Thanks To The Republican Civil War, Every Scenario Ends With Hillary Winning The Election

Tyler Durden's picture

Submitted by Michael Snyder via The Economic Collapse blog,

What is the worst possible outcome for the presidential election of 2016?  Assuming that an election will actually take place, that is an easy question to answer – Hillary Rodham Clinton as the next president of the United States.  She is truly evil in every sense of the word, and the implications of what four (or eight) years of Hillary would mean for our nation are almost too terrible to imagine.  That is why it is so depressing watching what is happening to the Republican Party right now.  The civil war in the Republican Party is ripping it to shreds, and as a result of all this warfare every plausible scenario for what will happen the rest of the way ends with Hillary Clinton winning the 2016 election.

According to the Associated Press, here is how the Republican delegate count stands as of right now…

  • Donald Trump: 384
  • Ted Cruz: 300
  • Marco Rubio: 151
  • John Kasich: 37

Ted Cruz looks like he is within shooting distance of Trump, but that is an illusion.  The early part of the schedule was full of states where Cruz was expected to do well, but now the map is going to work very much against him.

At this point, the only candidate that looks like he may be able to accumulate 1,237 delegates before the convention is Trump, and that is far from guaranteed.  So far, Trump has won approximately 44 percent of the delegates during the caucuses and primaries.  By the time it is all said and done, he will need to have slightly more than 60 percent of all the delegates awarded during the caucuses and primaries to guarantee himself the nomination before the Republican convention.  That is because there are hundreds of delegates that are not awarded during the caucuses and the primaries, and almost all of those delegates are members of the Republican establishment.

Trump can still get there by racking up large delegate totals in winner-take-all states such as California, but it will be a challenge.  The entire Republican Party establishment, Fox News, Glenn Beck and a significant number of other prominent conservative voices have all declared war on Trump.  In fact, there are super PACs that are going to spend tens of millions of dollars doing nothing but trying to destroy Trump.

If the Republican Party actually wanted to beat Hillary Clinton in November, they should be rallying around Trump and trying to help him, because he would definitely need a lot of help to win the general election.

According to Real Clear Politics, the latest three polls all have Trump losing to Clinton by at least 5 points.  In key states such as Michigan, the numbers are quite a bit more dismal.  Over the next few months, those numbers are likely to get even worse as Trump is savagely assaulted by the Republican establishment and relentlessly bombarded by tens of millions of dollars of negative attack ads.  Meanwhile, Clinton is cruising along virtually unscathed.

Of course in a just world Hillary Clinton would have already been arrested and put in prison.  There is no possible way that she should be running for president of the United States.  Unfortunately, we live in a deeply corrupt society, and this is the way that things work.

If by some miracle he does survive to become the nominee, a significantly weakened Trump would then have to face the full power of the Clinton political machine.  It is estimated that a billion dollars could be spent on the Democratic side this time around, and Trump does not have the resources to match that.  Normally big Republican donors rally around the nominee, but in this case the big money is fighting like crazy to defeat Trump.  In a general election matchup, it really would be David vs. Goliath, and Trump would not be Goliath.

If Donald Trump does not accumulate 1,237 delegates before the convention, then we would be headed for what is known as a “brokered convention“.  The rules are very complicated, but the key thing to remember is that the delegates are only bound for the first vote.  After that, they can vote for whoever they want.

And it is very important to note that the campaigns don’t pick their delegates.  Becoming a delegate is a long and tedious process in most states, and most of them are party loyalists.

In the end, a “brokered convention” would almost certainly result in an establishment candidate being chosen as the nominee.  Needless to say, the names “Trump” and “Cruz” would not be on that list.

Have you noticed that Mitt Romney has started to put himself out there lately?  His verbal attacks on Trump have been absolutely scathing, and he told Fox News that he would not say no if he was “drafted” to become the nominee at the Republican convention…

Romney, a former Massachusetts governor and the Republicans’ 2012 presidential nominee, repeated remarks from last week, telling “Fox News Sunday” that he wouldn’t launch an eleventh-hour campaign for president. But he declined to reject being “drafted” at the GOP convention in July to be the party’s general election candidate.

 

It would be absurd to say that if I were drafted I’d say no,” Romney said.

Behind the scenes, much more is going on.  In fact, CNN is reporting that Romney’s team is actively working on a plan to steal the nomination from Trump at the convention…

Mitt Romney has instructed his closest advisers to explore the possibility of stopping Donald Trump at the Republican National Convention, a source close to Romney’s inner circle says.

