Extensive Immigration Study Finds Impact On "Aggregate Wealth Of Natives Is, At Best, A Wash"

Tyler Durden's picture

Immigration has been and will continue to be a hot button topic in the 2016 presidential campaign.  Trump has called for a wall along the U.S. southern border with Mexico and a halt to all immigration from certain "countries of concern to national security."  Meanwhile, Hillary has called for more relaxed immigration policies that would grant illegal immigrants a path to citizenship and a surge in Syrian refugees. 

But, no matter where you stand politically on immigration, a group of the nation's "smartest" professors from the most elite schools in the country recently came together to publish a 500-page study for the "National Academies of Sciences, Engineering and Medicine" on the economic and fiscal impacts of immigration.  After what must have been countless months of research, the report seems to confirm what most people could have derived from applying simple logic, namely that while immigration expands the economy it also negatively impacts the employment of low-skilled native workers and places undue burden on federal and state entitlements like food assistance programs and Medicaid.

The full 500-page immigration study can be reviewed at the end of this post but here are the key takeaways...

First, the study finds that the lower median age of immigrants is a positive offset to the aging U.S. population and serves to enlarge the economy but notes that the key beneficiaries are the immigrants themselves and not the native citizens.

Immigration enlarges the economy while leaving the native population slightly better off on average, but the greatest beneficiaries of immigration are the immigrants themselves as they avail themselves of opportunities not available to them in their home countries.



That said, low-skilled immigrants, which represented nearly 50% of the total in 2012, were found to have a higher employment rates than low-skilled natives indicating that U.S. citizens are being displaced at least at the lower bound of the income spectrum. 

Shortly after arrival in the United States, immigrant men—especially recent cohorts—experience a disadvantage relative to native-born men in terms of the probability of being employed. However, for cohorts of immigrants arriving since the 1970s, after this initial period of adjustment in which their probability of employment is lower, they became slightly more likely to be employed than their native-born peers. The higher employment rate among immigrant men is mainly represented in the population with education of a high school degree or less.






Finally, first-generation immigrants were found to be more costly for entitlement programs than native-born citizens.

Beyond wage and employment considerations, policy makers and the general public are interested in the impact that an expanding population, and immigration in particular, has on public finances and the sustainability of government programs. All population subgroups contribute to government finances by paying taxes and add to expenditures by consuming public services—but the levels differ. On average, individuals in the first generation are more costly to governments, mainly at the state and local levels, than are the native-born generations; however, immigrants’ children—the second generation—are among the strongest economic and fiscal contributors in the population.


Immigrant households’ use of food assistance programs and Medicaid is much higher than that of native-headed households—not as a result of not working (in 2009, 95 percent of immigrant households with children had at least one person working) but because of lower levels of education and income.

But perhaps, Harvard University’s George Borjas summed up the study best by telling the Wall Street Journal simply that “the impact of immigration on the aggregate wealth of natives is, at best, a wash."


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Dr. Bonzo's picture

This is the bs-study reported on by the NY Times. I like how they conveniently completely ignore the H-1B program which is absolutely an American-worker replacement program and has been demonstrated to be just that. There is not a SINGLE job in the US that no qualified US employee does not exist for. Population of 300 million. We need to import "nurses," as if we have none. Or Indian IT people. Or mainland Chinese historians. Yeah. Actually had several in our graduate school program. History majors. Not STEM. HISTORY.

This whole fucking immigration "debate" is so stacked with BULLSHIT the sky's turned brown from it and you think it's normal. H-1B serves one purpose and one purpose only. Replace competent qualified American workers with 3rd world trash willing to work for peanuts and be obedient pawns.


Here's an idea. Let's H-1B every motherfucking ivy league tenured professorship and MSM anchor job.

Fucking cunts.

TBT or not TBT's picture

It's a wash because life gets cheaper.

oops's picture

And the Immigration Pot gets stirred. https://goo.gl/gt5IY0

philipat's picture

And it isn't only the economic impact as these NWO puppets suggest. There is more to any society than its economy including its cultural makeup and the dilution thereof. Which is, of course, a deliberate attempt by the Globalists because national borders, cultures and self-identity stand as the largest obstacle to the NWO agenda.

