What Bernie And The Donald Portend

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Submitted by Patrick Buchanan via Buchanan.org,

Three weeks out from the Iowa caucuses, and clarity emerges.

Hillary Clinton, the likely Democratic nominee, is in trouble.

Polls show her slightly ahead of socialist Bernie Sanders in Iowa, but narrowly behind in New Hampshire. And the weekend brought new revelations about yet more classified and secret documents sent over her private email server when she was secretary of state.

Between now and November, she will be traversing a minefield, with detonations to be decided upon by FBI investigators who may not cherish Clinton and might like to appear in the history books.

Clinton’s charge about Donald Trump’s alleged “penchant for sexism” brought a counterstrike – her being the “enabler” of Bill Clinton’s long career as a sexual predator – that rendered her mute.

But with Hillary Clinton having raised the subject, it is almost certain to be reintroduced in the fall, if she is the nominee.

Then there is the newly recognized reality that Clinton, who ran a terrific comeback race against Barack Obama in 2008, is not the candidate she was. Nor is Bill the imposing surrogate he once was.

Both are eight years older, and show it. “Low energy” nails it.

Lastly, Hillary Clinton now has a record to defend as secretary of state, a four-year term in which it is hard to see, looking back, a success.

Moreover, a defeat by Sanders in Iowa or New Hampshire could prove unraveling, with the press herd tapping out early obits.

New Hampshire has consequences.

A Granite State defeat by Sen. Estes Kefauver ended Harry Truman’s bid for re-election in 1952. Lyndon Johnson’s narrow write-in victory over Sen. Eugene McCarthy, 49-42, brought Bobby Kennedy into the race – and LBJ’s withdrawal two weeks later.

George H. W. Bush’s unimpressive New Hampshire win in 1992 brought Ross Perot in as a third-party candidate two days later, and Bob Dole’s loss in 1996 portended defeat in the general election.

But if a cloud is forming over the Clinton campaign, the sun continues to shine on The Donald.

Last July, in a column, “Could Trump Win?” this writer argued that if Trump held his then 20 percent share, he would make the final four and almost surely be in the finals in the GOP nomination race.

Now, in every national and state poll save Iowa, Trump runs first with more than 30 percent, sometimes touching 40. And, save in New Hampshire, Sen. Ted Cruz runs second to Trump.

What does the surge for socialist Sanders and the Republican base’s backing of the outsiders Trump and Cruz and collective recoil from the Republican establishment candidates tell us?

“The times they are a changing,” sang Bob Dylan in 1964.

Dylan was right about the social, cultural and moral revolution that would hit with Category 5 force when the boomers arrived on campuses that same year.

A concomitant conservative revolution would dethrone the GOP establishment of Govs. Nelson Rockefeller, George Romney and William Scranton in 1964, and nominate Barry Goldwater.

Will the Clintons ever be held accountable? Help make sure they are by supporting the Hillary Clinton Investigative Justice Project, an effort targeting the racketeering enterprise known as the Clinton Family Foundation

Something like that is afoot again. Only, this time, the GOP has a far better shot of capturing the White House than in 1964 or, indeed, than it appeared to have at this point in 1980, The Year of Reagan.

In June 1964, Goldwater, about to be nominated, was 59 points behind LBJ, 77-18, in the Gallup Poll. On Sept. 1, he was still 36 points behind, 65-29. In mid-October, Barry was still 36 points behind, when some of us concluded that Mr. Conservative just might not make it.

Yet, in January and February of 1980, Ronald Reagan, during the Iowa Caucuses and New Hampshire Primary, never got closer than 25 points behind President Jimmy Carter, who led Reagan, on March 1, 58-33. Yet, that November, 1980, Reagan won a 44-state landslide.

Today, according to a new Fox Poll, Trump would beat Clinton by 3 points in the general election, if held now. Another poll shows Trump pulling 20 percent of the Democratic vote.

