Chicago Schools In "Dramatic Trouble": "They're Looking At A Disaster," Illinois Governor Warns

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Back in September, we noted that Chicago’s schools are in trouble. Deep trouble.

Amid Illinois’ intractable budget crisis, the city’s public school system opened with a budget shortfall of nearly a half billion dollars.

Borrowing and trimming the proverbial fat helped close some of the $1.1 billion hole but once the board reached the point where “further cuts would reach deep into the classroom” (to quote system chief Forrest Claypool), the schools asked Springfield to make up the difference which amounts to $480 million.

The Chicago Public School (CPS) system has nearly 400,000 students and more than 20,000 teachers. Around 1,400 jobs were eliminated in an effort to save money and more layoffs may be just around the corner if Springfield - which is mired in budget gridlock - doesn’t step in.

One problem is the CPS pension liability. As WSJ noted four months ago, “the district’s pension costs have more than doubled in recent years after the board took a partial 'holiday' for three years from paying the amount needed to put the retirement system on a path to long-term solvency.”

“It is like the board is a desperate gambler at the end of their run,” remarked Jesse Sharkey, vice president of the Chicago Teachers Union.

Governor Bruce Rauner wants nothing to do with bailing this “desperate” bunch of “gamblers” out. “Let’s be clear Chicago Public Schools are in dramatic trouble,” he said last week. “They’re looking at a disaster somewhere in the next nine months in the Chicago public schools.” As Bloomberg reminds us, "CPS is the only state district that pays for its teachers pensions."

Rauner went on to predict that Springfield would be blamed if (or perhaps “when” is the better word) disaster finally strikes: “For them to say ‘hey you owe it to us, it’s Springfield’s fault, pick up our pension liability and let us kick the can in the rest of our pension liability, no, no, not happening.”

“No, no, no,” and that means it’s back to the bond market for CPS, where investors are set to punish the board for their abysmal financial predicament.

As Bloomberg goes on to note, the system’s GO debt is trading near its lowest levels since September and the Chicago Tribune’s editorial board isn’t happy about it. “While Springfield yawns, CPS borrows money it shouldn't, at rates that it (read: that taxpayers) can't afford,” the Tribune lamented, in a piece written late last week. “The cost of that borrowing now is nosebleed steep: CPS recently agreed to shell out 10 times the interest rate that a healthy district would typically pay its lenders. Ten. Times.”

Here’s more:

But CPS won't stop. The district plans to sell as much as $1.2 billion of debt later this month. The rate CPS pays again will be punishing.

 

Punishing, that is, to nearly 400,000 school children. Every dollar CPS spends on debt service cannot be spent on classrooms, teachers, books — education.

 

That is, every dollar that pays back this astonishing level of borrowing, for years on end, won't go to teaching kids.

 

The ephemeral Springfield bailout? Prospects for that are as grim as ever.

 

Gov. Bruce Rauner says he will help CPS if Democrats in the legislature grant some of his demands for political and government reforms that public employees unions oppose.

 

In the last week, a frustrated Emanuel has accused Rauner of using Chicago schoolchildren as pawns "in a political game in Springfield to get an agenda done that people don't agree with."

 

Chicagoans have heard this accusation from Democratic politicians for months now. But Rauner (you, unlike Madigan and Cullerton, may recall that he won the 2014 election for governor of Illinois) evidently won't be bullied or bought off. The Democrats in Springfield and, yes, Chicago will have to deal with his demands. They will have to compromise. To the extent any pol uses those children as pawns, everyone in this tragicomedy uses them as pawns. None more, none less.

 

CPS officials said Friday that layoff notices for central office staffers should start going out by mid-January.

 

CPS bonds are rated as junk. More downgrades seem likely. Even higher interest rates loom.

 

Claypool told us last month that he expects "at some point" lenders would stop lending to CPS. "You build such a deep amount of cash debt that you can't ever pay it back."

Right. Which means a taxpayer bailout here is inevitable whether it's through an outright cash injection from Springfield, higher taxes, or both. As a reminder, Chicagoans are already the most-taxed residents in Illinois.

"Politicians in City Hall arrogantly assume that Chicagoans will stomach more and more tax hikes," Illinois Policy writes. "The expectation of higher property taxes to bail out the city’s other pension funds and the nearly bankrupt state of Chicago Public Schools will only make out-migration worse."

In other words, Springfield doesn't want to help (and even if they did, the budget boondoggle would probably constrain Rauner's ability to help) and taxpayers in Chicago are already grossly overburdened. Meanwhile, CPS is on the brink of being priced out of the bond market.

With no viable options, the base case is now that described by Chicago Democrat John Cullerton last year: the system will lose 3,000 teachers and will be forced to shorten the academic year. 

