Why Donald Trump Is Praying For A Market Crash
When it comes to Trump's relentless surge in the polls, one thing is certain: the so-called "pundits", biased from day one, were, are, and will continue to be completely wrong. But as the day approaches when Trump appears set to win the GOP presidential nomination and face off against Hillary, who should one listen to? Well, according to InvesTech's James Stack, with a track record of 86.4%, the market may be an almost flawless arbiter of the election outcome long before November.
Here's why:
Does the stock market affect or predict the election outcome?
The old saying that “people vote their pocketbooks” is more accurate than the average political analyst thinks. While Wall Street typically worries about how politics might affect the market, perhaps Presidential candidates should worry about how the stock market might affect their political outcomes.
Historically, the market performance in the three months leading up to a Presidential Election has displayed an uncanny ability to forecast who will win the White House… the incumbent party or the challenger. Since 1928, there have been 22 Presidential Elections. In 14 of them, the S&P 500 climbed during the three months preceding election day. The incumbent President or party won in 12 of those 14 instances. However, in 7 of the 8 elections where the S&P 500 fell over that three month period, the incumbent party lost.
There are only three exceptions to this correlation: 1956, 1968, and 1980. Statistically, the market has an 86.4% success rate in forecasting the election!
This relationship occurs because the stock market reflects the economic outlook in the weeks leading up to the election. A rising stock market indicates an improving economy, which means rising confidence and increases the chances of the incumbent party’s re-election. Therefore, your time might be better spent from August through October watching the stock market rather than the debates if you want to know who will be President for the next four years.
Here the reflexive question emerges: does the market predict the election outcome, or does the move in the market - whether by design or by chance - predetermine the election outcome?
Now if only Donald Trump, or his backers for whatever reasons they may have, could orchestrate a market crash...
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They are already trying to spin it on marketwatch as the market "afraid" of Trump's tarrifs.
They can all do the kabuki. In the end, JEB=CIA=Next POTUS >> http://bit.ly/1NBoR7S
there you have it folks. Only 13.6% of americans will vote against the interest of their own hip pockets, out of principle for their vision of a better America
Gonna see a False Flag....WW#3....Obama gonna declare a executive law....his 3rd term is a cinch.
The puppets are interchangeable. No need to keep the same one in place for 3 terms when they're all carbon copies of eachother.
"Why Donald Trump Is Praying For A Market Crash"
Too late. It's already here.
What happens if there isn't a market left 3 months before elections?
HILLARY FOR PRISON: 2016
Did you know that the stock market existed before 1928!?
So where's the rest of the data?
I drove through Berkeley today and I can tell you there were few Hillary stickers on the cars anymore. They all now "Feel the Bern".
Why not, didn't Bernie "promise" free tuition??
Would Hilary backers be known as 'backSTERS'?. Just wonderin'
good, because Hillary was taking students/young people, women, minorities and Gays for granted
She's busy in the bathroom. Alone. Talking to Eleanor.
Bill in 2012: “I know that because, as all of you famously learned when I served as president, my wife, now the secretary of State, was known to commune with Eleanor on a regular basis,” he said. “And so she called me last night on her way home from Peru to remind me to say that. That Eleanor had talked to her and reminded her that I should say that.”
Schizophrenia and lavarephobia
http://trumpcampaignanalysis.blogspot.com/2016/01/hillarys-mental-illnes...
Mr universe - using Berkeley as an example of anything other than far, far left is a poor idea. I went to grad school there in the early 60's (lot's of dope before it was really popular) and worked there in the late 60's (People's Park) and moved to the country for good. Have called it Busserkely ever since.
That place is baqsicallly not for normal people, and it is proud of it.
Jack T:
Trump definitely gets it.
Trump will get nothing unless his computer supporters will do in the real world something to advance his chances. Otherwise, it will be either Hitlery or Bush!
Since the "market" is really a rigged casino, this analysis seems pointless.
The market will be whatever the FED can conjure up before the next election.
This article could be boiled down to: "Federal Reserve chooses the next president 86% of the time"
It's the market forcasted economic crash that will insure a GOP president. With no FED QE support there is nothing holding up the market or the economy that Obama policy/regulations have been battering.
sheep-tards, ballot rigging, Marxists promising shit to the Free Shit Army, and the GOP pushing McCain/Palin 2008 = CHECK and MATE, bitchez!!!
hardly had much to do w/ the market. Sheep-tards don't have a fucking clue about the "market" or what it means (as if there really is a free market anymore). They have no clue about the Fed-Res, and all the corruption.
They wanted free shit. That's the cycle we're in these days. Or "the Fourth Turning" (Strauss and Howe)...the Crisis Turning/cycle.
It's the cycles of the Saeculum that most people can't see but we still follow it and it has to have it's turn in our lifetimes before we get out of this and move on to the next cycle or "Turning".
The Four Turnings: http://www.lifecourse.com/about/method/the-four-turnings.html
I'm leaning toward Hussein resigning early and Biden/Wookie for the rigged win. This idea came up when I started reading MSM articles saying Hussein planned on staying around DC instead of going back to Hawaii.
He wants to head the U.N. so the American taxpayer can continue to pay for his annual $10 million Christmas vacations to Hawaii. Who would want to give up that perk?
There is absolutely a chance Obama does not leave office.
What I am most interested in will be the response of the US populace.
There is a part of me that believes the populace will just accept it, try the courts route, and let it drag on for years while he remains president.
Far fetched? Not really.
I thought the same thing about President Cheney.
I'm sure he is weighing a reason to declare Martial Law this fall and suspend the election process thus remaining in office. I don't know if he has the guts to do it though being the coward at heart that he is.
Jeb is Toast, Donors are already starting to jump ship. Bush 43 was all we could take, third times a DUD.
With any luck this will be the year both the Clinton and Bush machines go up in flames.
We've already seen the 3rd Bush presidency. Seriously for all the difference there was between the two Barry Obamao was the 3rd Bush. Perhaps you meant "4th Bush is a dud"
I'm 87% sure the incumbent isn't winning this year
I'm 100% sure he won't be winning any election this year but I'm not so sure the SOB won't do something to extend his "stay" beyond Jan 20, 2017.
He said, ''Joe don't waste your time and money running for the office. We're going to fix it so you can just waltz right in''.
I don't suppose he is planning to eat bad oysters?
This is a reference to what?
Wishful thinking
I'm 100% sure.
Just like I'm 93% sure the U.S. stock market won't crash on Monday.
I'm 100% sure he will be winning when he gets out of office to go collect his interminable $250k a pop speeches for his payola favors-paid-in-full debt collection rounds like the last 4 presidents have done.
"It's the economy, stupid."
Slick Willy Clinton
Trump gets elected.
Trump needs no such prayer.
Won'd do him no good. Jeb, next Potus.
I'm writing in Tyler Durden.
I'm writing in Deez Nuts.
I'm writing in Long Soup Line (I'm standing in one too)
Trumps Gona win
...and we are all gonna lose.
shut up jeb
has anyone else fouond jeb! to be the most annoying bitchy candidate currently running? He just can't get over the fact that he was supposed to be the nominee and not have any challengers. the lindsay graham endorsement was a joke.
I'm gonna join Trump's deportation force and throw Mexicans over the wall. I hope we get to wear brown shirts.
Not even kidding.
Catapults