Marine Le Pen's Perfect Storm

Tyler Durden's picture

Authored by Matt Purple via The Strategic Culture Foundation,

Polls missed the last two nationalist tremors; they may miss a third

Think of François Fillon as a more polished and experienced Ted Cruz. He might have been president of France until everything came crashing down.

Fillon is a former French prime minister and admirer of Margaret Thatcher whose libertarian-influenced agenda includes a pledge to ax half a million civil service jobs. He was initially dismissed as an also-ran in the center-right Les Républicains presidential primary, up against the seasoned Nicolas Sarkozy and the moderate Alain Juppé. Instead, Fillon thrashed them both, and polls showed him an early favorite for the French presidency, backed by energized conservatives and the Catholic Right. Eschewing first-past-the-post, France holds a runoff election between its top two finishing presidential candidates if neither secures a majority, and forecasts last year showed the finalists would be Fillon and the National Front’s Marine Le Pen. It was to be a rumble on the right, and Fillon was predicted to win in a rout as French leftists and centrists clothespinned their noses and voted to block the radioactive Le Pen.

Or at least, that’s what was supposed to happen. Instead, Fillon was quickly submerged in controversy as it came out that he’d funneled 900,000 euros in public money to his family, a scandal that became known as “Penelopegate” after his implicated wife. An investigation was launched and Fillon’s poll numbers sagged into third place, drawing an intervention from the omnipresent Sarkozy and whispers that Juppé might take over as nominee. But Juppé ultimately declined to run, cognizant of being a moderate beached in a year of fury, and Fillon remained defiant. He would only step down, an aide said, if a planned rally last Sunday turned out to be a dud. Lo and behold, tens of thousands of conservative faithful turned out, and he limped onwards.

France’s political dichotomy has thus been plunged into the unknown. The major parties are sidelined for now, with Fillon a boulder on the back of the center-Right Républicains and the center-Left Parti Socialiste floundering under the stewardship of detested current president François Hollande who is not standing for reelection. Amidst all this, the polling service Oxoda now finds Le Pen running neck-in-neck with another candidate, Emmanuel Macron, an independent whose En Marche! movement is serving as an outlet for the forlorn political center. Macron is a novelty in French politics: an investment banker who was appointed economic minister at the age of thirty seven and who’s still never been elected to public office in his life. He has a youthful charisma that this cliché-deploring writer only reluctantly describes as “Kennedyesque” and his rallies have grown exponentially in size since he entered the race.

The 2016 presidential election in the United States embodied the old versus the new, with Hillary Clinton the conventional and choreographed handmaiden of our hoary political consensus and Donald Trump the populist stick of TNT primed to blow underneath. Assuming present trends hold, the French election this April will be one step advanced, leapfrogging over the mainstream parties entirely and pitting against each other the two flavors of reform that are most likely to dominate Western politics in the years to come. Neither Macron nor Le Pen believes France can continue on its current track and both are proposing ambitious overhauls to the French social contract. After a year that’s seen economic stagnation and rowdy strikesprotests targeting abusive cops and demonstrations against immigrationterrorist attackssoccer riots, and the southward seeping shock of Brexit, the only thing certain in France is that much has to change.

Le Pen’s appeal is obvious. She’s the Gallic Trump, France’s vessel for the West’s recent flirtation with populism. Head of the Front National, which had long been dismissed as bigoted until she vigorously resuscitated it and expelled its former leader and her father Jean-Marie Le Pen, she’s successfully blended anti-immigrant and anti-Islamic politics with a dedication to the welfare state that isn’t shared by more established French conservatives like Fillon. The nut of her message is that French institutions, benefits, handouts, society, all of it, ought to be reserved for the French and not its newcomers. Because the European Union stands for the globalism and multiculturalism she abhors, she energetically backed Brexit and has promised to hold a referendum on France’s membership in the EU.

The parallels between her candidacy and the Trump Train are undeniable: French voters shrugging that they’ve tried everything else so may as well take a gamble on the neophyte, blue-collar workers ditching the socialists after decades of perceived neglect, immigration as a political keystone joining Left and Right in fury wrought from economic pain. In northeastern France, industrial workers battered by globalization and the shuttering of their blast furnaces—“cathedrals” they call them—are breaking for Le Pen. In the rural middle, farmers, their livelihoods buttressed by Brussels, are stomaching Le Pen’s anti-EU rhetoric in favor of her promise to displace their loathed political class. The cultural flashpoints touted by the Front National—like its pledge to ban the chaste “burqini” swimwear popular among Muslims; “France isn’t burqinis on the beach. France is Brigitte Bardot,” Le Pen told CBS News—have real resonance with both demographics.

