Last-Hour Buying-Panic Saves Nasdaq From Longest Losing Streak In 31 Years

Tyler Durden's picture




 

It just seemed appropriate...

 

 

8 down days as of yesterday was longest losing streak since Jan 2008 but a red close today would have made it 9 down days in a row - The longest losing streak for Nasdaq Composite since May 1984

Deja Vu All Over Again...

 

As once again, USDJPY took over after NYMEX closed...

 

A desperate attempt to squeeze shorts at the open (Most Shorted spiked over 2% at the open) gave way to selling pressure... but then as soon as NYMEX closed - the squeeze resumed...

 

So panic buying stocks and panic-selling VIX saved the day...once again all sponsored by the NYMEX Close...

 

Leaving all the majors green by the close

 

Futures show the swings best...

 

1225 Dow points in 24 hours!!!

 

But it appears insiders are selling (since QE3 ended)...

h/t @NorthmanTrader

 

High yield credit markets remain deeply recessionary at these levels...

 

Treasury yields collapsed today (as China stopped supporting Offshore Yuan)... 30Y yields crashed 13bps from high to low back to 2.875%

 

It's pretty clear that yesterday's "odd" weakness in Treasuries given equity tumble was due to China selling TSYs sto fund their defense of the Offshore Yuan (and today we catch back down as they offer disappears)...

 

The USD Index pushed higher again today with CAD dumping under 70c for the first time since 2003...

  • *RUSSIAN RUBLE CLOSES AT RECORD-LOW 77.0650 PER USD

 

Commodities were very mixed with copper and crude carnaging while gold and silver were flat but started to accelerate higher into the last hour as things started breaking...

 

WTI broke down below $30 foir the first time since December 2003...

 

So fingers crossed that China does not open and that API does not have a huge build (as expected).

 

Charts: Bloomberg

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Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:05 | 7036618 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

U KNOW I REALLY INTENDED TO JUST TURN MY BACK ON THIS FUCKING SHIT SHOW KNOWING THAT ITS ALL NOTHING BUT FRAUDULENT FUCKING BEHAVIOR BY THOSE COCKSUCKERS ON WALL ST., AT THE EXCHANGE STABILIZATION FUND, AND THE FUCKING FED…

BUT HOW CAN I AFTER ANOTHER DAY LIKE FUCKING TODAY????

LAY DOWN THE CHARTS OF THESE FUCKING “MARKETS” OVER THE LAST 2 DAYS AND ASK URSELF THE FOLLOWING…..
HOW IS IT POSSIBLE THAT THESE BULLSHIT FUCKING FAKE ASS MOTHER FUCKING FRAUD MARKETS CAN DAY AFTER DAY MANAGE TO ERASE GRADUAL STAIR STEP DECLINES TO LOWS OF THE DAY ONLY TO ABRUPTLY DO AN ABOUT FACE AT 2:00 IN THAT SHIT HOLE OF A METROPOLIS NEW YORK, FOLLOWED BY THE FINAL “HAND OF GOD” ELEVATOR RIDE TO STAWK MARKET HEAVEN???????

OH, AND WHO DECIDED THAT UNITED HEALTH WAS THE SURE BET STAWK TO BUY TODAY DESPITE THEM ADMITTING LONG AGO THAT THE “NOT AFFORDABLE CARE ACT” WAS COSTING THEM BIG AND THEY WOULD HAVE TO ABANDON FUCKING SHIP??????

