Trump Administration Begins Quiet Preparations For Government Shutdown

Tyler Durden's picture

Even as Donald Trump is desperate to show to the US population, and especially his voter base, some actual achievement before his first 100 days run out next weekend, prompting him to tell AP that he will unveil a "tremendous" tax ut plan next week (recall he did the same in February), the Trump administration is quietly preparing for the possibility of a government shutdown, even though the president and his staff believe one is unlikely to occur. 

With the Senate reconvening on Monday and the House of Representatives on Tuesday after a two-week recess, lawmakers will have only four days to pass a spending package to keep the government open beyond April 28, when funding expires for numerous federal programs. "I think we want to keep the government open," Trump said on Thursday, adding he thinks Congress can pass the funding legislation and perhaps also a revamped healthcare bill.

Trump's wish may be problematic: as a reminder, the government will shut down midnight on April 28 if Congress cannot agree on a spending bill. As reported over the past week, the measure hit various snags over Trump's demands to include funding for Trump’s border wall and a debate over money for an ObamaCare insurer subsidy program, both programs which virtually assure the spending bill will not pass.

As a result, the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) has begun to coordinate with government agencies to plan for a possible shutdown. “While we do not expect a lapse, prudence and common sense require routine assessments will be made,” OMB Director Mick Mulvaney said in a statement.

The office set up a phone call to go over the agencies’ shutdown plans, which could include steps such as furloughs for federal workers.  The OMB said the plans were reviewed ahead of a possible shutdown last December and are unlikely to be revised.

As Compass Point analyst Isaac Boltansky, notes, "wall funding is just one of many policy potholes that could disrupt negotiations, including ACA cost-sharing subsidies, coal miner benefits, sanctuary cities."

To be sure, Congress can avoid a full-blown shutdown if it passes a short-term spending measure to keep the government open while negotiations over a broader funding deal continue, but even that process has been put into question.

"I think we're in good shape," President Trump said when asked about the possibility of a shutdown. “We remain confident we’re not going to have a shutdown,” White House press secretary Sean Spicer told reporters at a separate off-camera briefing, calling the preparation “required steps” for the federal agencies and departments.

Some analysts disagree with the optimistic assessment.

According to Cowen's Chris Kruger "shutdown theatrics reach fever pitch next week, with one-week punt most likely outcome" however he focuses on the "White House’s misconception they have any leverage with Democrats when it’s the opposite, as Congressional Democrats have less than zero incentive to compromise with Trump and Trump needs them to keep govt from shutting down."

As such unless Trump concedes to all demands, not only is a full spending bill out of the question, but even a short-term agreement appears precarious.

More ominously, Kruger adds that "until this week, shutdown threat seemed very low as Congressional GOP leadership, appropriators hammered out spending agreements, were on same page as Democrats; that went sideways when White House pushed more confrontational approach on ObamaCare, immigration."

Meanwhile, Height Securities' Peter Cohn has noted the House Democrats taking a hard line against even one-week stopgap continuing resolution (CR) "due to unresolved White House demands on funding wall construction, withholding funds from sanctuary cities."

He sees 25% odds for temporary partial shutdown, with path to deal including boost for border "security" funds (not wall), added military funding. Others, such as Goldman see shutdown odds at one in three (and rising).

As Reuters adds, leading House Democrats were voicing skepticism a deal could be reached by the deadline. In a telephone call for House Democrats, Representative Nita Lowey, the senior Democrat on the House Appropriations Committee, said: "I don't see how we can meet that deadline" and avoid having to pass a short-term extension, according to an aide on the call. The second-ranking House Democrat, Representative Steny Hoyer, told his fellow Democrats that they should only support such a short-term measure if a deal on long-term bill is reached and only finishing touches remained, the aide said.

Republican leaders face a familiar balancing act: satisfying the party's most conservative members while not alienating its moderates.

Rules in the 100-seat Senate mean Trump's party also would need the support of at least eight Democrats even if the Republicans remain unified, giving the opposition party leverage. House Republican leaders would need some Democratic votes if the most conservative lawmakers object to the bill, as they did to the healthcare plan championed by Speaker Paul Ryan. With congressional elections looming next year, Republicans acknowledge the stakes are high.

"Even our most recalcitrant members understand that if you shut down the government while you're running it and you control the House and the Senate, you can't blame anybody but yourself," said Representative Tom Cole, a senior House Appropriations Committee Republican.

White House budget director Mick Mulvaney said the Trump administration was willing to talk to Democrats about funding for Obamacare subsidies in exchange for their agreement to include some Trump priorities such as the wall, the defense hike and more money for immigration enforcement. "It is ripe for some type of negotiated agreement that gives the president some of his priorities and Democrats some of their priorities. So we think we've opened the door for that," Mulvaney said.

