Marine Le Pen Takes "Huge Lead" In French Presidential Election Poll Just Days After Being Written Off

Tyler Durden's picture

The pollsters have done it again. Just four days after the Independent reported that pollsters said  Marine Le Pen has "next to no chance" of winning the French presidency...


... today we learned that contrary to previous polls, the leader of National Front leader Marine - the person whose surge in the past few years has been most equated to the French populist revolt that has taken place in the UK and US - has taken a commanding lead in the latest French presidential election poll.

As the Independent writes in "Marine Le Pen takes huge lead over nearest rival in new French presidential election poll", according to the latest, Nov. 20, Ipsos poll, Le Pen had 29% of the vote when pitted against Nicolas Sarkozy, who was eight points behind, and held a 15-point lead over the Parti de Gauche’s Jean-Luc Mélenchon in the poll released by Ipsos, which analysed five scenarios with different frontrunners.

The full IPSOS breakdown is as follows:

A similar result emerges from an IFOP poll released on November 17, according to which Le Pen has a 30 to 26 lead over (until recently) presidential frontrunner Alain Juppe, 28 to 18 lead over former president Sarkozy, and a 29 to 20 lead over Fillon.

In 2012, Le Pen came third in the first round of the French presidential race with 17.9% of the vote, behind Mr Sarkozy with 27.18% and eventual winner Mr Hollande with 28.63%. Four year later she is, as of this moment, an undisputed winner in all three head-to-head match ups.

The latest poll comes at the same time as Italian PM Matteo Renzi, who is almost assured to lose the constitutional referendum set to take place in two weeks on December 4, told his entourage this weekend that the government would fall if he loses Dec. 4 constitutional referendum, according to newspaper La Repubblica. “It’s very simple: if I lose the referendum this government falls. At that point we’ll see who is capable of reaching an agreement for another administration,” the paper cites Renzi as saying.

And so Europe is panicking again: the latest French polls are "likely to add to growing fears that the rise of global populism could see Ms Le Pen on course to clinch the French presidential win, in the wake of the UK’s Brexit vote and Donald Trump’s victory in the US election" according to the Independent, which adds that Le Pen's lead "came as leading French philosopher Bernard-Henri Levy warned people had lost interest in whether politicians tell the truth, in a development he said could set the National Front on course to occupy the Élysée Palace."

“The people listen less and less to policy and they even seem less concerned about whether the candidates are telling the truth or not.


“They are more interested in the performance, in the theatrical quality of what is said than whether it is true. And as we know, a fascist can put on a very successful performance.”

Here we beg to differ: it's not that people have lost interest in whether politicians tell the truth - it's the realization that politicians are always lying, so why not go with the one candidate who at least present a glimmer of hope of breaching the establishment. Confused? See president-elect Trump.

Indeed, “If Trump is possible, then everything is possible. Nothing, from now on, is unimaginable,” Mr Levy told The Telegraph.

Additionally, the very troubling - if only for the French and European establishment - polls also come as French conservatives vote on Sunday to choose their presidential nominee to face Ms Le Pen in the May election.

Of the seven candidates competing for position in the primaries, the three with a chance of winning include former president Mr Sarkozy and former prime ministers Francois Fillon and Alain Juppe. A second vote will be held next week to decide between the two frontrunners. Many "pro-status quo" are hoping Juppé - who is currently polling seven per cent ahead when pitted against Ms Le Pen in the latest Ipsos poll - wins the nomination.

Meanwhile, French Prime Minister Manuel Valls, who last week warned that "Europe is in danger of falling apart" unless Germany and France unleash a torrent of fiscal support for the people whom they ignored for years at the expense of propping up capital markets, said a Le Pen win next year could be “possible” and has warned of the danger of electing a far-right president.

For those unfamiliar, Le Pen has led the far-right National Front since 2011, when she succeeded her father Jean-Marie Le Pen, the party’s founder.  Since taking over the party, Ms Le Pen has made efforts to distance herself from her father’s openly nationalistic views, who has been convicted repeatedly for hate speech and contesting crimes against humanity. Just like Trump, critics have frequently branded Marine Le Pen a "fascist" and accused her of exploiting growing anti-immigration sentiment. 

Le Pen was among the first world leaders to congraulate Donald Trump on his victory two weeks ago, and said that "Americans have rejected the status quo" with their vote, an outcome she hopes to repeat in France.

The 48-year-old appeared on the BBC’s Andrew Marr Show on Remembrance Sunday, causing a crowd of Unite Against Fascism protesters to gather outside the BBC building.

The UK's Jeremy Corbyn, who also appeared on the show, told Marr: “She uses this populism against minorities in order to get herself elected.  The reality is she does not have an economic answer to the problems faced by the left behind communities in France any more than Ukip has an economic answer to the left behind communities in Britain."

Well, it's politics after all: one will do and say anything to get elected. In fact, the people's realization of precisely that is why Trump and Le Pen exist.

