh*

Haus-Targaryen's picture

Want to see a revolution in Germany tomorrow?  Have Merkel start shooting at the Russians today. All the Muzzies in quick order will wish they were back in Syria, where they could at least shut their mouth and blend in.  Here in Europe -- not so much. 

Ghordius's picture

and why should Merkel start shooting at Russians, today (or tomorrow)?

the German armed forces are engaged in assistance to a Franco-Russian war effort, remember?

you are one of those asking for a Big War, asap, or a Great Catastropheor a Grand Resolution, or Whatever, As Long As It Involves "Bang!"

Here in Europe -- not so much

and this... includes Russians. it's not Europe's Peoples that are pining for a set of revolutions, or Something Big To Happen

stop projecting and open your eyes

Manthong's picture

Y’know, the west is notorious for being duplicitous, changing its mind and reneging on commitments.

What would make nut job Erdogan think the west/NATO won’t flip and find a good excuse to leave him out on his own to get eaten by the bear.

11b40's picture

What other choice will there eventually be?  Erdogan is too dangerous and crazy to be allowed to stay much longer, plus, he and his clan have been outed for supporting ISIS.  US/NATO probably hope Russia will find a way to do it for them without causing too much of a disturbance that might draw NATO further in......or NATO wants to be drawn further in.  Who knows anymore?  Everything and everybody is being played, but the public is gradually waking up, and all the info is out there for anyone who wants to educate themselves on how these terrorist groups survive with the support of the West.

Our leaders have a lot of problems to deal with, and most of them involve the common man and his Internet connection.  It isn't so easy to lie to us anymore and get away with it.  Because of the economy, millions of workers are either un or under employed, which gives them more time and motivation to learn about why they don't have jobs.  Everyday, thousands of Baby Boomers retire or cut back their work load, giving them more time to spend on the web.  Many find their way here, or to other sites where the discussions and debates rage.  Secrets are hard to keep, and TPTB are very nervous.  All the evidence of their fear was on display last night in the debate, where the main theme was BE AFRAID, THE SKY IS FALLING, MORE MONEY FOR THE MIC, MOAR WAR! 

I live in SC, and wanted to vomit on Lindsay Graham last night.  He was about to cry for our poor Muslim friends and somehow sees himself as their savior.  Said he would be building little schoolhouses all over Iraq & Syria.  He's been to the "War Zones" 36 times, which leads me to believe he has an Arab boyfriend(s).  But when was the last time he visited the poor regions of this state?  We had badly crumbling infrastructure even before we were hit with a 1,000 year flood a few months ago.  We have failing schools and wide areas engulfed in poverty.  Much of this state, and all across the deep South, is rapidly becoming a 3rd world shithole, with no jobs and no prospects, and Lindsay Graham and his ilk dress up and play war games.  He is a fucking JAG officer - a military lawyer - ensconced in safe zones and heavily protected wherever he goes...but he sure does like to pretend.

The Juggernaut's picture

Turkey is a Black Swan event.  A Black Turkey event

. . . _ _ _ . . .'s picture

"A Black Turkey event"

Sounds like Thanksgiving at my mother-in-laws.

Squid-puppets a-go-go's picture

dats rayc- oh ur talking about her cooking. 

Im rayciss!!

DownWithYogaPants's picture

Cooking is one thing blacks can do well. It's not nuclear physics.

XuscitizenSweden's picture

OK.

I'm born & raised in NJ. Left the States in 1978. Been living in Scandinavia since ´81.

Yepp, it's a ga'damm shame. Unbelievable how the place has deteriorated. I'm just glad the Russians & Russian Leaders still have their sanity; their counterparts in the Usa are for the most part totally wacko.

You're a 'sane' voice in that wilderness. B Good & Take Care.

Fish Gone Bad's picture

Banks want governments and people to be afraid and to spend money on _______. If a war breaks out, then at least one side goes bankrupt and can't pay its debt to the banks. My bet is there is no war. Plenty of posturing and spending money on guns and bombs, but no war.

AmericanFUPAcabra's picture

So what word would you use to describe the things going on in Syria, Yemen? I mean other than the obvious violations of UN laws and national sovereignty. Heated Twitter exchanges?

Farqued Up's picture

They gain by looting the spoils of commodities and trinkets, the real money.

I've marveled at the bankers loaning worthless paper to Dick brained bureaucrats, knowing they would default, and then legally loot the country from the non-participants. The borrowers should be treated just as the evil bankers, slowly drowned in the black tank of a cruise ship.

