Dutch General Election Results: Prime Minister Rutte Wins, Wilders' Freedom Party Slides

Tyler Durden's picture

Summary of the latest developments, courtesy of Bloomberg:

  • Prime Minister Mark Rutte's Liberals are the evening's big winners: they're set to take 31 of parliament's 150 seats
  • That's a blow to the populist Freedom Party of Geert Wilders, which fared less well than projections, putting the party in a fight for second place
  • Rutte's coalition partner Labor, which suffered a historic drop, is off to "lick its wounds", says party leader Lodewijk Asscher, after a drubbing
  • There's a battle for second place among the Freedom Party, the Christian Democrats and D66
  • The euro rose to a one-month high, as traders are seeing political risk in Europe receding after Wilders's poor showing
  • What's next? Now we await for the actual results, which as Bloomberg adds, will be done by hand to avoid any chance of hacking.

* * *

Update: 5:45pm: More relieved establishment Europeans chime in.

  • Italian Prime Minister, Paolo Gentiloni, who tweeted "No Nexit. The anti-EU party lost the election in Netherlands. Let's work together for changing and relaunching EU", while
  • Scotland's Nicola Sturgeon was brief in her response to the exit polls. Reacting to a post from The Scotsman on Twitter showing Wilders's defeat, Sturgeon had only one word to say: "Good."
  • Luxembourg's prime minister, Xavier Bettel, was among first to tweet congratulations: "#populism didn't pay off. Congrats to my liberal @ALDEParty friends @MinPres for staying strongest party & @APechtold for the good resultsXB"
  • Martin Schulz, the resurgent new leaders of the German Social Democrats was quick to rub salt in Wilders' loss: "Wilders couldn't have won the Dutch vote. I'm relieved, but we must continue to fight for a open and free Europe.""
  • Naturally, Jean Claude Juncker was also there to take delight in Rutte's failure:".@JunckerEU just spoke with @markrutte, congratulated him on clear victory: "A vote for Europe, a vote against extremists". #DutchElections"

* * *

Update 4:45pm. According to Bloomberg, citing Pollster Maurice de Hond, one possible coalition of "most likely" parties includes: Liberals, D66, Christian Democrats and Christian Union. Nonetheless, Bloomberg also notes that while the Dutch may be first of the big three planned elections this year, but that doesn't mean they'll be first to have a government.

"Dutch coalitions are infamous for the length of time they take to form. The average has taken 72 days since World War II. The longest was 208 days -- a span that would take us past the German vote in September."

* * *

In a setback for Dutch firebrand Geert Wilders, and perhaps the entire European populist movement, the first Dutch exit polls from today's general election which resulted in a record 82% turnout, are out and his PVV, or Freedom Party, has only won 19 seats, tied with the Christian Democrats and Democrats 66 party, both of which also got 19 seats; the outcome is in line with polls that were predicting a sharp drop off in support for Wilders in recent days. The result will likely be a disappointment for Wilder whose Freedom Party took 24 seats in 2010. As for the winner: prime minister Mark Rutte's VVD, or Liberal Party, with 31 seats.

As Bloomberg puts it, Rutte's major victory is the result of "voters responding to Rutte’s plea to send a signal on halting the spread of populism." However it also warns that amid high turnout, Dutch TV is now warning that some voting booths are still open, meaning we have a long night ahead of us. That also means the next exit poll might not be as "definitive" as it could have been.

Another note: the biggest loser is the Labor Party of Jeroen Dijsselbloem, which isis headed for its worst result ever at just nine seats, compared to at least 23 in its previous worst showings. According to Dutch TV, this is the biggest slump in the vote for any party in Dutch election history, and reminiscent of what happened to the Liberal Democrats in Britain in 2015 according to Bloomberg.

The result, at least sarcastically, is that the Eurogroup may need a new leaders soon:

* * *

Geert Wilders promptly took to Twitter, thanking his voters and warning Rutte that he "is not rid of me yet"

While we await more definitive results, here are the exit poll results in context, and how they compare to the 2012 election, according to IPSOS.

The seat projection based on the IPSOS exit poll reveals that four parties will be necessary for forming a government:

The full  breakdown of the 13 parties that will comprise the new parliament:

  • VVD (Liberal Party, Prime Minister Mark Rutte) recieves 31 seats, compares with 41 seats in 2012 elections
  • PvdA (Labor Party, Lodewijk Asscher) recieves 9 seats, Labor took 38 seats in 2012 elections. The party is current government partner with Liberal Party
  • PVV (Freedom Party, Geert Wilders) recieves 19 seats, Compares with 15 seats in 2012 elections
  • SP (Socialist Party, Emile Roemer) recieves 14 seats, Compares with 15 seats in 2012 elections
  • CDA (Christian Democrats, Sybrand Buma) recieves 19 seats, Compares with 13 seats in 2012 elections
  • D66 (Democrats 66, Alexander Pechtold) recieves 19 seats, Compares with 12 seats in 2012 elections
  • CU (Christian Union, Gert-Jan Segers) recieves 6 seats, Compares with 5 seats in 2012 elections
  • GL (Green Party, Jesse Klaver) recieves 16 seats, Compares with 4 seats in 2012 elections
  • SGP (Reformed Party, Kees van der Staaij) recieves 3 seats
  • PvdD (Party for the Animals, Marianne Thieme) recieves 5 seats
  • 50+ (50 Plus Party, Henk Krol) recieves 4 seats
  • Denk recieves 3 seats
  • Forum for Democracy gets 2 seats