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
nuubee's picture

LOL, Fuck globalists in the ass with a barb-wire-wrapped baseball bat.

DogOfSinope's picture

French Republic never had a woman president.

Marine is breaking the glass ceiling.

Anyone who is against her is a misoginist, sexist bigot.

They hate her only because she has a vagina.

/* sarc off

macholatte's picture


Election is not till April 23, 2017 so there's time to rig the system.

Do they use Smartmatic voting machines in France?



Urban Redneck's picture

As of now, they don't need to rig the election, as the two headlines are not mutually exclusive.  Having the largest share of votes in the first round of the election is irrelevant, other than as a stepping stone to the second round, where every losing establishment will gang up as an alternative to the FN.  Rinse, Repeat.

Delving Eye's picture

The Pen is mightier than the Sark.

wildbad's picture

this was and is a no brainer.  she will win too despite the ongoing and continuing elitist attack on reality.


you go girl! 

Zarbo's picture

I've been to an election in France.  I went with friends who lived in a small suburb outside of Grenobile.  The whole town was there, including all the kids.  At the front of the room is a large, clear plastic box.  At the back of the room is a table with cards representing the candidates.  After being verified, each voter picks a card, walks to the front, places the ballot in the box through a slot in the top, witnessed by all those present.  The town mayor (I think) presided over the ballot box.

From the experience, I have a souvenir ballot card for Marine Le Pen.  

tmosley's picture

"LePen takes lead after being written off"

It's like they are incapable of learning.

DogOfSinope's picture

Of course they are incapable.

Government -> Corporatism -> MSM revolving doors, favoritism, cronyism and nepotism practically guaranteed that over years all will eventually be filled to the brim by only inbred imbeciles.

Bumpo's picture

I hope this plays out for the French. I just love watching Mario Dragi, Juncker and the whole NWO gang shit their pants. Still, I won't fully enjoy this until there is a Global Manhunt for George Soros, complete with 24/7 coverage and a $1,000,000,000 bounty to be paid directly from the Clinton Foundation. We will not rest until he is hunted down and analy raped with rebar, just like Qaddafi had to suffer.

FreedomGuy's picture

It's not just that. These elites live in echo chambers of virtual clones. They are self-congratulating, clearly superior people who are obviously destined to manage the rest of us; for our own good, of course. They know what is needed to reform healthcare, energy and bathroom accommodations having never worked in any of them..

They say things like, I did not even know a Trump/Le Pen supporter! No one was supporting him/her!

Their first reaction is not to question themselves but to assume there are more barely literate, unwashed, improperly indoctrinated, er, educated "masses" than they thought. Example, "There must be more racists than I thought!"

By the way, I freaking hate the term, "masses" unless you are talking about Catholic church services. We, people are not "masses". That's a Commie term and concept which allows a non-mass person, I.e., elite to take their natural place in life leading, herding and guiding the rest of us in the "mass".

A new Bastille Day may be coming.

I Feel a little Qeasy's picture

-"LePen takes lead after being written off"

It's like they are incapable of learning.


It's like they are incapable of telling the truth.

FIFY, your welcome.
monk27's picture

It's the Schrodinger news... well, sort of...

NoDebt's picture

Globalists are apparently the only people on the planet who never heard the story of what happens if you throw a frog in boiling wanter as opposed to slowly turning up the heat.

I guess they figured it was time to go for broke.  Nice try on their part, though.  I honestly thought they had us.  Guess not.

Can we start with the public executions soon?  You can't fuck up this bad and not expect there to be a backlash.


NoDebt's picture

They'll never be done trying.  Just like our job defending will never be done.  It's just I thought they had it sewn up this time.  Never more happy to be wrong.


FreedomGuy's picture

"A place where evil never sleeps."

-Elitist Mordor.

Orly's picture

She speaks "Bitch."


Griffin's picture

After the last parliament elections in Iceland on Oct 29th, women hold 30 seats of 63 in parliament.

The next prime minister will most likely be Katrin Jakobsdottir

Its not unlikely that half of the next govt will be women.

The Pirate party,  Birgitta Jonsdottir, could be a minister in the next govt.

Kirk2NCC1701's picture

What's French for "Luegenpresse"?

Dugald's picture


Well stone the flamin crows...the Frogs growing a pair....stunned, absolutely stunned...must be a hoax,

tell me its a hoax....

nightwish's picture

Here's the hoax - an idiot population who buy into the constant lies of the msm, end up hoodwinked and take out their frustrations on the silent majority who fairly and democratically vote in a candidate to office. 

The hoaxing sallys forth when the elite pay extremists to make life hell for the winner while the msm leverages their lies by portraying the protests as grassroots. The deceit never ends with our modern day media. 

The msm would be ripped to shreds if the majority of the population were intelligent, but unfortunately, most iq's reside around 100

and you have very smart people who benefit from the current corrupt system who completely forsake their integrity

GreatUncle's picture

Define a globalist ... not the fucking shit, oh lets love each other so we can drop national identities etc.