 

The 2012 GOP nominee’s advisers are examining what a fight at the convention might look like and what rules might need revising.

 

It sounds like the plan is to lock the convention,” said the source.

If Romney does emerge as the nominee, does anyone actually believe that he will defeat Clinton?

Of course not.  Trump’s millions of supporters will be absolutely infuriated, and many of them would absolutely refuse to cast a vote for Romney in the general election.

In the end, it would be the same result – a victory for Hillary Clinton.

The next few weeks are going to be very interesting.  If Trump wins Florida and Ohio, there is going to be a lot of pressure on Marco Rubio and John Kasich to get out of the race, and the path to 1,237 delegates would appear to be clear.

However, Mitt Romney could attempt to derail the Trump bandwagon by jumping in the race after March 15th.  Romney’s goal would be to capture enough delegates in winner-take-all states such as California to keep Trump from getting to the magic number of 1,237.  If Romney could do that, he knows that he would likely come out of a brokered convention as the nominee.

But no matter what happens on the Republican side from this point forward, it is going to take a miracle of epic proportions to keep Hillary Clinton from winning the presidency.  Every plausible scenario ends with her in the White House, and that is a truly horrible thing to imagine.

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stant's picture

Which will end in a us civil war

JamesBond's picture

And this writer predicted Trump's GOP win in the primaries a year ago?

 

Thought not.

 

jb

Money Counterfeiter's picture
Money Counterfeiter (not verified) JamesBond Mar 7, 2016 7:15 PM

Trumps will annihilate Hillary in a general election.  Democrats never meet a dictator they didn’t like.  Trump will get 25% maybe 35% of the Democrat vote.  Trump was never a Republican to begin wth.

LetThemEatRand's picture

I agree with you.  Few talking heads are talking about it (because it scares the shit out of them), but a LOT of traditional Blue Team voters will vote Trump if it's Trump v. Hillary.   And I also suspect many Red Team voters that haven't bothered for a while will turn out for Trump.   Hillary supporters are not that numerous as evidenced by the fact that Bernie Fucking Sanders has kicked her ass in several states.  

I need more asshats's picture

I will vote for Hillary and so will you!

JoeSexPack's picture
If polls are accurate... http://www.270towin.com/2016-republican-nomination-polls/ Trump will have 1237+ delegates sometime 3-16, either 15th or 22nd.

 

Double-digit leads in all March contests, save OH, & leads there too.

 

NY is gravy.

zippedydoodah's picture

I heard Hillary was just a poor old lady who's husband cheated on her. What are you all being horrid for?

skinwalker's picture

I'd like to give Hillary a double anal fisting. Possibly me and Taylor Swift can hold hands inside her rectum. 

OpenThePodBayDoorHAL's picture

Sorry but every Cruz-ite, Kasich-ite, Rubio-ite and "None of the Above" people need to read this, suck it up and vote for Bernie. ABH (Anyone But Hilary) is much more important than anything else at this stage. And with luck we get Trump versus Bernie.

nuubee's picture

This is such nonsense. There's no way Hillary wins a general election. This is pure FUD.

Richard Chesler's picture

Cunton, Hilderbeast Cunt-On.


Keyser's picture

The author of this article has failed to pay attention to the voter turnout numbers in the primaries... Based on voter turnout the GOP is going to stomp the shit out of Hillary at the polls in November, regardless of whether the candidate is Trump or Cruz... 

eforce's picture

Hitlary must be dredding being put up against Trump, when the gloves come off...

chicaboomboom's picture
chicaboomboom (not verified) eforce Mar 7, 2016 9:50 PM

The "civil war" is part of the ploy <<<>>> http://bit.ly/1p1jKnr

Never One Roach's picture

Hillery no longer favors the "Everyday American."

She now panders to "the oppressed."

Hillery is no friend of America's middle class or small business owners. I'm waiting to see what country will offer to take America's middle class losers if Hillery gets elected.

DeadFred's picture

Oppressed is what she will be if The Donald is nominated AND Hillary doesn't get indicted AND if the FBI does what it is rumored they will do, leak all the dirt they know about Hillary. That is several IF's but contrary to what the article says it is one scenario that doesn't end up with her cackling over us from the oval office. I can think of some others.

Never One Roach's picture

The Brit is back with a new message!

