Markets In Freefall: Stocks Extend Worst Ever Start To Year

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Today's business media summarized...

 

Today's actual market summarized...

 

Let's start with this - The market has now reduced March rate-hike odds back to pre-December rate-hike levels (at just 35%)...

 

Two words - Policy... Error...

 

This remains the worst start to a year... ever...

 

Across the major US equity markets, it's a bloodbath...

*RUSSELL 2000 CAPS 22% DROP FROM JUNE RECORD, ENTERS BEAR MARKET

 

With the Nasdaq about to be the lasty major index to give up its post-QE3 gains...

 

Year to Date - it's just as ugly...

 

And since The Fed hiked rates...

 

VIX term structure inverted but we are a long way from an August-like panic-bottom...

 

There is at least some rationality resumiong as weak balance sheet stocks underperform strong balance sheet firms...

 

With selling out of the gate and only a small bounce in the last hour, equity markets carnaged...

 

FANGs entered a correction...

 

And FANTAsy stocks were smashed today...

 

Lots of head-scratching at how this is possible... except for anyone who pays attention to credit markets...

 

As HYG plunges to its lowest close since July 2009... Today was worst day in 4 weeks

 

US Energy credit risk is soaring back to near 2008 crisis highs...

h/t @JavierBlas2

 

While High yield bonds were crashing, Treasuries were aggressively bid (despite the Inbev issuance), on the verge of flash-crashing a few times after a stronmg 10Y auction...

 

The USDollar Index ended the day unchanged as early strength was sold - but it remains up on the week... CAD was smashed to new 12 yeasr lows

 

Gold ansd Silver rallied as Crude and Copper crumbled...

 

As stocks plunged at the US open so PMs ripped...

 

As if by magic, WTI's NYMEX close was adjusted very slightly higher to enable a tiny green print... but the trend was clear...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

Bonus Chart: Some food for thought...

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Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:14 | 7042264 DirkDiggler11
DirkDiggler11's picture

Better get Kevin Henry's ass back on the next flight from Beijing asap !

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:14 | 7042265 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

 camera on a stick just got halted... lol

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:19 | 7042301 Tjeff1
Tjeff1's picture

Gopro is going to GO puke tomorrow

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:15 | 7042273 Kolchak
Kolchak's picture

I'm free, free fallin...

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:16 | 7042277 ZomBiEHiGH
ZomBiEHiGH's picture

<--- THIS IS NOT IT

<--- THIS IS IT

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:25 | 7042323 RawPawg
RawPawg's picture

gotta love those hardcore ZH'ers that upvote only because that have had their hearts broken in the past

this market is such a tease...again.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:28 | 7042342 AGAU
AGAU's picture

I am completely unqualified to comment and no longer have skin in the game but I think they have absolute control over the market, this is carefully measured de-frothing exercise post rate hike. Markets bottom out and rise to new highs in time for the next rate hike, rinse, repeat ...

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 17:00 | 7042535 August
August's picture

>>>they have absolute control over the market, this is carefully measured de-frothing exercise post rate hike.

Your conjecture is a good one. 

Still, this is a massive con game; sometimes the mark(s) wake up, and you just need to be sure you've taken maximum advantage before they do. And, of course, some marks never wake up at all, or at least they never admit it to themselves.

I think the con ends at some point, but we won't know till we know it.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 20:10 | 7043535 yellensNIRPles
yellensNIRPles's picture

^ This is my view. The con might be long, complex, and even obvious to those who see it. It might be annoying, frustrating to deal with and difficult to plan around if you don't want to play their game. Guessing exactly when it will end is futile as well, and some might even choose to try and make a buck or two while the con is still going...

...but it WILL end.

They simply cannot keep it going forever. Reality does not work that way. Eventually it will end, and sometimes bubbles that are too big get popped without the creator's permission. It's like the n-body problem in physics. It is incredibly complex and the variables are too many to list. Everything is connected and now we're all connected digitally so things can move much faster when the shit hits the fan.

Something may happen, a 'black swan' if you will, and it's Game Over. Except in this game, almost everyone loses. 

Good luck to all.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:50 | 7042488 Jack Oliver
Jack Oliver's picture

<------ UNDECIDED

<------PREPPING

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 17:14 | 7042614 skinwalker
skinwalker's picture

Been prepping since 09. 

