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Gold & Silver Jump Ahead Of Fed On Concerns About "World's Most Crowded Trade"

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Is this supposed to happen on the day the Fed's rate hike is "boosting
confidence in the economy" and telegraphs more gains for the dollar?

 

Or perhaps these are just early hints that the world's most crowded trade, being long the USD, is starting to crack?

 

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Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:28 | 6929924 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Funny, mine's just sitting there..., motionless. Doing nothing... Jump you fucker!

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:32 | 6929941 SoilMyselfRotten
SoilMyselfRotten's picture
Gold & Silver Jump

 

Don't worry, they asked the Fed how high?

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:42 | 6929981 Took Red Pill
Took Red Pill's picture

and yet gold is still under $1100 and silver under $14

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:46 | 6929993 SheepRevolution
SheepRevolution's picture

No rate hike. There's probably been a leak. PMs goes up.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 10:17 | 6930094 J S Bach
J S Bach's picture

And tomorrow's headline...

"Gold & Silver Slammed After Fed Announces No Rate Hike".

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 10:19 | 6930101 thesonandheir
thesonandheir's picture

Gold and silver will be slammed come what may, this is just luring longs in before the kill.

 

Gold 1050 by EOD.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 10:41 | 6930176 Phoenician Starpuss
Phoenician Starpuss's picture

The world's most non-crowded trade: https://localbitcoins.com

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 10:42 | 6930181 cro_maat
cro_maat's picture

Pure manipulation. This happened at the opening of the NYMEX and follows the similar (reverse) pattern of the obvious slam downs.

Now why slam it up on the FED raise day? Because it reinforces the narrative that Gold is not a hedge for a weakening $. The sheep must be trained.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:01 | 6930257 GRDguy
GRDguy's picture

The financial sociopaths have slammed gold and silver for so long because their revenue streams dry up if too many folks cash in their chips and walk away from the Wall Street casinos.  They don't care what paper promises you bet on, as long as you stay at the tables. 

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 14:56 | 6931558 thesonandheir
thesonandheir's picture

Dropped 5 dollar in a minute, they don't even try to hide it any more.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:43 | 6930481 Crocodile
Crocodile's picture

A minor hike of 15 bps or "beeps" followed by a year end reversal to get the Satan Clause Rally.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:21 | 6930335 Janet Shalom Be...
Janet Shalom Bernanke's picture

I got my eye on you, and my monkey hammer is on-the-ready.

Our trading desk will smash PMs back to negative when they announce my quarter point spike in rates.  

So, as I tell ol' Henry Fellen,  get long, but not too long,  granny can't take it like she used to.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:42 | 6929985 jerry_theking_lawler
jerry_theking_lawler's picture

I can't see it. I can't touch it. I can't taste it. And I can't hear it.

But mine too is sitting there, in its safe place, and I know it is there and it gives me comfort that I have some real wealth in this world.

Gold Bitchezzz!!

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:51 | 6930010 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

Mine just moved.

Scared myself to death as I'd forgotten how deeply it was buried.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 10:47 | 6930199 r3ct1f13r
r3ct1f13r's picture

Oh... that would not be fun. Glad you remembered.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 10:52 | 6930216 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

A great of bitching was heard,by me first,then by Lady C who had to shift several cwts of silver

while i carried the Au.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:41 | 6930468 Crocodile
Crocodile's picture

There will be many stashes and probably already are that will never be found because they are hidden and the hider has died without anyone's knowledge of the hidden treasure.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:23 | 6930351 Janet Shalom Be...
Janet Shalom Bernanke's picture

After I crash the currency, I hope your gold is soft enough to swallow, since you won't be able to afford a loaf of bread.

 

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 14:12 | 6931338 Shaznardickleze...
Shaznardickleze the Doon's picture

idiot.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 10:16 | 6930087 Takeaction2
Takeaction2's picture

I thought mine would float......

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:02 | 6930262 Phoenician Starpuss
Phoenician Starpuss's picture

lemme guess?  Another ZH "boating accident"?

<annoying donkey noises>

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:32 | 6930410 TheBeatles
TheBeatles's picture

EurGold are selling all of their 1oz silver coins for just €12!

 

These include:

1oz Silver Vienna Philharmonic 2015.

