'Out Of The Blue', March Rate Hike Odds Soar To Cycle Highs

Tyler Durden's picture

Having drifted flat for weeks at around a 1-in-3 chance - despite endless jawboning from The Fed - March rate hike odds suddenly surged higher today (to up to a 50% probability), or as Reuters put it "out of the blue."

Dallas Fed's Kaplan said this morning that a rate increase should happen sooner than later, adding that "[The Fed] wants to prevent a situation where we fall behind the curve." As Reuters notes this is entirely consistent with his and colleagues' recent comments, but somehow strikes a chord on otherwise uneventful day.

It seems the Fed Funds futures market suddenly decided to catch up to stocks?

On very heavy volume.

Did someone get the nod today? Another Fed leak?

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NugginFuts's picture

WTF?!?!?! Who just arbitrarily jacks up the odds in order to squeeze everyone out of their well positioned trades?

Oh. Wait. Dumb question. Never mind. 

Soul Glow's picture

The debt ceiling comes into play the day the Fed will announce whether they are hiking rates.  It is a dangerous time for the Fed Reserve banks and their Frankenstein monster minions.  These banks have played with fire long enough and are setting fire to a house, built on sand mind you, and when the house catches ablaze their will be no place to run for anyone caught on the long side of stocks and bonds.  This is why now it is important for us to strike the bankers where their armor is bare.

Now is the time to go into the physical silver market and take the real money back.  Please join me in buying silver dimes, for this is a finite market that can never be reminted.  We take the dimes off the shelf and we create a panic with investors but also show the fiat ponzi they can not control all market aspects.  Sure they can short the comex, the futures, sure they can short the miners, thus controlling "price", but when we take the dimes of the shelf it will be a force majeure to the trading houses that just because we live in a digital age of algos,it doesn't mean all assets can be controlled.

So please from now until March 15th, please join me in a collective sweep of dimes off the shelves.  Let's take the inventory back.  If you are already a silver buyer this is right up your ally.  If you are a gold buyer then you can afford a few rolls of dimes.  If you buy bitcoin for the same reason as we buy precious metal - to take your fiat out of the system - please join us and have some dimes.  


Logan 5's picture
Logan 5 (not verified) Soul Glow Feb 27, 2017 3:20 PM

Julius Caesar: 'The Ides of March have come'

Artimadorus: 'Aye Caesar ~ but not gone'




March comes in like a LYIN' (FED)... But goes out like a (Passover) LAMB...


2000+ year old wisdom ~ take your pick

BaBaBouy's picture

SOMEONE Has To Get GOLD Under Cunt-troll...

Bryan's picture

What is buying silver dimes supposed to accomplish?

Soul Glow's picture

When the news hits that dealers are having trouble getting dimes delivered it will spook the markets.  It is also a warning shot to the banksters that they can't control all the markets.  I'm not saying this is what will bring the market down.  What will bring the market down is a failure to deliver a large amount of gold, but while we are waiting for that let's keep firing at the banksters.

shizzledizzle's picture

I don't argue that silver is a good investment but I don't get the fixation of pre 64 coinage. It's 90% and people pay hefty premiums over 99.999 fine bullion. 

newmacroman's picture

March of Dimes

How original

business as stusual's picture

The odds are not being arbitarily jacked up. The "Swamp Creatures" are just now coming to the realization that the debt ceiling is a hard stop. 20 trillion and no higher as written by current law. (Obummer and Bonner) Check out David Stockman's last video, it will provide all of the upleaseant clarity you may or may not desire.

Soul Glow's picture

Fuck the Fed.  They lie.

buzzsaw99's picture

i sold at 20 no effin way i'm buying back in now.

Soul Glow's picture

Trade the markets how you want.  You and I both know you are talented at it. Buy a roll of silver dimes to help out a cause.  Put 'em on your mantle or throw them in the shoebox you keep your gold.  EIther way, every dime taken out of circ will help.

buzzsaw99's picture

okay, that i can get behind.

