It's Official: Trump Is Now The Bookies' Favorite

Tyler Durden's picture




 

With Hillary's demise accelerating, and Trump's lead over the GOP field surging, it appears the "money" has finally figured it out. For the first time during this campaign, Trump has become the bookies' favorite to win the Republican nomination, surging past Bush who it appears has finally lost the real "money" backers...

 

Sopurce: PredictIt.org

Of course, this should not be a surprise...

 

Even after last night's debate slugfest - the lead remains as wide as ever.

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Fri, 01/15/2016 - 15:26 | 7052258 samjam7
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What's up with the chat?

Fri, 01/15/2016 - 15:31 | 7052287 BigRedRider
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Trump/Cruz in 2016...the best of both worlds.

Fri, 01/15/2016 - 15:40 | 7052338 hound dog vigilante
hound dog vigilante's picture

Oh how I wish InTrade were still in business... would have had a nice score on this race.

Fri, 01/15/2016 - 16:31 | 7052665 Niall Of The Ni...
Niall Of The Nine Hostages's picture

Try the Iowa Electronic Markets or PredictIt if you live stateside:

http://tippie.uiowa.edu/iem/

https://www.predictit.org

Outside the US, try Betfair.

Fri, 01/15/2016 - 16:06 | 7052478 Vlad the Inhaler
Vlad the Inhaler's picture

I'm almost considering voting for him just so I can laugh at four years of this dumb jibber jabber--

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a1quVs9aogY

Fri, 01/15/2016 - 18:11 | 7053127 besnook
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oops

Fri, 01/15/2016 - 18:10 | 7053130 besnook
besnook's picture

clowns to the left of me, jokers to right. here i am. stuck in the middle again.

Fri, 01/15/2016 - 16:47 | 7052747 Niall Of The Ni...
Niall Of The Nine Hostages's picture

This is Trump's chance of getting the GOP nomination. It's still well below 50 per cent.

Betfair have him leading the GOP pack at only 34 per cent. His chance at the White House is only 15 per cent.

Again, that chance is his chance of fraud-proof majorities in the primaries and the general. Neither is at all guaranteed at this point, to put it mildly. Rubio still has a chance as the "Stop Trump" candidate.

Betfair and the Iowa Electronic Markets have the chances of any Republican beating Hillary Clinton for the White House at 40 per cent. I don't expect much movement there while Trump's nomination is at all in doubt.

(Strictly speaking, that's their odds against any Democrat, but the Dem candidate will be Hillary. Sanders isn't going to be the nominee unless someone in Hillary's Secret Service detail does the right thing by his country or she is otherwise incapacitated.)

Fri, 01/15/2016 - 18:09 | 7053123 besnook
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the party is so desperate it is willing to force a constitutional challenfge to let the canadian cruz be president. next thing you know tony blair will buy a condo in miami and declare himself qualified to run in 2020 or if cruz wins steve harper will run.

Fri, 01/15/2016 - 20:10 | 7053631 RMolineaux
RMolineaux's picture

The fact that the probable candidates are Hillary and Donald tells us two things:

1.  The American electorate has become both more stupid and more vicious at an accelerating rate.  I will leave it to the experts to decide whether this is due to declining educational standards or genetics, or both.

2.  Our political parties have become so debilitated by the influence of money that they are now incapable of producing credible candidates for the consideration of the electorate. 

IMO, the only candidate who has the stature and principles to be worthy of consideration by the electorate is Bernie Sanders.  If only he were 20 years younger.  

Fri, 01/15/2016 - 21:13 | 7053888 Thick Willy
Thick Willy's picture

Just want to point out that I said I was gonna put a thousand bucks on trump way way back when it was like 17:1 odds.  Couldn't do it because the betting site isn't available in the shitty Moslem country I am currently stuck in but I hope some of you took my advice and will profit from the Trumpening.

Fri, 01/15/2016 - 21:17 | 7053901 FredFlintstone
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WTF are you doing in Dearborn?

Sat, 01/16/2016 - 15:43 | 7055894 MASTER OF UNIVERSE
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Bookies make book for Trump Ponzi Narco Casino Crony Capitalism Climate Change because bookies favour casino owners, and especially bankrupt casino owners like D. Jerkoff Trump.

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