PS. Oops (a/k/a mofio, santafe, Aristotle of Greece, Gargoyle, bleu amongst others) do us all a favor and go fuck yourself.

SafelyGraze's picture

all of us are better off by having people from other countries come here and live life to the fullest.

the american indians circa 1700


JRobby's picture

All "debates" are stocked with bullshit.

Academia is stocked with "bullshit dispensers". The "bullshit" is purposely made to appear complex. Like finance, it is not. It is politics and secrets that make it complex.

Nationalism is an obstacle to continuing wealth generation for the elites.

We are at a breaking point. Those that still believe the lies are resisting truth. There are many and this election year specifically is revealing the quantities. The lies result in slavery.

DownWithYogaPants's picture

Never mind that quality of life goes straight to shit with non adapted immigrants who come from corrupt countries and bring their practices with them.


Twee Surgeon's picture

Dear Sherlock Holmes.

I'm writing you today regarding some unusual events in our village that coincide with the arrival of a large group of 'Foreigners'.

I will wait for the authors next article about very obvious shit that is going to be called 'The socks go on before the shoes, not after.'

Someone got a grant for this, I expect.

OverTheHedge's picture

Given that all research is Grant-driven, and therefore goalseeked (horrible non-word, sorry), the very best conclusion from this group of eminent scholars is that immigrants don't actually cost TOO much, I would imagine that the reality is that immigration into a society with modern social support costs an absolute fortune, and is negative for the overall economy. Bear in mind these are economists doing the maths.

JRobby's picture

The destruction of lives, spending and small business is not considered too expensive. 

August's picture

Mass immigration may (or may not) be a wash for the natives, but for the owners of larger businesses and larger tracts of land, it looks like.... yep!  It's gonna be another BIG WIN!

Is this a great country, or what!

And may God continue to richly bless the Chamber of Commerce, the Club for Growth, the Business Roundtable and the (institutional) Republican Party.

JRobby's picture

Yup, that link is the real story. DHS accelerating citizenship and registering them to vote for the "establishment party"

When I think of all the Dem v Repub arguments I have seen on line for years and the hate when I pointed out that it was all one party is not really any satisfaction now that the curtain is being pulled back.

jm's picture

I want to see the regression results with a qualitative varable applied to it that parses out mulsim and non-muslim I hypothesize you will find muslims are a major drag on the dependent variable.


Mexicans work, Chinese work. Others that work should be welcome provided they work through the system. Members of death-cults should not be allowed.

BTW, this is all that Trump is saying and he is right. 

Stuck on Zero's picture

If you divide the natural and infrastructure resources by the additional population the natives lose. If you consider that immigrants are given priority over natives in absolutely everything (employment, college admissions, loans, etc.) natives lose. If you consider dilution of votes, natives lose. If you consider having to learn foreign languages,  natives lose. If you consider crime, natives lose.If you consider increasing traffic, crowding, cost of homes, natives lose.

What counterbalances all of this?

Mroex's picture

The blessings and gifts of diversity? LOL

rapetrain's picture

One effective way to determine the effect of something is to apply a mind experiment called "ad absurdum."

How does it apply here? The idea you posit is that more people equals a drag on the existing population. However, a cursory glance at economics shows that the larger the market, the more economies of scale can be captured. Look at the USA: 300 million with common law and language. India, China, etc. Huge markets and huge economies of scale.

the idea you posit is that the less people among whom to divide the pie of natural resources, the better they are off. I have news for you: if you were sitting on a pile of gold, and had no one to share it with, you would lose because there is no division of labor. You would have to make everything yourself. That is why the more people, the better. People are a RESOURCE.

Lockesmith's picture

Tin ore and gold are both RESOURCES but I know which you'd prefer to find in the back yard.

NoPension's picture

How about this old saw, you fucking moron?

" Charity begins at home"

Let's work on getting our act together, before importing millions of third world shitskins. Lord knows, we would do better to work on changing the cultural deficiencies in our inner cities, and put those people to work...first.

Cheap labor for Big Business, voting block for Democrats.

We ( native born) lose.

Doom Porn Star's picture

"What counterbalances all of this? "

Wage suppression for employers, price inflation for vendors, and instant constituents for politicians and bureaucrats.