1oz Silver American Eagle 2015.

1oz Silver Canadian Maple Leaf 2015.

1oz Silver Perth Mint Kookaburra 2015.

 

https://www.eurgold.de/silver/silver-coins/

 

Silver 1oz Vienna Philharmonic 2015 Master Box (500pcs) - €7,859.69.

https://www.eurgold.de/silver/silver-coins/500-x-1oz-silver-vienna-philharmonic-2015-master-box/

 

Silver 1oz American Eagle 2015 Master Box (500pcs) - €7,949.17.

https://www.eurgold.de/silver/silver-coins/500-x-1oz-silver-american-eagle-2015-master-box/

 

Silver 1oz Canadian Maple Leaf 2015 Master Box (500pcs) - €7,775.52.

https://www.eurgold.de/silver/silver-coins/500-x-1oz-silver-canadian-maple-leaf-2015-master-box/

 

All major credit cards accepted. Sale ends 31st December 2015.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 12:04 | 6930634 The_Small_Lebowski
The_Small_Lebowski's picture

THIS GUY ^ "TheBeatles / Eurgold" is a scam artist. Send him your hard earned at your own risk. Hi Shane!

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:28 | 6929926 Beowulf55
Beowulf55's picture

Watch the monkey hammer at work today......

We........ must.............not...........lose............control

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:50 | 6930004 lunaticfringe
lunaticfringe's picture

I've been hoping for this.

For over two and a half years we've had to listen to non stop gibberish about the Fed raising rates. I think it is good for precious metals because the dam behind the most inflated market ever is about to burst and people may start seeking safety. There will finally be an alternative to stawks.

Reason 2- ZIRP was deflationary. Inflation is dead in an economy where they couldn't give away loans. Still think these pussies make a couple of nominal hikes to 1% or so- realize they can't do anything else- and that will be it. 

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:29 | 6929929 TheSheepWolf
TheSheepWolf's picture

That's a huge jump! /sarc off

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:30 | 6929932 JenkinsLane
JenkinsLane's picture

A ~$5 move in gold is nothing. 

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:33 | 6929944 Agstacker
Agstacker's picture

Question:  Would I sell my gold because it went up by 5 federal reserve promissory notes?

 

Answer:  No, no I wouldn't.

 

:)

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 10:29 | 6930050 SoilMyselfRotten
SoilMyselfRotten's picture

It might depend upon the denomination of those federal reserve promissary notes  :-)~

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 10:15 | 6930082 Guitarbill
Guitarbill's picture

It is when every central bank on planet earth is short a couple billion tons!

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:31 | 6929935 Lady Jessica
Lady Jessica's picture

This is the new monetary universe I was just talking about.

Everything you thought you knew about the relationships between currencies and interest rates has been turned on its head by the "giant dusty vagina"* at the FED.

 

*I stole this from a recent poster whose name I can't recall

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:35 | 6929954 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

The Bernank has a vagina?

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 10:19 | 6930105 lunaticfringe
lunaticfringe's picture

The Bernank is a vagina.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:31 | 6930384 OregonGrown
OregonGrown's picture

Ever since the "skull and bones" initiation, The Bernank has not thought about human vagina ONCE!

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:30 | 6930388 OregonGrown
OregonGrown's picture

duplicate

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 12:36 | 6930840 Implied Violins
Implied Violins's picture

He has just never been filled.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:32 | 6929937 kerfuffled
kerfuffled's picture

Thats no jump, thats hype.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:32 | 6929940 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

The first move to $50,000USD starts with a $5 move up.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:06 | 6930278 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Doubtful. No, a move like that in the face of systemic manipulation can only occur with the breakdown of that system.

The First move up will be a little more wild. Maybe $500, maybe $5000. It will look a lot like the famous scene from Rollover: https://youtu.be/KUsj7EdZigM?t=274

"By tonight, that'll be cheap."

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:34 | 6930431 Crocodile
Crocodile's picture

The crowds haven't changed, but the use of force & tools on the other side have "IMPROVED".

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:33 | 6929945 pull-it
pull-it's picture

Flight from junk... who's skeered?

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:41 | 6929976 knukles
knukles's picture

I'm NoT sKeErreD!

