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Philly Fed Collapses To Lowest Since Feb 2013 As 'Hope' Crashes

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Following last month's bounce, driven by a surge in 'hope', The Philly Fed collapsed to -5.9 (dramaticlaly missing expectations of +1.0) and hitting its lowest levels since Feb 2013. With 'hope' plunging back to its lowest levels since Dec 2012, there was little to support the dream as Prices Paid and Received plunged, and New Orders cratered to 3 year lows. Future CapEx expectations crashed as did workweek and employment outlooks.

 

 

Not unequivocally good...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Thu, 12/17/2015 - 09:41 | 6934553 ejmoosa
ejmoosa's picture

It will be the shortest rate hiking cycle ever....but they already know that at the Fed.

Thu, 12/17/2015 - 09:46 | 6934580 Truther
Truther's picture

NIRP in 2016.

Thu, 12/17/2015 - 09:52 | 6934585 VinceFostersGhost
VinceFostersGhost's picture

 

 

We need to double down on interest rate hikes.....cause no one would expect it.

Thu, 12/17/2015 - 10:33 | 6934809 kralizec
kralizec's picture

(snort!)

I like it!

Thu, 12/17/2015 - 10:53 | 6934904 Never One Roach
Never One Roach's picture

Moar "Hope & Change " for ya, bunky

Thu, 12/17/2015 - 09:50 | 6934602 semperfi
semperfi's picture

don't bank on it - they need to "look good"

Thu, 12/17/2015 - 10:33 | 6934808 doctor10
doctor10's picture

99% of what is being written about the "rate hike" is a load of steaming.

 

Money and debt is useless to the avarage joe. Regulation, taxation, licensing and legal tort threat has shut down all local competiton.  That's precisely the way the big boyz want it.

The "rate hike" is simply the fee fed.gov is charging the big boyz for having kicked out the competition and for  implementing and maitaining their monopoly.

 

that's all.

Thu, 12/17/2015 - 09:41 | 6934555 Cautiously Pess...
Cautiously Pessimistic's picture

I am going to take a wild stab in the dark here.... the weather again??

Thu, 12/17/2015 - 09:46 | 6934577 jerry_theking_lawler
jerry_theking_lawler's picture

Yes, it is too hot this winter...people in NE were still mowing their lawns and had no time to go shop.

Thu, 12/17/2015 - 09:44 | 6934570 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

We'll be back to NIRP in a matter of days.

Thu, 12/17/2015 - 09:48 | 6934586 dimwitted economist
dimwitted economist's picture

Manufacturing???

WTF is Manufacturing?

Everyone with any sense understands Healthcare is the Ticket to a good wage..

or "working" for the Government.

Thu, 12/17/2015 - 09:49 | 6934597 Rikky
Rikky's picture

When holiday numbers suck big time you know the first excuse they're going to roll out is the warm weather in the northeast.

Thu, 12/17/2015 - 09:55 | 6934618 Atomizer
Atomizer's picture

The media's politically correct scripted rhetoric will be Climate Change. Shoppers believed it was 2 degrees too warm to make it out shopping for the Christmas Holiday festivities. 

Thu, 12/17/2015 - 10:27 | 6934771 JMT
JMT's picture

Holiday shopping & travel is booming.. Probably growth closer to 8% over last year not the 3.7% predicted.  The biggest problem is lack of inventory of most items and that retailers were not able to find even barely qualified workers -- even as many raised pay closer to $15 an hour for this holiday season with the majority of 'seasonal hires' getting offered permanent full time positions

Thu, 12/17/2015 - 09:49 | 6934598 semperfi
semperfi's picture

I'm sure the rate hike will fix this.

Thu, 12/17/2015 - 10:28 | 6934776 Being Free
Being Free's picture

If not this one, then the one coming in March will for sure.

Thu, 12/17/2015 - 09:50 | 6934599 Atomizer
Atomizer's picture

Obama fundamentally transforming the United States of America into a 3rd world cesspool. 

Obama: "Fundamentally Transforming the United States of America ...

Thu, 12/17/2015 - 09:52 | 6934606 semperfi
semperfi's picture

he's wildly successful !

Thu, 12/17/2015 - 09:58 | 6934632 Atomizer
Atomizer's picture

Shoeshine boy in chief can run a economy into the ground. 

Thu, 12/17/2015 - 10:23 | 6934743 NoWayJose
NoWayJose's picture

Some of the collapse in data is due to expectations of the Fed rate hike - they cut back rather than stick their neck out. With hints of more tightening, that won't change.

Thu, 12/17/2015 - 10:26 | 6934769 cpnscarlet
cpnscarlet's picture

Is it this news that's sending PMs into a waterfall??? Someone do me dry up up the rear so I can forget AU and AG today.

Thu, 12/17/2015 - 11:19 | 6935030 Jungle Jim
Jungle Jim's picture

Gold now wll below $1050.

Thu, 12/17/2015 - 11:30 | 6935111 InnVestuhrr
InnVestuhrr's picture

And going a lot lower too.

Gold has been one of the assets most hyped and inflated post crash.

The miracle metal is going to preserve owner's losses, not value/worth.

Thu, 12/17/2015 - 12:20 | 6935381 Truth Eater
Truth Eater's picture

Rate hike?  LOL.  All they have to do is stop buying the abundance of Treasury bonds dumped onto the market and the rate will hike itself.  It is all Kabuki theater with a strong dose of smoke and mirrors.

 

They dare not let the markets go free.  They will stand over the corpse in the casket and declare:  he is looking pretty good.

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