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Mon, 01/11/2016 - 20:45 | 7032692 rccalhoun
rccalhoun's picture

for 3/4ths of chicago youth, no school is already a reality, but remain open as a networking hub for crime

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 20:44 | 7032697 grgy
grgy's picture

Democrats really do manage finances well, don't they?

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 21:01 | 7032772 RopeADope
RopeADope's picture

Chicago Dems are an exceptional brand of stupid...Just look at what resides in the Oval Office.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 22:31 | 7033222 Chuck Walla
Chuck Walla's picture

"Democrats really do manage finances well, don't they?"

The Elite are all rich aren't they? Oh, you meant as a matter of good governance.

FORWARD PROPERTY TAXES, EVER FORWARD!

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 20:44 | 7032698 22winmag
22winmag's picture

The public sector unions have painted themselves into a corner, overpaid and understaffed with angry masses of zombies at the gates.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 21:11 | 7032823 undertow1141
undertow1141's picture

But but unions will save the middle class with great wages and benefits while driving costs through the roof. Unions killed labor in this country. At one point in history they worked miracles, but now are just another leech on the system.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 21:53 | 7032991 Nero_Hedge
Nero_Hedge's picture

Grearer problem are the banks and the traitorous politicians serving them who are willing to completely fuck the middle class in this country and destroy the earth in order to make a few extra cents off every commercial piece of shit made with slave labor that were conditioned from birth to want. Shipping shitty products and toxic food thousand of miles around the earth when it can be made more easily, safely, and ethically nearby. The big picture problem here is the fault of unions only so far as they've sided along with these motherfuckers and completely lost the teeth they once had.

Edit: on the smaller issue here in Chicago, yea, the teachers union is grimy and def doesnt have students best interest in mind

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 20:44 | 7032699 ToSoft4Truth
ToSoft4Truth's picture

 

Clearly, the Chicago schools are destroyed.

 

Invest for the coming expansion of the prison complex.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 21:04 | 7032788 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Chicago is off to a great start this year.

January to Date
Shot & Killed: 19
Shot & Wounded: 101
Total Shot: 120
Total Homicides: 19

http://heyjackass.com/

 

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 22:02 | 7033052 WillyGroper
WillyGroper's picture

That was the plan of passing ESEA.

"An original bill to reauthorize the Elementary and Secondary Education Act of 1965 to ensure that every child achieves."

From ABCs of dumbing down:  Neocons should be pleased they at least got their tax-funded school choice agenda (necessary for Soviet workforce training) included in the bill they claim to detest.
 
On Communist Core they may appear to have won their battle to defeat it, but it is hidden away in the 1000 plus-pages... if they care to look.


Next up charter skools & fed control of property taxes.

Communist core.

See how your senator voted.  My guess they couldn't read the bull & had to pass it before they could find out what was innit.

http://www.senate.gov/legislative/LIS/roll_call_lists/roll_call_vote_cfm.cfm?congress=114&session=1&vote=00334

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 20:45 | 7032705 khnum
khnum's picture

Chicago has a 50 percent literacy rate so Id say Chicago schools have been a disaster since about 1967

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 21:08 | 7032792 Normalcy Bias
Normalcy Bias's picture

"According to the State Board of Education, per pupil operational spending in CPS (2014) is $13,433."

http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/opinion/commentary/ct-chicago-public-schools-charter-catholic-archdio-20140908-story.html

Surely, they'll say the literacy rate is abysmal because they don't have enough money.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 21:50 | 7032992 CheapBastard
CheapBastard's picture

No one ever said you need to be able to read your EBT card.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 22:06 | 7033073 Normalcy Bias
Normalcy Bias's picture

In Chicago, they only need them literate enough to vote the straight (D) ticket 3-4 times per election.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 20:45 | 7032706 Richard Head
Richard Head's picture

Think about the children! (rallying cry of pandering dems)

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 20:52 | 7032738 ToSoft4Truth
ToSoft4Truth's picture

Equally, no child left behind. 

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 20:47 | 7032710 idontcare
idontcare's picture

When I was a kid, I did half of every school year up in Chicago.  Nothing pissed me off more than when my friends in public school got to play around those extra first weeks of what were supposed to be the beginning of the school year because the teachers usually decided to go on strike at the beginning of each year.  I tried to point out to my parents that more time off was an advantage of a public education over a strict private education, but they saw it otherwise.  Meanies.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 20:49 | 7032717 Budnacho
Budnacho's picture

Actually, we're rather stoic about it.

When it comes to pensions, we support the firemen...the cops and politicians can eat it...streets aren't safe and the Govt sucks...No soup for you!

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 20:56 | 7032749 ToSoft4Truth
ToSoft4Truth's picture

 

The nice German folk finance pension plans for the good officers who turn their guns back in force.... Wait?

