Wholesale Trade Data Suggest Manufacturing Recession Spreading To Entire Economy

Tyler Durden's picture


The good news - wholesale inventories are being worked off (falling 0.3% MoM in November - biggest drop since May 2013). The bad news - inventories are being worked off (crushing Q4 GDP hopes and Fed forecasts). The ugly news - Wholesale sales collapsed 1.0% MoM - the biggest drop in a year (leaving the spread between sales and inventories at a record high). The ugliest data of all - inventories-to-sales spiked to 1.32x - (the highest since 2008's crisis recession and as high as the worst in the 2001 recession!)

The year-over-year drops are a disaster...


Recesion anyone?


This leaves a record absolute spread between sales and inventories...


Simply put - the "Field of Dreams" US Economy has utterly failed! We "built it" but they "did not come."

Your rating: None

- advertisements -

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Fri, 01/08/2016 - 11:12 | 7016815 Omega_Man
Omega_Man's picture

it's taking over like financial ebola 

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 11:15 | 7016830 Money Counterfeiter
Money Counterfeiter's picture

CTRL PRT.   Fixed it.

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 11:15 | 7016834 LoneStarHog
LoneStarHog's picture

Thank gawd it has not and will not spread to Cramerica.

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 13:32 | 7017633 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Well, all the 'smart' people keep saying manufacturing isn't important in our new magical economy. So get your Phd in black lesbian studies and start your high paying career in the retail coffee industry.......

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 11:33 | 7016950 junction
junction's picture

Not financial Ebola. More like the Black Death as the banksters and Wall Street fraudsters display the the acute symptoms of the Bernie Madoff Syndrome.  By the way, Madoff should file a lawsuit claiming disparate treatment from the Feds, what Madoff did is now standard operating procedure for Western governments, robbing Peter (the citizens) to pay Paul (the government insiders who own the police, the regulators and the news media).

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 13:20 | 7017578 Perimetr
Perimetr's picture

Wait . . . manufacturing?? What manufacturing??  Arms sales down??

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 11:14 | 7016821 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Depression anyone?


There, fixed that for ya Tyler.

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 11:22 | 7016877 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

It ain't even shocking any more, is it?

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 11:24 | 7016896 thecondor
thecondor's picture

It has actually got to the point most of the time, I just read the headline and know what is in the story. 

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 11:26 | 7016902 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

What's shocking is that we still have people who believe things are booming. I guess they have their nose so stuck in their iGadgets that they don't see what's going on right under their noses.

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 11:32 | 7016937 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

"Mission Accomplished", I guess.

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 13:33 | 7017640 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

We had to destroy the village in order to save it........

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 11:15 | 7016835 youngman
youngman's picture

So companies have hired a bunch of people that just stand around and do nothing....must be government work...

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 11:48 | 7017052 RobD
RobD's picture

I mostly sit around and do nothing, well I do read a lot of the internet. Have found the end of the net a few times lol, then I take a walk and or get some coffee to so I don't fall asleep at my desk. Oh and not a .gov job. Not sure how long this will last.

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 13:44 | 7017694 TheDanimal
TheDanimal's picture

I had that for 6 months as an intern for the most part. What a joke. I actually wanted to work but none of the interns got a lot of valuable hands-on experience aside from that of how to do menial office shit. Those in charge of us were too worried about one of us screwing something up so they'd be fired.probably a legitimate fear too. Once I was in a meeting and the lady leading and presenting was fired right in the middle of it. This was at a fortune 500 company. We were really just there for show, and a line of verifiable bullshit to put on our resumes. To get our rubber stamps that we're good,compliant, and docile serfs.

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 13:45 | 7017703 ali-ali-al-qomfri
ali-ali-al-qomfri's picture

youngman I believe this is referred to as the Costanza Effect.

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 11:15 | 7016837 I AM SULLY
I AM SULLY's picture

I think the glass is "half full".


Fri, 01/08/2016 - 11:16 | 7016845 BlueStreet
BlueStreet's picture

Worst possible day for the bulls and their 'over-sold' bounce. VIX gets hammered but market barely moves. Kleenex stock should be flying. 

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 11:19 | 7016862 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

Debt forgiveness. Before it's too late !!!