What this suggests is that nominating Trump is by no means a guarantee of GOP defeat. But beyond politics, what do the successes of Sanders, Trump and Cruz portend?

Well, Sanders and Trump both opposed the war in Iraq that the Bush Republicans and Clinton Democrats supported.

Both Sanders and Trump oppose NAFTA and MFN for China and the free-trade deals that Clinton Democrats and Bush Republicans backed, which have cost us thousands of lost factories, millions of lost jobs and four decades of lost wage increases for Middle America.

Trump has taken the toughest line on the invasion across the U.S.-Mexican border and against Muslim refugees entering unvetted.

Immigration, securing the border, fair trade – Trump’s issues are the issues of 2016.

If a Trump-Clinton race came down to the Keystone State of Pennsylvania, and Trump was for backing our men in blue, gun rights, securing America’s borders, no more NAFTAs and a foreign policy that defends America first, who would you bet on?

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Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:07 | 7037443 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

So true Boris.

The Kremin can also give us the make and size of Huma's strap-on as well,With a detailed count

on its use.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:50 | 7037657 Wulfkind
Wulfkind's picture

Let's hope they don't.   Yeeeeeesh !!

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:08 | 7037445 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

So true Boris.

The Kremin can also give us the make and size of Huma's strap-on as well,With a detailed count

on its use.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:15 | 7037477 johnnycanuck
johnnycanuck's picture

But the MSM would immediately denounce it as lies, all lies, nothing but lies!

 

And we all know the media never lies..to us. Cuz they have a deep and abiding respect for ..us. 

 

Me laugh.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 19:27 | 7037793 Loanman26
Loanman26's picture

Excellent Boris!

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 19:50 | 7037869 drendebe10
drendebe10's picture

THe country needs another lying cheating corrupt cunt-on with a sexual predaor spouse who likes to hang out with pedophiles as much as it needs a third term of the illegal indonesian kenyan alien muslim lying fudgepacker.

The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over then expecting a diferent result as said by Albert Einstein.  Eleccting/Re-electing another corrupt self serving career politician turd will surely fix country...  yea, right...

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 19:55 | 7037885 ptolemy_newit
ptolemy_newit's picture

 

Boris, I again have ask people why clintn escape the law rules?

Many consider thinking it is club and hazen rules is way to top membership of skimming money team. Control then by members string long secret Hollywood contracts. Sure you can see JFK was club in, but not hazen enough use his own mind danger and clintn can worry disappear free lunch flow.

That lady not know how to work like and olding not so good for her, I think soon losing ability, must she squeal and many with billy under bus this reduce her 3 years in gulag. So what can do money make in gentle gulag? The question big is everyone mine, book movie deal is option, sure it lesbo x rated bore but many table under schemes will watch by all ungentiles and few black at Harvard for learn methods of winning to enjoy the laugh.

I see her years not so looking good with dress she must ware again or again.

Who will cook?

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 03:08 | 7039127 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

Hmm, what language was yer input to Google-Translate for this post?

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 17:51 | 7037366 nuubee
nuubee's picture

The real danger here is that Hillary loses the DNC nomination, and we get a Bernie vs Donald election cycle WHILE THE ECONOMY IS IMPLODING.

Do you really think people are going to vote for Donald, a billionaire, when they can barely put food on the table?

Frankly, I'm worried.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:12 | 7037465 Tasty Sandwich
Tasty Sandwich's picture

Just need a terror attack, real or fake.  Then Donald's a lock.

I can't stand any of these clowns.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:22 | 7037505 silverer
silverer's picture

Huh?

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:27 | 7037541 sgt_doom
sgt_doom's picture

Danger, Shill Robinson, danger, Shill Robinson!

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 17:51 | 7037367 surf0766
surf0766's picture

Bernie the communist/socialist vs Trump the progressive.