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 20:56 | 7032725 yogibear
yogibear's picture

Look at surrounding suburban Chicago HSs where teachers with 25 years are making well over $100,000/year

Here are just a couple.

==================

Thomas A Fidler

Hoffman Estates High School,IL

Add to Compare High School Teacher

$175,816

32 Years of service 

 

==================

Michael A Wietlispach

Hoffman Estates High School,IL

Add to Compare High School Teacher

$169,969

32 years of service

=============

http://illinois-teachers.findthedata.com/

 

The get to retire at a pension with 75% of their salary. Good reason for Illinois going broke.

 

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 21:10 | 7032819 opt out
opt out's picture

don't hate the playas hate da game. 

like you would take a pass on making six figures for pullin your pud 180 days a year...

what's that? you would? liar.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 21:17 | 7032850 lordbyroniv
lordbyroniv's picture

the center will not hold.

You get...NOTHING !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!111111111

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 21:28 | 7032900 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

Dont shoot the messenger. I say fuck em too.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 22:36 | 7033251 Chuck Walla
Chuck Walla's picture

Da Playas will hate the game soon enough. Pity they won't figure out how it happened.

FORWARD DOG FOOD EATING SOVIET!

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 23:16 | 7033375 johnconnor
johnconnor's picture

How a glorified baby sitter make $175 a year, and after sucking tax payers for 32 years, retire with 75% of that!!???

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 20:51 | 7032729 Omen IV
Omen IV's picture

Needs congressional action for new bankruptcy law that allows public entities across the board to go BK and shed all the pensions and bonds and start over

paying pensioners $30-150,000 per annum forever is not in the cards - give them 20 cents on the dollar of contract liability and reduce the property and income  taxes 50% or else the whole local game is going to implode - too many alternatives out of state - whatever the state may be

 

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 00:39 | 7033564 Government need...
Government needs you to pay taxes's picture

You see it happening every year.  IL is always in the top 5 states for outbound moving vans.  Taxpayers just keep voting with their feet.  Cant blame them.  Just dont move to SC.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 07:51 | 7034099 j0nx
j0nx's picture

They move alright and then commiefy wherever it is they move to. Did it to Virginia, are doing it to Texas and North Carolina as we speak. Just a matter of time before they hit critical mass there and turn them blue unless it's stopped soon. Never thought I'd see the day that my beloved Virginia was commiefied but we are little more now than South Maryland at this point, especially in the NoVa area.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 09:08 | 7034335 sunnyside
sunnyside's picture

Born in MD, but spent most of my life in VA.  NoVa has crept out west to Winchester and south to Fredericksburg.  Virginia is losing it's identity to souless DC. Regarding Maryland, never will you see a better case for breaking up a state.  The three areas have absolutley nothing in common.  I've often opined that the eastern shore should join Delaware to make it a real state, western MD should hold a vote and either join PA or West Virginia, and the central area should consume DC (they really should have voting rights/representation) to make one concentrated liberal hub.  Baltimore, PG, Montgomery County, etc.... Watch it implode.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 20:52 | 7032739 will ling
will ling's picture

close 'em all. let the fuckin' streets take over. start from scratch.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 20:53 | 7032743 lordbyroniv
lordbyroniv's picture

Liberals suck.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 20:55 | 7032750 cherry picker
cherry picker's picture

I know a retired school teacher.  We were talking about shortfalls a few years back.  She said to 'tax business'.

'Have you ever had to meet payroll, make enough to cover expenses, go after receivables while vendors are shutting their doors as they didn't get paid, pay all those fees and taxes and yet people like you are demanding more?'

'No', she said.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 21:03 | 7032784 yogibear
yogibear's picture

Try cutting anything from the teachers, cops or firemen and they get violent. 

There should be a cap on their pensions. That would put an end to their abuse of multiple pensions.

One fire debuty cheif in Illinois worked at sdispatch for 9 years drawing a $17,500/yr pension while drawing the regular pension for his 30 years at $105,000/yr.

Abuse in Illinois by the public unions is out of control.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 21:11 | 7032821 Quebecguy
Quebecguy's picture

Whenever one of those fucks gives me an attitude I just think of what their pension is worth (zero). Don't forget about that Oathkeepers!!!

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 21:12 | 7032825 cherry picker
cherry picker's picture

That is everywhere.  In Canada I read magistrates make 1/4 million a year.  These guys don't judge the bad cases.  They don't put in 40 hour weeks.  Never mind teachers and other civil servants and there are a ton of them.

However, keep in mind if we fire the lot of them or cut back their pay the whole economy will basically shut down as the government directly or indirectly though regulation which requires accountants and people in business to insure they are compliant is the largest employer now that manufacturing has left Noth America and agriculture is largely automated, employing a fraction of what it used to.

