The Mother Of All Financial Bubbles: "This Is The Very Definition Of Unsustainable"

Tyler Durden's picture

Submitted by Chris Martenson via,

At, we pride ourselves on providing fact-based context to breaking important events. 

Within 72 hours of the Japan tsunami in 2011, we had analyzed the situation and concluded with high probability that three core meltdowns had occurred at the Fukushima nuclear plant. While it took years for officials to finally admit to the full extent of the crisis, history has validated our initial analysis.

How did we get it right? By using a science-based approach grounded in observation, deduction and a healthy skepticism of what the "experts" in charge claimed. We also went to great lengths to educate our readers about the science in play, explaining in detail how radioactivity and contamination differ, the health risks from such a nuclear accident, and what concerned folks could do to remain as safe as possible.

When California's authorities suddenly reversed course and scrambled to evacuate nearly 200,000 residents living downstream of the Oroville dam, within an hour, we had released an analysis of the situation, explaining the critical differences among the primary spillway, the main dam, and the auxiliary spillway.

Where mainstream media outlets were consumed by covering the Grammy’s, we were able to tweet and blog relevant details to the worried people hungry for information about the dam's integrity, keeping them both grounded and informed:

Oroville Dam tweet

By 10:00pm that same Sunday night of February 12th, we had shared a series of updates with schematics, images and conclusions that was more complete, accurate and hysteria-free than any other news source we could find at the time.

By the next morning, we had located and interviewed one of America's top dam experts, who provided an absolutely spectacular assessment of the situation at Oroville. That podcast has been listened to by nearly 50,000 people at this point, including residents of Oroville who have used its insights to determine whether or not to return home at this time.

And on top of all this, our own community began filling in the blanks with their expertise. One community member, an emergency worker deployed to the dam earlier this week, has been providing us with valuable insider information that state officials have resisted making public.

The reason I'm relating all of this now is because of the instructive lessons involved. It’s worth noting that communications from officials in Oroville transitioned from a steady, repeated stream of “Everything is fine. There's nothing to worry about” to suddenly “Run for your lives!” within an hour.

Of course, the 188,000 people living downstream from the dam were caught off guard by the mandatory evacuation order. Many left with none of their possessions, only to get hopelessly caught on clogged roads. It was a time of panic and disorder, with no one seemingly in control.

The main lesson from Oroville -- or Fukushima, or Katrina --  is that governments do a poor job of relating accurate information to their citizens when big threats are involved. Part of that is likely due to a desire to avoid stoking fear. Part probably due to politics and bureaucracy. And part probably due to plain old incompetence.

Regardless of the cause, it means that the public -- even the vigilant ones -- suffer information deficits when it matters most. Simply put, the authorities do not share all the facts necessary for making informed decisions.

Why is why our longstanding advice has been a straightforward call to 'trust yourself' when assessing crisis risk. In most cases, good old-fashioned common sense and a little sleuthing will get you far closer to the truth, and faster, than 99% of your peers who are relying on being told what’s happening by those in charge.

In most cases, the information you need to assess the truth will be right there, hiding in plain sight but always obvious in retrospect. This means it’s also available to you in real-time, providing you're willing to trust your own eyes and you know where to look.

Which brings us to one of the truly great risks we're facing today. One with much more destructive potential than a single failed dam but, like Oroville, one the authorities are desperate to keep us in the dark about.

The Mother Of All Financial Bubbles

We are now living through the mother of all financial bubbles. We've been living with it so long now that we have to take three giant steps backwards to even detect its broad outlines.

As a reminder, a bubble exists when asset prices rise beyond what incomes can sustain. Florida swampland in the 1920’s, tech stocks in the late 1990s, or Toronto real estate today -- all are fine examples of this.

The US government and the private banking cartel known as the Federal Reserve, in cahoots with a very compliant and complicit mainstream media, are doing everything in their vast and considerable power to convince us that we are living in an golden era of risk-free prosperity. And that tomorrow will be even better.

Now, regular readers of's reports will know there's a mountain of evidence contracting this. But it's critical to understand that this is the same public perception management style as we've recently seen at Oroville: Deny, deny, deny... and then finally admit the obvious.

So let’s take those three giant steps backwards and see if we can spot the flaw in the ‘everything is awesome!’ meme that the Fed et al are trying to paint for everyone by flooding the “markets” with so much thin-air liquidity (between $150-$200 billion a month) that nobody has any clue what anything is truly worth anymore.

Giant Step Backwards #1: Infinite growth is impossible.

This is such an easy concept that I'm continually surprised at how poorly appreciated it is and how much resistance it receives when raised. But it works like this: the earth is a sphere and therefore has a defined surface area and a defined amount of resources available for use.

The availability of these resources ranges across a spectrum from dense/concentrated on one end to dilute/useless at the other. Humans have already extracted and consumed most of the easily obtainable stuff. Now it gets harder.