Like Le Pen, Macron is also determined to discomfit the French political establishment, which he views as quiescent and self-serving, and he too repudiates traditional party labels, defining himself as “neither left nor right.” But once you place him off the traditional political grid, it becomes evident he’s Le Pen’s antithesis in nearly every other way. He’s a devotee of Europe who believes the solution to the EU’s woes is reform rather than the scrap heap. He advocates for refugees whom he says present an “economic opportunity” and have “remarkable qualifications.” He espouses that inchoate mixture of social liberalism and economic liberalization with which many young people functionally identify. He understands that France’s overregulated and hamstrung economy can’t continue to function as is. He warned President Hollande that a proposed 75 percent tax on millionaires would turn France into “Cuba without the sun.”

The Le Pen-Macron dichotomy, which in many ways runs orthogonal to traditional Left and Right, is far more representative of where the peoples of the West are right now than the mainstream party duopoly. The issues are many. Do economies function better open or half-closed? Is a job something portable and ephemeral or is it a singular and sturdy column of well-being rooted in place? Can the globalization genie be put back in the bottle? Are we citizens of nations or citizens of nations and the world? Should our cardinal civic virtue be tolerance or patriotism? Le Pen’s and Macron’s answers to those questions, splayed on their respective platforms, could not be more diametrically opposed.

France is thus a microcosm of the present, fraught, unsteady Western world, and her election could be a dress rehearsal for our coming political realignment. The conjecture on the lips of European elites is whether Le Pen, whose brand of disruption is far greater anathema to them than Macron’s, can win the presidency. Conventional wisdom dictates that this won’t happen, that Macron will crush Le Pen in the runoff election, flush with support from Socialistes and Républicains determined to obstruct the Front National. But don’t be so certain. Portents were to be found at that Fillon rally last weekend where, amidst pouring rain and wind, conservative activists brimmed with tea party-esque rage towards their own party grandees. “If Fillon is out,” one demonstrator warned, “many of us will vote extreme, I am convinced.” If Le Pen can shepherd those disgruntled Républicains foot soldiers into her fold for the runoff, her chances will improve significantly.

Of course, the polls show . . . but who really cares what the polls show? They failed to register the last two nationalist tremors and it’s entirely possible they’re about to miss another one.

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Erek's picture

Polls can be misrepresented, mistaken, misinterpreted and fake. Depends upon who is doing the polling.

BorisTheBlade's picture

... and their intention. Polls are just a tool to ... interfere in elections (yeah, it's all Russians fault anyway).

https://benthamopen.com/contents/pdf/TOCOMMJ/TOCOMMJ-7-12.pdf

The Management's picture

This is Frances swan song!

Better make it count France!

Youre famous for one brave lady - lets make it two eh?

Chris Dakota's picture
Chris Dakota (not verified) The Management Mar 15, 2017 6:16 AM

Remember when Hillary was a shoe-in?

I will be right again

Chris Dakota MalteseFalcon Feb 4, 2017 11:04 PM

Go BIG or go home!

May 7, 2017

Uranus/Mercury

shocking headlines

Jupiter/Ascendant Libra lots of photos taken of her

Moon/Jupiter

she wins!

 

flicker life's picture
flicker life (not verified) Chris Dakota Mar 15, 2017 6:23 AM

I'm making over $7k a month working part time. I kept hearing other people tell me how much money they can make online so I decided to look into it. Well, it was all true and has totally changed my life. This is what I do... http://bit.ly/2jdTzrM

Theosebes Goodfellow's picture

Missing from this supposedly in-depth look into the French election is the elephant in the room. The biggest issue affecting France today is the Muslim invasion. Regardless of whomever wins, if they refuse to deal with the large, un-assimilating mass of African Muslims then France is toast.

It will be curious to see if they have the testicular fortitude to get the job done, or are simply subjugated in the next 20 years.

DeadFred's picture

Historically speaking France is best known for its surrenders.

