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Commerce Department Releases Consumer Spending Data Early - Worst YoY Growth Since May 2013

Tyler Durden's picture




 

In yet another government SNAFU, the US commerce department has released spending data prematurely. Instead of tomorrow morning, its website released the data at 1923ET.. and it is not good. Despite a 0.3% rise in November, thanks to downward revisions, the YoY growth in Spending was just 2.9%. May 2013 was the last time YoY growth was weaker than this and corresponds with spending weakness seen in each of the last 3 recessions.

 

The figure, which was to be made public Wednesday with the agency’s
report on personal income and spending, was released early on the Bureau
of Economic Analysis’ website

Personal consumption in Nov. rose to $12.43t, up 0.3% from a revised $12.39t in Oct.

That constitutes a 2.94% rise YoY...

 

Deep in recessionary territory.

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Tue, 12/22/2015 - 20:48 | 6954736 nmewn
nmewn's picture

"Dammit Judith! Can't you do anything right!? I said delete not send! I'm not flying back there to fix your mess ya know!!!"

Tue, 12/22/2015 - 21:18 | 6954824 knukles
knukles's picture

It's transitory.  It's the weather.  Let us get the climate deniers in prison and start full scale geo-engineering via HAARP and Chemtrails because it's worked so well for the last 4 years in CA, what could go wrong?  Then everything be so good not even Rick Santelli will be popular anymore!  Nah... just gotta up the strength of the HAARP signals and double the barium and aluminum in the chemtrails... triple the fluoride and they'll be good to go. 

 

           drool

Tue, 12/22/2015 - 21:47 | 6954916 Arthur Schopenhauer
Arthur Schopenhauer's picture

Aha!!! This explains why Orange Juice futures are up and Cocoa futures are down.

Tue, 12/22/2015 - 22:04 | 6954963 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

Oh, for Christ sake, these early releases are done ON PURPOSE because they have already been arranged to advantage certain "parties in interest" with favors like this.

This has to be the 150th time key data was "accidentally released early".  How fucking hard is it to tell the person responsible "at 8am push this button"?  Probably no more difficult that telling them "now that we've paid you, push this button at 9pm the night before".

 

Tue, 12/22/2015 - 22:32 | 6955028 Handful of Dust
Handful of Dust's picture
Retail Sales in Texas Plunge

 

When the price of oil began collapsing in the summer of 2014, retail sales continued to soar. The meme emerged that, sure, certain aspects of the Texas economy would be hit by the oil price plunge, and there would be some layoffs, but it would be contained, and the vast diversified Texas economy would keep firing on all cylinders and overcome the struggles of the oil patch. And that meme was correct – until suddenly it wasn’t.

 

http://wolfstreet.com/2015/12/14/retail-sales-in-texas-plunge/

 

The next shoe to drop are overpriced houses and way overpriced raw land in Texas.

 

" It's contained...."

 

Tue, 12/22/2015 - 23:04 | 6955138 froze25
froze25's picture

Good article / info to keep an eye on.  Thanks

Wed, 12/23/2015 - 02:27 | 6955558 yrad
yrad's picture

The American consumer is like the horse that won't drink.

Tue, 12/22/2015 - 23:50 | 6955277 uhland62
uhland62's picture

Cocoa futures are down? Crikey, you just can't believe anything any more. Spiegel reported it'll be in short supply and getting more and more expensive. Who makes these things up? Must read more Schopenhauer.

Tue, 12/22/2015 - 21:17 | 6954826 El Oregonian
El Oregonian's picture

"I've got a pen; and I've got a phone". But in this case I've got plenty of white-out and lots of scratch paper...

Origami anyone?

Tue, 12/22/2015 - 23:47 | 6955263 uhland62
uhland62's picture

Colouring in books for adults are probably better!

(Not making this up, saw it on TV last night and no, they didn't seem to be 'adult' imagas, just flowers, ornamental, just relaxing stuff to keep you away from the screens.) 

Tue, 12/22/2015 - 20:49 | 6954740 DontWorry
DontWorry's picture

Looks like its bottoming out - its all up from here!

Tue, 12/22/2015 - 21:47 | 6954917 Chuck Walla
Chuck Walla's picture

When I see so many retailers offering "Free Overnight SHipping", I know its going to be bad, so no surprise to me. Merry Wishmas!

