EU, Turkey Strike Migrant Deal; Erdogan Gets €6 Billion

Tyler Durden's picture

Turkey and the EU came back to the negotiating table on Thursday and Friday in Brussels in the latest installment of a long-running attempt to hammer out a deal that will help stem the flow of refugees into Europe.

Germany, Sweden, Austria, and a number of other countries are quite literally breaking under the pressure and everyone involved fears things could get far worse as winter turns to spring and the Balkan route thaws.

While the ceasefire and the hope of a political settlement to Syria’s five-year-old conflict may help, there are still scores of jihadist elements operating in the country and those who are inclined to be realistic know there’s no hope of anyone wanting to go back to there anytime soon.

Of course Turkey is the key corridor through which the asylum seekers pass on their way to Greece. Europe is keen on figuring out a way to work with Ankara to ameliorate the current situation in which scores of migrants have found themselves stuck in Idomeni as they desperately try to cross the Macedonian border and make their way north.  

(migrants in Idomeni at the Greek border with Macedonia: NY Times)

The conditions Turkey requires for striking a deal have changed over time, but two things have been relatively constant: 1) money, 2) accelerated EU membership.

On Friday, EU leaders agreed upon a proposal to present to Turkish PM Ahmet Davutoglu. Generally speaking, it looks a lot like a proposal that took shape earlier this month. Here’s a summary from The New York Times:

  • Sending Migrants Back to Turkey From Greece
    • All migrants who travel to Greece from Turkey using irregular means after an agreement is reached will be returned to Turkey, in what the agreement calls “a temporary and extraordinary measure, which is necessary to end the human suffering and restore public order.”
  • A One-for-One Swap of Syrians
    • For each Syrian migrant returned to Turkey, the European Union will directly resettle another Syrian from Turkey, with priority given to Syrians who have not previously entered, or tried to enter, the European Union, up to a total of 72,000.
    • If that number is reached — as it almost certainly will be — a new round of negotiations will be held.
  • Stricter Controls of Turkey’s Borders
    • Turkey will take “all necessary measures” to prevent migrants from opening new sea or land routes to the European Union from Turkey in a measure aimed at assuaging concerns in Bulgaria that migrants will stream into the country.
  • Concessions for Turkey
    • The European Union will speed up the disbursement of the €3 billion it pledged in November, and provide another €3 billion by the end of 2018, once Turkey meets its commitments.
    • The European Union will waive most visa requirements for Turkish citizens by the end of June, provided that Turkey meets certain requirements.

According to an official familiar with the talks who spoke to WSJ, "Turkish Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu signed off on the agreement and all 28 European Union leaders were expected to endorse it in the coming hours." 

The 1-for-1 swap (i.e. if you take a boat to Greece you get sent back, but if you don't you might be able to get in from Turkey) is meant to end people smuggling, but of course it won't. If you've read anything about Turkey lately you know that it's hardly safe and we're reasonably sure that accommodations will hardly be comfortable. The provision will also do nothing to assuage the likes of Viktor Orban in Hungary and Frauke Petry in Germany.

It's also entirely unclear how this will work from an administrative perspective. 

"Practical and legal complications remain, as Greece would have to deploy thousands of staff on the islands to give every migrant the chance to file for asylum, organize interviews, set up decent housing conditions and organize returns to Turkey to make sure the program is in compliance with international refugee law," WSJ goes on to note, adding that "some EU leaders had worried about the start date of the agreement, saying it could create a renewed surge of migrants crossing into Greece in a bid to beat the cutoff date."

Make no mistake, what this will amount to is a free €3 billion (and possibly €6 billion) for Turkey, because there's simply no way that something as amorphous as this "deal" has any hope of stemming a people flow of that size. 

Oh, and we forgot to mention, Turkey's EU membership bid will be hastened despite a Cypriot objection which means that Erdogan's autocracy will soon not only be a NATO member, but also part of the EU, which we assume will given Erdogan even more cover to carry out genocide against the Kurds.  

And Brussels does all of this knowing full well it won't work. On that note, we close with a quote from Francois Hollande, who, after the Paris attacks, is perhaps a bit less sanguine than Merkel about the situation: 

“Let’s not think that tomorrow, just because we have a deal with Turkey, we solved the refugee problem.”

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
_ConanTheLibertarian_'s picture

So Erdogan blackmails the EU

BullyBearish's picture

The worse they are, the better we like 'em...

38BWD22's picture



Yes.  This deal is totally bogus and will never be implemented as touted.  Europe has a YUUUGE problem there, and there is little time for them to fix it before the Cradle of Western Civilization becomes something very different...

eforce's picture

So they've sent the message that if you don't get to Greece by x date, you won't get into the EU at all...I wonder how that will effect the migrant wave this year...

(Germany by the end of the year) ..

