Paul Craig Roberts: Why World War III Is On The Horizon

Tyler Durden's picture

Authored by Paul Craig Roberts,

The collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991 gave birth to a dangerous American ideology called neoconservativism. The Soviet Union had served as a constraint on US unilateral action. With the removal of this constraint on Washington, neoconservatives declared their agenda of US world hegemony. America was now the “sole superpower,” the “unipower,” that could act without restraint anywhere in the world.

The Washington Post neoconservative journalist Charles Krauthammer summed up the “new reality” as follows:

“We have overwheming global power. We are history’s designated custodians of the international system. When the Soviet Union fell, something new was born, something utterly new–a unipolar world dominated by a single superpower unchecked by any rival and with decisive reach in every corner of the globe. This is a stagering new development in history, not seen since the fall of Rome. Even Rome was no model for what America is today.”

The staggering unipolar power that history has given to Washington has to be protected at all costs. In 1992 top Pentagon official Undersecretary Paul Wolfowitz penned the Wolfowitz Doctrine, which became the basis for Washington’s foreign policy.

The Wolfowitz Doctrine states that the “first objective” of American foreign and military policy is “to prevent the re-emergence of a new rival, either on the territory of the former Soviet Union or elsewhere, that poses a threat [to US unilateral action] on the order of that posed formerly by the Soviet Union. This is a dominant consideration underlying the new regional defense strategy and requires that we endeavor to prevent any hostile power from dominating a region whose resources would, under consolidated control, be sufficient to generate global power.” (A “hostile power” is a country sufficiently strong to have a foreign policy independent from Washington’s.)

The unilateral assertion of American power began in ernest during the Clinton regime with the interventions in Yugoslavia, Serbia, Kosovo, and the no-fly zone imposed on Iraq. In 1997 the neoconservatives penned their “Project for a New American Century.” In 1998, three years prior to 9/11, the neoconservatives sent a letter to President Clinton calling for regime change in Iraq and “the removal of Saddam Hussein from power.” Neoconservatives set out their program for removing seven governments in five years

The events of September 11, 2001, are regarded by informed people as “the new Pearl harbor” that the neoconservatives said was necessary in order to begin their wars of conquest in the Middle East. Paul O’Neil, President George W. Bush’s first Treasury Secretary, has stated pubicly that the agenda of President Bush’s first meeting with his cabinet was the invasion of Iraq. This invasion was planned prior to 9/11.

Since 9/11 Washington has destroyed in whole or part eight countries and now confronts Russia both in Syria and Ukraine.

Russia cannot allow a jihadist Caliphate to be established in an area comprising Syria/Iraq, because it would be a base for exporting destabilization into Muslim parts of the Russian Federation. Henry Kissinger himself has stated this fact, and it is clear enough to any person with a brain. However, the power-crazed fanatical neoconservatives, who have controlled the Clinton, Bush, and Obama regimes, are so absorbed in their own hubris and arrogance that they are prepared to push Russia to the point of having their Turkish puppet shoot down a Russian airplane and to overthrow the democratically-elected government in Ukraine that was on good terms with Russia, substituting in its place an American puppet government.

With this background, we can understand that the dangerous situation facing the world is the product of the neoconservative’s arrogant policy of US world hegemony. The failures of judgment and the dangers in the Syrian and Ukrainian conflicts are themselves the consequences of the neoconservative ideology.

To perpetuate American hegemony, the neoconservatives threw away the guarantees that Washington gave Gorbachev that NATO would not move one inch to the East. The neoconservatives pulled the US out of the ABM Treaty, which specified that neither the US nor Russia would develop and deploy anti-ballistic missiles. The neoconservatives re-wrote US war doctrine and elevated nuclear weapons from their role as a retaliatory force to a pre-emptive first strike force. The neoconservatives began putting ABM bases on Russia’s borders, claiming that the bases were for the purpose of protecting Europe from non-existent Iranian nuclear ICBMs.

Russia and Russia’s president, Vladimir Putin, have been demonized by neoconservatives and their puppets in the US government and media. For example, Hillary Clinton, a candidate for the Democratic nomination for president, declared Putin to be “the new Hitler.” A former CIA official called for Putin’s assassination. Presidential candidates in both parties are competing in terms of who can be the most aggressive toward Russia and the most insulting toward Russia’s president.

The effect has been to destroy the trust between nuclear powers. The Russian government has learned that Washington does not respect Washington’s own laws, much less international law, and that Washington cannot be trusted to keep any agreement. This lack of trust, together with the aggression toward Russia spewing from Washington and the presstitute media and echoing in the idiotic European capitals, has established the ground for nuclear war. As NATO (essentially the US) has no prospect of defeating Russia in conventional war, much less defeating an alliance of Russia and China, war will be nuclear.