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:35 | 6929946 Argenta
Argenta's picture

I'm long on silver and gold.  It will be some years before this finally shakes out.  Until then, I just look at this as the buying opportunity of my lifetime.

-Argenta

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:30 | 6930389 Crocodile
Crocodile's picture

I'd say less than 18 months.  Maybe by the end of the week or end of the month.  All China has to do is announce they have 26K tons of Au or Saudi's announce they will accept all major currencies for oil.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:33 | 6930422 OregonGrown
OregonGrown's picture

Woke up and was hoping to buy a couple tubes at a 12 handle.... WTF?

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:34 | 6929949 moneylover3
moneylover3's picture

Las Vegas Casino just shifted to Financial Markets

Its GAMBLING Bitchez

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:27 | 6930365 Crocodile
Crocodile's picture

"Bitchez" is for the young and very dumb who want to sound so "cool".  Sometimes we have to just accept people for who they think they are.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 12:38 | 6930851 Implied Violins
Implied Violins's picture

'Asshole', however, is a word for all seasons.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:36 | 6929956 XXL66
XXL66's picture

Just added 75 napo's to the collection

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:36 | 6929959 RawPawg
RawPawg's picture

the window of opportunity for some Black Swan that Janet is hoping for is rapidly closing

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:41 | 6929963 medium giraffe
medium giraffe's picture

Wondered why I was seeing gaps on currencies.  TY ZH.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:58 | 6930033 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

+1 Lol, that's funny.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:02 | 6930264 Save_America1st
Save_America1st's picture

that chart...purely driven by sound fundamentals.  ;-)

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:24 | 6930354 Crocodile
Crocodile's picture

That is representative of the Global warming data models, the FED models, the Keynesian economic models, Obama's policies and any other chart/model porn you can think of...very good!

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:39 | 6929971 youngman
youngman's picture

If I was a Chinese ..I would be buying gold as the Yuan devalues....hand over fist..

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:39 | 6929972 ms8173
ms8173's picture

They are gonna run it up and smash it big time at 1:00

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:39 | 6929973 wiscodave
wiscodave's picture

Was trading Commodities back in the early 80s when Silver and Gold were way up in price.Silver was up to $50 with the help of the Hunt brothers and went down to the $20 dollar holding range for a while.When the Feds starting raising rates then, Silver and Gold crashed with Silver back to the 4 dollars range pretty damn quick.Granted they raise rates much higher then but beware.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:46 | 6929992 booboo
booboo's picture

yea, those were the good old days huh, when we actually thought fiat was money and the rest of the world thought we could actually pay off our debt without destroying the them too, times have changed son, a confidence game requires...wait for it.............confidence.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:40 | 6929974 Anopheles
Anopheles's picture

Funny, that if it gold and silver dropped by that much in a couple minutes, all the bugs would be screeching "conspiracy" and blaming everone from the Fed to the "invisible hand". 

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:42 | 6929984 Agstacker
Agstacker's picture

You've been trolling here for 27 weeks already?  Man, it sure seems like it's been longer than that.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:46 | 6929990 Anopheles
Anopheles's picture

Says the guy who's lost money "investing" in PMs the past five years.   And then calls those losses "insurance".  

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:49 | 6930000 pickatheweek
pickatheweek's picture

Says this guy also who hasn't lost anything until I sell.  I call my holdings troll proof.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 10:13 | 6930076 ToSoft4Truth
ToSoft4Truth's picture

Your analogy applies to anything.

Those who didn’t sell their stocks in 2009 doubled their money since.

Those who bought metals in 2009, well as long as they don’t sell they’ll be fine… one day. 

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:11 | 6930301 tmosley
tmosley's picture

"Your analogy applies to anything."

No it doesn't. Companies go bankrupt, bonds default, currencies hyperinflate, even industrial commodities decay and have carrying costs. Even if they don't do that, your brokerage might pull an MF Global on you, or your bank could bail you in.

There is no ongoing cost to owning gold, save perhaps for some security.