Regardless of the economics of these resources, they are finite. And as our economic requires resources to function, if we want our economy to grow from here, that means consuming more resources at a faster rate then we have been. If resources are finite, then growth will one day prove finite, too.

This should be utterly, blindingly obvious to everyone. But it’s not, apparently. The Federal Reserve and the central banks in other nations are unified in their call for more economic growth, always and forever. That’s plan A. There is no plan B.

Giant step backwards #2: You can’t print your way to prosperity.

History is replete with the failed attempts of nations to print their way to prosperity. The pursuit operates on the same principle as alchemy: trying to get something for nothing. It has invariably and always ended the same way. In tears.

At first it, issuing more currency feels good because those closest to the money printing get stinking rich while doing practically nothing. As that trickles down, everybody initially feel smart and wealthier. Well, not everybody; but those running the system sure do.

After a while, though, all that feel-good activity is revealed as a fraud. It turns out prosperity wasn't printed, instead it was redistributed. From one party’s pocket into another. And in most cases, from poorer pockets into those of the already-privileged.

The same is happening today with the "thin air" money printing being conducted by the world's central banks. We are now living with one of the most extreme wealth gaps in US history, with the top 1% (really, the top 0.1%) owning a greater percentage of the nation's wealth than they ever have.

But it's even more nefarious than that, because the Fed is not simply stealing from today's public; it is also stealing the prosperity of future generations. When the party being stolen from hasn't been born yet, it can't fight back.

In short, you cannot print your way to prosperity. Yet somehow we've forgotten that. And we're dooming ourselves (and our children and grandchildren) to becoming serfs in the process.

Giant step backwards #3: You can’t grow your debts faster than your income forever.

This, too, should be completely obvious.  You know perfectly well it holds true for your personal life or your business, if you have one. And it’s equally true for a nation, which is simply an aggregation of individuals and businesses. But somehow this simple truth has been either forgotten or deliberately ignored by today's economists and politicians.

Our grand experiment in debt-based fiat currency -- unbacked by anything tangible, like gold -- began on August 15th, 1971 when Nixon unilaterally broke the Bretton Woods agreement and forced the entire world off of the gold standard. Not that the world minded much, because this then meant that politicians and monetary hacks everywhere could ignore centuries of economic lessons and begin making exorbitant promises by printing currency like mad. 

The giant step towards monetary (and debt) expansion this represented is clear to anybody who can read a chart.

Here’s the total credit market debt in the US. It has exploded higher at a near-perfect exponential rate since that fateful day in 1971:

Total US Debt chart

But what we really need to do is compare debt to income. Remember, you're not supposed to grow the former at faster rate than the latter. So let’s add (nominal) GDP to our chart and see what comes up:

Debt vs GDP chart

As you can see, those lines began diverging a long time ago (aha! Right around 1971. Imagine that.). They've been diverging at an increasing pace for prety much the entire adult lives of everybody in power. At this point, our leaders just assume “This is how the world works.”

“Reagan proved that deficits don’t matter

~ Vice President Dick Cheney

The little wiggle in the exponential curve there, during 2008-2009, was the wiggle that almost destroyed the world. Our entire system of credit and money came very close to full-scale collapse, simply because it didn't grow for a few brief years. Makes you shudder to think what would have happened had it acutally contracted...

But back to the main point. If we compare the beginning of this wanton debt-binge in 1970 with the state of things today:

Debt 40x chart

We see that debt has shot up by a factor of 40 while income has only increased by a factor of 17. We have indeed grown our debts wildly faster than our income over the past 45 years

And, it should be noted, a lot of that GDP ‘growth’ is the byproduct of borrowing and spending money we don’t have on things we don’t need. Said differently: the debts will remain during any serious future economic downturn but the GDP that is fraudulently based on excessive rates of borrowing will vaporize as if it never existed in the first place.

That, my friends, right there is the very definition of unsustainable.

If something cannot go on, it won’t.

But the Federal Reserve, under the leadership of a pure academic like Janet Yellen, cannot conceive of any approach other than perpetuation of the same system that has been in place while she's built her career. 


The Fed is desperately seeking to keep the status quo in place, praying that somehow things turn out OK, and clearly scared to death behind the scenes. But, just like the officials at Oroville, when the cameras are on her, Yellen smiles and tells us that all is well.

The Fed has printed as much money as it has dared for the time being. It has since handed the baton over the ECB, and the Bank of Japan, who have stepped in to keep the wheels of the world's debt production well-greased.

Around and around the baton gets passed. And we're told by our government and media that this is all in our best interests. However, the only thing these central banks are truly doing is stealing from savers and the elderly today, and pretty much everyone tomorrow. 