BarkingCat's picture

I like making fun of them as well but that statement is completely inaccurate. The only time they really waved the white flag was during World War II. They sure as hell didn't surrender in World War One under a vicious German onslaught.

Let's not forget that it was the Franks under Charles The Hammer Martell who stopped the Muslim invasion from the West after whar is current dat Spain has fallen.

You can see it in the French farmers protest that they still have what it takes.

I wish them luck.

Manthong's picture

Elegant, strong girl.

I would hit that in a heartbeat if I was in the market.

The frogs were a little off the mark in 1789, when they went way south with the head chopping and equality uber alles stuff.

Maybe she can correct some of that.

 

Manthong's picture

BTW.. for you history aficionados….

What did Catherine the Great do in 1789?

…and was there any other thing of historical import that was signed a couple of years before in 1787?

Ten bucks says that your >$100K college grad living in the basement can’t get either of these.

Test him when he comes up for dinner.

 

Chris Dakota's picture
Chris Dakota (not verified) Chris Dakota Mar 15, 2017 6:27 AM
Someone Will Make A $100 Million Profit If Le Pen Wins

 

by Tyler Durden Feb 13, 2017 9:05 PM

 


Vote up!

2
Vote down!

0 Chris Dakota Terremoto Feb 14, 2017 6:23 AM

Someone read me.

She is going to win in May, it is clear as day and fated like Trump win was.

I am 100% sure of it.

Mr 9x19's picture

fillon is plain dead, just like the whole right wing, and exactly the same with the left wing.

extrem left will push for macron ( 2012 they pushed vote for left wing ) , extrem right ( lepen ) is loosing 2° turn facing macron, because " front republicain " is a maconic resolution to ban supposed fascim )

 

macron president, because it is the deep state candidate.

 

stay in EU, stay in euro, shut up the mass, already adpoted vote for gun ban on rifle yesterday in bruxelles,

 

boom, done.

 

end of discuss.

Mr 9x19's picture

to any downvoter,  call me back  when result is official, you remember me, mister 9 milimeter, the one with the cz pistol as avatar, remember me well. because you don't have a clue of what gonna happen to your futur,  me, i do know.

and you won't gonna like it.

BarkingCat's picture

I didn't down vote you on the previous one but did on this one. 

Fact is the you do not know either and are simply speculating.

 

..but I should have done down voted you. Le Pen is not far right. Her economics are left-wing.

Rodders75's picture

Absolutely right BC. Which is why the consensus "1st round yes, 2nd round no", may be wrong. She doesn't scare people shitless anymore, especially millennials, and normally socialist voters might like her loopy left wing rhetoric (cut pension ages, subsidies left right and centre etc). Regardless of whether you're a globalist or not her programme ain't exactly thatcherite, whereas Fillon's is and Macron's is anybody's guess. 

king leon's picture

The Paris riots that no MSM is covering anywhere will see Le Pen home and hosed by a country mile.If not the Bastille will suffer another visit.  

debtor of last resort's picture

A poll is a pool where you can donate.

jme540's picture

she has better odds than Trump had

To Hell In A Handbasket's picture

The polls never missed the tremors, nor misinterpreted the data. The pollsters simply chose to misrepresent the truth and the trends, as that was counter to the narrative the Deep State/Power Elite/TPTB wished to spew.

DownWithYogaPants's picture

In other words:  THEY WERE LYING. THEY RIGGED THE POLLS

The polls were used as tools to manipulate political opinion.

CultiVader's picture

Fuck you, bernanke!

----_-'s picture
----_- (not verified) Mar 15, 2017 5:24 AM

le pen, wilders and afd are a jewish lie

 

unless you faggots will start to rule yourself the kikes will continue to do so.

 

HenryKissingerChurchill's picture

yes, it seems the dialectics are presenting only two choices:

-either submit to Islam and the Kalergi plan (Jewry elite leads the low IQ brown EUro-mongrels)

-or choose harsh tyrants that are straight Jews or their minions

at the end is coca cola or pepsi (both with aspartame)

Chris Dakota's picture
Chris Dakota (not verified) ----_- Mar 15, 2017 6:40 AM

Maybe yes and maybe no.