To avoid war, Putin is non-provocative and low-key in his responses to Western provocations. Putin’s responsible behavior, however, is misinterpreted by neoconervatives as a sign of weakness and fear. The neoconservatives tell President Obama to keep the pressure on Russia, and Russia will give in. However, Putin has made it clear that Russia will not give in. Putin has sent this message on many occasions. For example, on September 28, 2015, at the 70th anniversary of the United Nations, Putin said that Russia can no longer tolerate the state of affairs in the world. Two days later Putin took command of the war against ISIS in Syria.

The European governments, especially Germany and the UK, are complicit in the move toward nuclear war. These two American vassal states enable Washington’s reckless aggression toward Russia by repeating Washington’s propaganda and supporting Washington’s sanctions and interventions against other countries. As long as Europe remains nothing but an extension of Washington, the prospect of Armegeddon will continue to rise.

At this point in time, nuclear war can only be avoided in two ways. One way is for Russia and China to surrender and accept Washington’s hegemony. The other way is for an independent leader in Germany, the UK, or France to rise to office and withdraw from NATO. That would begin a stampede to leave NATO, which is Washington’s prime tool for causing conflict with Russia and, thereby, is the most dangerous force on earth to every European country and to the entire world. If NATO continues to exist, NATO together with the neoconservative ideology of American hegemony will make nuclear war inevitable.

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goldhedge's picture


Kamehameha's picture

IRS, CIA, FBI, DHS, ATF, TSA, DOD, NSA, OMB, GSA...which part do you hate most?

RevIdahoSpud3's picture

They have to destroy nations and peoples in order to bring them freedom and democracy. The concept is similar to passing a bill in order to see what's in it.

stumbLebum's picture

It's a bitter irony when Russia, with its state-controlled media and decade shorter life expectancy is somehow extolled as superior to America.

Instead, what we have assembled here are a bunch of disgruntled malcontents, jealous over America's success and always eager to lend a discouraging word, predict and plot her demise, etc.

Traitors, essentially.

OverTheHedge's picture

MDB, nice to have you back ;-)

noless's picture

Dissent is the highest form of patriotism and all that, or whatever, idduno.

Hal n back's picture

the one that made us use low usage water features in house and also changed lighting.


Congress is good at passing legilation like that but is worthless when it comes to the real important stuff, like our ever growing debt.


Theres got to be a reason somewhere on that besides incompetence.

Lore's picture

Agreed. All the tentacles of the octopus need to be shunned.

Demdere's picture

People.  Any day we wish, we can end the government of the US of A.

Trivially.  All some credible organization has to do is announce it, and it will happen because it is easy and people are waiting to GO.

We all now understand who knows what.  The major danger now is our rulers getting us to fight with each other.  Avoid that, and we are home free.

If I were assigned the task of doing that, I would go after airports and communications.  Those are easy.  Trains next.  If I was doing real damage, electrial distribution is extremely vulnerable.  At somewhat more risk and effort, all of the buildings occupied by the Federal gov in small towns and rural areas.

They don't have a chance, it just takes people agreeing 'NOW'.  When you have a bunch of people shouting 'NOW', it will happen, plenty of people have understood Step 1 after that.  Their own Step 1s, we need not fear collisions or duplciations.

Sabotage is the tool for this job, not guns.

stumbLebum's picture
stumbLebum (not verified) Demdere Dec 30, 2015 12:30 AM

What a low-life, despicable wretch you are....

Colonel's picture

Pot meet kettle statist.

J Jason Djfmam's picture

We have to blow it up to see what's in it.

stant's picture

We have all seen the signs by the itchy trigger fingers this year

Hohum's picture

I am sure the Federal Reserve will save us from WWIII.  Believe!

Yen Cross's picture


 That's exactly what people want you to think.

Johnny Horscaulk's picture
Johnny Horscaulk (not verified) Dec 29, 2015 10:38 PM

Pnac and wolfie merely updated an earlier zio plan

As for the new pearl harbor - the same "neocons" arranged that

Who Are The Neocons?
Hint: zionist jews and their confederates who seek to use America as sword, shirld and treasury to remake the midle east for the convenience of Ersatz Israel.

Why Do People Have Difficulty Seeing 'The Jewish Question'?

ajkreider's picture

Why is this guy being given space at all.  Is it Apocalyptic Week again alreadly?

lolmao500's picture

The American empire is dying fast. When it does, usually, a big ass war happens. And the crazy neo-cons know that, so they will move as to win this war.

Demdere's picture

Of all the wars that could possibly be won, this is the least probable.  Nuclear + economic problems and end of an era in technology and economics and opening of a new multi-cultural world with a new high in civilization.

Bad time to think about winning wars, opportunity costs will be especially high.

Forget war.  We need all of humanity's genes to get through this rough patch and come out the other side with the next improvements in brains and mind and culture.  That should be humanity's goal.