Gold IS money. All that we are waiting for is the true deflationary wave (ie paper hyperinflation) that will bring its purchasing power back in line with reality.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:52 | 6930011 Argenta
Argenta's picture

I'm one of those guys.  I'd also like to point out you haven't lost anything until you sell, and I'm not selling.  I really don't get you fiat cheerleaders.  I'd like to have an honest discussion with you about how you view this current currency setting.

-Argenta

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 10:17 | 6930095 Anopheles
Anopheles's picture

I never said I was a "fiat cheerleader", you wongly assume.  

Fiat is a temporary medium of exchange, nothing more. 

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:08 | 6930285 GRDguy
GRDguy's picture

Absolutely. Really don't understand the down votes.  Guess most folks hate the truth.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:20 | 6930333 Crocodile
Crocodile's picture

You rightly state that most people hate the truth; Jesus.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 14:22 | 6931392 Shaznardickleze...
Shaznardickleze the Doon's picture

"Who's the long haired hippy flipping tables and whipping my crew?" - Temple Money Changer Manager
"That's Judas' friend Jesus" - Temple Court Yard Trading Pit boss

3 days later...
Game over...
3 days later...
Re-Spawn...

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:19 | 6930287 Crocodile
Crocodile's picture

Tell that to those in Argentina and Brazil; who wish they had their savings in PM's; the same is coming to this land in due time and some will be holding fiat and others will be holding PM's including lead.

 

The USD terms of PM's is not relevant; it is not the reason "bugs" buy & hold; it is to preserve purchasing power.  For kicks I will try to give a simple analogy; 2 ozt's of silver filled a Jihads F-250 gas tank 5 years ago, 2 years ago, now and in 10 years from now (they may get a discount).  The same USD cannot do that and when hyper-inflation spreads across this land...well I don't want to overwhelm your brain; just speak to a Greek, Argentinian or Brazilian.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:31 | 6930402 Anopheles
Anopheles's picture

You are comparing fiat with a commodity.   

 

You also miss the point where I state I'm NOT comparing commodities to fiat.  But your pea brain can't comprehend anything beyond your simplistic chant that fiat is worthless and gold is everything. 

Here's a hint, in a WORLDWIDE crash, PMs will be worth a LOT less (relative value) compared to today.   Tell us, if PMs are the ultimate store of wealth, then in Oct 2008, a minor worldwide hiccup, why did PMs go DOWN?  

Aren't they supposed to go up as per your belief in the god of glitter? 

Please, use your twisted logic and explain that one. 

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:53 | 6930556 Not My Real Name
Not My Real Name's picture

Do you have any concept of relativity, smart guy? 

In the worldwide crash of 2008, stocks fell more than 60% over the next five or six months. Gold, less than 15% -- and that lasted barely a month before turning back up and surpassing its pre-crash high. On a relative basis, gold not only maintained its purchasing power (related to stawks) -- but increased it.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 14:20 | 6931381 Anopheles
Anopheles's picture

Why did gold go down AT ALL after Oct 2008?  

Why has gold lost 40% the last 3 years? 

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:53 | 6930017 Quintus
Quintus's picture

If you bothered to read them, many of the comments above say exactly that.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:41 | 6929978 Kagemusho
Kagemusho's picture

Been watching for this for some time. GLD is gonna have some 'splainin to do when the paper holders start demanding the real thing in the inevitable  vote-of-no-confidence that will have to follow Yellen's decision.Those who've bought their own lifeboats are not waiting to be told to 'stand and be still to the Birkenhead Drill'. They're bugging out right freakin' now.

The Fed rats poured a concrete box for themeselves, thinking it a bunker to hide in with their ZIRP, and now they'll break their teeth trying to chew their way out when they realize what they've actually made is a crypt for Keynesianism.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:54 | 6930018 Lady Jessica
Lady Jessica's picture

 A Crypt for Keynesianism is like the Ark of the Covenant, right?

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:59 | 6930034 Kagemusho
Kagemusho's picture

In a way. And recall from the movie what happened to the wrong guys who opened it.

The Fed raising rates will be just like the Pandora legend; what came out last was 'hope'...the worst kind. The kind that makes you think there's a light at the end of the tunnel when it's really a speeding freight rail with bad brakes.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 10:25 | 6930127 Lady Jessica
Lady Jessica's picture

Ah yes, that evil minx Hope.  It makes the pennies in front of the steam roller look so shiny and pretty.