FUCK U WALL ST. U MOTHER FUCKIN PIECES OF BIRD SHIT AND DEATH TO FUCKING MONEYCHANGERS!!!!!

ps: feel free to hit the down arrow to ur hearts delight all u assholes that can’t stand the…fucking truth about this banana economy and country…..fuck off.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:08 | 7036640 Keltner Channel Surf
Keltner Channel Surf's picture

… im posting in non-bold lowercase sans punctuation in a calm content anti-rant cause I went long TNA ~ 2:00 & rode to VWAP no one forced me to take this risk it was my choice my risk and I used various technicals on 3 different time periods to ferret out what the market-controlling quants would likely do I didnt view it as a fed conspiracy or call for the expiration of financial leaders cause thats just inventing demons to cover a lack of understanding as in ancient sects its not personal its just quantitative and the purpose is to make money as a trader and when you control the world then you can bitch but i didnt bitch i went long as im fully in control of my own actions and no its not selling out i was short yesterday im just a waterbug in the wake of a big barge actually algos are more like a manatee the size of chrysler building attached to a speed boat motor and the trick is to anticipate and ride their waves without getting close enough to drown in the backsplash and im not always successful but i was today and dont feel a bit guilty and would tell those objecting to go fuck themselves but given my lowercase den of happiness that surrounds me now i wont become a gutter-mouthed fool but will instead go watch the newcastle manchester united match i taped while the position profited …

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:11 | 7036673 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

Markets will likely trade sideways and maybe a little higher this week and next before falling another thousand points in February.  Then come March all hell breaks loose and we descend to DJ 5k.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:20 | 7036782 Tinky
Tinky's picture

#hopeURcorrect

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:35 | 7036927 Durrmockracy
Durrmockracy's picture

I have full faith in the PPT's ability to fraud things green forever.  In fact, I've bet the wife, kids and kitchen sink on it.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:46 | 7037012 Not Victor E. O...
Not Victor E. Overbanks's picture

I ask myself the following:

"HOW IS IT POSSIBLE THAT THESE BULLSHIT FUCKING FAKE ASS MOTHER FUCKING FRAUD MARKETS CAN DAY AFTER DAY MANAGE TO ERASE GRADUAL STAIR STEP DECLINES TO LOWS OF THE DAY ONLY TO ABRUPTLY DO AN ABOUT FACE AT 2:00 IN THAT SHIT HOLE OF A METROPOLIS NEW YORK, FOLLOWED BY THE FINAL “HAND OF GOD” ELEVATOR RIDE TO STAWK MARKET HEAVEN???????"

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 17:42 | 7037332 Automatic Choke
Automatic Choke's picture

Keltner - you are as zen a trader as you are a lyricist.   I've been going in/out on the double-bull etfs for the afternoon ramp myself.  It is a peaceful feeling to give them back a tiny bit of what they share so widely with us.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 17:53 | 7037376 Keltner Channel Surf
Keltner Channel Surf's picture

Way to go, AC, leveraged ETFs are like a tiger -- once tamed, you can rule the circus -- but always wirth the risk of a big, bloody bite to the backside ...  Would love to see a big bad bear, but if a long trade arises, bills must be paid ...

 

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 17:03 | 7037126 assistedliving
assistedliving's picture

even if ur short, why on earth wud anyone hope for DOW 5k?

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 17:06 | 7037145 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

Death to the money changers.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:43 | 7037621 Vlad the Inhaler
Vlad the Inhaler's picture

An eventual return to a real market.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:20 | 7036791 Keltner Channel Surf
Keltner Channel Surf's picture

yes with IWM below key levels not seen in years (wait, I can use caps and punctuation now), below monthly 50 and weekly 200 MAs, the classic mean-revert play would be for stronger indices, especially QQQs/COMP, to at least get back to the central 20DMA before the next algo move.  However, monthly charts are at levels weaker than at any time since the 2008 plunge, so the strange action comes from a constant 'ask' above the morning highs, as opposed to the constant bid below we've seen for years. 

No one knows, but I think the odds of a 20-30% breach or more is at least 50/50 but will likely take longer than anyone wants to happen.  My strategy is to end each day in cash and approach each new day impartially, but it could get more fascinating than we've seen in awhile for those of you who hold positions ...

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:39 | 7036958 NoMoJackboots
NoMoJackboots's picture

Not so sure..... The PPT has become the RST (Rosey Scenario Team). Watching the S&P 500 yesterday and today and observed that they started goosing the market higher at 2PM. 1.47% Ramp Job yesterday and 1.36% Ramp Job today.