Democrats reacted negatively. "Everything had been moving smoothly until the administration moved in with a heavy hand. Not only are Democrats opposed to the wall, there is significant Republican opposition as well,” said Matt House, a spokesman for Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer.

* * *

Should the Trump and the GOP be unable to concede on some of the controversial demands floated in recent days, we expect the shut down odds to rise substantially, and instead of a "massive" tax cut, the most likely outcome may in fact be a closed government starting next weekend, and lasting for the foreseeable future.

The government was last forced to close in October 2013, when Republican Senator Ted Cruz and some of the most conservative House Republicans engineered a 17-day shutdown in an unsuccessful quest to kill Democratic former President Barack Obama's healthcare law. Meanwhile, the current Congress has passed no major legislation since Trump took office in January. Among his ambitions are hopes for major tax-cut legislation, infrastructure spending and other bills.

A federal closure would shutter National Park Service destinations like the Statue of Liberty, Yellowstone and the Grand Canyon. Government medical research would be suspended. Thousands of federal workers would be furloughed with thousands more working without pay until the shutdown ends, including homeland security personnel. Some veterans benefits could be suspended.

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acheron2016's picture

I doubt the Demotards will have to resort to shutdown.  Republitraitors will cave like they always do.  If Republicans had 450 in the House and 72 in the Senate they would still cave.  Because they fundumentally don't want the country to get better.  They like it this way.  They've spent 5 generations creating this dystopia. 

fuzh007's picture

for over 7 years, zero hedge has been spooing this bullshit about a government shutdown, every fuckin time congress comes through and sets a budget, move along nothing to see here just more fear porn by the turden, fuckin cocksucker!!!!!

MagicalUnicornFarts's picture

 

<- Govt shutdown means shit

<- Youre a pathetic fucking Democrat loser who needs the Govt to survive. FUCK YOU btw and YOURE FUCKING WELCOME

HoserF16's picture

I see a US Government Shutdown as a Positive. Send every muther fucker home. The world will be a far better place.

blindman's picture

it has all been said. someone said it...
.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rEZH0t5Yozw
TRAFFIC - THE LOW SPARK OF HIGH-HEELED BOYS - The Low Spark Of High-Heeled Boys (1971) :: SOTW #22

brushhog's picture

The question is, will anybody notice this time?

arby63's picture

Shut the bitch down. Keep it shut. We need about 15% of our beloved federal criminals.

onwisconsinbadger's picture

Pukes control house, senate and oval office and it is still president Obamas fault. Losers ! sad !!!

BenBache's picture

A nice little nuclear war with North Korea would take people's minds off the shut down.

Disgruntled Goat's picture

Shut the fucker down. Who fucking cares. Shut it the fuck down.

Falconsixone's picture

Take in the same money without the payroll. Cool

Now you can buy more bombs.

If I where the government I'd start at the top since they're the ones that have faid for decades then I think I tell the treasury to take over the money and blowup the fed res bank, and take the money from all 500 fortune 500 corperations. But yeah start at the very tippy top for being failed losers and if you would put them in front of a firing squad because this is no accident. Fuck jews better learn to pick cotton and we'll be checking their pockets because they're natural born thieves. Fucking gypsies!

Golden Showers's picture

I really enjoy a bit of linguistic venom because the 1st ammendment is for everyone. Don't get me wrong.

But just watch...if or when or how the Government shuts down, it won't stop me from saying FUCK the Government. Because I never shut down. I work my fucking ass off and just got job number 3. And if you think for a moment that the whores in office have any excuse not to show up for work and get paid nothing, for getting paid for nothing, then Fuck the Government.

The Government couldn't even pass it's own basic training for military. And every time I hear the word "TROOPS" I correct the dialogue by saying "SOLDIERS".

This Amerika is a bunch of parisitical, weak, opportunistic, infectious cankers on the face of the planet. If there is one alive, one that is human, they won't stop going to office and sitting on thier couch during a "shutdown".

Someone get me Hicks. Someone get me Paul or Saul or whomever the fuck.

IF YOU LEAVE YOUR OFFICE BECAUSE THE BUDGET IS FUCKED UP YOU VACATE YOUR CHAIR TO ME YOU PUSSY TRAITORS. GET THE FUCK BACK TO WORK AND IF YOU DON'T LIKE IT THEN YOU ARE FREE TO QUIT YOUR WORTHLESS JOB DOING NOTHING AND EXPLOITING YOUR INCREASE.