What have they done with the trillions in "thin air" currency they have printed up? They handed them to the big banks, to speculators and the already wealthy. Which should come as little surprise. These are the people they count on for their high-status jobs, as well as the big payouts awaiting them when they return to the private sector.

In the meantime, they’ve blown the Mother Of All Financial Bubbles.

This is primarily a bubble in debt (i.e., the bond market). But in its making, new bubbles in real estate, stocks and a whole slew of other asset classes were created.

When these bubbles burst, and they must, it will be a massively destructive event. There will literally be nowhere to hide from the repercussions.

You simply cannot count on anyone in power giving you anything like timely warning or useful advice in advance. You need to find accurate, trustworthy indicators on your own, and then decide how you're going to position yourself, your loved ones, and your wealth accordingly.

In Part 2: How Bad Will It Get? we detail the tremendous scale of the losses that will result when this Mother Of All Financial Bubbles bursts. It will be a traumatizing time for society, and many, many people will see their wealth vaporize.

The key objective at this time is to position yourself for physical and financial safety. For those who do will be in a position to prosper greatly, as well as offer much-needed support to others, when the coming reset arrives.

Click here to read Part 2 of this report (free executive summary, enrollment required for full access)


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LawsofPhysics's picture


Remember, all animals are created equal, it's just that some animals are "more equal" than others...


"Full faith and credit"...

BullyBearish's picture

Thnk about long as their intention is to march ever onward to WAR, what the hell difference does the DEBT make?

DeathMerchant's picture

Thanks for that, very informative for those of us who never really understood or once did and have forgotten.

mind reset's picture
mind reset (not verified) DeathMerchant Feb 18, 2017 5:37 PM

I'm making over $7k a month working part time. I kept hearing other people tell me how much money they can make online so I decided to look into it. Well, it was all true and has totally changed my life. This is what I do...

Trolly McTrollface's picture

War...the ultimate distraction. Reset. Less people. Lots of work albeit low wage. When you're hungry you'll work for a slice of bread. Too bad it has to end this way but I guess we are destined to repeat history whether we know it or not. I'm stocking up on toilet paper. Laugh all you want :)

The Saint's picture

Just use a pine bough.  You'll smell better, Too.  ;-)


Consuelo's picture







"Click here to read Part 2 of this report (free executive summary, $$$enrollment required for full access)"

HRClinton's picture

Martensen, the Fed and its owners can stay solvent, warm, dry and fed longer than you can, or your clients.

LawsofPhysics's picture

Guess we will find out....

No doubt, the "let the majority eat cake" monetary experiment rolls on!

BigCumulusClouds's picture

No they can't. Those folks don't have any skills.

macholatte's picture


They have all the skills they need....... they have you paying their bills.


ronaldwilsonreagan's picture

Orangey Laughingstock will save us :)

stocker84's picture

Maybe he can, maybe he can't.... That lying cunt Hillary Clinton couldn't have helped us. In fact, she would have made things much much worse.

TheTruthAddict's picture

I will clear that for you, he can`t. I was rooting for Trump on election day, not because I thought he will be good as president but because Bernie lost and I cannot stand Shillary and her establishment hacks. I wonder how anyone in the right mind believed Trump will bring the change after he become president and especially now after he picked his cabinate (it seems like he went to Goldman Sacks to choose it). Yeah, Trump will probably bring some change, something will be good, something bad but in general things will stay the same or even worse. Obama sucks. Hillary sucks. Janet Yellen sucks. Trump is uneducated unstable narcissistic manchild and he sucks too.

DeathMerchant's picture

He will for sure but it will be difficult because of the need to clean up the mess that Obamutang left.

Wulfkind's picture

YES...YES.....The self proclaimed "KING OF DEBT" will save us.

Oh come....Lord High Maximus Orange Julius ( May His Name Be Praised Forever ) come and save us !


LOL !!!!

Davy Crockett's picture

Nobody can save us.  The situation is not salvageable.  But what can be done is to not make it worse, by shedding as many illegals as possible, and avoiding importing more jihadists and jihadist sympathizers.  What can also be done is attempt to get some sort of manufacturing base set back up, not to dig us out from this situation, which is not salvageable, but instead, to begin to lay the foundation for the rebuilding to occur after.

As for you and your fellow trolls.  I think you won't survive what is to come.  That makes me smile.


Trolly McTrollface's picture

I have a hill to run to and lots of friends that know how to fish, hunt and garden. I have a mountain of toilet paper to trade for food. That's one thing they can't make :)

JohnGaltUk's picture

What is about to happen to us was set in motion back in the 90s.

Nexus789's picture

Earlier than that and with the rise of consumerism.and Edward Bernsys. Once we moved from the notion of utility in goods to a throw away society civilization collapse became inevitable. .Consumerism has also fueled population growth. 

