US Small Caps Plunge To 30-Month Lows Into Bear Market

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The first week of July 2013 was the last time the Russell 2000 traded at these levels. That is 30 months of buy-and-hold for no return. Despite the constant clammer from "Small Cap fund managers" that they are the plaxce to be for protection against a soaring USD (since they are dominantly domestically focused), it seems the fact that small caps are much more sensitive to credit market conditions is the real reason and that market is carnaging.

 

Russell 2000 is down 22% from the highs... in bear market territory...

 

And here's why...

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Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:41 | 7041254 bnbdnb
bnbdnb's picture

Plunge! What did you get your market order in at?

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:42 | 7041262 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

Plenty of support for the SP500 at 1867.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:45 | 7041275 bnbdnb
bnbdnb's picture

Got RUT at 1023 is my guess.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:45 | 7041285 StackShinyStuff
StackShinyStuff's picture

My guess is whatever level it is at 3:30

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:45 | 7041286 Looney
Looney's picture

Yellen’s next fainting is scheduled for her next Humphrey Hawkins testimony. ;-)

Looney

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 14:06 | 7041400 Bilderberg Member
Bilderberg Member's picture

I'm seeing some small cap mutual funds down over 50% from the past 2 years...The bear market didn't just start, it's either a 20 year buying opportunity or a 100 year black swan. 

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:48 | 7041304 Vlad the Inhaler
Vlad the Inhaler's picture

I'm a buyer of SP500 at around 1,000.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:51 | 7041321 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Wait for S&P 450, you won't be sorry.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:43 | 7041269 Bill of Rights
Bill of Rights's picture

Basically what we have here is LACK OF FAITH AND TRUST...but the STATE of our UNION is STRONG...the criminal elemet has been exposed for what it is...

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:43 | 7041274 BlueStreet
BlueStreet's picture

Better luck next time Dana. 

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:45 | 7041284 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

The funny thing about this drop is that there is no real dead cat bounce. No buyers to be found anywhere. Next stop (if it stops) 1000.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:51 | 7041318 two hoots
two hoots's picture

If it drops there are buyers.   With no buyers it comes to a grinding halt. (/s)

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 14:00 | 7041372 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

True, but there is nobody out there saying "I have to own stocks"and the shorts are in no hurry to cover which you would normally see. 

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 14:16 | 7041450 two hoots
two hoots's picture

Agree, Just being my normal self.   Good luck to all.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:46 | 7041289 two hoots
two hoots's picture

Teaching math the hard way.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:46 | 7041290 Squid Viscous
Squid Viscous's picture

pass the popcorn, Janet!

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:46 | 7041291 NEOSERF
NEOSERF's picture

Seems we are back to where we were when Obama was hired, grasping at HOPE..

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:49 | 7041307 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

Not even Tyler's charts can put a bounce on the lows of the day. That's when you know things are getting serious.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:51 | 7041314 katchum
katchum's picture

I don't understand, the stock market is supposed to be correlated to the Fed Balance Sheet, so stocks should be flat. Oh wait, that balance sheet contains mortgages and bonds which just cratered in value due to higher interest rates.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 13:53 | 7041328 freakscene
freakscene's picture

tza has been a pretty easy swing the last week +

 

its not rocket science

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 14:00 | 7041371 MadVladtheconquerer
MadVladtheconquerer's picture

Glad I cashed out of my small caps back in July!  bwahahahahahahahahahahahhahahahahahahaha

Makes me look like a genius! :)  But, wait, I AM a genius.

Now, if we can just pick the lows as well as the highs.......

Sucks to have to get two points dead on to be right in this game.

But Georgie Sore-ass gives good advice:  I always sell too soon and I never buy at the bottom.

Georgie still holding BTU currently at 29c pre-split w/ basis approx 1.00/sh...

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 14:02 | 7041381 Harnar
Harnar's picture

Shouldn't the market be breaking right about now?

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 14:02 | 7041382 TheDanimal
TheDanimal's picture

I've been noticing a common theme here on the hedge, when equities and credit decouple it is a temporary occurance.  Why don't the HFT algo programmers slow it down a bit and make an algo that will profit by recoupling them somehow?  With my limited experience in programming it seems to me this could be done in an algorithmic fashion.

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 16:01 | 7042175 sapioplex
sapioplex's picture

Probably because of the logic of a diminishing returns.  The algos make money when they find an extreme and force it back to a normal.  The scenario you suggest would mean that as soon as it started working, it wouldn't be an extreme any more (it would be getting closer to the norm.)  So, most of the 'action' the algorithm would do would produce the least profit.  To make it worse, at some point it becomes unprofitable because the transaction overhead will outweigh the gain as it approaches the normal.  These algos are like ambush-bots.  They spot a situation and kill it, sucking the profit out of it.  (Or there are the spoof-bots, but they don't do that because it would be illegal.  Oh wait...)

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 14:19 | 7041464 E.F. Mutton
E.F. Mutton's picture

Sir...does this mean Ann Margaret's not coming?

Wed, 01/13/2016 - 14:35 | 7041545 franzpick
franzpick's picture

INDU will become a small cap index when the worldwide deflationary commodity and debt and equity collapse comes into clearer focus for blurry-eyed investors and greedy money managers:

http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=INDICES&p=m1

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