 

 

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 17:55 | 7037387 Savyindallas
Savyindallas's picture

An honest Communist/Socialist is far better than the criminals we have had (and currently running) from both parties -that spew whatever busllshit they are told to read while having sold their souls to the Luciferian banksters. Hopefully Trump is not one of them  -he certainly does not appear to be. I also have my doubts about bernie  -we can only hope that they are who they appear to be and are not lying stooges of the banksters. 

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:06 | 7037437 NoDebt
NoDebt's picture

The thing that Bernie and The Donald have in common is that they both are who they are- they don't need opinion polls to tell them what their platform should be.  Hillary is a weathervane, as are most of the other candidates.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:16 | 7037480 surf0766
surf0766's picture

Trump is just as big a weathervane as Hillary. If you follow his comments over the weeks he changes them constantly.

 

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:30 | 7037557 inosent
inosent's picture

not really. he pretty much says the same things all the time.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:45 | 7037630 surf0766
surf0766's picture

trump
believes healthcare is a birthright
voted for obama in 2008
still acepts the bailouts as a good idea
like taxing the rich policies , progressive income taxes

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 20:18 | 7037955 Clowns on Acid
Clowns on Acid's picture

Chelsea... just pop the kid and answer your husband's phone at his hedge fund. Get some Clinton Foundation $$ into that Hedge fund. You gonna need to hide 'em.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:34 | 7037573 sgt_doom
sgt_doom's picture

You mean he's flexible, isn't possessed of a rigid belief system, like a psychopath?

And this bothers you how????????

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:47 | 7037640 surf0766
surf0766's picture

Before Paris he wanted Russia to take care of ISIS after Paris he wants to bomb the hell out of them. That isn't being flexible, that is being clueless. I guess you like Hillary's flexibility on issues too.

 

The problem with Trumbots is the are exactly the same as Obamabots but from the right.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 21:13 | 7038256 malek
malek's picture

I'm starting to get the same feeling, about the Trumpbots.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:47 | 7037637 WestVillageIdiot
WestVillageIdiot's picture

"You don't need a gynecologist to know which way the wind blows."
-  Tony Soprano

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 00:30 | 7038934 cheech_wizard
cheech_wizard's picture

Why don't you sit down and match up Bernie's accomplishments against those of Hillary.

Standard Disclaimer: Pretty short list, right?

 

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:43 | 7037618 Demdere
Demdere's picture

Trump has been approved by AIPAC, has a prominent Israeli-Neocon as advisor and another on his staff, and gets 10X the air time of all the other candidates on MSM.

Remember "1000s of Dancing Muslims"?  Right after that coverup of the actual fact of half a dozen dancing Israeli Mossad agents, AIPAC approval came, he was treated well in the debates, and MSM coverage stepped up.  They played his ads 60 times for free.

Helping cover up 9/11 False Flag Operation to become President is selling your soul, seems to me.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:48 | 7037645 surf0766
surf0766's picture

Trump has now become what he was against. He is now the establishment candidate.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:49 | 7037650 nmewn
nmewn's picture

Yeah I'm sure that's all shocking nuuuz to Blankfein, Blumenthal & Hillary. Even more so to her "Good friend Chris Stevens."

Who's now...dead.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:52 | 7037662 WestVillageIdiot
WestVillageIdiot's picture

What about Vince?

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 19:09 | 7037725 nmewn
nmewn's picture

Its a twofer! 

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 21:14 | 7038259 DipshitMiddleCl...
DipshitMiddleClassWhiteKid's picture

Exactly.

Hes just a blow off valve for the angry white man

 

HES ZOG to the max

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 17:53 | 7037374 moonmac
moonmac's picture

Never underestimate the power of "FREE". Bernie will be our next President.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:49 | 7037652 surf0766
surf0766's picture

Look what free shit did for the African Americans. They just kept voting dem and never really gave a dam about what was bing done to them

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 06:02 | 7039233 Refuse-Resist
Refuse-Resist's picture

Has anybody here actually listened to one of his campaign rallies? I did. It was full of diversity. White me were scarce, as were normal looking women. There were lots of cat ladies, butch feminists and bitter childless career feminists.  Lots of college age and HS aged.

