Behold Accounting Magic 101: This Is How Alcoa Just "Beat" Consensus EPS

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Some companies are notorious for buying back billions in stock in order to mask the decline in their earnings by reducing the number of shares outstanding. Alcoa, which still has a major debt overhang from the last financial crisis, is unable to do that as it simply does not have the free cash flow to dedicate to shareholder friendly activities. Instead, Klaus Kleinfeld's company is forced to resort to an even more primitive form of EPS fudging: massive quarterly EPS addbacks.

And while we noted recently that companies are running out of accounting gimmicks with pro-forma EPS addbacks in recent quarters rising to the highest since Lehman, Alcoa still is still not done.

Not even close.

Moments ago, Alcoa reported adjusted EPS of $0.04, or $65 million in adjusted net income, beating consensus expectations of $0.02 handily (nevermind that it missed consensus revenues of $5.3 billion by $50 million, an 18% decline from the $64 billion a year ago).

There is, alas, a problem with these adjusted "earnings", because on a actual, GAAP basis, Alcoa actually reported a whopping $500 million loss.

How did Alcoa "fill the gap?" Simple: with an unprecedented $534 million in "one-time" charges. We put one time in brackets, because the chart below shows that for Alcoa, charges are anything but one time, although in Q4 the company quite literally has outdone itself.

In other words, more than 100% of Alcoa's "EPS" in the quarter was due to what management thought was another quarter of recurring "non-recurring", non-one time "one-time" charges.

What about for the full 2015 year?

Here, things get downright comincal, because whereas Alcoa's GAAP Net Income for the LTM period ended December 31 was a net loss of $121 million, when one adds back all the charges incurred over the past 12 months, the "net income", on a non-GAAP Basis of course, soars to a ridiculous $787 million... which still is down 30% from a year ago!

Said otherwise, more than all of Alcoa's earnings in 2015 were the result of "non-recurring" addbacks, "one-time" charges, and other proforma changes to the non-GAAP net income number.

And that, ladies and gentlemtn, is accounting magic 101.

Oh, we almost forgot: here is the history of Alcoa's $0.02 EPS "consensus" which the company had to take a record addback in order to "beat"...

Chart courtesy of @not_jim_cramer

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Mon, 01/11/2016 - 16:22 | 7031543 Hitlery_4_Dictator
Hitlery_4_Dictator's picture

Dystopia

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QrV61ATP3Ec

 

What you don't know can hurt you 

If you only want to live and die in fear 

They tell us to believe, what we see 

And absolutely nothing that we hear

 

Resist the twist the truth no matter what the cost

Supplied the rights for bombs inside our heads

Allowing on the questions to the answers

That noone lies it someone else's dead

 

What you don't know the (?) can hurt you

If you only want to live and die in a cage

There's panic and there's chaos, raping in the streets

When useless thoughts are peace (?) with rage

 

Demoralize the know for master people think

The quickest way to end the war is loose

Dictatorship and starting with to run aside

You must destroy the castle and it's rules

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 16:26 | 7031562 BullyBearish
BullyBearish's picture

Some would say that today the market reacted to being OVERSOLD...OVERSOLD my A$$, the market is 8 years OVERBOUGHT!!

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 16:46 | 7031641 Herd Redirectio...
Herd Redirection Committee's picture

Back when I learned accounting, they didn't teach you Creative Accounting until 4th year!  I guess its a sign of the times that its now included in Accounting 101!

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 20:39 | 7032666 NoVa
NoVa's picture

Back in the day, we called it cookie jar accounting  - reach in the jar and whoa look what I found !

 

Then Dodd Frank  after crisis was supposed  to fix  the GAP rules.

Guess we need another crisis  to more better accounting rules - 

 

Nova

 

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 16:26 | 7031564 Ruffmuff
Ruffmuff's picture

Alcoa is always the best example of "kicking the can down the road".

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 16:30 | 7031584 cossack55
cossack55's picture

Well, a lot of cans are made out of aluminum

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 16:41 | 7031625 Hero Protagonist
Hero Protagonist's picture

You seriously can't make this @#% up...oh wait, that's exactly what they did.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 17:18 | 7031806 resaci
resaci's picture

Ohh LOOK...

it's recurring "non-recurring", non-one time "one-time" GREEN SHOOTS!

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 16:48 | 7031650 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

from 32 to 2 cents in 2 years.... looks like they can't afford the cans anymore.

 

And the funny part is that afterhours is up 2% :)

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 17:03 | 7031725 Eahudimac
Eahudimac's picture

If they are making the kicking cans, then business should be booming. 