A FUCKING GLOBALIST WANTS FREE ACCESS TO RAPE AND PILLAGE EVERYTHING and it so happens national identitiy and ordinary natives have to be removed and done away with.

That means the removal of the voice of populations and a bought minority rule = dictatorship and tyranny everywhere.


Preferred option because there is nothing left for the globalists to get after!

Resistance Is Hope's picture

Very interesting thought. That option would get the globalist filth to back off. The final form of revenge by the downtrodden masses. Research the Samson option that Israel has. Even if it's a bluff, it is something even they have to fear. And if we put the fear of God in the black souls of the globalist demons, good. But perhaps they would not fear global annihilation?

Come to think of it, maybe the globalist elite actually consciously want to destroy everything and everyone...or, while they firstly want to dominate all life on earth, if they can't rule, their second option would be to annihilate everything. 

Perhaps the elites, if they ever were obviously going to lose and face trial, would destroy the planet with nukes, chemicals, and viruses. In which case they would not mind Ww3 in the least, and would cause it if things appeared to be getting out of control. They would then try to manage the chaos into power consolidation and would divide conquer their enemies at the same time.

Once you've seen the documents and interviewed the soldiers who were there, you realize causing wars is a cakewalk for the conspiracy. They will use world war 3 when and if it appears convenient to them.

Joebloinvestor's picture

Watch them roll out all the shit her dad did to use against her.

Frexit doesn't have much of a ring, but it sure would have an effect.

dexter_morgan's picture

perhaps, but seems that stuff doesn't work anymore :-)

Joebloinvestor's picture

The French "elite" will pander to this more then the issues.

All she has to do is show a picture of the shithole they have turned Paris into.

King Tut's picture
King Tut (not verified) Joebloinvestor Nov 20, 2016 1:47 PM

As far as she goes- I like her dad- that's about it

Akzed's picture

When I asked Le Pen to identify something from her childhood that formed her, she said, “20 kilos of dynamite.” In 1976, when she was 8, a bomb tore off the front of the family’s apartment building in Paris while they were asleep. “I realized politics could cost you your life,” she said flatly. As the daughters of a greatly reviled politician, she and her two sisters grew up in an atmosphere of fear and intimidation — taunted by other children and shunned by teachers. “Our childhood was marked by a sense of injustice concerning our father,” her sister Yann Marechal wrote me in an e-mail. “We were the victims of many forms of attack,” Le Pen told me, “of virulent press campaigns and a lot of reprobation from the elites. That forged my character, and it also strengthened me.”


She and her dad are such extremists that people blew up their apartment in the name of peace and love.

GreatUncle's picture

Whats the betting those that planted the bomb were the elite mercenaries? The kind of person that would shoot Vince Foster in the head twice to be sure.

Sir Raisin's picture

I thought Vince Foster did that to himself!

AlexCharting's picture

These cultural marxists are trying to hold back a tsunami.... they will fail BIG LEAGUE!

_ConanTheLibertarian_'s picture

"Fruck it we're out" sounds better

boattrash's picture

That news just restored my "morning wood".

max2205's picture

EU Market flash crash tonight?  Yippee 

PoasterToaster's picture
PoasterToaster (not verified) Nov 20, 2016 1:18 PM

Accusations of fascism and racism don't seem to be serving the power elite very well anymore.

Never One Roach's picture

They forgot to add homophobic, alt-right with connections to nazi groups.


LOL. The media fails to mention that ALL the violence --- beatings, shootings, stabbings, bombings, etc ---has come from the alt-left "liberals."

Kirk2NCC1701's picture

We're at the "Sticks & stones may hurt my bones, but mere words cannot hurt me" phase.


I suppose the update version would be "Bombs & Drones may hurt my bones, but mere words cannot hurt me"

CNONC's picture

Thus the new term "white nationalist."

GreatUncle's picture

Everybody has been called a fascist, racsit, xenophobe, homophobe, mysognist, ... all the way to deplorable and redeemable.


We not got the paedophile, socioparth, pychopath, meglomaniac, warmonger badges though ... you got to be in the 1% to get that badge.

General Titus's picture

The Anti-Kalergi Plan One Nation Party is doing well in Australia.  When her father was set to win, the fake "Right" joined with the Bolshevik left to wreck his path. They have done the same thing to real candidates in the US.

Globalist Liberal satanic Kalergi Plan to destroy Western Civilization

Magnum's picture

I hope Le Pen wins, but I have a question. After she wins, what election is next in Europe, and what anti-immigration politician has a good chance of being the next success story?

fbazzrea's picture

Italy votes Dec 4th on constitutional reform, primarily seen as a up/down vote on continued EU membership and use of the Euro.

Gentle-Giant's picture

15 March 2017 there is the Dutch (Netherlands) election with Geert Wilders having a good chance.

Kirk2NCC1701's picture

"Le Pen is mightier than the whored", I'd argue.