According to the results, at least four parties will be required to make a majority in parliament, although it is now certain that, as expected, Wilders will now have no voice in whatever final coalition is formed.

In comments following the exit poll, Deutsche Bank FX analyst Sebastien Galy writes that with the Freedom Party’s tally seen by the Dutch exit poll on the low side, this will be seen as reducing the risk premium attached to the risk of France leaving the euro zone, as a result the Euro is likely poised for further gains, and indeed at last check the EURUSD was rising to session highs, now up 1.2% on the session to 1.0736.

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Looney's picture

 

Hey Rutte, put all of your 31 seats DOWN!  ;-)

Looney

BaBaBouy's picture

ERDOGAN Thanks The Dutch Sheeple ...

froze25's picture

OK now let invasion continue and que up some terror attacks while your at it arrest some white guys for complaining that their daughter was gang raped. At the least they picked up some seats. Lets see if the exit polls are accurate or not.

Chris Dakota's picture
Chris Dakota (not verified) froze25 Mar 15, 2017 3:35 PM

Europe is dead.

Europe is insane.

too bad you stupid shits

Countrybunkererd's picture

likely but wait until the working taxpayers get counted too, since they were at work all day they are later.  and these are exit polls.

Delving Eye's picture

Their exit polls are way better than ours.

Countrybunkererd's picture

in ameriKa, everything is "good enough"  I just keep thinking they had "extra ballots printed" and can't help wonder...

LowerSlowerDelaware_LSD's picture
LowerSlowerDelaware_LSD (not verified) Countrybunkererd Mar 15, 2017 3:50 PM

Mohammed wins another one!...

Motasaurus's picture

There's not a vote in Europe you can trust after Austria's presidential election.
Round 1: Major vote rigging to the tune of 60 000 fraudulent votes.
Round 2: Person who received 60 000 fraudulent votes is claimed the winer by 100 000 votes, supposedly claiming an extra 160 000 votes after being proven to have had the first one rigged in his favour.

Democracy is dead. 

New World Chaos's picture

Vote with a bullet

Oops, only Muslim-Europeans and CIA agents can do that.

Stupid fucking cucks

Euro-fags: Go drink a pumpkin-spiced soymilk latte while Mohammed fucks your kid (if you have one)

NidStyles's picture

You faggots thought you would be able to vote your way out of this invasion.

 

The fucking Jews own the governments, they do because post-WW2 they are the ones that created them. They created them so they could destroy Europe.

 

How dense do you morons have to be to not understand the situation the way it is?

Boris Alatovkrap's picture

Cheer up Geert! Adolf is only win 30% of vote circa 1928, but by 1932 so many reichstag seat is critical to Hindenberg so he is make Chancelor, and by 1933 is supreme leader! You too can have Eagle Nest in high mountain top!

Son of Loki's picture

isis celebrates their victory in Dutch Land!

American Psycho's picture

Boris, you always know exactly what to say.  Cheers!

espirit's picture

If you like your Muzzies, you can keep your Muzzies.

AldousHuxley's picture

What's Party for the Animals ?

 

Wilders gained, pro-immigration parties lost seats.

 

So wilders lost the battle but won the war?

100pcDredge's picture

Um... https://pbs.twimg.com/media/A3EsWwcCUAAaZ-7.jpg yeah... well... it's a... jesus... what do you think it is?

Got The Wrong No's picture

The establishment has underestimated the populist movement up to this point. It appears they may have gotten the vote rigging right this time. I know Hillary won't make that mistake again. 

8774_44887's picture
8774_44887 (not verified) Got The Wrong No Mar 15, 2017 4:57 PM

I'm making over $7k a month working part time. I kept hearing other people tell me how much money they can make online so I decided to look into it. Well, it was all true and has totally changed my life. This is what I do... http://bit.ly/2jdTzrM

bamawatson's picture

eric holder is a coward
vote chelsea 2020

unsafe-space-time's picture

What did you expect? EU is very openminded and very pro anal-rape.

Vigilante's picture

Dammit...we should be raping the muds not the other way around!

Takemine2go's picture

So what's the next move? Is it going to take a massive slaughter of 10k  people to wake Europe up? 

Kassandra's picture

I am truly grateful I saw Europe in the 80's. It was still there.