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 19:36 | 7032419 Arnold
Arnold's picture

Waiting for the Ford investment to pay dividends.

 

http://www.freep.com/story/money/cars/ford/2015/09/14/ford-alcoa-partner...

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 16:23 | 7031546 OldPhart
OldPhart's picture

I see that the 3:30 ramp continues.  And silver's back below $14.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 16:26 | 7031550 Rainman
Rainman's picture

Get out the Patriot Act ....systemically vital industries of the USSA don't need no steenking GAAP

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 16:31 | 7031588 khnum
khnum's picture

if you can afford PWC,Deloitte or KPMG and good solicitors you can more or less conjure up whatever you want and pay no taxes

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 16:35 | 7031601 SmallerGovNow2
SmallerGovNow2's picture

And they are closing shit left and right...

Alumina-production company Alcoa announced Thursday it will end production and lay off the majority of its estimated 730 employees at its Point Comfort plant (Calhoun County Texas).

Citing an approximate 40 percent downturn in the Alumina Price Index for 2015, the international metal producer will employ only about 60 people for maintenance by July.

Although the plant will not close, production will cease, and the plant will enter into "care and maintenance mode," said Josh Wilund, communications director for Alcoa.

The decision to end production in Point Comfort coincides with the permanent closing of an Alcoa smelting operation in Evansville, Ind.

https://www.victoriaadvocate.com/news/2016/jan/07/alcoa-to-cut-most-point-comfort-plant-workers/

 

 

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 16:40 | 7031621 E.F. Mutton
E.F. Mutton's picture

The country isn't entering a recession, we are just entering the "care and maintenance mode".  Yeah, that works. 

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 16:49 | 7031653 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Thanks for the bonus chart; "falling down the mountain" comes to mind.

The FED can solve this problem by buying all of us an Airstream for retirement.

http://www.airstream.com/travel-trailers/land-yacht/

That and $3 Million tax free, stimulus!

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 16:50 | 7031659 Mark Mywords
Mark Mywords's picture

America! Yeah! Where is my flag? Those colors don't run!

Greatest Country in the World!TM

Since Lehman.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 17:02 | 7031718 Red Raspberry
Red Raspberry's picture

Getting change out of the couch.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 20:51 | 7032733 Boris Badenov
Boris Badenov's picture

Alcoa be BOEING's Bitch.... or Inbev's

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 17:04 | 7031731 Bossman1967
Bossman1967's picture

Bullshit is crap and money is gold alcoa beat the estimate now who did the estimate. I watched a really sad movie last night called margin call. This explains it all. Suckers........

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 17:08 | 7031753 Fuku Ben
Fuku Ben's picture

Addbacks
Buybacks
Clawbacks
Haircuts....

The seemingly never ending use of etymologically creative marketing terms for obfuscation, deception and increasingly outright fraud in a fictitious marketplace.

Some of you may be amused to know I have been blocked from attending a number of annual shareholder meetings and executive level financial conference calls with shareholders over the years.

They fear my questions and they fear that you can't handle the truth. There's an awful lot of fear and loathing of people finding out the truth about what goes on with corporate finances and decisions in the board room. Which in turn all effect Wall Street.

If they didn't have anything to hide they wouldn't be afraid to answer questions. Isn't that how the meme goes inside the police state?

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 17:08 | 7031755 Catullus
Catullus's picture

Yeah. Like my pension costs are one-time charges because any day now the market is going to turn and I'm going to be fully funded on my pension. WEEEEEEE.....

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 17:31 | 7031867 atomicwasted
atomicwasted's picture

Anything other than straight-up cash-basis accounting is fraud.  The entire profession of accounting exists to enable fraud and to hide the real health of a business behind impenetrable and manipulated reports.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 17:39 | 7031904 s404n1tn0cc
s404n1tn0cc's picture

Hi Tyler

 

    David ...when do you sleep. Wow ...your like a speaking Library.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 18:04 | 7032012 Ajax_USB_Port_R...
Ajax_USB_Port_Repair_Service_'s picture

That last chart is a joke. Right?

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 21:00 | 7032755 Boris Badenov
Boris Badenov's picture

It's a 1 time charge because the dustcap on the bomb and/or drone cannot be retrieved or recycled. War has to be a writeoff, no?

How could Alcoa ever compete against the Banks? They actually make stuff, with factories and shit.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 21:34 | 7032917 Quebecguy
Quebecguy's picture

Alcoa leader on Nightly Busines Report (their reporting is a lot different than Zerohedge for some reason) very upbeat, lots of "aerospace' contracts. Fighter jets and missles use aluminum alloys, yes??

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