Dutti's picture

Most of the EU, with a few exceptions, take Erdogan’s orders.

Erdogan can dictate anything to the EU, because he can dictate anything in Turkey without regard for any semblance of human rights, whereas anyone in the West is immediately shamed into being a Xenophobe, Nazi etc.

Manthong's picture

Golem: “I don’t need no stinkin’ ring, not with the EU fools giving me a precious €6 Billion for my Swiss bank account”.

The Alarmist's picture

The Brexit vote can be called an intelligence test for British voters.

eforce's picture

I thought it was more a test of the rigging system?

AriusArmenian's picture

Europe, still the cradle of Western civilization? That's already ended, thanks to the US.

rbg81's picture

As Trump says, "They don't know what they're doing".  And then the Elites wonder where his support comes from.

researchfix's picture

In 4 weeks he will ask for the same again.

roisaber's picture

When you give a radical Wahhabist wackjob a cookie, next he'll ask for a glass of milk. Trump is right. These people are stupid. Like, dumber than a half a brick; so stupid that when they hear it's chilly outside they run to grab a bowl.

Poundsand's picture

I love how bureaucrates have become ever smarter in their own estimation, and in the estimation of the esteemed MSM.  And yet, this happens...  Will we ever learn?

HectorCamachoTrump's picture
HectorCamachoTrump (not verified) Poundsand Mar 18, 2016 11:16 AM

"Will we ever learn?"

Trumpateers don't and will vote for a jew bootlicker.

HectorCamachoTrump's picture
HectorCamachoTrump (not verified) roisaber Mar 18, 2016 11:19 AM

Turkey is not in Saudi Arabia. Edrogen isn't wahhabist.

You are stupid.

_ConanTheLibertarian_'s picture
Member for
5 days 16 hours

You shouldn't be able to write your BS until you're x weeks around. That would save us a lot of troll posts.
HectorCamachoTrump's picture
HectorCamachoTrump (not verified) _ConanTheLibertarian_ Mar 18, 2016 11:39 AM

And if you have been here for x plus years you can spout nonsense, get uprated for it, and continue to live confortably in you ivory trump tower spouting logical fallacies instead of proving the "trolls" in question wrong with logic and resonable debate.

Haus-Targaryen's picture

I think Trump sucks, but I am voting for him in both the primaries and the general election, just to spite people like you.  

With any luck Trump is a fascist and will start executing all social justice warriors on site.  

Soul Glow's picture

I wouldn't be suprised if the migrants are bring in a lot of herion with them.  Turkey has always been a spigot of drugs for Europe.

Pandelis's picture

thats the least they are going to bring with them ... it is a simple repeat of the 70s with Kissinger as the implementer back then ... look at what has developed in suburbs of Paris and cities accross Germany with turks, morrocan, algerian etc. 

the main goal seems to be changing the social structure of Europe and emptying Syria in the process

Soul Glow's picture

I understand that.  I wanted to discuss the drug trade.  It is imortant for the banks to get their grubby arms on drug mnoney.  Drug money is liquid and large (because it is untaxed and a huge market).  The banks need liquidity and Europe has always been a large market for drugs via Turkey.  

The drug money is also what politicians get as bribes.  It is cash and untracible.

So along with your point of changing the socio-landscape via sexual assaults and terrorism, the drug trade is a huge reason the EU wants Turkey to let in the migrants.

Pandelis's picture

the church and christianity is the main target, in my opinion that is changing the social structure. 

Tsipras passed the law on gays on Christmas Eve last year claiming they are working on holidays (they seems to be peculiar on passing various "difficult" laws on Christmas Eve).  He is not even married legally, just cohabits with his wife of ten years ... in Greece this is very unsual.

the phantom's picture

The Church and Christianity are incidental.  The real prize is by bringing in all these migrants/rapeugees/whatever, you cause social disorder.  When you have social disorder, you look to the State to protect you.  So when the State says "yes, we will protect you, but you must give up your rights"... people will do it... willingly.  That's the goal.

Tsipras is a fool who should be up in the mountains of the Peloponese tending sheep.

Techpriest of Mars's picture

Nope idiot, Heroin and drug in general, are entered to the west courtesy of your CIA and other secret agency (since the ZATO afghanistan wars production of poppy field grew from 82 000 hectares in 2000 to 224 000 hectares in 2014, thats a lot of superfcy for a country unable to get its own food, the miracle of wester democracy LOL, to finance their black budget of illegal coup, spying in profit of Israel, support for puupet western regime, suppression of any dissident voice and other shit we are not aware of.

but yeah, keep believing that brownies are the roots of your problems, ZION is surely pride of the brain dead retards it has created :-(

HectorCamachoTrump's picture
HectorCamachoTrump (not verified) Mar 18, 2016 11:08 AM

Its time for europe to be multicultural. And jews are at the forefront of this movement.