Umlott von Dweiseldorff's picture

I agree 100%.  I think Trump will try to engineer a methodical bankruptcy of America if thats possible.  I think he will let some pretty sever inflation come in to pay as much as the debt we can in inflated dollars, then deal with whats left over.  This is where a great negotiator comes in play.  This is why I specifically voted for Trump.  We can not morally pass on this debt to our kids and grandkids.  America became complacent and drunk on the good life.  We should only pay for that.  Not our future.

BigCumulusClouds's picture

Dick Cheney : "Ronald Reagan proved that deficits dont matter ". Well there Dick "911 traitor" Cheney they don't until they do.

Mustafa Kemal's picture

Of course Dick Cheney thinks deficits dont matter. They correspond with Halliburton warmaking profits. Nice work for a VP.

skbull44's picture

Infinite growth on a finite planet, what could possibly go wrong?

skbull44's picture

Or not enough...that would be really shitty!

Vegetius's picture

Indeed the question is and this is the only question? - When?

This is the only question to ask because when it blows the world will change beyond our present easy life to a brutal short existence.

We reached the point of no return financially years ago, politically it was Brexit that started the big unraveling of the New Order.

What to do easy own land guns, gold and have friends and family because when it all goes sideways it will not be pretty, but it will be amusing to see so many important people kick their heels on the gibbet.

Soul Glow's picture

It's different this time.  Because Krugman.

koan's picture

Put your money in bullets and gold.

besnook's picture

there are two solutions and they are not mutually exclusive. one is inflation. a 30% shot of inflation in a short period can out run the debt for a short time but the key is rising wages to match the inflation.

the other, most likely solution, is a huge capacity destruction event, war, that destroys labor, infrastructure, and capital(of th enemy, hopefully) so the game can reset and start again probably with new currencies all around.

Not My Real Name's picture

Eventually, they are going to resort to the ultimate solution: revalue gold. 

The question is, will they ensure it is done in an orderly fashion before the collapse -- or will they simply wait for the house of cards to come crashing down and do it admist the ensuing chaos.

PlayMoney's picture

To do it in an orderly fashion they would be admitting their ZIRP/printing fiasco didn't work. They let it crash for sure so they can find others to blame......then claim they saved the world by revaluing gold.

besnook's picture

that's why i think inflation is needed to destroy the current currency and debt. once the currencies are destroyed a new gold/commodity based system can be installed. i think they wait until after the capacity destruction is finished so they have a base line.

Sorry_about_Dresden's picture

It must be a silver based currency implicitly backed by US gold reserve. The Treasury can sell enough gold, have silver notes redeemable in silver on demand, for enough silver on hand to meet demand of anyone wanting physical.

Congress will need to pass legislation prohibiting leverage in excess of, say 15 US Silver notes, per ounce of silver.

Repudiate only UST debt held on FRB balance sheet, and debt held in Caymens and Ireland. Give everyone else expect, social security trust fund, 75% haircut. Give them silver if they ask. That will reduce UST debt.

We give Congress haircut, imposed term limit to 2 terms. Send everyone working at Langley and NSA to Gitmo.

If they resist break out guillotines, let heads roll. Return to semi-agrarian economic base and secure borders, kick Manhattan out of  Union, make them pay for their own excess. Make Manhattan ghetto for you know who! Build biodiesel plant on West Park Avenue and make fuel out of billionaires.

Sorry_about_Dresden's picture

By confiscation of gold from private hands, then massive devaluation of USD.

Anopheles's picture

You can't simply "revalue gold".   If you declare your gold is now valued at $10,000/oz, then you must be willing to buy/trade it for that value.   Will YOU PAY $10,000/oz for gold?   What if someone is willing to sell theirs for less?   To impose a value on anything, you have to control the ENTIRE MARKET, or be willing to pay up to your desired value to buy every oz offered for sale.   


In fact, in a worldwide economic meltdown, the revalue will be a DROP in the value of gold.   Gold is a LUXURY commodity.   That's why 60% of annual gold production goes into jewelry, the very definition of a luxury.  If nobody has any money, why are they going to be BUYING gold? 

besnook's picture

you don't understand gold as a store of value, the only reliable store of value for the last 5000 years, with silver being a reliable substitute. that has been the monetary way of the world. it will not change, even with bitcoin(which is just a medium of exchange and not a store of value.

Weirdly's picture

I store value in bitcoin.  

besnook's picture

bitcoin is not a store of value. it is a medium of exchange, a currency.

techpriest's picture

Has fonestar/Dreybin returned???

Mustafa Kemal's picture

"Gold is a LUXURY commodity. "

Not for us. We dont care how perty it is

SunRise's picture

When there's an "economic meltdown"; such as Zimbabwe, then Zimbabwe Dollars will not fair well against any real asset, including gold, silver, whatever.  


Gold Price As of 2/18/2017:  

446,881.16 Zimbabwe Dollar (ZWD) 

1,234.82 U.S. Dollar (USD)