The owners and managers of production, retail businesses and finra, and statists/SJWs: win.

The native citizenry lose in terms of job losses and stagnating wages, higher prices and scarcities, higher taxation and fewer services, diluted political power, cultural divestment, etc...


They are selling your children's inheritance so they can have mexicans mow the lawns and indians answer their phones, and polacks drive their forklifts, etc., etc...


Socratic Dog's picture

What?  Muzzies don't work?  Not only do they eat our children, but they're too lazy to work?  I'm disgusted.  Something's gotta be done.

Look, the point even the authors managed to make, and many here are reiterating, is that there aren't enough jobs to go around.  If they work, they must therefore be taking the jobs of natives.  Period. 

And as for "working through the system"... fuck the system.  Commentators above me have made it very clear how the H1B system works. 

Where I live, if you need some yard labor done you go down to the village store and there'll be a dozen hispanics waiting around.  They want $20/hour, tax free, but might take $15.  White guys turn up looking for work, they get chased away, I hear.  And the motherfuckers don't even speak English, it's up to you to learn their fucking language.

How many Americans earn $20/hour, tax free?

Laddie's picture

The ALPHABET Visas, such as H1-B now include the SPOUSE and family members getting jobs.

90% of US Naturalizations from 3rd World

In a further confirmation of the danger that legal immigration poses to America, new figures from the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) have revealed that 90 percent of all US citizenship naturalizations in 2013 were made by people originating from the Third World.

DER SPIEGEL Interview with Singapore’s Lee Kuan Yew: “It’s Stupid to be Afraid” August 08, 2005

In multiracial societies, you don’t vote in accordance with your economic interests and social interests, you vote in accordance with race and religion.

I recall in 2014 after Obama spread the "kids" that crossed the Texas border into all the white parts of America a blue-eyed blonde 4 year old White boy PARALYZED from the neck down FOR LIFE by this new disease that Obama helped spread via the illegals. When will WHITE MEN say, ENOUGH!

A mysterious polio-like illness that paralyzes people may be surging this year

Anecdotal Evidence

I think back many years ago to my first girlfriend and the first time I kissed her; you never forget your first real kiss. I kissed her on the front steps of St. Gertrude School, an all-female Catholic high school in the former Capital of the Confederacy. Unbeknownst to us, Sister Charlotte, the draconian, but highly respected, principal was observing us from her office. As I was about to leave, she came out and chastised us for our foolish indiscretion. I didn’t mind and she wasn’t really mad--her job was mentoring young people and she’d seen it all. But if you weren’t in the good graces of Sister Charlotte, there would be hell to pay (in the vein of fine old Catholic discipline). A portrait of her hangs in the front lobby of the school and they named the gym after her.
She’s lucky to be alive (but for the grace of God)--Sister Charlotte spent months in the hospital after a drunk driver crashed into her car. She and two other nuns were driving to Northern Virginia for an annual retreat. Her brain was damaged, her memory and hearing have faded. Her colleague, Sister Connie Ruth Lupton, has pins holding her vertebrae together. And Sister Denise Mosier is forever resting at the Benedictine Monastery in Bristow, Virginia. The drunk driver? Carlos Montano--an illegal Bolivian immigrant and repeat offender who was awaiting deportation and whom federal immigration authorities had released (nice job, feds). This subhuman bastard had been arrested two other times on drunk driving charges, and on at least one of those occasions Prince William County police reported him to federal authorities. He was eventually sentenced to 20 years--he should have gotten the rope at the very least.

Being White, and a Minority, in Georgia Annie Linskey, Boston Globe, September 10, 2016

A generation ago, this Atlanta suburb was 95 percent white and rural with one little African-American neighborhood that was known as “colored town.’’ But after a tidal wave of Hispanic and Asian immigrants who were attracted to Norcross by cheap housing and proximity to a booming job market, white people now make up less than 20 percent of the population in Norcross and surrounding neighborhoods. It’s a shift so rapid that many of the longtime residents feel utterly disconnected from the place where they raised their children.

Professor Kevin MacDonald’s ‘The Culture of Critique’ Reviewed This review, written in 1999, explains what the Tribe has done to the White nations.