They are working within the system they have, to be anti Jewish you are banned to the woods...for now.

froze25's picture

Well no matter how you feel about Jews, the statement is correct from what I have observed.  Be critical of any one of Jewish faith,  the anti semetic card gets drawn quick, at least in the media. For the record I don't believe all Jews are bad, they have good and bad like all others.

BrutusTheBomber's picture

Agreed. 100%. They are in control, and we are just along for the ride.

fleur de lis's picture

The EU war on French cultural identity went too far too fast.

The French need to do some digging and find out how they ended up stripped of their natural identity and criminalized for trying to retrieve it.

The very unFrench Revolution/French Takedown was a severe gut punch from the Rothschilds to France from which they still suffer damage, and destroyed their ancient heritage, but yet it is celebrated as liberty, equality, and fraternity.

So where are those three things now, who controls them, and who benefits from them?

Not the French people, that's for sure.

The have to start small.

No matter who wins they need to recognize the French Takedown as alien to France and the start of its downward spiral.

They need to recognise its depravity and stop participating in its celebrations, and research lost French traditions.

France can recover but only if its citizens know their history.

 

 

 

Jubal Early's picture

The Revolution make have been planned and instigated by jews and illuminists, but it would not have been possible had the entire European aristocrisy not been so greedy and depraved.  They needed to be overthrown, but now they have been replaced by hidden secret powers and Zionists.

Western civilization has been contorted and tortured by the tribe for so long that if this yid tumor is removed no one knows what would happen.  Take France, previously a fertile christian bulwark against the mohamedans, now it is a brainwashed senile old infertile cripple that likely cannot defend itself against the invaders it has already let in, let alone a black african and middle eastern invastion of millions of young men many with combat training and experience.

Barbara Spectre said the goyim will not survive without the jews, I fear she is right either way.

froze25's picture

You know your people or society is under attack if you are no longer able to openly say you are proud of being who you are without being called a racist for it. Try wearing a T-shirt that says "White Straight Male and Proud" and see what happens. Nothing in that statement puts anyone else down but somehow it's a bad thing to do...

Killdo's picture

it only worls if people are pussies (have guilt installed into them early) - if you wear that t-shirt in Serbia (or I guess anywhere in Eastern Europe  - nobody woudl complain). 

 

fleur de lis's picture

I agree except for the unfair charge against the monarchy and aristocracy.

They were nowhere near as bad as our "leaders" would have us believe, although there were a few bad ones like every other group.

The monarchies were targeted for murder right through the 20th century.

Most of us know about the French. and Russian monarchs, but Italian, Portuguese, Austrian, Ottoman, Korean, etc., were murdered as well.

Why?

Because they represented the zenith of their respective Kingdoms, and openly promoted the religions of their varied subjects.

Kill off the monarchs and easily replace the cultural values of a terrified population.

During the Rothschild inspired unFrench Revolution, Catholic clergy were singled out for exceptionally brutal murders, churches were looted and turned into brothels, and no one was allowed to practice any form of Christianity on pain of death.

King Louis XVl is taught to us as a poor leader but we are not taught about all the social reforms he brought to France.

Nor all the disgusting Freemson who were at work like termites preparing France for the upcoming carnage and bloodbath.

In fact the Freemason waterboys were busy little termites in the Habsburg Empire as well, hoping to drag them into a civil war for their Rothschild masters, but Emperor caught them and kicked them out of Austria, after which he sent word to his sister Queen Marie Antoinette to beware of Freemasons and their deceit.

She and the King were aware of the Masonic termites but at that point they were too deeply infested in French governance for the monarchs to fumigate them.

And yet the unFrench Revolution is proudly taught as social progress by academic morons who read nothing written at the time but only memorize and teach their official NWO "history" books.

The Freemasons were the managers who carried out the dirty work for the Rothschilds who were busy raking in all the stolen goods and consolidating power.

The Freemasons today are the uppity members of influential society but they are still trash.

They got their start rounding up people for murder, snitching, and stealing. 

Any Freemasons reading this keep that in mind next time you see a picture or read an article about the unFrench Revolution that your accursed ancestors instigated.

The real target of these disgusting revolutions is religion.

With the monarchs out of the way, the religion can be infiltrated and diluted, and the people more easily controlled.

Which was the plan all along.

