WTI Crude Collapses To $30 Handle, Stocks Plunge As Rate-Hike Odds Tumble

Tyler Durden's picture




 

With rate hike odds for March plunging from over 55% a week ago to just 38% now, it appears faith in The Fed has utterly failed. WTI traded down to $30.97 - the lowest ssince Dec 2003.

 

Fed #Fail...

 

WTI punched lower to a $30 handle for the first time since December 2003..

 

and that has dragged stocks back into the red...

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Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:28 | 7030369 F0ster
F0ster's picture

TurmOIL is finally starting to happen. Took long enough...

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:29 | 7030380 Hitlery_4_Dictator
Mon, 01/11/2016 - 14:26 | 7030804 glenlloyd
glenlloyd's picture

Hmmm, after that Fed rate hike seems like they've gotten themselves into a bit of a pickle.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 14:52 | 7030943 El Oregonian
El Oregonian's picture

Feds of folly fa- la-la- la-la La LAAAAA!!!!

sung to that famous christmas tune.

Fa la la Christmas Song

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0oFJXa26vY

 

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:28 | 7030382 Blythes Master
Blythes Master's picture

Don't look for gas prices to drop anytime soon as corrupt and bankrupt grubbmints try to squeeze every last penny of taxes out of every single gallon of fuel sold.

Ask yourself why, if crude is only 30 bucks a barrell, how come gas is still around 2 bucks a gallon?

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:58 | 7030606 ThroxxOfVron
ThroxxOfVron's picture

Indeed.

The Citizenry have been aclimated to the gouging.

$140/bbl. <> $4.00/gal.

$31 ÷ 140 = .2214 <> $4.00 X .2214 = $0.89

Stricktly speaking: IF the price of a barrel is the prime determinant in the price of gasoline at the pump the price is still approximately 100% HIGHER than what it should be.

How much of this 100% is pure gouging and how much is unrelated expense beyond pricing of the underlying commodity is open to discussion...

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 14:07 | 7030668 vollderlerby
vollderlerby's picture

Gasoline futures dropped through the floor starting last Thursday.  Gas prcies are getting there soon.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 14:21 | 7030772 Jethro
Jethro's picture

You still have taxes on all of it, and even if it went to zero, places like Chicago would still have at least a $0.50 take per gallon.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:29 | 7030384 stant
stant's picture

Dr copper needs a nurse , it's worse

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:29 | 7030385 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Nonsense, this should be just the encouragement the Fed needs to jack it up 100 bps. After all, the real economy is merely a figment of our fevered imaginations......

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:37 | 7030452 MadVladtheconquerer
MadVladtheconquerer's picture

The Fed done shocked da monkey!

That whacky weedus you grow comes in handy at such times.

Don't bogue out.  Pass the bong!

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:30 | 7030392 Bam_Man
Bam_Man's picture

As they say in Iran, "Holy Shiite!"

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:31 | 7030393 OregonGrown
OregonGrown's picture

First comes the deflation..... THEN comes the hyperinflation!

 

GET THE FUCK OUT OF PAPER and hurry your ass into physical commodities.....

For it is all good, until it's not!

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:36 | 7030445 KnuckleDragger-X
KnuckleDragger-X's picture

Go long beans and cornbread......

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:38 | 7030460 MadVladtheconquerer
MadVladtheconquerer's picture

And Bean-O.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:40 | 7030465 OregonGrown
OregonGrown's picture

.... and long cowries shells!

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:45 | 7030517 Mayer Amschel R...
Mayer Amschel Rothschild's picture

Yeah, let's panic buy some historically overpriced commodities.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:54 | 7030579 Blythes Master
Blythes Master's picture

Nah, just sit on your fiat ass until it's only worth is to wipe it.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 14:16 | 7030660 OregonGrown
OregonGrown's picture

HISTORICALLY OVERPRICED COMMODITIES???  Come on brother.... pull it out.... and stop believing what the so called "experts" are saying, for they are trying to swindle you.  Let history be your guide!

 

The "overpriced commodities" you are referring to has already capitulated and gone through it's deflationary cycle......  

Here is a look at the S&P chart, inflation adjusted!  http://www.macrotrends.net/1324/s-p-500-earnings-history

Notice that the price of stocks in the s@p right now is at the ALL TIME FUCKING HIGH and triple topped?  Looking at the chart via the link I posted above, Dont you see stocks are due to deflate, just like the commodity sector has already done the for the last 3 years?

 

Economics 101..... buy low, sell high...... rinse and repeat

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 14:40 | 7030879 Mayer Amschel R...
Mayer Amschel Rothschild's picture

I know this is an unpopular message. But, this drop in prices is only a case of the sniffles.  After the ensuing commodity countertrend rally, we'll see what real once-in-a-100-year deflation is all about.

 

In less than 20 years:

crude oil <$10/bbl

gold <$300/oz

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 15:02 | 7031007 OregonGrown
OregonGrown's picture

Quick, without googling..... can you name the one company who's stock price actually INCREASED the most, multiple times more than every other company on the exchange, during the great depression?

 

History maybe wont repeat itself, but it will definitely rhyme.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 15:36 | 7031229 Blythes Master
Blythes Master's picture

Sure oil will take a dump, but the money of kings?

You might want to brush up on HIStory before posting more keyboard diarrhea.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:30 | 7030395 Jethro
Jethro's picture

Dayum.....

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:35 | 7030432 MadVladtheconquerer
MadVladtheconquerer's picture

Jethro!!  I saw your relatives in Kyoto and Nagano! 