PS I'm enjoying the image of Krugman's face melting.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 10:03 | 6930047 cpgone
cpgone's picture

paper holders start demanding the real thing"

IN a realated note, Hell has frozen over.

GLD IS SETTLED IN FIAT, ITS IN THE CONTRACT.

 

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 10:13 | 6930073 Kagemusho
Kagemusho's picture

My point is, many who hold GLD paper still think, despite a 300-1 ratio of paper to specie, that they'll get something besides fiat. They won't. And what they'll get will be worth even less than when they bought the paper.  And that's a lot of angry people. And some of them have political pull.

Just the right time for the BRICS to announce their gold market is open for business. A market that is seperate from and not influenced by GLD. The Fed may find itself out-maneuvered.

Thu, 12/17/2015 - 21:08 | 6930774 herkomilchen
herkomilchen's picture

GLD has nothing to do with COMEX.  The ratio of paper to unencumbered physical in GLD is essentially unknowable and fairly irrelevant in any case.  The contract says any physical held in the name of the fund can be hypothecated to unlimited degree.  Worse, that physical is an unallocated asset of the bank, not walled off from other parts of the bank.

Thus, any physical to back GLD is effectively held by the bank at its sole discretion to help it hedge its cash exposure to GLD holders.

GLD shares will be settled in cash at spot gold prices, which is actually not a problem for GLD shareholders so long as the bank remains solvent.  They can just turn around and buy physical in the spot market.  The risk a GLD holder faces is the insolvency of the bank.  Then he's screwed whether GLD happens to have any physical backing it or not.  His claim on that physical is so low in the list of general creditors the bank owes, he'll likely get jack in the final settlement.

However, since we're talking about TBTF banks here, perversely GLD holders may end up OK and beneficiaries of government money printing, able to cash out of GLD with oodles of newly printed TARP2 money and able to buy in the spot market as necessary.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:43 | 6929982 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

A lot of people are convinced the Shitstorm Troopers at the Fed are all set to raise rates, I'm not I think when you plant shit seeds you get shit weeds and the Fed knows it too.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:49 | 6929999 T-NUTZ
T-NUTZ's picture

The news is starting to leak out in advance of the announcement:

 

***Fed holds rates steady

***Fed announces QE4

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 10:08 | 6930060 Uchtdorf
Uchtdorf's picture

Pictures (aka links) or it didn't happen.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:54 | 6930022 GittyUP
GittyUP's picture

Just a squeeze on the weak shorts going to fed meeting.  Itll be belowe 1065 before lunch. 

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 09:57 | 6930030 The_Small_Lebowski
The_Small_Lebowski's picture

plebs needed on the long side, to help with downside momentum when they liquidate. will prob hit 1080 and then the fun starts

 

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 10:01 | 6930037 herkomilchen
herkomilchen's picture

Going into gold on a day like today for safety reasons is the obvious thing to do.  Which is why it feels like a dangerous thing to do.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 10:19 | 6930104 Crocodile
Crocodile's picture

Looks like the market will initially spike upward, then downward.  Something happened in the MEXICAN IPC; it was +10K and now -400...something has broke.

http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/stocks/futures

 

Oil is down and gold is up, this is negative for the market; yet the futures are triple digit up.  I smell massive profit day for the "insiders" aas they will have traders scrambling "up & down".

 

I'd say wait till 10 am to see how things are going or sit the sidelines; definitely keep emotions in check.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 10:32 | 6930154 Wow72
Wow72's picture

Looks like Satoshi is cashing in some more Shitcoin for gold.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 10:37 | 6930165 XXL66
XXL66's picture

You call that a jump ?

http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=XAU&to=RUB&view=10Y

You can check out XAU against any currency, some of them are really frikin nice.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:05 | 6930274 SubjectivObject
SubjectivObject's picture

Dark glass ceiling intact at 1080.

This is a sucker play.

Nom quarter point increase.

Whatever happens, I'll have a reason to feel good.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:44 | 6930495 arbwhore
arbwhore's picture

USDX rising. Its not because of worry about "the most crowded trade ever". Likely a bull trap for 2:00PM. Look for $1060 to be decidedly broken by EOD.

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