 

You may not agree with everything he says, but he certainly states it clearly.  No pussy-footing around
            It’s amazing that a Brit says it better than anyone over here in the land of the free. 
  http://www.youtube.com/embed/iHLcrfhwPtc?&rel=0    

                        This guy is politically incorrect, and right on target.

847328_3527's picture

That Brit has tons of common sense. Great video!

Save_America1st's picture

sorry Snyder....you're dead wrong on this one.   Trump will most likely win this thing in a landslide close to how Reagan did.

0b1knob's picture

Rubio is a faggot.

http://www.tomatobubble.com/id962.html

Did you ever wonder why Christie called him "boy in the bubble"(ie foam boy)?

LieEnforcementOfficer's picture

Im not a Trump supporter (I dont vote for either side of the same team) but this strikes me as a well disguised Trump hit piece.

old naughty's picture

so sheeples think their votes matter, still?

Victor von Doom's picture

Elites still think ignoring the masses is ok. Most of the time, by which I mean 99% of the time they are right. Once every couple of hundred years though, not so much.

VinceFostersGhost's picture

 

 

 

The first pedophile lesbian female president of the United States....awesome!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Laon3_ob54A

 

 

It's becoming more and more clear...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_NhV2JHtD5s

 

Beowulf55's picture

The way I see it is Hitlery is going to prison

 

Obama is going to prison

 

Martial Law will suspend the election

MagicHandPuppet's picture

 I don't know who's going to win... but I do think it would be funny if this old hag choked to death on a chicken bone.

Victory_Garden's picture

ROTFLMAO!!!

Thank you.

Needed that.

LieEnforcementOfficer's picture

the grand jury will breath down her neck and bill will have to kick the bucket so she can pull out. Elizabeth Warren 2016.

beemasters's picture

Let's face it, even if Trump wins, few countries around the globe will really work with him. USA will be pretty much isolated. He is building not only physical walls. I'm not sure if that's what the people want.

edotabin's picture

The people believe Trump is the "Fuck you" vote. Whether or not he actually is, remains to be seen. He may just be there to "stir it up". They are all so full of shit, they don't even know when they are telling the truth and when they are lying.

As for this article, Hillary should be being indicted, not running for president. This just proves how full of shit it all is.

 

The9thDoctor's picture

I voted for Trump even though I disagree with him on many issues just because I want to see the status quo shaken up.

LieEnforcementOfficer's picture

Wait, the US will be isolated you say? They arent already?

123dobryden's picture

merkel,saud,british,anada,swedenpsing....whata company

Cycling Fish's picture

Bullshit. Everyone will work with Trump just like countries always do. The reason folks like Merkel are dissing Trump is that they are scared a Donald will arise in Germany...again.

eatthebanksters's picture

Hillary isn't going to be POTUS...she is going to be Prisoner #------- after the indictment...its coming kids.

Victor von Doom's picture

Bullshit. The BRICS nations would work with him in a heartbeat.

Lanka's picture

The cast votes would indicate a landslide for Trump.  How DIEBOLD counts the votes may yield a different outcome.

DollarMenu's picture

Why isn't this woman in jail yet?

847328_3527's picture
Hitler interviews Hillary Clinton

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6UF8Fj9vTLk

 

Another good one!

 

 

Tall Tom's picture

For "Fair and Balanced" reporting here is Hitler interviewing Trump.

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JD27dteEH9o

 

What a shit show.

 

The SELECTION is a parody by itself.

 

 

justdues's picture

Why is it always Hitler ? Why not Stalin, Churchill, Mao, Truman ? Just support the Tribes racist demonization propaganda why dont you ?

CheapBastard's picture

It's just a fad that got started plus the actor who does Hitler is phenominal so they use him for these parodies. There not much good solid acting these days other then people like him.

It's the bigger picture that counts.

J Jason Djfmam's picture

Hitler would probably beat Hillary.

Redhotfill's picture

Because she has dirt on someone or is useful to someone.

Victor von Doom's picture

Why hasn't this woman been assassinated yet?

Fixed it for ya.

detached.amusement's picture

because she's protected by the biggest assasionation outfit in existence

jeff montanye's picture

it could be trump/cruz against clinton/neosomebody, if bernie doesn't pull a fast one.  he is increasing in popularity while she is declining.  

as noted elsewhere, many sanders supporters could defect, some voting for trump, for third parties or abstaining.  

the prospect of a third g.w. bush administration is not enticing.