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 18:06 | 7042831 Countrybunkererd
Countrybunkererd's picture

Indifferent.  You can keep your paper and all that is written on it... i still accept, for my immediate conversion, that cotton paper with the blue and green fibers in it.  Vegas, just like all you survey wherever you are, was built upon those that lost to the casino.

Speaking of, how much money had to have been paid in for the powerball thing to reach 1.5 billion payout?  Or is it dollar for dollar and the casino cut is taken afterwards?  I would imagine it is cut AT LEAST twice like all drugs for the masses.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 18:46 | 7043003 AsinineBovineFeces
AsinineBovineFeces's picture

About half of the revenue goes to the payout (provided they don't opt for the lump sum)

http://fortune.com/2016/01/13/where-the-money-from-the-1-5-billion-power...

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:16 | 7042280 saldulilem
saldulilem's picture

And I'm free, free fallin'

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:19 | 7042299 Kolchak
Kolchak's picture

It can only be divine syncroncity that it's Tom Petty and "The Heart Breakers"

ahahahaha

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:17 | 7042283 khnum
khnum's picture

no this is not it

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:17 | 7042285 jakesdad
jakesdad's picture

I know it's old (mentioned bernanke) but that xtranormal video had me about falling out of my chair laughing!  

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:18 | 7042293 Budd aka Sidewinder
Budd aka Sidewinder's picture

No State of The Union Bounce?

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 17:42 | 7042741 Two Theives and...
Two Theives and a Liar's picture

NO bounce...Everyone Hates Raymond...oops I mean, Obama!

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:19 | 7042300 Chris P
Chris P's picture

The market is the easy one to control it's the bond market they are having trouble with. Going to need some more hands to keep all of these balls in the air.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:22 | 7042312 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

Always with the Yellen jokes...

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 18:07 | 7042842 Countrybunkererd
Countrybunkererd's picture

There is that damn image again!  Ahhhhh.  The downvote was NOT sufficient.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:20 | 7042304 RawPawg
RawPawg's picture

Would this be an ideal time to re-examine/update my prep items?

you know,the ones that have been on "stand-by" since last Aug-ish

 

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:22 | 7042314 Goldbugger
Goldbugger's picture

FED lowers rates next meeting .25 basis points. = EGG on FACE.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:24 | 7042320 Kolchak
Kolchak's picture

Looks like the PPT had all hands on deck for oil since 1:30 and failed the stawks today.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:27 | 7042337 khnum
khnum's picture

Oil derivitives are obviously more scary notice Exxon the only Dow component green today

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:56 | 7042515 Sir John Bagot Glubb
Sir John Bagot Glubb's picture

As Terminator Arnold says in the Terminator movies:  "They'll be back!" 

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:24 | 7042322 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

 Why is it all these blowhards on CNBS look like they grind their teeth at night?

 They all have " Rat Tooth File" mouth!

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:36 | 7042388 DirkDiggler11
DirkDiggler11's picture

Yen: The CNBS assholes all have that "Rat Tooth File" mouth because they spend every night in their Gimp outfits and masks with Bad Auntie Janet whipping and riding them like SeaBiscuit.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:49 | 7042481 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

 Hilarious!

  Don't forget to short NFLX. [insider trading tip]  </sarc>

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:26 | 7042334 Janet Shalom Be...
Janet Shalom Bernanke's picture

BTFC -- Buy the Fucking Chasm?

Don't worry, the Fed has your back.  they will be behind you to give you the last shove you need to LOSE IT ALL.

 

Don't worry you can depend on Social Security (for two more years or untile the dollar crashes, whichever comes first).

Fed headed to the newly constructed bunker soon.  

The bunker will have all the comforts of Washington home, where they can still pull the strings on this destroyed economy:

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-04-25/inside-feds-cold-war-doomsday-bunker

 

 

 

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:28 | 7042341 CHoward
CHoward's picture

Can't wait for the Asian markets to open later on - that should be a treat. 

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:29 | 7042349 Mr. Bystander
Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:29 | 7042353 Jack Oliver
Jack Oliver's picture

They could be getting ready to 'PULL' it ! The Government wants everybody back in their 'Loving Arms' so they can really FUCK you over !!!

