Another Bubble Bursts

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Remember in December when we were told incessantly that "meh, it's just 25bps!"

It appears that 'liftoff' in rates is having a real impact on a particular sector as the potential for tightening credit conditions (and higher costs of funding) have crashed the stocks of peer-to-peer/direct lenders like Lending Tree, OnDeck, and Lending Club.

Another bubble bursts! And the companies are shocked!

  • *LENDING TREE NOT AWARE OF ANY REASON TO JUSTIFY SHR DECLINE

It seems someone is...

 

Dear Janet, it appears the US consumer (or small business) is nothing like as strong as you "believed."

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Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:30 | 7041200 BlueStreet
BlueStreet's picture

Janet Yellen, P(izza) h(ut) D(river).

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:32 | 7041210 crusty curmudgeon
crusty curmudgeon's picture

She still "believes" it. More rate hikes to come.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:43 | 7041271 Rainman
Rainman's picture

haha...no wonder Larry Summers came out bitching today about the 4 rate hikes .... he's on the board of Lending Club

            http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-13/summers-says-global-economy-can-t-withstand-four-2016-fed-hikes-ijd1kz2x

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:48 | 7041298 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

"You see what happens Larry when you don't print enough magical fantasy unicorn money?"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qGYiL-pgkOs

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 14:17 | 7041452 asteroids
asteroids's picture

The funny thing is that those rate hikes will have to happen before Labour Day. After that everyone goes into "quiet" mode due to the elections.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 14:31 | 7041512 Consuelo
Consuelo's picture

Wasn't it him, along with Rubin and Greedspank on the cover of TIME a decade or 2 back - 'The Committee to save the world' or something like that...?   

 

 

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 20:31 | 7043627 Keyser
Keyser's picture

Ah Summers, one of the architects of the current derivatives market / bubble... A pox on this assclown and his zionist buddies... 

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:33 | 7041214 two hoots
two hoots's picture

It only matters what the Fed believes.    "give me control of a nations money supply......."

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 20:32 | 7043633 Keyser
Keyser's picture

That is until the villagers show up with pickforks, tar and feathers... 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ivzVgsR2yEc

 

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:42 | 7041264 BandGap
BandGap's picture

 

post hole digger

piled high and deep

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:32 | 7041203 abyssinian
abyssinian's picture

soon lending tree will be growing legalis pot and really lending the trees! Janet will get the first dime bag harvested! 

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:32 | 7041209 StackShinyStuff
StackShinyStuff's picture

Have no fear.  3:30 approacheth...

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:34 | 7041221 two hoots
two hoots's picture

not today

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:41 | 7041255 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Ain't happening.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:55 | 7041347 mtndds
mtndds's picture

It will probably with just a small bump up.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 14:15 | 7041442 gatorengineer
gatorengineer's picture

lets see if they go 3 for three.  Got whipsawed today on my shorts...... stopped out on both of them.  My bet is they get the Daq back to less than 1% down....

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 15:16 | 7041876 hendrik1730
hendrik1730's picture

Yes, 3:29 too ... what do you mean?

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:40 | 7041219 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Somewhere out there are 1.2 quadrillion in derivatives just waiting to blow up. Looks like old Yeller lit the 25bp fuse.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:52 | 7041322 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

Deutsche Bomb is on the end of it.

The short of a lifetime.Shame the counterparties will blow with it.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 15:22 | 7041918 PTR
PTR's picture

I want Uncle Warren and Soros to get caught doing something nasty together.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:35 | 7041224 QE49er
QE49er's picture

beLIEved

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:35 | 7041225 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

the only lenders she cares about are tbtf

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:38 | 7041235 Sages wife
Sages wife's picture

The Kaiser will be sharpening his pencil and lockin' caps.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:46 | 7041287 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

Max ????

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:38 | 7041236 NEOSERF
NEOSERF's picture

Can't you just see Janet at home with the turban, frantically waving her hands over a crystal ball..

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:53 | 7041331 Seer
Seer's picture

No.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:03 | 7042183 Manic by Proxy
Manic by Proxy's picture

Actually, I can't see her at home, unless said home is a cave. There's quite a bit of troglodyte in her. Or, more properly, troglodyke.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:39 | 7041241 two hoots
two hoots's picture

From Bloomberg (MBA Mortgage Applications)    http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/economic-calendar/

The new year is seeing a surge in mortgage activity reflecting a strong jobs market and low rates, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association's weekly report. Purchase applications surged 18 percent in the January 8 week with refinancing applications up 24 percent. These gains, however, also reflect volatility in weekly measures and largely reverse giant swings in the prior week's data. The average rate for conforming loans ($417,000 or less) fell 8 basis points in the week to 4.12 percent.

 

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:39 | 7041245 Xibalba
Xibalba's picture

US Consumer/US military....same illusion

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:42 | 7041250 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

ZH jokers using the wrong models.  You need to use the model of the Venus Space Probe from the Six Million Dollar Man Season 4 Episode 13 & 14.

http://img1.seite3.ch/news/309/270674-deathprobe.jpg

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:43 | 7041272 kato
kato's picture

if they die on a 25 bp rate hike, they deserved to die anyway. market clearing event. a big one preferably.

of course, the powers that be will save them for longer. who knows how long it can last.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:45 | 7041279 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

 People wonder why RUT and small caps are getting hammered, and run to excuses like currency appreciation, and geo macro politics.

 The real reasons why small caps are suffering, is because of hidden costs and inflation for U.S. consumers and producers. Over extended consumer credit, real estate bubble, student loans, subprime auto loans, zero wage growth, healthcare costs, regulation & taxation, ect...

 It's an sad state of affairs that politicians and the investment banking community are aware of the situation, and chose to nothing about it.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 14:07 | 7041405 two hoots
two hoots's picture

True, It will slowly move up the equities food chain. 

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 14:12 | 7041429 Seer
Seer's picture

"It's an sad state of affairs that politicians and the investment banking community are aware of the situation, and chose to nothing about it."

There's not a fucking thing that they can do about it.  That is, other than hasten the biggest collapse in human history.

The entire game has been reliant upon growth.  Growth is no longer possible.  I was bringing this up YEARS ago and people thumbed their noses at such a thought.  N ow all growth indicators are flashing red and people are starting to mention "growth" more and more: such as you note- "zero wage growth," which, BTW, requires growth in production to occur.

The exponential function was always going to put a halt to our idiotic premise of perpetual growth.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 15:08 | 7041822 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

 I figured there would be an argument for planned destruction... I've read your comments over the years, and mostly agree with them.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 14:20 | 7041465 Osmium
Osmium's picture

Obama:  Anyone claiming America's economy is in decline is peddling fiction

Nuff said.

 

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 15:59 | 7042167 Niall Of The Ni...
Niall Of The Nine Hostages's picture

Remember the open letter to the banks this week by some goldbug claiming P2P would finally rid the world of banks?

Never mind that banks had hundreds of years experience ridding the world of their competition AND access to a printing press making it impossible for lenders to compete if they could only rely on funding by people putting their own hard-earned savings at risk?

Looks like P2P is their latest victim. Expect Lending Tree to be bought up at a heavy discount once Janet turns the QE tap back on, along with distressed Alberta oilpatch property.

 

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