Oil Plunges To $28 Cycle Lows As Iran Supply Looms, Stocks Slide

Tyler Durden's picture




 

February WTI Crude futures have plunged to new cycle lows at $28.60 (down 2.7%) as Iran supply looms over an already over-glutted global crude market. Brent is down even more (-3.7%). Dow futures are down 60 points at the open.

  • *WTI OIL FALLS AS MUCH AS 2.7%, BRENT CRUDE DROPS 3.7%

Feb futures (which have just rolled) are under $29...

 

And the new on the run March contract is trading $29.60, down 2.6%...

 

It seems Nomura may be right:

“Iran’s additional crude shipments have the potential to further depress prices, perhaps to as low as $25 a barrel,” Gordon Kwan, Hong Kong-based analyst at Nomura Holdings Inc., says by e-mail Sunday.

And crude weakness (and fears over US banks) are weighing on US equities... Dow futures down 65 points

5
Your rating: None Average: 5 (13 votes)
 

- advertisements -

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Sun, 01/17/2016 - 18:24 | 7059596 huggy_in_london
huggy_in_london's picture

Well you see the EU douchebags already trying to push for a fuel tax to, ahem, pay for the migrants....  I'd sooner fuking walk everywhere....

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 18:25 | 7059600 Wulfkind
Wulfkind's picture

Also just in......gas taxes going up.

Thanks for paying.

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 18:42 | 7059651 Cruel Aid
Cruel Aid's picture

the economy may be tanking but government is bullish. Think of the apparatchicks children

Washington suburbia housing not in a bubble Its beautiful

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 18:47 | 7059676 xxxxx
xxxxx's picture

Well it's for the envirnment don't you know.

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 18:25 | 7059601 stateside
stateside's picture

Doesn't matter what the price is. The banks can use $100 per barrel. So says the Dallas FED. 

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 18:28 | 7059610 roadhazard
roadhazard's picture

Bring on that Iranian oil, The more the cheaper.

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 18:32 | 7059624 g speed
g speed's picture

ot --but it came to my attention today that FEMA is having an ongoing tift with the lending banks over "flood insurance" coverage---seems that billions in comercial loans will not be rolled over because FEMA ( the back stop for flood insurance) is broke will not back stop insurers that are underfunded and the insurers won't cover comercial without huge increases in payents---BOA has been ontop of this for a year it seems and my be able to work it out--however many of the other lenders are unable (or unwilling) to comply with the FEMA regs on flood insurance---the federal guys are at the banks starting this month and a lot of fraud is going on with the insurance coverage--- looks like 100 billion in loans? are not in complance---just a heads up tyler---

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 18:40 | 7059652 homebody
homebody's picture

Stupid gov for backing flood insurance for vacation homes on flood plains.

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 18:52 | 7059697 g speed
g speed's picture

the info I got says its commercial loans---businesses--

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 19:20 | 7059799 Jethro
Jethro's picture

I got a CFM (Certified Floodplain Manager) cert in 2013 through FEMA. At the time, they mentioned that homes in the 100-year floodplain that weren't grandfathered in, would see their flood insurance rates go up by 25% a year until they reach acturarial rates.  If your home is in a floodplain, and you improve your house, you'll have to be in compliance with the latest FEMA regulations (be above base flood elevation)---often cost prohibitive to the owner.  Pray for a structure fire and move on.

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 20:54 | 7060162 Peak Finance
Peak Finance's picture

The dirty fix for this is in. I can tell you from personal experience and I hope ohers here can back me up?

Some of my rural propertities are now, (dispite no canal improvements or god raising the level of the land a few feet), are now magically no-longer declared to be in "flood zones" and I was able to drop the expensive flood insurance.  

I thought this was weird, I see now from your post that the dropping the amount of flood zones is going to fix that insurance problem for the bankers. 

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 18:35 | 7059634 jubber
jubber's picture

PPT in early here as Dow bounce 80 already

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 18:43 | 7059643 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

The great and mighty Obama, not only does he lower sea levels, he also lowers gas prices. Thanks oh great one.

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 18:40 | 7059653 razorthin
razorthin's picture

What's that sound?  It's a big ass truck backing up.

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 18:40 | 7059656 wet_nurse
wet_nurse's picture

With everything that's gonna start happening, we're gonna need a few more Tyler's.

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 18:45 | 7059671 adr
adr's picture

And gasoline near me is still $2 a gallon. Hmmmm, $70 oil was $2 a gallon and $30 oil is $2.00 a gallon. Somethin ain't right here.

The last time oil was $30 gas was under $1.25. I also love the $.60 spread for premium gas. I'm still seeing premium selling for $2.65.

I guess $50 oil will bring us $4.00 gas when Goldman starts pumping RBOB 

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 23:45 | 7060606 sun tzu
sun tzu's picture

Well $0.70 is the bottom as that is the cost of taxes and transport. That assumes the refiners, retail, and E&P all work for free. RBOB is $1.02 now. Add another 70 cents and that is $1.72

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 18:48 | 7059680 jubber
jubber's picture

Nasdaq green!

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 18:49 | 7059684 xxxxx
xxxxx's picture

Maybe this is the end of the oil based economy. We are moving on. We have 1,000 HP electric cars now.

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 18:51 | 7059694 FlacoGee
FlacoGee's picture

One has to wonder how long it will be before Saudi Arabia agrees to a production cut...  1 month?  3 months?  Never?