11b40's picture

I like the drowning idea, but why a cruise ship when there are plenty of port-a-johns with holes big enough to shove their heads in?

garcam123's picture

So are the women as fine as they say they are?  Are they friendly and do they like Americans?  Has the population been substantially impacted by the arrivals of the refugies?  Is it worth visiting? TIA

qomolangma's picture

Hi Freddie, I used to like your said country in my earlier days, but a decade or so I had the complete u-turn seeing how menace indeed the Empire is... it's really an Empire of Chaos (borrow it from Pepe Escobar), has been causing turmoils and deep pains even great destructions everywhere the beast is exporting its democracy, freedom, human rights and its wonderful R2P program.

Some lethal alien dual-ID parasites have been taking over the great body and turn it into the giant lethal monster inflicting the relentless suffering to the entire world incl. the inhabitants of the said body :-( ...pretty sad situation but nearly helpless nowadays but to witness the demise of the hollowed-out body for the sake of the true world's peace!

jeff montanye's picture

the top civilian war-making savvy of the u.s.: barack and ashton.

victoria nuland knows more than both but she ain't no putin.

Captain Obvious.'s picture

Given that one does not need to be a US citizen to be POTUS, would Putin beat Trump?

Or would they be good drinking buddies?

wombats's picture

Hopefully share a few bottles of Bourbon and Vodka.  Trump knows his real estate holdings will be worthless after a nuclear exchange and his $Billions will not save him or anyone else.  Nobody can get to their underground bunkers in less than 1/2 an hour so even if his $ survived there'd be nothing left for him to spend it on.

Farqued Up's picture

First Strikers have months to move into their new posh digs. They have shit canned that dinosaur bunker in Greenbrier and have 7 new really large ones all connected underground. We the people are super fucked (if we aren't vaporized), condemned to eating sardines out of an irradiated can with soggy saltines.

11b40's picture

Trump doesn't drink...or smoke, and never has.

OneOfUs's picture

I completely agree with you. He always seemed insightful and very reasonable to me, and I admired his careful articulate approach to diplomacy and creating a cooperative relationship with the US. It has been frustrating to see him rejected year after year for more than a decade. Even now, I'm impressed by the strength of his patience and resolve in light of all this B.S. 

 

...I really fucking hate the oligarchy here. Those limp dicks are going to end up killing so many people over nothing.

Payne's picture

The Globalist want domination not war.  They pretend to be able to fight a war.

Excursionist's picture

This blog post is perhaps the most transparent piece of Putin worship ever submitted by one (or more) of Putin's propaganda trolls.

All NATO wargames recently resulted in Russia's favor?  Really?  Where exactly does one come by that useful tidbit of data?  NATO posts wargame results on a Yahoo! board somewhere?

And Russia has unstoppable Mach 21 missiles, whereas NATO is just chilling on its laurels, unable to figure out how to make its own missiles go that fast?

How does inane shit like this get reposted on ZH?

. . . _ _ _ . . .'s picture

The US is far behind in rocket tech.

The US buys all rocket engines used to launch satellites from the Russians.

The US can't even get into space (re: Int'l space station) without Russia and Kazakhstan.

 

"How does inane shit like this get reposted on ZH?"

That's how.

 

"“Russia currently pays Kazakhstan $115 million annually to use Baikonur Cosmodrome, plus $50 million every year for maintenance, under a deal signed in 2004. That agreement is slated to expire in 2050.” This is a pretty good deal considering the following, “NASA Administrator Charles Bolden sent a letter to Congress Wednesday saying the agency would need to pay $490 million to Russia for six seats on Soyuz rockets for U.S. astronauts to fly through 2017. That comes to nearly $82 million a seat, up from $71 million a seat. Since the retirement of the space shuttle in 2011, NASA has relied on Russian federal space agency Roscosmos to provide seats on its Soyuz spacecraft to send U.S. astronauts to the space station.” Further, “At the moment, Russia is the only nation capable of launching astronauts to the International Space Station. Russia’s crew-carrying Soyuz spacecraft all launch from Baikonur…” In addition, the US buys its rocket engines used for satellite launches from Russia and will need to do so for years to come. The American space program seems to be completely dependant on both Russia and Kazakhstan. What would happen if they decided to cut the Americans off?"

Reproduced from my own article accessible here.

Blankone's picture

I believe the US launched a lot of satelites and sent a few people into space without Russia.  Never looked very deep into it but the story was that it was an economic decision.  And do not confuse satelite launches with anything military.  Russia does have some excellent (as far as we know) tech for it's military missiles but there seems to be a lot of hype.