SafelyGraze's picture

this is a great victory for swarte piet

regards,
swarte piet 

vato poco's picture

just keep right on comin', Geert. tell your supporters and the Dutch people that you ain't no ways tired, ignore the gleeful media shrieking like monkeys at a shit-flinging party, and go right back to teaching your countrymen to open their eyes. sooner or later, even despite the combined power & wealth of the elites who despise you, your message will break through and you'll win. see: Brexit, Trump, etc. 

froze25's picture

Can they have gun clubs there? If so they can start a community outreach to get people to join them.

GUS100CORRINA's picture

These are exit pole results, not final counts correct? 

Sumething does not feel right with these results. Results should be the other way around. 

I hate to make this observations, but DUTCH may be looking at a very turbulent political environment in the days ahead. The DEEP STATE appears to be messing with the DUTCH election.

 

P-51 Stiletto's picture

Real results expected to be announced midnight local Dutch(Nederlander) time, about 4 hours from now. (GMT +1).

cheech_wizard's picture

It was the Russians. 

After all, why the fuck should they care if Europe collapses into chaos...

The NATO troops will all get recalled to their perspective countries.

Standard Disclaimer: Shit, it could be the truth...even though I just made it up in the time it took to type this.

GUS100CORRINA's picture

Based on voter interviews, my expectation was that results for #1 and #2 would have been closer.

The DUTCH have a long history of supporting freedom and liberty. They are a brave, peace loving people full of a love for life.

My understanding is that it takes four parties to manage the government. So we might see some parties link up with PPV on critical issues like immigration and education.

What an interesting year 2017 is turning out to be.

 

Vageling's picture

Who the fuck is swarte piet? Fuck off you South African fucking raycist negro loser. Learn to spell for starters... Secondly! Stay the fuck out of other peoples interior business! Thirdly! We should pull every plug of money we throw in that bottomless put. So you can put your dictators in fancy clothes and blame it on whitey. Seriously! You don't matter. 

New World Chaos's picture

Party for Animals wins 5 seats.  Europeans really have their priorities straight.

Is that a catlady party, a pro-Somali party, or both?  Did the Muslims promise to "love" animals once they become the majority?

greenskeeper carl's picture

Baha'i had a similar thought, the 'animal party' defnitely won. There will be many more animals in the Netherlands now, that's for sure.

Troy Ounce's picture

 

 

"Party for the Animals"...cringe...

Only in the Netherlands, spoiled to the hilt, their little world consists of the run to the shop and a TV. Some people say they are worse than the Swedish!

chubbar's picture

So the media would like us to believe that the Dutch people, the average joe, votes to bring in more north african muslims to rape and kill them and pretty much destroy their culture/traditions. Yeah, that's what I thought. Fucking deep state wins again.

I woke up's picture

Geert Wilders and David Brock could be brother's

P-51 Stiletto's picture

Yeah right, the Yin/Yang brothers, one good, and one evil.

 

Doom Porn Star's picture

Fuck the exit pols.

STFU & count the goddamned ballots.

Freddie's picture

Rigged.   The Dutch govt murdered Pim Fortyun.   They gave his murderer parole after just over 10 years or so.

Fisherman Blue's picture

According to Sharia law:

• Theft is punishable by amputation of the right hand (above).
• Criticizing or denying any part of the Quran is punishable by death.
• Criticizing Muhammad or denying that he is a prophet is punishable by death.
• Criticizing or denying Allah is punishable by death (see Allah moon god).
• A Muslim who becomes a non-Muslim is punishable by death (compulsion in religion).
• A non-Muslim who leads a Muslim away from Islam is punishable by death.
• A non-Muslim man who marries a Muslim woman is punishable by death.
• A man can marry an infant girl and consummate the marriage when she is 9 years old.
• Girls' clitoris should be cut (Muhammad's words, Book 41, Kitab Al-Adab, Hadith 5251).
• A woman can have 1 husband, who can have up to 4 wives; Muhammad can have more.
• A man can beat his wife for insubordination (see Religion of Peace).
• A man can unilaterally divorce his wife; a woman needs her husband's consent to divorce.
• A divorced wife loses custody of all children over 6 years of age or when they exceed it.
• Testimonies of four male witnesses are required to prove rape against a woman.
• A woman who has been raped cannot testify in court against her rapist(s).
• A woman's testimony in court, allowed in property cases, carries ½ the weight of a man's.
• A female heir inherits half of what a male heir inherits (see Errors in Quran).
• A woman cannot drive a car, as it leads to fitnah (upheaval).
• A woman cannot speak alone to a man who is not her husband or relative.
• Meat to eat must come from animals that have been sacrificed to Allah - i.e., be "Halal".
• Muslims should engage in Taqiyya and lie to non-Muslims to advance Islam.
• The list goes on. See Sharia law in America, UK, Europe and Saudi Arab