The situation was not a "plunge" that anyone needed to be "protected from".

They have become so adept at manipulation that they can't restrain themselves and they do not care if it is obvious.

So much for a free market.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:19 | 7036778 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

yeah, and im sure u got ur "strategy" in place for the winning Powerball numbers as well...

Kool...ur smarter than me and others who aint playin their game in their casino....to each his own man.

enjoy ur match....

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:26 | 7036840 Keltner Channel Surf
Keltner Channel Surf's picture

Just yankin' your chain, Sousa, it took me 4 years of 70-hour weeks alone with my FreeStockCharts, the only thing I could afford ofter a layoff and unemployment, before I partially cracked the quant code and learned to trade.  I appreciate your viewpoint from your perspective, as long as you at least consider mine.  The reason it works for them is that it's automated and impersonal, but the standard algos can't ramp against strong institutional selling pressure, which doesn't appear to be here yet, but if CALPERS and their friends decide to lighten up equities, even you'll be postin' in lowercase fonts, happy as a clam.  Godspeed to you.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:31 | 7036881 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

all good man it aint personal...

until someone makes that way...

Trade to the casket drops..

 

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 17:00 | 7037106 Mr Pink
Mr Pink's picture

Can't blame the guy for listening to HIS QUANT!!! HIS QUANT!! He's from China,,,,DOESN'T EVEN SPEAK ENGLISH!

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:50 | 7037043 Consuelo
Consuelo's picture

Good 'trade-off' between you & Souza.    Fire in the belly, And  Reason.   One should have a good measure of both.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 17:27 | 7037209 Keltner Channel Surf
Keltner Channel Surf's picture

I view us as being on the same continuum, at different points in time.

When I was a newbie trader, getting crushed shorting the market in the QE era at 10:15 and 3:30 each day, despite suck-ass econ data (as KS might say), I was convinced conspiracy was rampant.  After learning the timing of Fed operations and the importance of market-on-close orders, and finally discerning what the quants were doing thru chart study, it seemed more straightforward.  Algos are lazy -- they like to start something and let others finish, taking the path of least resistance, often using long and short stops for fuel.  Crazy Fed-fueled liquidity made longs more appropriate, they don’t care at all about ‘green’ finishes to fool Joe Investor – individual investors have been irrelevant for decades, now they dribble money in passively through 401(k)s.  Month-end moves are less about “window-dressing” than index option strike-pinning, as many OPEXs have been horizontal for 3 days prior after a big initial positioning move the week before.  If large pensions decide that a) rates will have to rise sharply; or b) a recession looms, then we’ll certainly end the year much lower, with algos snaking more down than up, but with their same annoying patterns, only in mirror-image of 2009-15.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:29 | 7036874 _ConanTheLibert...
_ConanTheLibertarian_'s picture

Yes, but not using punctuation is as annoying.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 17:43 | 7037335 Automatic Choke
Automatic Choke's picture

tell that to ee cummings

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:10 | 7036668 Exit through th...
Exit through the gift store's picture

Lighten up francis... and BTFD,

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:29 | 7036685 zeropain
zeropain's picture

why doesnt the tylers calculate the odds of panic buying at the end of the day during the week before Option experation. 

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:29 | 7036873 CClarity
CClarity's picture

And "fingers crossed" that Iran lets the 10 US crewmen go - - - or maybe that's the fix for oil??

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:12 | 7036690 BSHJ
BSHJ's picture

Just making a wild 'off the wall' guess......you must be holding short positions.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:42 | 7036981 armageddon addahere
armageddon addahere's picture

Jesus Christ Sosa did you just figure that out? I have been reading this site since 2009 and there hasn't been a single day they weren't laying out the scams for all to see, and predicting a market collapse.

Now after all these years we are getting one and some of us are making bank after fighting the Fed for 7 long years.