TheRideNeverEnds's picture

S&P should be through 2500 by march expiration.

trouba z ceska's picture

Indeed! Banks' stocks rally

Hammer823's picture

Just remember, rate hikes are now a "good" thing".

Just as Trump suddenly became a "good" thing for the markets.

Just like everything has to be "good" for the markets.

Stocks have to go up to sustain every government budget, retirement account and the economy in general.



buzzsaw99's picture

you bitchez better sell your gold and buy some FAG stocks before you lose it all. /s

NoDebt's picture

Everyone is rushing to safe haven assets like Amazon, Facebook, and Netflix.


buzzsaw99's picture

damn straight. buy some gay negro stocks while you're at it.

NoDebt's picture

Gay negro stocks have been on my accumulate list for months now.  I think I got all my bases covered here.

NoDebt's picture

I own Borg Warner too, so I'm good on trannys.


odatruf's picture

More of a Nash guy myself. Two speeds: low and go!


knukles's picture

She meant the ones with the "other" sticks.

Your Zen for the Day;  A wise man once said that any prepper worth his salt would always have at least 10 fully charged vape pens on hand.

Stormtrooper's picture

Hey knukles, I didn't think about that for a barter stash!  Got the food and liquor (and of course adequate means to protect it) but now I need to build a stash of smoking products to round out my payment methods.  How do you preserve tobacco (and maybe the wacky tobacky kind)?  Gotta get busy, this adds a whole new dimension of complexity to the term prepping.

Consuelo's picture



 What about the Unborn whales...?

kahplunk's picture

Now you made me spit my coffee

actionjacksonbrownie's picture

Looks like the memo went out at noon today. That is when tptb put the brakes on the Gold ascent.

business as stusual's picture

Very temporary, wait till March 15th.




IntercoursetheEU's picture

50%, very actionable info, thanks! Maybe we'll break 1% someday

NoDebt's picture

Few years back I bet Dr. Engali we would be at 1% on the Fed Funds rate by the end of 2016.  HAH!  Holy shit did I lose bigtime on that one!  I paid up a year early.  It was obvious we weren't going to get there in time.


Rainman's picture

Moar record highs cuz everybody knows higher interest rates is good for stawks...!!

GlassHouse101's picture

The Fed understands that the markets are NOT the economy, right??

SomethingSomethingDarkSide's picture

Rate Hike Odds are the new Whipping Boy, they needed something to roast shorts since VIX is now broken.

AR15AU's picture

this is nothing but a parlour trick to wash out the plebs who got in to JNUG.

you could see today they started selling JNUG at the open when gold and silver were up. then they continue selling and start pushing the metals down by a penny at a time, but keep selling. Finally they get gold down about $1 and have taken 30% off of JNUG. next they come out with some fed blather and justify getting JNUG down 100% on the day.


in case anyone is wondering, this is being done by the chinese and european governments. they are using their central bank money to make uneconomical trades in JNUG just to hurt right wing types. don't be stupid and don't play in the JNUG is the rule. silver doctors is nothing but a chinese / european sock puppet site designed for controlled opposition.


buy gold and silver. buy silver physically. never bank with any bank in the federal reserve system, and never do any business with china or europe, the sworn enemies of the right and enemies of freedom and humanity. 


my friends, we are under attack by the white-hating europeans and by the chinese. buy all the silver you can right now.

SomethingSomethingDarkSide's picture

I hear you, but personally know more people that will accept dollars over gold. So, realistically, I'm sticking with JNUG.  Buying weekly, more on days like today.

Yen Cross's picture

  I thought higher rates were good for gold and silver?  The paper smashers are at it again.

Yen Cross's picture

dup. Tyler you need to fix your site. The comment load times are ridiculous.

chosen's picture

The last government CPI was very high, which means real inflation must be massive.

Justin Case's picture

Rising oil prices tend to do that.

Publicus's picture

Another insider trading, execute them.