It is often said that when the old immigration policy was scrapped in 1965, scarcely anyone knew, and no one predicted, that the new law would change the racial makeup of the country. Prof. MacDonald disputes this, arguing that this had been the objective of Jewish groups from the beginning.

"The strengthening of multicultural or diverse Australia is also our most effective insurance policy against anti-Semitism. The day Australia has a Chinese Australian Governor General I would feel more confident of my freedom to live as a Jewish Australian."
--Miriam Faine, editorial committee member of the Australian Jewish Democrat

Kenya, we must understand, is a microcosm of the entire West. Therefore let us ask ourselves, What would have been our general White position today if the world had consisted only of Kenya, with no other place for us to go to and no other form of government for us to live under? What then? We, the White race, would already have been obliterated or reduced to everlasting serfdom, would we not? Yet however fanciful it might still seem to the white peoples of the northern American states and occupied Europe, the world today does in the most vital sense consist only of Kenya, for we cannot keep on being racially overruled and uprooted and moved on. Wherever we are now we are in effect in Kenya; for certainly the operations of the anti-White conspiracies, the techniques of the Communists, Liberals, and One-Worlders, remain significantly identical whether they be applied in Kenya or Alabama.

WHITE MAN, THINK AGAIN! by Anthony Jacob, Johannesburg January 1965

reader2010's picture

How can we get rid of H1-B people physically?

BabaLooey's picture

And the fucking cunts just endorsed Hilldecunt.

I'm shocked. Shocked I say! Dumbfounded!

My new dog wouldn't even shit on a NYT edition.

I found that in a trash bin, and thought it might be good dog training shitter material. Rejected!

However, I opened it to a page with Krugman on it - placed it down - and sure enough - came back and found pee all over it.

The new dog is smart. Goooooooooooooooood boy!



Creative_Destruct's picture

I can buy that It's a wash overall, but with a big WIN for companies who get to suppress labor cost with greater supply at lower prices, particularly for the skilled professionals such as engineers with the H-1B program. Really, also for the lower skilled jobs, massive immigration at best moves the same amount of jello around the plate to more people at lower real average wages. This Kum-ba-yah bullshit seems real good to arrogant blindly idealistic rich ass-holes like Soros, but is a painful ass-fuck for the natives, and a resented cultural shock for a vast majority of the migrants.

So a strong second to : "Here's an idea. Let's H-1B every motherfucking ivy league tenured professorship and MSM anchor job"

Amen Brutha!

rapetrain's picture

If someone else can do your job for less money, that means you are overpaid.

It is impossible to argue otherwise. There is nothing wrong with being overpaid. However, impeding the free movement of people on LAND YOU DO NOT OWN is aggression and they would be morally justified in responding to aggression with lethal force.

It's better to make friends, than to make enemies due to aggression.

Stanelli's picture

If someone else has a slave that does your job for free, that means you are overpaid and should apply for your slave status.

NoPension's picture

Let's see an overhaul of higher education, where its Web based. The best teachers, are super paid, and do lectures and class on line.

Then, organize a network of testing centers. For a modest fee, ANYONE can go in and test. Pass the required tests, with a demanding grade, get credits. Enough credits, get a degree. Start winding down these current institutions of "learning "

Seems 1-12 is little more than a jobs and pension program...and state sponsored daycare.

Colleges seem to be little more than giant sports arenas, overpaid professors...and liberal indoctrination centers.

Hell....look at some of the most successful paridigm shifting business owners...they seem to have a common thread...they dropped out of college.

Now...tell me about doing a " job" and being overpaid. I have a hunch, rapetrain, you're in education. You're just too fucking ignorant to be in the real world.

Zero-Hegemon's picture

That worked great in the Old South, for generations of poor whites, who's manual labor was worth shit when compared to that of a slave's. But it wasn't the slave's fault, see?

pitz's picture

"they" don't even bother calling in Americans and interviewing them in good faith with the legally required preference for US citizens prior to hiring foreigners.

j0nx's picture

Wash my ass. My home lost 2/3 of its value in 2008 because the city I lived in at the time was taken over by illegals from 2003-2008 and many of them lost their homes when the construction industry dried up and they couldn't pay their mortgages. 24 of the 96 homes in my development were in foreclosure from 2008-2010. The schools in my city now are still 50+% free and reduced lunch. The one my daughter goes to is over 70% with most of them Hispanic (and most likely kids of illegals or first gen immigrants). I have lost my ass financially because of illegal immigration. I deserve more than most to be compensated for it.