Since when in America do people stop going to work because they don't get paid for it? And since you queers steel the America's wad to pay your bullshit national debt interest and nothing more... without representation, what the fuck good are you? Better you quit, or switch. And that's all you do. That's all you are good for. A switch. An easy out.

Go enjoy your vacation you spineless fucking pricks. The "Democracy" you blather about will suffer just fine by itself.

Too bad you couldn't nut up and give a shit about your Republic. So fuck you.

 

waterwitch's picture

Too bad the FED isn't included in a government shutdown.

jomama's picture

The FED isn't part of the government.

dexter_morgan's picture

Correct, though it essentially runs it. Made up of private banks.

cui-bono's picture

The Fed --- a private parasitic corporation.
Shut up, turn around, and bend over, goy bitchez.

Blankfuck's picture

Trump will bend over,  he likes debt and built his empire on it. No worry, the fed fucker cartel will make things good by placing more debt on top of the trillions of debts already.

cosmyccowboy's picture

the big D has been killing time just waiting on that debt clock to hit 20 trillion!

pc_babe's picture

Oh noooo ... its Friday ... the gubermint is shut down again ... like they do every week and holidays.
.
.
.
WHAT WILL WE PEASANTS DO FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITHOUT OUR PRECIOUS GUBERMINT?

Gorgeous's picture

Let's see of Trump still has any "who-cares-what-people-think-I'm-going-to-do-the-right-thing" left in him.  Because "shutting down the government", so-called, is terrible optics.  The Repugs in charge of House, Senate, and nominally, the WH will be easy media targets.

 

Of course, shutting the govt down would be an excellent demonstration that Congress still has the power of the purse, and fortitude to enforce it.  Pretty obvious they have neither.

Moros-is-Here's picture

All a bunch of BS.  99.999% of all FedGov parasites ... errr.... "workers," are coded as "Essential." The only things that will be "Closed" are the National Parks and Monuments. Of course Pravda USSA is already staking out positions to take the mandatory videos of communist idiots bemoaning their inability to visit a park or statue. IMHO, if Trump wants to make this hurt so as to get his way, he has to deploy an Army infantry division to DC so he can take control of the Treasury and the FED. Really shut down spending, as in, no checks, no electronic funds transfer, no nothing. At the same time, he has to pin this 100% on the Communists in the Congress. Once ma and pa retiree don't get their SS checks, doctors and hospitals do not get reimbursed for treating Medicare patients and they know there will be no retroactive payment, then and only then will things change.

TheAnswerIs42's picture

Well son, that's not how things work here in DC.

The thing is, you scratch my back and I'll scratch yours.

You either go along or you don't, if you get my meaning, if you catch my drift...

Just a reminder, remember JFK?

 

 

CampOfTheSaints's picture

Remember when Obama chained up the open-air patriotic monuments, so that WWII veterans who had crossed the country  in wheelchairs for one last  hurrah in Washington, DC  were turned away?  Remember that highly selective micro-targeting of vulnerable individuals, just to send the messsage that "elections have consequences?"  Remember that?

Well, it is time for payback.  As best as it is possible,  Trump should begin his micro-targeting by defunding EBT cards, SNAP cards, and "Lifeline" free Obama phone services.  Make these services the first to be turned off, and the very last to be restored - and make sure that he clearly lays the blame on Democratic obstructionism in budget talks.

cui-bono's picture

Shut the bitch down to cut the trough feeders and traitors, then begin the reset.

Bernie Madolf's picture

Don't worry

Congress won't politicize this budget debate and will pass something fast and smooth

Hahahaha!

Bernie Madolf's picture

Don't worry

Congress won't politicize this budget debate and will pass something fast and smooth

Hahahaha!

FreeNewEnergy's picture

Yesterday, I had a nigger call me a racist because I called him a douche-bag. I didn't get the logic or the joke, but I laughed in his face anyhow.

Next week, maybe I'll have my trusty Louisville Slugger™ in hand and say, "yep, you're right."

As far as a government shutdown is concerned, my only question is whether or not they will stop spraying the chemtrails for a few days. My solar panels and garden could use some real ozone-enriched sunshine®.

Fuck yeah, shut it down. Some fireworks would be appreciated.

johnnycanuck's picture

Maybe someone, somewhere gives a rats ass what you think.  Just not me.

DoolieDoink's picture

The best thing you can do is to stop buying products made in the USA.


It is time to make America more shit than it is.


Anything that you can do to help the Empire go down the plug will be appreciated.

bardot63's picture

There isn't anything made in USA anymore, is there?  Financial scam products, maybe.

Jdillinger's picture

The best rifle optics in the world for starters.