Stop the negative-sum games.  You don't build civilization with negative-sum games, you tear it down.

Nexus789's picture

How? If Russia is attacked directly it will use nukes which means that it is irrelevant how much convention weapons crap you have. Once nukes are used its bye, bye civilisation. 

benb's picture

About 5 years ago the vermin at the Rand Corporation put out a white paper basically stating WWIII would be necessary to mask the dollar collapse which they estimated to be in the near future.

And "this guy" is given space because he's Dr. Paul Craig Roberts and he earned his stripes long ago.

Implied Violins's picture

While I don't agree with the dude above, I personally have doubts about PCR based on his continued use of terms like 'unipolar'; 'multipolar'; 'multilateral' etc. That seems like globalist speak to me.

Everything he says is true. So is what Putin is saying these days. But are they being given scripts to follow? I'm sorry, but there is just too much repeating history involved with what is going on today (with regard to the history of the world's reserve currencies) to not bring this stuff up. Plus, knowing what I know of the history of the 'hidden hand', and seeing that picture of PCR posing in front of a revolutionary war dude hiding his hand in his jacket, it makes me suspicious.

He seems to me to be doing his best to point out the fallacies of the west, and he obviously doesn't need to dig hard to find them. What bothers me is his unfailing support of the BRICS - and his past history working with the FED, certainly KNOWING what they were at the time. He often writes around the history of the FED's beginnings, and their influence in both WWI and WWII as revealed by Quigley, Sutton, Allen and Abraham.

So I openly wonder: is PCR a manservant of the coming globalist takeover, in the guise of the BRICS nations? Forgive me for asking, because knowing the answer may merely make a difference between welcoming slavery, and fighting it off.

Bioscale's picture

The globalists took over the planet long long ago, don't make the mistake of mixing US elites with global elites. US folks served the globalists well in the past 100 years, however due to their exceptionalism they started to think  THEY are the globalists. They are not.

August's picture

None of us grunts knows who is, ultimately, playing on which team.  Maybe, one day, we'll see face to face, as it were.

In the meantime, I consider PCR to be a straight shooter, unless there is some very clear evidence to the contrary.  Most of us grow in our awareness over time, and I believe PCR is no exception to that; after all, I myself was once a Republican....

RiverRoad's picture

NATO ceased to exist when Turkey joined.

Yen Cross's picture

  I don't agree with Mr. Roberts.

   He's out of touch with reality.

 Technology is OKAY Craig.

 Viet Nam is over Craig.


NoDecaf's picture

Technology? Viet Nam?


what did you read, and what the fuck are you talking about?

Yen Cross's picture

  You children.

 WTF Tyler!  You're NOT in control of your servers.


NoDecaf's picture

you forgot to give yourself +1 when you junked me.

Yen Cross's picture

  You clown. I didn't junk you. I don't know who you are.

  I know nothing about you.

NoDecaf's picture

and yet you call me a clown...


does anyone really know anybody here?

Yen Cross's picture

Caffiene makes makes me " squirley eyed". No shit

 About 12-14 hours afterwards, I get the ocular squiglies.

 Zero Caffiene/caffeine for me.

 BTW* You're an financal anamoly. I can't believe you took the time to read that nothing ness.

  Speed Reading, isn't one of your 'finer points'?

Nexus789's picture

I'm sure Mr Roberts won't give a f--k what you think.

lolmao500's picture

As I find the love of my life finally these fucks are gonna kill us all... yay

VWAndy's picture

Congrats on the love of your life thing.

NoDecaf's picture

I think it's legal now

VWAndy's picture

Oh its legal, but taxed pretty hard.

J Jason Djfmam's picture

Honey Booboo's mom was such a rare find too.

ebworthen's picture

Notice how the M.I.C. and their puppets thump their chest about Russia - who was never really an enemy - while they ignore China whom they sold out the U.S. to completely

The lie might give some old dogs a comfortable place by the fire until they drift off to the great beyond - but it is utter insanity to meddle in the Middle East and play this ridiculous game.

In an odd way Russia and China are more the friends of the American citizen than our own government!

o r c k's picture

But the opposite of insanity is not oddity. And a savior is more than a friend.

JuliaS's picture

During WW2 both Axis and Allies thought of themselves as "liberators". Sometimes they would rush into a country only to discover that it's already been liberated, only by the entirely wrong people.

Sam Spade's picture

Paul Craig Roberts (if that is his real name) was the assistant secretary of something or other in the Treasury department during the Reagan administration.  He has zero experience in the realms of national security and geopolitics; I have no idea why ZH gives him a platform here.  Will the Tylers be back from Chrstmas vacation soon, I hope?

mvsjcl's picture

It's a mystery to me why you even bothered to post that.