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US Manufacturing PMI Plunges To Lowest Since 2012 As Factory Orders Collapse To 2009 Lows

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Following the collapse in industrial production, it is no surprise that Markit's Manufacturing PMI has plunged to 51.3, its lowest since October 2012. Under the surface it is a disaster with production volume growth the softest since October 2013, and new orders crashed to worst since September 2009.

 

But do not ignore manufacturing because, as Markit notes,

Although manufacturing only accounts for around one-tenth of the economy, the Manufacturing PMI exhibits a high correlation of 77% with GDP as industrial activity has an important cyclical impact on other parts of the economy.

 

With many sectors such as transport and business services dependent upon the manufacturing economy’s health, the downturn in the survey data sends a warning signal that the US upturn appears to be rapidly losing momentum as we move into 2016. However, the picture will become clearer with the publication of services PMI numbers on Friday.”

Seems like the perfect time to raise rates.

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Wed, 12/16/2015 - 10:59 | 6930243 Francis Marx
Francis Marx's picture

O-bomba Unemployment is still only 5%

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:00 | 6930254 -.-
-.-'s picture

But, we got housing starts and permits!! Do not panic!

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-12-16/housing-starts-bounce-permits-s...

See!?

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:12 | 6930306 clooney_art
clooney_art's picture

it's all in the shitter anyway. Let's raise the rates too.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:02 | 6930263 Chris Dakota
Chris Dakota's picture

Nobody is buying anything, zero.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:18 | 6930325 gatorengineer
gatorengineer's picture

I believe that unemployment may actually be that low.  Everywhere I go I see tons of ads for low paying jobs, whcich pay less than being on public aide.  Underemployment is at an all time high, the middle class has never in my life been in worse shape.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:30 | 6930395 TheBeatles
TheBeatles's picture

EurGold are selling all of their 1oz silver coins for just €12!

 

These include:

1oz Silver Vienna Philharmonic 2015.

1oz Silver American Eagle 2015.

1oz Silver Canadian Maple Leaf 2015.

1oz Silver Perth Mint Kookaburra 2015.

 

https://www.eurgold.de/silver/silver-coins/

 

Silver 1oz Vienna Philharmonic 2015 Master Box (500pcs) - €7,859.69.

https://www.eurgold.de/silver/silver-coins/500-x-1oz-silver-vienna-philharmonic-2015-master-box/

 

Silver 1oz American Eagle 2015 Master Box (500pcs) - €7,949.17.

https://www.eurgold.de/silver/silver-coins/500-x-1oz-silver-american-eagle-2015-master-box/

 

Silver 1oz Canadian Maple Leaf 2015 Master Box (500pcs) - €7,775.52.

https://www.eurgold.de/silver/silver-coins/500-x-1oz-silver-canadian-maple-leaf-2015-master-box/

 

All major credit cards accepted. Sale ends 31st December 2015.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 12:34 | 6930820 MorningWood
MorningWood's picture

Actually unemployment is only 1.5% under o-hole.  You're just not counting it properly.  #RealityDoesntMatter

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 13:11 | 6931032 artemkovtun
artemkovtun's picture

Take a look on employment in manufacturing http://smart-lab.ru/blog/297493.php

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 10:59 | 6930244 holdbuysell
holdbuysell's picture

So RTFR and BTFD?

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:00 | 6930249 xyzcracker
xyzcracker's picture

can it get any worser?

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:16 | 6930319 Janet Shalom Be...
Janet Shalom Bernanke's picture

Yes young XYZ Cracka, it can.   If we hadn't injected $4.5 Trillion of funny money into the system, and trillions more that you sheeple don't even know about yet, to bail-out Wall Street and the banks (both domestic and international), things would already be a whole lot worserer.  Sure, businesses that should be out of business, would be, and the gubermint would have to attempt at a balanced budget, and the massive debt would have tripled, instead of only doubleing, but what fun would there be in that?   Just compare what we are doing to over-clocking your PC,  we are going to run this thing until the core melts-down.   Enjoy the ride!!    

 

 

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:21 | 6930336 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

 

 

Beg to differ.  Had the CBs not injected the $Trillions, we would at least potentially be on a road to recovery.

The root problem is the creation of credit.  Creating moar of it has not made anything better.  It has simply deferred pain in exchange for larger pain.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 12:33 | 6930818 tarsubil
tarsubil's picture

It is common to babies. They get a big shit coming and they don't want to feel the pain so they squeeze tight. The shit only gets bigger. The shit has to be liquidated sooner or later or it is going to tear the little baby a new one.

In conclusion, this country needs an enema.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:21 | 6930338 gatorengineer
gatorengineer's picture

Its not the fall that kills you its the sudden stop.....  Today might be that sudden stop.  I dont think Mr. Yellen has the balls.  Either way that little Kosher Yoda is letting something out of the bag today, that Bernanke created.  No raise bonds are slaughtered.  Raise and stocks are slaughtered....

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 12:58 | 6930976 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

 

 

Disagree completely.  Yellen does have balls.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:01 | 6930256 John Law Lives
John Law Lives's picture

Let me guess... this is somehow magically bullish for stawks...

FUBAR.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:09 | 6930289 truthalwayswinsout
truthalwayswinsout's picture

I go to Costco for weekly shopping. Since Black Friday there are about 1/2 the amount of people that are there on a normal shopping day. IT IS EMPTY. I have not had to wait in line for a register to check out.

Based on such poor sales, I figure the stock market is good for 2000 points up on the DOW.

 

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:21 | 6930339 Mr. Cynic
Mr. Cynic's picture

' Manufacturing PMI has plunged to 51.3, its lowest since October 2012. '

Actuallly lowest since October of 2013 when it was 51.1 but hey, who's keeping track?

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:30 | 6930392 TheBeatles
TheBeatles's picture

EurGold are selling all of their 1oz silver coins for just €12!

 

These include:

1oz Silver Vienna Philharmonic 2015.

1oz Silver American Eagle 2015.

1oz Silver Canadian Maple Leaf 2015.

1oz Silver Perth Mint Kookaburra 2015.

 

https://www.eurgold.de/silver/silver-coins/

 

Silver 1oz Vienna Philharmonic 2015 Master Box (500pcs) - €7,859.69.

https://www.eurgold.de/silver/silver-coins/500-x-1oz-silver-vienna-philharmonic-2015-master-box/

 

Silver 1oz American Eagle 2015 Master Box (500pcs) - €7,949.17.

https://www.eurgold.de/silver/silver-coins/500-x-1oz-silver-american-eagle-2015-master-box/

 

Silver 1oz Canadian Maple Leaf 2015 Master Box (500pcs) - €7,775.52.

https://www.eurgold.de/silver/silver-coins/500-x-1oz-silver-canadian-maple-leaf-2015-master-box/

 

All major credit cards accepted. Sale ends 31st December 2015.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:43 | 6930486 Chris P
Chris P's picture

With a government that keeps putting out numbers that have to be revised up to three times. They also have to change the way they are calculated to make sure the end result shows the sweet number they want. It is very hard for me anymore to believe any numbers that are put out by our beloved dictator and his loyal servants.

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 11:48 | 6930519 Chia-Pet
Chia-Pet's picture

Hey look, it's Elvis!

Wed, 12/16/2015 - 13:12 | 6931043 artemkovtun
artemkovtun's picture

employment in manufacturing so bad 
http://smart-lab.ru/blog/297493.php 

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!