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 11:19 | 7016863 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

it takes a pillage

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 11:20 | 7016867 Osmium
Osmium's picture

You can't know that.  You can only determine a recession six months to a year AFTER it has happened.


Fri, 01/08/2016 - 11:28 | 7016921 _ConanTheLibert...
_ConanTheLibertarian_'s picture

Like when the world ends, you have to wait a year for a confirmation.

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 11:31 | 7016930 _ConanTheLibert...
_ConanTheLibertarian_'s picture

I have a poll for you: I'm disappointed the world didn't end on December 21, 2012





Fri, 01/08/2016 - 11:21 | 7016873 eyesofpelosi
eyesofpelosi's picture

I've been watching the "market" since open and those bastards are really trying hard to keep shit in the green to close the weekend. What BS...

What really pisses me off is that the MSM is soooooo BS now, that even the Weather Channel is a lie factory (Climate Change Agenda, hyping weather events to solidify the agenda, etc)...c'mon, it's just the weather...report it, try to get forecasts right, shrug it off when your wrong and move it along...

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 11:28 | 7016917 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Climate change = mass hysteria.

And the "great" jobs report was part-time holiday hires who will be looking for work again right about now.

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 11:41 | 7017014 gdogus erectus
gdogus erectus's picture

I used to be able to just look at the pictures in National Geographic. Now the magazine makes me so sick my wife always asks, "Why do you always flip it face down?"

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 12:06 | 7017181 Montani Semper ...
Montani Semper Liberi's picture

 Too much native nudity?

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 11:22 | 7016881 ghostzapper
ghostzapper's picture

If no high volume rampathon above 1969/1970ish and ultimately back above 1990-2000 very soon as in within a session or so then the intermediate target is 1620ish with weak bounces along the way - could be before February.  Could very well see even more aggressive Yuan deval soon and crude sub-$30.  

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 11:23 | 7016885 Mark Mywords
Mark Mywords's picture

+290,000 and +400

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 11:27 | 7016910 R.R.Raskolnikov
R.R.Raskolnikov's picture

As of now, the stocks are up. This time is diferent, it's the economy 2.0 and it's b00ming bitchezz, (to the bottom ;-) ). 

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 11:31 | 7016932 R.R.Raskolnikov
R.R.Raskolnikov's picture

are all these inventories  all iPhones?

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 12:25 | 7016938 Janet Shalom Be...
Janet Shalom Bernanke's picture

In a shared economy, people naturally need less "stuff".   People are sharing: their homes, apartments, cars, clothes, toys, jewelry, shoes, ....  bodies, jobs   



Fri, 01/08/2016 - 11:32 | 7016939 youngman
youngman's picture

Chinas numbers this weekend will come in bad....and we will be back down on Monday..this is just a sell the bounce...where it used to be BTFD....

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 11:35 | 7016973 Lady Jessica
Lady Jessica's picture

You can drag a Keynesian into reality but you cannot make him think.  (A play on an old aphorism).

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 11:37 | 7016978 The Saint
The Saint's picture

Come on Ol' Yeller.  Raise those rates another quarter and lets get this Obama depression started!

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 11:37 | 7016980 yogibear
yogibear's picture

China needs Obama's staff and their BLS people to do the propaganda.

Problem is China's too honest. 

Onward to the next level of lies.

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 12:10 | 7017199 Hidden Front
Hidden Front's picture

Problem is China's too honest.

How deliciously ironic is that in the "land of the free"?  When I trust Chinese metrics more than those released by the government of "my" country it's a sad commentary on life.

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 11:38 | 7016986 stant
stant's picture

Our catapillar plants closing up . Yesterday Panasonic said they are closing up . Last 80 jobs that were still there

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 11:57 | 7017133 ejmoosa
ejmoosa's picture

Proving once again that when government gets behind a minimum standard the business world sees no reason to exceed that low level of performance.

We need to eliminate all government standards and lete the markets again set the standards.

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 13:23 | 7017592 Wile-E-Coyote
Wile-E-Coyote's picture

You know that one day we will all be dead and none of this will matter, but in the meantime......................

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 13:27 | 7017618 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

Kind of like the college exams I was so worried about.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!