 

TalkToLind's picture

Shutting down the government for an extended amount of time would be the ultimate swamp drain. Which is exactly why that shit won't happen. 

The Gun Is Good's picture

Defund the swamp? Anyone?

Jdillinger's picture

I'm for it.

I barely notice the government shutting down. Who cares.

I want most of those fools fired anyway. If y'all are too big of pussies to take some pain, your never going to get any change. Stop posting, stop whining and accept your 90% tax rates. T2hat what it's gonna take, at minimum, to service the debt to pay for these civil servants.

Servants ain't cheap. Man up and fire them.

 

 

FBaggins's picture

Some real news about Trump and US Ziocon duplicity regarding Syria:

Washington wants ISIS terrorists to capture the Syrian city of Deir Ezzor, President Bashar Assad said in an interview to the Russian state-run news agency Sputnik.

"They [the United States] are against ISIS, but at the same time, they are supporting ISIS and they allow them to cross the border from Iraq into Syria,” he said, adding that “It means they helped ISIS to come to Deir Ez-Zor [Deir Ezzor] and to undermine the Syrian Army who are defending Deir ez-Zor. They wanted Deir ez-Zor to fall into the hands of ISIS.”

Americans watch fake news while the truth is that US and Israel are still working with ISIS for regime changes and at the same time ISIS takes credit for recent terrorist bombings in Egypt and Paris. Israel also keeps bombing Syrian government installations to provoke a full scale war against Syria. Not a peep in the MSM. 

roodeetoodee's picture

Cant agree on spending bills at home.

Can drop $16 million dollar MOABs half way around the world.

Well done America!

LN's picture

Good, keep it closed and we will all be better off.

LN

John_Coltrane's picture

Just keep the border patrol and national parks open and see how long it takes anyone to notice it's closed. Unless you're part of the 44% who don't pay any FED taxes-you moochers know who I'm talking about-then you'll be screaming like a little girl meeting John Podesta for pizza for the first time.

Keep it shut for four years while we finish deporting the invaders. Oh, and no backpay, call it the "shared responsibility bill". (Now where did I get that title idea?)

No reopening for TSA, NSA, Dept. of Education, Dept of Energy (you get the idea-no non-essential agencies)

Oh, it just occurred to me the IRS may not be able to process tax forms and perform audits-a vital .gov theft function! What will we do?

As Ron Paul likes to say, "Don't steal-the government hates competition"

onwisconsinbadger's picture

may be the 44% are as smart as Drumpf not to pay taxes. 

TheLastTrump's picture

Oh, this is where all the leftist shills, sock puppet masturbators & morally confused Ron PaulBotz racists are. I missed y'all on the other threads.

 

Go fuck yourselves.

 

One simple answer to all the anti Trump FUCKS whining & crying about TRUMP:

 

The fact that illegal immigration is down almost 70 fucking percent year over year is a fucking MIRACLE. And it's JUST GETTING STARTED.

 

GOD Bless America and fuck you if you don't agree.

onwisconsinbadger's picture

Drumpf claimed he is a master dealer and a negotiator and morons fell for it. Losers ! sad !!!!

TheAnswerIs42's picture

Overheard at the bus station:

My passport expires in the next month.

Maybe can't renew it in time.

Ah SHIT!

How am I going to get  out of here?

 

KFBR392's picture

oh damn whatever shall we do without the motherfucking federal govt...?

rkoen's picture

I want a wall.  

I want to stop illegals.

 I want a new Healthcare package.  

I want to defunct sanctuary cities. 

If the dems will shut down govt because they don't want what most Americans want then shut it down. If it doesn't work fix it or stop it. 

pine_marten's picture

I want the wall but only in high traffic areas where it will do the most good.  I also want passing out drivers licenses, voter registration cards and welfare benefits to non citizens stopped.  

Spaulding's picture

Is the EBT program going to stop getting funded?  Mass panic will ensue if it stops! POPCORN!

I Write Code's picture

White House Trivia. There are 132 rooms, 35 bathrooms, and 6 levels in the Residence. There are also 412 doors, 147 windows, 28 fireplaces, 8 staircases, and 3 elevators.

It's not like Trump is using it, so that's got to sleep at least 50 people, at $100/night per, on AirBnB, parking extra, discounts for seniors and veterans, I think we can fund ongoing operations with this kind of creative thinking. 

custard's picture

What was the CIA and FBI in New Zealand for? Their private jet is parked on the tarmac in Queenstown. Are they looking for a FALSE FLAG event to ruin New Zealand together with all the other countries they have ruined. And what is the New Zealand Government doing about it. Welcoming them with open arms. KICK THEM OUT

FTFD's picture

Government shutdown! Pull my finger!!!