So get with the program and make some money shorting this pig.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 17:08 | 7037158 jldpc
jldpc's picture

could you please say it with more feling?

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:05 | 7036627 BlueStreet
BlueStreet's picture

Only thing the bulls are accomplishing is to reload the VIX and get ready to shoot themselves in the foot.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:13 | 7036686 Perimetr
Perimetr's picture

So you are saying the Plunge Protection Team running the Exchange Stabilization Fund was in a state of panic??

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:06 | 7036630 bnbdnb
bnbdnb's picture

1) Find losing financial asset.

2) Write up doomish article about financial asset.

2) Set up market order.

3) Submit market order.

4) Post doomish article.

 

WIN!

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:08 | 7036636 Two Theives and...
Two Theives and a Liar's picture

Keep on keeping on Mr. Sousa...we got your back!

signed,

The Vomiting Clown

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:07 | 7036638 khnum
khnum's picture

more rises and falls than a Bangkok hookers knickers

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:07 | 7036645 Soul Glow
Soul Glow's picture

Dead cats bounce.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:16 | 7036744 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

I'm really unimpressed to say the least.

Seems the cat is losing all elasticity.

This thing looks like a dead man walking.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:20 | 7036787 FreeShitter
FreeShitter's picture

Its them cheap rubber cats outta hong kong.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:25 | 7036799 Eyeroller
Eyeroller's picture

Don't ever underestimate the Feral Reserve and their shadow bankster cronies.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:27 | 7036853 mandalou
mandalou's picture

yeah it is pretty pathetic. They are gasping for air and it is showing. Usually these markets after down days we had would erase damn near all losses in 1 session. Now the clowns can barely get it up. Prolonged use of Viagra has left their micro penis permanently limp.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:34 | 7036903 Eyeroller
Eyeroller's picture

What was mentioned yesterday seems to be looking more accurate: the Fed is only intervening enough to prevent losses from escalating into panic selling.  They are attempting a controlled move down.  I too would have expected 300 points or more up today on the Dow by the PPT.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:38 | 7036952 mandalou
mandalou's picture

As we discussed that is exactly what it seems. Plus with the actor making a speech tonight, it must look like normal business. Crude back to NYMEX close after API report after hitting $31 handle on low volume like equities. 

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:52 | 7037061 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

Or they are holding back waiting on one of the gathering flock of swans to

finally land.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:24 | 7037524 jmcoombs
jmcoombs's picture

....over use of Viagra results in the blood sacks not filling, like an old tired balloon...........can't get it up...........that's what's happening......just some spurting toward the end of the session.........but not enough..........

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:27 | 7036849 Lumberjack
Lumberjack's picture

That's it...I'm fucking calling PETA. I keep seeing the dead cats corpse being mutilated to the point there is only a little fur left. This shit is way out of hand. 

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:08 | 7036648 Squid Viscous
Squid Viscous's picture

Obozo's last State of the dis-Union tonight, needed to put a smiley face on Mr. Market

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:15 | 7036725 R.R.Raskolnikov
R.R.Raskolnikov's picture

I heard that the State of the Union what kind of strange, because Obama did not talked about the current state of his country, but only about the future state of it.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:19 | 7037492 jmcoombs
jmcoombs's picture

Exact same thing happens every time Yellen speaks yet with her it is gold that gets clobbered.  It is a sure thing.  Every time, without fail.  

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:09 | 7036658 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

sotu tonight = kiss of death for equities

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:13 | 7036694 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

All ten people watching have no other channel to turn to.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:16 | 7036743 stant
stant's picture

Feel sorry for those stuck in the airport lobby forced to watch it on cian

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 17:06 | 7037147 Mr Pink
Mr Pink's picture

I'd watch if I knew someone with a big missile had the coordinates of the Capitol building locked in

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 16:14 | 7036711 stant
stant's picture

Cost them a lot to ramp up stawks before the mackdaddy s last sotu speech. Hes Gona remind us that we aren't worthy of his greatness again

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