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 17:00 | 7042542 edifice
edifice's picture

Anything you want

It's in my arms

Anything you need

It's in my arms

Anything you want

In my loving arms

 

Danzig - Anything

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:31 | 7042360 Collectivism Killz
Collectivism Killz's picture

Looks like chickens and cabbage are going to become a median of exchange in the near future. I keep looking out my penthouse window in Montreal at the banks nearby to see if we have any early takers for the International banker high diving team.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:31 | 7042361 F em all but 6
F em all but 6's picture

Its a fucking shitshow. Same as it always was

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:31 | 7042362 Winston Smith 2009
Winston Smith 2009's picture

"Two words - Policy... Error..."

If you're referring to the Fed's long term policy that's correct.

If you're referring to the Fed's recent raising of rates, the two words are correct... policy...

The gas should have been taken out of this insane bubble LONG before now. I wish they'd immediately raise the rate to where it should have been over the past seven years, the 5.5% historical average. Better yet, let the marekts decide and, this time, let the bastards who should have gone bankrupt last time go bankrupt.

Yeah, not a snowball's chance of any of that happeneing, but I can dream.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 17:00 | 7042541 ToSoft4Truth
ToSoft4Truth's picture

 

The Detroit Autoshow is going on right now.

 

A highlight of the show is the Chinese made Buick.

 

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:35 | 7042379 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

  I love the " pukefest". We need some Jimmy Cramer garden gnomes.

 The blowhorn would pimp condoms during an apocalypse...

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:35 | 7042381 ghostzapper
ghostzapper's picture

Now Gartman chases the short.

Dummies like me saw the repeated failures already at 1969/1970ish and the multiple moves above 1930ish without any volume literally "floating" above that level as the usual bait laid out to try and catch more people heading the opposite way of the direction already decided in the overall trend.

Weekly close below 1896 and my intermedioate target of 1620ish highly likely in play within a couple weeks.  Watch for a jawbonegasmfest to try and open it above 1896 and keep it between there and 1940 to finish the week.   

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:35 | 7042384 NEOSERF
NEOSERF's picture

Cmon you all, you know what could turn this around on a dime (wink wink)...a few well placed Quality Enquiries into future Fed policy moves.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:35 | 7042385 EndlessSummer
EndlessSummer's picture

I'm no economist - could this have anything to do with the market's downturn ?

https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/WSBASE

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:40 | 7042423 bnbdnb
bnbdnb's picture

Margin calls...

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 17:18 | 7042636 DirkDiggler11
DirkDiggler11's picture

Endless: that actually the St Louis Police Department Rape, Arson, Rioting, and Looting index....

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:46 | 7042401 John Law Lives
John Law Lives's picture

It would give me great pleasure to see Mark "More H-1B Visas, Please" Zuckerberg take it on the chin if Facebook stock sinks.

Thu, 01/14/2016 - 01:11 | 7044634 r3phl0x
r3phl0x's picture

Unfortunately he'll still be rich as hell even if FB goes to 0. He's had plenty of time to cash out hard & diversify.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:38 | 7042403 Jack Oliver
Jack Oliver's picture

But 'Obama the Gay' said only yesterday that the US economy was in great shape ! The lying FUCKING C..T !!

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:39 | 7042415 Moustache Rides
Moustache Rides's picture

Closing bell rings--spits chiclets all over the floor.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:39 | 7042416 Inthemix96
Inthemix96's picture

Perchance, these good gentlemen may partake in a more civilized form of valuable employment?  Perhaps something that may benefit their fellow man, as such a trade of actual necessity?  Rather than live like a cunting Leech on the backs of those that provide everything?  Struggling to get some rest boys?

I only smoke weed when I need to, and a need to get some rest, yo, wheres the sense, a confess, a burned a hole in the mattress, yes yes it was me, a plead guilty, and at the count of three a pulled back the duvet, made my way to the refrigerator, one dried potatoe inside no lies, not even bread, jam, when the light above my head went bang.

I cant sleep somethings all over me, greasy insomnia, please release me, and let me dream about making mad love on the heath, tearing off tights with ma teeth, but theres no release I'm wide awake in ma kitchen, its black and I'm lonely, oh if I could only get some sleep.

Creepy noises make ma skin creep, I need to get some sleep, I, Cant, Get, No, Sleep

This one always made me think of you parasites, its how you must feel when you have to actually 'Earn' something for a living, when all you ever knew was living off of others backs.

Off of the CD Inthemix96, Faithless, Insomnia.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZHVJVQzHv5Q

Enjoy it, and turn the fucker up, welcome to the real world.

:-)

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