 

 

Jubal Early's picture

James Perloff makes a similar argument.   The church and the monarchy deliberately kept the peasants ignorant and they both used the labor they had stolen from the peasants to further supress them.  Just like today and not very nice. 

fleur de lis's picture

Well that means James Perloff is a pushover who believes every word of his NWO fake history books.

James Perloff probably never made the connection between the Rothschilds and their savage revolutionaries.

temudjin1155's picture

History is in bad shape in the french people's mind nowadays. Poor education, rewritten history and liberal ideology brainwashing... I hope though the people will wake up but I'm not sure the memory of France history will be significant to influence the vote

froze25's picture

Militant Feminanazis are also to blame.

rf80412's picture

Organic culture - rooted in the land and in the human body and therefore mostly unconscious - is the only hope.  The restoration will not come from a nouvelle droite vanguard, it will not come from the state, it will not come from the cities, it will not come from the educated, it will not come from status-conscious bourgeois bemoaning the loss of starched linens and polished silver, above all it will not come from archaeologists and LARPers.  It will come from the true "forgotten man": not middle class whiners, but the people who never stopped doing things the old way.

Trust in the provinces and in the villages.  Trust in the hobbits for lack of a better word: the unheroic types who were never seduced by anyone's noble causes or grand designs, and whose moral and cultural touchstones have always been home, family, beauty, and la vie douce.

temudjin1155's picture

History is in bad shape in the french people's mind nowadays. Poor education, rewritten history and liberal ideology brainwashing... I hope though the people will wake up but I'm not sure the memory of France history will be significant to influence the vote

bh2's picture

“France isn’t burqinis on the beach. France is Brigitte Bardot”

As long as THAT tradition is preserved, safe and sound, the rest will take care of itself. :)

Mr 9x19's picture

france can recover my ass, they have 30% black population do not know writting, how the fuck you gonna ask them to remember they come from trees.

 

you high bro...

rf80412's picture

The French need to do some digging and find out how they ended up stripped of their natural identity and criminalized for trying to retrieve it.

The post-war French intelligentsia are easily tied with the Frankfurt School for being pillars of the anti-Western left.  Foucault, Debord, Derrida, Deleuze, ad nauseum ... they did it to themselves.

HenryKissingerChurchill's picture

So, it seems the choice is to be Kalergized or to have strong (maybe tyrants) leaders?

caesium's picture

The hostility to Fillon might backfire which represents Le Pen's only chance. Anti-Catholic elites resent Fillon but taking him out is a gamble. For the most part the polls look accurate to me

ronaldwilsonreagan's picture

This is Hillary playing a dominatrix.

Azannoth's picture

The Frensch(yeah I misspelled it because f.you Frensch faggots that's why), are too Cucked to allow a true Patriot to be president - this is the swan-song of the White Race

BritBob's picture

Le Pen wants to follow Brexit and take France out of the EU.

Regarding Brexit - There is a trade imbalance in favour of the European Union so it is in the interest of the EU to make amicable arrangements with the United Kingdom. What's more, the UK can do its own trade deals on a one-to-one basis instead of having the EU to deal 27 member states before it makes a trade deal.

The UK will opt for a hard Brexit especially when one country (or part of a country in Belgium) can stall negotiations for so long. Spain could act in a similar fashion over Gibraltar and has the cheek to maintain its Gibraltar sovereignty claim. Claim?

Gibraltar - Some Relevant International Law: https://www.academia.edu/10575180/Gibraltar_-_Some_Relevant_Internationa...

So it looks like a quick hasta luego !

man of Wool's picture

All Lepen needs are a couple of ISIL attacks and she is in. Her popularity surged after the charlie hebdo and Nice incidents. 

The French don't hate the EU enough to voter her in although she will be up against the Macron Turd.

She'll have to rely on ISIL. Politics is nasty sometimes. 

Cockoo's picture

Maybe if she does cover for playboy it might put her over the top.  Paddypower has Macron 4/6, Le Pen 12/5, Fillon 5/1.  It does run in the family. http://en.protothema.gr/the-mother-of-marine-le-pen-was-a-playboy-bunny/

Viva la Francia

Viva La RevoLution!

buzzsaw99's picture

it won't make any difference.

gwar5's picture

Hope Le Pen wins. The EU deserves a quick agonizing death.

 

Dickweed Wang's picture

Yeah . . . Victoria Nudleman got one thing right after all - fuck the EU!