Best is to let the FED keep on printing and hiding what is out there.  Sometimes what we don't know won't hurt us.  Our society hooked on small screens and Kardashian won't know how to survive when the economy and governments break.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 20:59 | 7032765 83_vf_1100_c
83_vf_1100_c's picture

  Fuck the IL schools. SHTF is already going down. Today, Chicago retirees don't get paid. Tomorrow, socsec old people don't get paid. I have a military retirement check every month (thanks taxpayers) and I expect it to not get paid one day. The keynesponzifsashitshow is drawing nigh to a close. The hefty girl with blonde plaited hair and a funny hat is warming up off stage.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 21:16 | 7032847 WTFUD
WTFUD's picture

I suppose if you're a politician you'd fuck up/over the military (ex) last; makes sense, they're not that stooopid.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 00:21 | 7033532 Farqued Up
Farqued Up's picture

Uh, next to last, no way the military will get a dime and leave those shit heads pensionless. Im looking forward to seeing the 3 branches of govt eating cat food, spoiled fish.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 21:04 | 7032787 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

   The architect of Zerocares little brother will fix the shortfall in a jiffy...

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 21:05 | 7032794 vincent
vincent's picture

This problem dates as far back as late 1970's. The Machine is absolutely to blame. They wanted votes and have soaked taxpayers and Springfield year after year.

Sorry to the pensioners and current educators, but in a sense you have yourselves to blame. You sold yourselves and sold out the future educators for a few shekels, not to mention your neighbors and fellow taxpayers. Perhaps you should have paid more attention to the astronomical salaries for adminstrators and NOT paid all of those kickbacks to your elected criminal politicians.

For my entire life the war cry of the Union, admisitrators and the educators was "WE deserve more". Well, reap the whirlwind.. Your standard of living was far beyond that of your neighbors, and most middle class families. When the time comes, setlle for 50% of what you were PROMISED, grab your SS and think about those who come after you. We''ll not even mention that the education provided is severely sub standard. Make all of the old excuses you want. The fact is you had a responsibility and did not deliver.

My education came from right across the state line where educators were paid fairly, never went on strike, and provided me with an excellent education.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 00:24 | 7033541 Farqued Up
Farqued Up's picture

Impeach Rahm, as in tomorrow, what a douche.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 21:05 | 7032799 Somewhat Evolve...
Somewhat Evolved Monkey's picture

http://chicago.suntimes.com/chicago-politics/7/71/352887/deborah-quazzo-...

Chicago is definitely not a first choice for me, but if I had to live there, it is right on Lake Michigan, there are some attractive things about Chicago. Minus the whole IOU on lotto tickets thing. The public schools are obviously a disaster.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 21:07 | 7032805 ToSoft4Truth
ToSoft4Truth's picture

If you live anywhere near Chicago, flee!  Crime is going to go off the charts when the schools finally close. 

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 21:08 | 7032811 WTFUD
WTFUD's picture

Cut the Teachers in Half to 10k and stick the savings on the next Goldman IPO; Problema Solved; NEXT?

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 21:10 | 7032817 ZombieHuntclub
ZombieHuntclub's picture

And I should give a shit why? 

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 21:12 | 7032831 lester1
lester1's picture

Keep in mind all those pensions were promised when Chicago has a booming manufacturing sector and the state was very wealthy. Over the years due to free trade and globalization, all those good paying manufacturing jobs are now gone and the state is broke.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 21:28 | 7032902 vincent
vincent's picture

Not completely correct. Most of the 80's werre very lean times in the Rustbelt, yet the teachers continued to threaten or actually go on strike. By the 90's manufacturing was decimated and nearly non existent.

Most middle classers found rough treading. Auto, steel, and refining jobs disappeared, never to return, yet the Union and their members continually demanded more. Fact is everybody deserved more. Hard working, loyal folk with modest means made due. Teachers kept demanding.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 21:15 | 7032839 Heterodox economics
Heterodox economics's picture

Not that long ago, the President of the Chicago Teachers Union, Karen Lewis, proposed this solution to the problem of paying the pensions of retired public schools teachers: a tax on transactions at the Chicago Board of Trade and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange.  A Chicago libtard journalist also thinks this is a swell idea.

They seem not to realize, that the CBOT and the Merc will leave the state if they are going to be taxed.  Oh, the Board of Trade and the Merc could easily move to Florida, or Texas, or Kansas. 

The leader of the public school teachers advocates this batshit idea.  No wonder the publich schools are in trouble.  

 

 

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 21:14 | 7032842 TrustbutVerify
TrustbutVerify's picture

Time to throw more money at the problem.  It never worked before.  Keep on doing it. 

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 21:51 | 7032974 JD59
JD59's picture

That is the communist democrat way. Money to them is just toilet paper with ink.

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