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    01/11/2016 - 08:59
    Many price-battered precious metals investors may currently be sitting on some quantity of capital that they plan to convert into gold and silver, but they are wondering when “the best time” is to do...

Citigroup Says "It's Too Early To Panic"; Here's Why

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Panic. That is, according to some of the best strategists on Wall Street, the most concise summary of trader sentiment today following a near history rout in the market on the first day of trading of 2016.

But don't worry: according to Citi's Brent Donnelly, "It is too early to panic."

Here's why:

First is a link from Bloomberg on how the first day of the year does not predict the rest of year.

 

The chart is mine and shows the 14 times we saw a >1% drop on Day 1 of the year, then what happened on Day 2. Mostly rallies

And while we are confident that Citi will promptly advise when the right time to panic finally arrives, there is another popular saying: "he who panics first, panics best."

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Mon, 01/04/2016 - 18:19 | 6997414 HedgeAccordingly
Mon, 01/04/2016 - 18:27 | 6997436 Squid-puppets a...
Squid-puppets a-go-go's picture

1933.....2001.... lol

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 18:29 | 6997445 Hitlery_4_Dictator
Hitlery_4_Dictator's picture

THere is no reason to panic because PPT. That is the only reason.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 18:50 | 6997503 Pool Shark
Pool Shark's picture

 

 

It is NEVER too early to Panic.

[When the music stops; only those dancing nearest the door will make it out alive...]

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 18:54 | 6997517 crazytechnician
crazytechnician's picture

You beat me to it.

Better to panic too early than too late.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 18:56 | 6997541 Sanity Bear
Sanity Bear's picture

Don't worry, you can count on Citigroup to tell you when the right time to panic is, when it comes.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 19:01 | 6997558 two hoots
two hoots's picture

How does some silly, look this works,  chart have anything to do with panic?

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 19:06 | 6997575 crazytechnician
crazytechnician's picture

Don't panic - this ship is unsinkable , plus there are enough lifeboats to go around - honest guv '.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 19:32 | 6997662 johngaltfla
johngaltfla's picture

The TICK and TRIN do not lie. No panic in today's markets; the sheeple were a sleepin'. Give it a day or so. If China craps the bed all week, brokers will be getting their unwanted "we're going to assrape your 1st quarter" phone call from panic stricken old farts wanting to go 100% into less than 1% yielding 2 year UST.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 18:19 | 6997415 kiwigal
kiwigal's picture

All eyes on China when markets open in the next few hours. Who is going to win this one...government vs  non government investors??

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 18:52 | 6997528 crazytechnician
crazytechnician's picture

No government can supress market forces indefinitely.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 18:19 | 6997417 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

So a red day tomorrow would scare the shit out of a lot of dolls :)

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 18:21 | 6997421 gmak
gmak's picture

Of course. Because past performance is an indicator of future performance. snort.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 18:28 | 6997439 matinee55
matinee55's picture

unaudited, omnificant printing Fed criminals, not to worry!

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 18:29 | 6997444 Martin T
Martin T's picture

Wait until the air hostess announces there is no more coffee...

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 18:31 | 6997451 nakki
nakki's picture

This from a bank that stock is down 90% from its all time high.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 18:35 | 6997466 Ignorance is bliss
Ignorance is bliss's picture

He who panics first panics best.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 18:39 | 6997478 No More Bubbles
No More Bubbles's picture

Are people actually in this thing?  I thought the market was just pretend.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 18:41 | 6997479 brushhog
brushhog's picture

Might be a flight to perceived safety..i.e US markets. Who the fuck knows anymore.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 18:41 | 6997481 Yancey Ward
Yancey Ward's picture

People will almost never panic at the right time.  Now is it better to panic too early, or too late?

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 18:57 | 6997543 Sanity Bear
Sanity Bear's picture

The right time to panic is "never".

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 18:42 | 6997483 nmewn
nmewn's picture

"Friends, countrymen, fellow sharpers, your 401k's are just fine. There's no reason for all this angst. We've kept your money safe for over a year with only minimal losses haven't we? So-Do-Not-Panic! - The Management

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 18:48 | 6997505 yellensNIRPles
yellensNIRPles's picture

"It's too early to panic. Trust us, we'll be out before you dumb fucks and we're not out yet."

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 18:52 | 6997526 TuPhat
TuPhat's picture

Actually it's too late to panic.  Just be calm and tally up your losses.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 19:00 | 6997557 Dude-dude
Dude-dude's picture

PPT or BTFD?  Notice how the Dow and S&P rallied to -1.5n% handle in the final 30 minutes (on no news) when major global indices were in the -2.nn% range starting with the Asian carnage. 

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 19:08 | 6997579 Ignorance is bliss
Ignorance is bliss's picture

We have money (saved economic energy) because a computer screen tells us we do.....Fuck that. I don't trust the computer screen and would like my economic energy to be represented by gold, because my energy is precious and not to be trusted to banks that have been proven to be fraudulent over and over again.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 19:16 | 6997606 Jstanley011
Jstanley011's picture

Meaningless.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 19:17 | 6997612 Baby Eating Dingo22
Baby Eating Dingo22's picture

Why would anyone, let alone a "professional" advisor, waste their time or breath analyzing or opining the correlation of a single day to the performance of an entire year? Yet Bloomberg replayed this tape throughout the day in trying to bring calm.

It's worse now. There's no psychological impact on algos and HFT, which account for 90% of trading activity

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 19:23 | 6997630 SillySalesmanQu...
SillySalesmanQuestion's picture

No need to panic. Kevin Henry got back from his vacation at precisely 3:40 EST today...

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 19:31 | 6997656 shantyman
shantyman's picture

Did u expect them NOT TO DEFEND the line??? Thats a U problem.... trade the trend 

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 19:32 | 6997659 CAPT DRAKE
CAPT DRAKE's picture

Panic?  Why?   It is clear by the last 20 minutes of trading that the fed et al will not allow a market crash and trash.  Am beginning to think the best bet is to roll the dice again and go all in.   So, right now am 80% cash waiting for about a 10% dip,but after waiting all of 2015, it may be time to move.

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 19:38 | 6997674 bid the soldier...
bid the soldiers shoot's picture

When  Citi's Brent Donnelly says "It is too early to panic," he is referring to the equivocality of the First Day Effect on the January Effect.

Which means that Wall Street's biggest crooks are still flying home from Patagonia and New Zealand and, to paraphrase John Paul Jones, "have not yet begun to manipulate."

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 20:37 | 6997871 Skiprrrdog
Skiprrrdog's picture

Uhhh, I actually panicked about two months ago, so I could beat the rush...

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 21:01 | 6997981 theyjustcantstop
theyjustcantstop's picture

the first thing I do when reading,or hearing advise from a TBTF, and TBTJ, is get a second opinion from my 1yr. old grand daughter.

 

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 22:31 | 6998295 surf@jm
surf@jm's picture

LMAO!.......Well, maybe we can follow the Ben Bernanke playbook........

And say its too late to panic...........Your train left the station without you....

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