 

FORWARD SOVIET BKs!

Tue, 12/22/2015 - 20:49 | 6954741 Glass Seagull
Glass Seagull's picture

No more recessions ever!

Tue, 12/22/2015 - 22:21 | 6955000 nmewn
nmewn's picture

Was that Robert Rubin or Bubba, it all starts to run together after a while ;-)

Tue, 12/22/2015 - 23:42 | 6955244 uhland62
uhland62's picture

Land rights for gay whales!!!

Tue, 12/22/2015 - 20:53 | 6954748 CHoward
CHoward's picture

That data wasn't released by accident.  By releasing it tonight it will have little to no impact on the markets tomorrow morning.  Got it?

Tue, 12/22/2015 - 21:01 | 6954764 Baby Eating Dingo22
Baby Eating Dingo22's picture

It just doesn't matter

It just doesn't matter

It just doesn't matter

It just doesn't matter

It just doesn't matter

It just doesn't matter

It just doesn't matter

It just doesn't matter

It just doesn't matter

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DMHvrfsx0HU

Tue, 12/22/2015 - 22:00 | 6954956 Arthur Schopenhauer
Arthur Schopenhauer's picture

In the year 2003

In the year 2003

In the year 2003

Bernie Sanders asks Alan Greenspan,  It just doesn't matter!!!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rPh-qGcYruw

Tue, 12/22/2015 - 22:15 | 6954988 Arthur Schopenhauer
Arthur Schopenhauer's picture

... and then, in the year 2004 (11 years ago) Alan Greenspan disagrees with Bernie Sanders' conclusion.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_GHSrySrn4U

Tue, 12/22/2015 - 21:00 | 6954766 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

u know its interesting watching the phony Silver paper price trading...

every approach at $1430 is immediately stricken down with a very large sell order...as opposed to the rises that r incremental...just sayin.....

http://www.livecharts.co.uk/MarketCharts/silver.php

yeah off topic but whats the point commenting on worthless government data.

Tue, 12/22/2015 - 21:02 | 6954774 OldPhart
OldPhart's picture

Was just peeking myself.  Gold was roughly doing the same.

Tue, 12/22/2015 - 21:10 | 6954790 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

yeah its stupid..

its like why do they pick meaningless "lines in the sand" leaving obvious footprints...

i mean do they really think that the fake ass equities can trade all over the fucking place yet we're supposed to believe that the Gold and Silver phony paper prices can land at the same price point days in a row????????

fuck off with that bullshit......

Tue, 12/22/2015 - 21:01 | 6954773 Bill of Rights
Bill of Rights's picture

Big dump coming the. Grab a long .. QE finite here we come

Tue, 12/22/2015 - 21:27 | 6954858 bobert727
bobert727's picture

Transitory

Tue, 12/22/2015 - 21:30 | 6954866 Truth Eater
Truth Eater's picture

They have been working steady for many years now to make everyone think reality is what they are publishing.  The government tries to hide the fact that only publishing of lies and fiat is under the control of the government.  This gives them the ability to keep the CONfidence of the masses under the control of the government.

  When reality comes to town, there will be an ugly fight. 

Tue, 12/22/2015 - 22:08 | 6954974 deimos178
deimos178's picture

wife went to WalMart to get prescriptions this morning at 9:30 and she said the store was practically vacant. More employees than shoppers. Still no deep discounts or sales on ammo, though.

Tue, 12/22/2015 - 23:27 | 6955205 uhland62
uhland62's picture

Insecure jobs = reduced spending. 

It must be very difficult to understand that wage dampening and flexible/insecure jobs lead to people keeping their wallets shut. Do I really need this? is the question since the 2008 crisis and often enough we decide no, I can live without it. Very, very difficult to understand. 

Tue, 12/22/2015 - 23:01 | 6955124 ajkreider
ajkreider's picture

So, May 2013 signalled a recession?  This article is deep in something, but not recession.

Wed, 12/23/2015 - 01:30 | 6955491 lunaticfringe
lunaticfringe's picture

I didn't buy shit this fall or winter. Instead, I have saved for medical bills now and taxes and my Obamacare penalty in 3 months. I suspect that there are a few million folks like me. 

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