This article is like the claims that Russia shut down a US naval ship with their super secret "ray cannon".  Then for good measure the story changed to claim Iran actually developed the ray cannon and gave the tech to Russia and Iran will disable any plane that approaches Iran and all the US navy ships in seconds with it. 

Pepe discredits himself with this article.  It is much hyperbole.

If Putin has any intent to fight NATO and wants to avoid nuclear tactical nukes he needs to grow a pair and actually act and stand up to NATO.  Putin cannot even declare a no-fly zone over Syria.   What will most likely happen is Putin will be pushed back to Russia.  He can keep his bases and a good portion of western Syria for years but he will pay a price.

Or Putin is just a party to the plan to destroy these countries a theory Russia's past action in support of NATO's/UN actions attest.

 

. . . _ _ _ . . .'s picture

"This article is like the claims that Russia shut down a US naval ship with their super secret "ray cannon"."

This is the article you are refering to, I think.

Not exactly a ray cannon.

Blankone's picture

No, that is not the article.  The articles about how Russia shut down an entire US navy ship such that it could not be steared or sailed, then the story went that the crew mutinied once the ship was towed to port and refused to reboard the ship and left the navy.  Then the story became that it was done by russia by using an airplane mounted version of a device developed by Iran.  That evolved into how Iran had a land based version of the device called a "ray cannon" that could knock down enemy jets out of the sky, disable missiles fired at Iran and (of course) disable any enemy ship.

It is all a wonderful bit of fantasy.  But it is perplexing.  Russia is the powerful bear you do not want to poke, Putin is the super duper tough guy you better never mess with (see Putin wear judo outfits and ride a horse with no shirt) and Iran has developed the secret new technology that makes them invincible (which was shared with Russia/Putin making them now invincible) - but in reality they have been incapable to act while making a great show of fluffing their feathers and crowing.  

. . . _ _ _ . . .'s picture

I have not read that one.

It sounds like something one might see on beforeitsnews.

socalbeach's picture

Took me under a minute to find a source, not too difficult. Not a pro-Russia site either, as they speak of a Russian "invasion" of Ukraine. The war games were for a Russian attack against the Baltics only, however.

http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/09/18/exclusive-the-pentagon-is-preparing-...

'Ochmanek has run the two-day table-top exercise eight times now, including at the Pentagon and at Ramstein Air Base, in Germany, with active-duty military officers. “We played it 16 different times with eight different teams,” Ochmanek says, “always with the same conclusion.”'

silvermail's picture

We live in a time when every decent man, announced " as supporter of Putin."
If you are honest, decent, and you have a conscience, then you will be called a "supporter of Putin."

Pesky Labrador's picture

The America you remember quit the arms race, quit exploring space and started getting fat and lazy off wall street and promoting muslims in Armerica. Russia and China never stopped developing newer technology. The media would have you believe we are still THE most powerful country. Sadly, that is not a true statement and simply repeating it over and over wont make it any more accurate or correct. Take for example the F35 piece of crap, the military lowered its standards because it cannot perform like earlier jets. Our missle defense system is a joke now, there is no way to combat a supersonic missle. The phalanx guns on ships cannot even mechanically keep up with those things. You can burry your head in the sand and believe the media hype or you can come to the realization that our government has decided it was more important to steal the peoples wealth and make plans to get out of the country when shit hits the fan. Just go look at how many government officals have dual citizenship. Or how many have homes in other countries. As they say, their kids go to Harvard and our kids go to war.

The central planners's picture

 I thought that to roll a New world order a world was needed.

PutinLover's picture

Comrades, Vlad is bleeding petro-dollars faster than he can procure replacement dollars.

Please proceed post-haste to your local Western Union and support this 'malinki mooshina'.  He urgently needs your support and your dollars (notice I did not say 'rubles').  

Please - stand with little Napoleon in his time of need.  Do it now.  He's fighting quagmire wars that have no end date and his primary means of finance is drying up quickly.  The Russian people are tired of always being someone's victim, someone's bag man.  Let the Russian people have at least one success this millenium.  If you do this we will re-build communism into the hope of all mankind.  You will be so proud!

Some of you have sent vodka in the past.  Vlad appreciates this, but most of all you must send dollars!  Do it now!

LetThemEatRand's picture

I'm no Putin sycophant, but I fear what will happen to America when the Zionist NWO types destroy the dollar.  Americans have become soft, and soft populations tend to strong leaders to save them when the shit hits the fan.  Which is exactly what the Zionist NWO types have in mind.

Billy the Poet's picture

God forbid that individuals should take charge of their own lives and stop supporting such leaders.

LetThemEatRand's picture

Thankfully, if you decide you don't want a nation or government, the rest of the world will respect your non-borders.