The declining price pushes Saudi Arabia to "max pain" quicker and quicker.

Allah can not save them much longer.

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 18:54 | 7059708 Anopheles
Anopheles's picture

Saudi can't cut.   If they cut, it doesn't benefit them, the slightly increased price doesn't make up for the revenue loss, but it does benefit everyone else.  Everyone else will pump even more as the price rises, depressing the price again. 

If it was beneficial to Saudi to cut their production, they would have done so already.   

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 18:57 | 7059715 FlacoGee
FlacoGee's picture

If OPEC cut by 2 millions barrels, let me know what the price would be...

 

 

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 19:16 | 7059787 undermind
undermind's picture

Iran would be grateful!  

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 19:48 | 7059918 FlacoGee
FlacoGee's picture

Iran is part of OPEC.

 

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 19:33 | 7059857 ZombieHuntclub
ZombieHuntclub's picture

They will cut and opec will follow. They need bread and circuses to keep the goat fuckers in check via paid off mullahs. Gotta start refilling the coffers or the House of Saud can count it's future in days not years. 

U.S. gas prices will be back up by summer driving season.

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 18:52 | 7059698 Early Retirement
Early Retirement's picture

Please BTFD.

The Fed is doing so, in infinite size, with your tax dollars.

They are cooking the books of the banks.

No Jew loses a sheckel. No asset bought by a Jew will be marked down. If needed, the taxpayers (read, pension funds) will take it off the Jew's hands for more than he paid for it.

You can't change it. You can only BTFD.

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 18:52 | 7059701 Dragon HAwk
Dragon HAwk's picture

Yeah funny how the States see gas tax revenue falling and have to bump it up,  but they never take it off when gas prices raise.  nothing like a little deflation to make the parasites panic

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 18:53 | 7059702 jubber
jubber's picture

All US futures now Green you just can't make this shit up

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 18:54 | 7059710 franzpick
franzpick's picture

13 Iranian oil tankers setting sail: 14 handle INDU, $25 crude, and world indices down 5% more by Friday Jan. 22:

http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=INDICES&p=m1

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 18:57 | 7059716 Haole
Haole's picture

...and here comes Iranian production.  Better build some more tankers to fill so we can set them adrift.

The "price" of oil is going to make $28 look expensive some day, save for "major conflict".

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 19:26 | 7059824 franzpick
franzpick's picture

Brent low 27.72: The wells have to go lower, and so does the price:

http://m.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 19:25 | 7059826 lester1
lester1's picture

If you still have money in the stock market you better get it out as soon as possible. 

 

This market is going to go down and you're going to lose a lot of money.

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 19:29 | 7059843 franzpick
franzpick's picture

And get it out before the markets, and the banks, are CLOSED.

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 19:57 | 7059939 Haole
Haole's picture

Shhhhhhhh!  Some of us have been waiting a long fucking time to see widespread panic...

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 19:29 | 7059842 lester1
lester1's picture

This week we will see the Federal Reserve's Plunge Protection Team go far outside their legal authority and buying more stocks to try to prop up the market.

 

They have to make Obama look good so that Hillary can get elected.

 

Anyone else sick and tired of being lied to and sick and tired of political correctness?

 

Vote Trump 2016 !!! 

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 22:09 | 7059944 Haole
Haole's picture

"Markets can overrun plunge protection teams." - Jim Sinclair

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 19:40 | 7059883 CAPT DRAKE
CAPT DRAKE's picture

The big picture is that the CIA and the dark state want Iran to own the middle east.  In their view, a few generations down the road, there will be a mcdonalds on every corner in Tehran, and the youth there are just chomping at the bit to be free. 

The oil cycle will work its way out very quickly, and you can expect more sanity in the market, with prices in the $50-60 range.   

The real problem is that Obama is doing incredible damage to the USA as geopolitical alignments are changing fast   Russia and Japan?  South Korea and China?  The US has no friends left in the world, only countries that want to take advantage of us by taking our jobs, property and by flat out dumping product making it impossible to compete.

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 19:45 | 7059904 Ms No
Ms No's picture

I am not in love with disaster but I hope Whiting and Continental eat shit and die.  This should have happened a long time ago it was a sham to begin with.  The Hedge provided information about this at least two summers ago.

Where is Harold Hamm and T Boone Pickens those lying sacks of shit!?  There will be blood alright lets hope for once that it's theirs rather than the taxpayer.  

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 21:07 | 7060205 gswifty
gswifty's picture

I'm calling the bottom. Won't go a dollar lower. Tptb will throw the last of what they got to push this past 30 by Thursday. Watch and see.

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 22:21 | 7060441 MaxThrust
MaxThrust's picture

If all this oil carnage was to incubate civil war in SA, I for one would be happy to fly over there and watch as all the Religious Police are beheaded in "Chop Chop Square"

Sun, 01/17/2016 - 23:13 | 7060542 robertocarlos
robertocarlos's picture

I'll bet you 59 cents that oil goes to 20 by spring.

Mon, 01/18/2016 - 06:49 | 7061001 overmedicatedun...
overmedicatedundersexed's picture

hmmm low oil - the novice i am ,seems to remember going long when oil was $10/b..I am going long now..however I am missing the big short: Tesla, and all those solar co's, low oil means the alt energy boys are sweating ..money to made here depending on your time frame. those short for a while on oil good job..but oil is always a boom bust biz..remember that.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!