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:37 | 7030447 Jethro
Jethro's picture

We are everywhere....

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:40 | 7030473 MadVladtheconquerer
MadVladtheconquerer's picture

Tell me about it.  Your cousin tried to climb my ass!

Another cousin was hanging on some dope's backpack swiping at his foodbag!

Would have made a great Youtube moment.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:52 | 7030566 Jethro
Jethro's picture

So far, the best chimpout videos are at Worldstar.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:33 | 7030399 Squid Viscous
Squid Viscous's picture

didn't think i would need my Dow 15000 hat quite so soon!!!

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:42 | 7030496 AdolfSchicklgruber
AdolfSchicklgruber's picture

Me either but don't you love this shit? Justice is coming soon enough!

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:32 | 7030400 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

Cue the next Fed president to say how they messed up.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:33 | 7030408 OregonGrown
OregonGrown's picture

You forgot to hit the BUY BUY BUY button! 

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:47 | 7030497 Squid Viscous
Squid Viscous's picture

maybe someone will finally snuff cramer out, got to be one or two crazy enough m'fs that lost a shitload thanks to him...

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:31 | 7030401 scubapro
scubapro's picture

 

 

dwti at 322/share....every penny down in price is now 31 cents higher in dwti  !!    those leveraged etfs are so dangerous!

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:34 | 7030417 Squid Viscous
Squid Viscous's picture

when did dancing with the the stars go public? brilliant!

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:33 | 7030410 scubapro
scubapro's picture

 

quick, some CB chair needs to say something, anything before this sucker goes down!   (or not, that would be fine with me, best week in 3 years)

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:35 | 7030421 OregonGrown
OregonGrown's picture

Or maybe someone from the biggest company in the world

 

TIM...... where are you buddy?   Can you do us all a favor and email Jim..... so he can read it on air and calm everyone down!

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:34 | 7030414 Jason T
Jason T's picture

what ever happened to the "stocks are ripe for a ripe your face off rally" guy that was called for back in Mid December? 

turned out to be a rip your ass off decline.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:46 | 7030527 Hitlery_4_Dictator
Hitlery_4_Dictator's picture

Gregoery Mannarino - guess he failed pretty big on that Jan call. Whoops his other call will be rigth, dollar crisis 

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:40 | 7030470 Haole
Haole's picture

Calling EconMatters, EconMatters, please report to analyst school 101.  This is NOT the bottom of the oil market, into the 20's it goes.

Imagine that, a blue collar dummy can look at a professional market analyst on ZH and call him on nonsense.

"Nobody told me there'd be days like these, most peculiar momma..."

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:43 | 7030499 robertocarlos
robertocarlos's picture

That should keep the muzzies out of Canada.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:44 | 7030509 Jack Burton
Jack Burton's picture

Saudi and the West believe they have a six month window to push Russia into fiscal crisis by pushing oil down to single didgets. The push is on, the results remain to be seen. But it is obvious that global economic weakness combined with an oil surplus has made this "the moment" to pressure Russia to snap. Will it work? Well, there must be now violent outbreak that threatens a major oil producer. Otherwise, the USA has written off fracking as a feature of free money and a peak in oil prices. Saudi is pumping for all it is worth, oil that costs a buck at the well head. It's a desperate plan, with wide cosequences, but does show the real fear that Russia is rising as a world power that will not fall to the west's color revolutions.

This next half year will be interesting.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:50 | 7030554 Jethro
Jethro's picture

"This next half year will be interesting"....Understatement

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:52 | 7030565 Rockfish
Rockfish's picture

Sometimes war starts becaue of scrap steel other times it starts because Oil prices are driven into the ground. 

 

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 15:40 | 7031251 Mr.Sono
Mr.Sono's picture

Jack, do you think Russia will foil? And if Oil hits 7 bucks like you said, what is your ideal thinking of the next half?

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 15:44 | 7031281 neutrino3
neutrino3's picture

Sir, you said it much better then me^

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:54 | 7030585 Captain Chlamydia
Captain Chlamydia's picture

Hint at QE4 in 5,4,3,2,1.....

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 13:57 | 7030597 stateside
stateside's picture

Faith in the FED hasn't utterly failed as the article implies.  Gold down today and under $1,100.  When faith in the FED truly fails gold goes to $1,500 - $2,000.  The price of gold is inversely correlated to the faith investors have in the FED. As the gold price indicates, the FED is still in control for now and thought of God-like by the investor crowd.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 14:19 | 7030760 Jethro
Jethro's picture

It sounds like what your describing is (at the least the beginnings of) a currency collapse.  If that happens, then it's Katy bar the door

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 14:33 | 7030844 scatha
scatha's picture

Crude oil is coming down to its true market price that corresponds to reality of collapsing world economy loaded with debt that devours almost all world's income of ordinary people. What's the price? 1$ a barrel.

That's right, one buck a barrel if FED wont' print the profit and cover exploitation costs via hyper bailout or bail-in or other financial/monetary trickery.

In such a case I am calling the market: S&P 100 and DJIA 3000, 1500 in 401k abolished,  but that won't happen until they run out of lampposts to hang all those thieving oligarchs and their DC stooges.

More on that can be found here:

https://contrarianopinion.wordpress.com/economy-update/

COMMODITIES IN THE DEFLATIONARY COLLAPSE: NOT EXACTLY.

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 14:34 | 7030849 Jack Buster
Jack Buster's picture

With that logic, if oil were free, then gasoline should be free.  Despite refining and transport costs?

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