I Write Code's picture

"At best, a wash".

That is, the top 0.01% benefit hugely.

The other 99.99% get screwed.

That's "a wash" in economist terms.

dilligaff's picture

No shit.  This is a Fucking bullshit article!

chosen's picture

What about negative impact on the environment because of increased population?  Also lower wages, higher rents, more crime.

bonin006's picture

That's a wash to. The deterioration in the environment, and higher crime here is balanced by less pollution and lower crime where they came from. Also, don't forget that the government (which sets immigration policy) thinks higher prices are good (spend more money = higher GDP = more taxes).

Ralph Spoilsport's picture

It's just more agenda driven horseshit from the elite academic echo chamber. Identity politics never gets old.

BeerMe's picture

If the scope is all immigration...What about illegal immigration?

css1971's picture

Illegal immigration or human trafficking between the US and Mexico is dominated by drug cartels. They bring drugs and people north, and take guns back south. The levels of violence and criminality involved are huge, and it's shown by the numbers of federal prosecutions around the border region.

The solution to both problems is to halt the war on drugs completely, Revenues for the cartels will collapse, and they will go the way of the bootleger gangs. And to provide temporary (1 year) guest worker passes to Mexicans who found jobs in America but who entered illegally.


NoPension's picture

The right person, at the top and calling the shots, could shut this invasion down close to zero in 48 hours.

Just need the will to do it.

Arnold's picture

Please do not cut off my cheap opioid supply.

Thanks in advance.

delmar Jackson's picture

Borjas summed up immigration years ago. Immigration provides very little if any overall economic benefit, and what benefit there is  has been shown to be captured by thos ewho hire immigrants and the immigrants themselves almost exclusively. It is a racket, a transfer of money from labor to capital, a way for the rich to profit and pass on all the true social,economic and environmental costs to our communities.


Withnail's picture

Longtime lurker here. First comment ever. 

This reminds me of a study done in 1992 that concluded, wrongly, that banks were refusing money to minorities on the basis of race. Empowered by this flawed study, the newly-elected Clintons (with the help of "community organizer"/extortionist Barack Obama) thus spread the word to stodgy bankers everywhere: if you don't start lending more mortgage money to unqualified blacks and Hispanics, the EEOC and other branches of the Federal government are going to sue you.  


Thus begat the "liar loans" to NINJAs (No Income, No Jobs or Assets), as everyone in America knows about. And Americans all said the same thing: how could the banks be so careless as to give money to people who didn't qualify?    

Answer: because of the massive amounts of bad publicity they would get if they were dragged through the mud for "institutional racism." If you remember the 1990s, you know what the zeitgeist was like.

Of course, no one blames the minorities; one blames Wall Street for jumping when the Clintons make a market.

More details: http://spectator.org/42211_true-origins-financial-crisis/  

So we know that a bunch of professors can use a published study to lay the groundwork for catastrophic policy.

This is much the same kind of study, designed to pat us on the head and say "there there, don't you worry about the immigrants", so that more immigrants can come into the country, compete for jobs and drive down the wage scale — and with it, your standard of living and purchasing power.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fx--jNQYNgA (Lou Dobbs)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kDMn6t-um74 (Americans lose their jobs, replaced by H1-B visa holders.) 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lL_fTICwFCA (College grads hurt economically because of H1-B) 

If the public's trust in the mainstream media is circling the drain, their trust in Ivy-League multicults is not far behind...

indio007's picture

Go back to lurking.

Liars loans weren't created by applicants, they were created by loan officers that were getting bonuses for volume.

JustPastPeacefield's picture

While loan officers might have been responsible for liar loans for their own greedy reasons, Mr. Lurker is correct that the feds pressured banks to lower standard for darkies long before that. You can read all about how banking standards began to collapse in T. Sowell's books. It started long before the crash of 2008. So, Mr. Lurker, please stick around and keep commenting.

indio007's picture

Go look at the actual loan applications i.e. loan level data from actual MBS's and stop readin books about them.