They would cheer when Bernie would say "The rich have too much, we will take it from them and give it to you". "College will be free for everybody" and shit like that.

He also said that health care is a human right.

 

He hardly touched on any substantive issues IMO. Compared to a Trump rally, it reminded me of a rah rah HS pep rally. Trump on the other hand, actually points out trade imbalances, immigration issues, and the incompetence and corruption of those currently in charge. He points out the fact that there is ZERO accountability in government. Fuck up and you get promoted.

 

I don't think I've heard a candidate since Perot offer as much  'realtalk'. And Trump has charisma that Paul and Perot never had. That and a TV audience, many who were apolitical before his run.

 

He wins this unless he has an accident, unless diebold, or unless a dindu or dunecoon tries to assasinate him prior. Those things are likely given what he's been saying.  Hope he has good security, good aircraft mechanics, and trustworthy people around him.

 

Regarding Hillary, this is my answer: Liar Liar, Pants on Fire -- a catchy tune from the 60's --- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cOkjjGYKKgI

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 17:53 | 7037377 roadhazard
roadhazard's picture

Tis the season for shineola. A chicken in every pot, bitches. You notice Congress sez Nothing.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:22 | 7037513 JusticeTBuford
JusticeTBuford's picture

Son, That there is shit.  This is Shineola.  Thanks Dad.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:22 | 7037514 JusticeTBuford
JusticeTBuford's picture

Son, That there is shit.  This is Shineola.  Thanks Dad.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 17:54 | 7037382 yogibear
yogibear's picture

The Clintons have  way too many skelitons in the closet

 

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:00 | 7037410 o r c k
o r c k's picture

No bones about it Yogi.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 17:54 | 7037383 GhostOfDiogenes
GhostOfDiogenes's picture

No matter who loses the (s)election the non elected government deep state wins, and we the people always lose.

Since Dishonest Abe Lincoln was elected and killed his own countrymen for the jew banksters...

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:05 | 7037434 Number 9
Number 9's picture

No doubt. That fucking Lincoln should have been shot...oh wait..

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:12 | 7037464 GhostOfDiogenes
GhostOfDiogenes's picture

He was shot beacuse he realized what he did and was going to not be so hard on the southerners, so they killed him, old testament style.

There is no negativity worse on this planet than the juden.

Beyond evil is not even scratching the surface of the scum.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 17:58 | 7037402 Number 9
Number 9's picture

A socialist elected during the collapse.. oh the irony.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:40 | 7037604 Omen IV
Omen IV's picture

extremes in politics come at major economic inflection points

system is corrupt - Trump and Sanders say many of the same things - its completely understandable - socialism is about controlling corruption of capitalism when it becomes "crony" capitalism - that corruption underpins everything

 

clean out DC is the message on both sides

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:00 | 7037413 Rehab Willie
Rehab Willie's picture

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........('(...´...´.... ¯~/'...')
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..............\.............\...

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:02 | 7037420 Number 9
Number 9's picture

Wow.. you really fucked that up

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:04 | 7037431 Rehab Willie
Rehab Willie's picture

can't fix it either

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:07 | 7037440 Number 9
Number 9's picture

damn.. cant edit and delete it and then drop the paste down 10 lines?

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:12 | 7037468 chunga
chunga's picture

You locked him in lol.

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 18:18 | 7037489 SILVERGEDDON
SILVERGEDDON's picture

Nahh, just leave it - it will help us remember the year the traditional Zero Hedge Greeting experienced - wait for it - ..............................................THE HAIRCUT FOLLOWED BY THE 3:30 RAMP.

Shock and awe, bitchez, shock and awe.

" If you like your market, you can keep your market. "

" We sheepled some longs. "

Tue, 01/12/2016 - 20:15 | 7037945 Clowns on Acid
Clowns on Acid's picture

We schlonged some longs. Spme Hillary longs.

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