Pandelis's picture

makes you wonder WHY the multicultural issue is not raised for Asia or Arab countries ...

HectorCamachoTrump's picture
HectorCamachoTrump (not verified) Pandelis Mar 18, 2016 11:14 AM

So you missed the part about isisrael?

Or was it a character flaw induced ignorance?

Seasmoke's picture

Never let a big crisis go to waste.

Pumpkin's picture

If the US would stop fucking up their homes, that'd fix the problem too.

Mike Masr's picture

A year from now the EU will have collapsed and millions of maggot invaders will be setting up their new European Caliphate. Christian "Kuffar" Europeans will be desperately trying to get into Russia. President Putin needs to build a new iron curtain, this time a bigger and better wall to keep Europeans out. Hungarians and Serbs should be welcomed in as brothers but all other Europeans should be kept OUT. They all get what they deserve. Citizens of the EU and Ukie neo nazis better learn how to cook good halal meals and be ready to pay their Jizya taxes with a smile on their faces as obedient infidels do!!!


Pandelis's picture

not sure if regular Europeans have any say in what is going on ... for that matter almost all people have no say except a few "sold souls" working as implementers

Lucky Leprachaun's picture

They (we) could vote out the traitors. But we don't. Everybody's talking about the blow to Merkel in the recent elections but the anti-immigration party averaged about 15% of the vote. Same in Sweden, lower in most other (soon not to be) European countries.

It doesn't really stem from cowardice, still less from an enthusaism for diversity, rather an unwillingness to question the mind-rot they're being fed.

BadKiTTy's picture

6 billion Euro today - waaaaaaaaay more to follow I am sure.  

Brexit for me when the vote comes. 


38BWD22's picture



It would pain me to discover if there are any Europeans who think their problem is solved with this deal with Turkey.

Borders, language & culture.

kikk's picture

I'll be voting just the same as you. Anyone voting differently after seeing this is insane.

80 million poverty stricken Muslims having visa free access to the EU come June.

And the EU then having borders with Iraq, Iran and Syria. Which we trust the Turks will guard with extreme vigilance. Yeah right !!!

GRDguy's picture

Erdogan just got rewarded for being an agent of The Great Red Dragon. He's doing what they require.

HectorCamachoTrump's picture
HectorCamachoTrump (not verified) Beatup Mar 18, 2016 11:22 AM

Trump is a jew poodle. He is talking about himself.

Lucky Leprachaun's picture

Possible. But also possible that he could turn out to be their golem. All he has to do is order a proper inestigation of 9/11.

City_Of_Champyinz's picture

Europeans have to be the most stupid people on the Earth.  Turkey is being taken over by an Islamist dictator wannabe who is about to 'update' the constitution so that his power is absolute.  Turkey should be thrown out of NATO, and should never ever be granted EU membership.  BUILD A FUCKING WALL, and deport immediately all illegal immigrants.  Not difficult to fix this issue. 

ack's picture

Europeans are no more or less stupid than Americans. After WW2 most peeps just wanted to get on with life. No different than Americans. Human behavior -- non-pyschopaths/sociopaths -- is such that one must be pushed to the brink before taking action. There's an old Russian saying about being slow to saddle-up but riding fast. SANE humans never look for war.

These actions are being orchestrated to PUSH mankind to saddle-up. And once enough peeps are in the saddle. Shit will start to happen FAST. Those who think they are immune by virtue of money and rank will be shocked by the backlash.  Tick-tock.

AriusArmenian's picture

Europeans are paying a heavy price to remain a vassal of the US.

If they are stupid enough to commit suicide then why should I care?

rwe2late's picture

 So basically  the EU is paying to create more refugees

by paying Erdogan to support ISIS & co.,

in order to "solve" the refugee problem.


NO, no, Erdogan will only use that money to "help" refugees!

ha ha ha ha ha ha ha


EddieLomax's picture

This is what happens when you have too many dumb politicians, as Trump would say we need smart people

We certainly look like a ship of fools in Europe handing over billions of pounds for a deal that is worthless, even if Turkey could seal its borders the migrants would just go around.  Yet despite the total incompetence on display I fully expect the UK will vote to stay in Europe, Britain today is mostly a nation of cowards, enfeebled by multiculturalism and polical correctness.

luckylongshot's picture

So Turkey supports ISIS which causes refugeess to flood Europe, which causes the EU to offer Turkey €6 Billion to alter the refugees route to the EU and we are supposed to applaud? All I feel is revulsion for both Turkey and the idiots in the EU who agreed to this.

theprofromdover's picture

Pay to make your problem go away.

What an Ancien Regime way to do business.

Bunga Bunga's picture

Erdocon got a boner.

ILike2Watch's picture

Turkey gets paid and now Greece will get more Welfaregees? Oh and they'll have to foot the bill on their own too....