Trump Impeachment Odds Soar By 50% After NYT Report

Tyler Durden's picture

A few hours before the Comey memo news broke, we posted "Height Securities Begins Contemplating "Impeachment": Here's What To Look For", and as expected, starkly adverse news such as this was one of the catalysts.

Predictably it did not take long after the NYT story hit, for impeachment calls to hit a crescendo. First it was CNN's Wolf Blitzer who brought up the possibility of impeaching President Trump in an interview with Independent Senator Angus King.

"If these allegations, Senator, are true are we getting closer and closer to the possibility of yet another impeachment process?" Blitzer asked.


"Reluctantly, Wolf, I have to say yes simply because obstruction of justice is such a serious offense," King responded.

That was just the beginning.

Shortly thereafter, a group of President Trump's most outspoken critics seized the Comey controversy to make a very early push for impeachment. 

According to Fox News, the latest call came from Rep. Al Green, D-Texas, who released a statement suggesting Comey’s ouster from atop the FBI was an obstruction of the investigation “of the president’s campaign ties to Russian influence in his 2016 presidential election.” He said Trump has committed acts that “amount to intimidation and obstruction.”

“Our mantra should be I.T.N—Impeach Trump Now,” Green wrote in an email, which included a line in red pushing those who received the email to “forward this email to others who may be interested.”

Green joined other Democratic lawmakers like Rep. Maxine Waters, D-Calif., who has been discussing impeachment for months. Waters took to Twitter in April saying that she would “fight every day until he’s impeached.” She later denied calling for impeachment, but on Thursday renewed her push during an interview with MSNBC’s Chris Hayes.

“I’ve said all along that he will lead us to impeachment, and he’s doing just that,” Waters said on MSNBC. “We’re fiddling while Rome is burning. This president needs to be impeached.”

Others Democratic lawmakers who have brought up the topic of impeachment include Reps. John Yarmuth, D-Ky., who told a local news station last week that Democrats were “actually pretty close to considering impeachment,” and Mark Pocan, D-Wis., who said on local radio that if there was an “impeachment clock,” Comey’s ouster would have moved it an “hour closer.”  

Rep. Jared Huffman, D-Calif., also joined the discussion, tweeting last week that “Impeachment will happen if a handful of Republicans in Congress join Dems to put country above party. Or in 2019 after Dems win the House.”

This echoes what Heights' Peter Cohn said in his note earlier, when he wrote that a Trump impeachment "depends on Republicans turning against him", as impeachment proceedings can only begin with the majority party, and the 25th Amendment (allowing for president’s removal when unable to discharge powers/duties of his office) can only be invoked by Congress and/or vice president, majority of Cabinet.

What will Height be closely watching to see if the Trump drama enters a potentially terminal phase: the main catalyst is whether Sen. John McCain, chairman of Armed Services Committee, begins calling for Trump’s resignation, as U.S. national security issues may increase concern among Republican voters.

On the other side of the debate, Dennis Kucinich, former Ohio congressman and a Fox News contributor who called for the impeachment of President George W. Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney over the decision to go to war in Iraq, told Fox News that this is only an option “after exhausting a number of other options.”

“It is destructive to America to proceed with an impeachment at this stage of the presidency,” Kucinich said. “This is not the first thing you reach for, because when the first big move a party makes is towards impeachment, it’s very difficult for the American people to conclude that it is anything but a partisan issue.”

* * *

In order to impeach the president of the United States, the House of Representatives must have the support of the majority of members. At this point, no Republicans have voiced support, or even made the suggestion to begin the impeachment process.

However, the market is starting to look two steps ahead, and according to PredicIt, Trump's odds of getting impeached in 2017 have soared from 19% to 29%, a 50% surge since the NYT story broke.

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MrYukonC's picture

I know WikiLeaks never reveals their sources.  But this is the one time where they might want consider making an exception. Especially considering the source (Seth Rich) is now dead.

People need to know the truth about whether or not he was the one that leaked the DNC emails.  Of course we know by now that it's 99% odds it was him.

But for WikiLeaks to make it official, would put an end to all of this anti-Trump, false narrative nonsense and put the focus squarely back on the people and issues that actually matter.

motorollin's picture

How convenient that this story was also released today.

FoggyWorld's picture

It's been around for several months but next to no one wanted to touch it.   Julian Assange addressed it and even offered WL money to help with an independent investigation.

Northern Flicker's picture

Trump has staying power - that's one of his key strengths.  At some point point he may have to make an address to the American people and explain what is going on.  I think he will have a lot of support.

bobsmith5's picture

This talk of impeachment is pure complete nonsense. There are absolutely no legal grounds whatsoever, nor any evidence to support any offense or violation. It's pure fantasy on the part of the rotten deep state and the communist who hate to lose ground to a constitutional nationalist. These odds makers are the same idiots who proclaimed that Killary had a 91 percent chance of winning the election.

Cluster_Frak's picture

deep state is looking for a faintest excuse. if that ain't gonna work, then it's the polonium sandwich.

ogretown's picture

So far from the discussions I am part of on this matter: hard left, socialists and other second handers are on board with the fantasy impeachment scenario.  Soft left liberals are for the most show slight embarrassment with both the discussion and the source of the discussion (washington post).  But more importantly I notice the (growing) base of Trump supporters are at least talking about becoming more active - realizing that just voting for Trump was not enough.  My advice was well received - network and organize county by county with patriotic groups and begin keeping lists of the liberal, socialist and other anti-Americans in your midst. Be aware of who you intereract with, do business with, etc. 

I love your wife's picture

Impeachment is why they want a special prosecutor.  Remember Ken Starr?  Clinton was impeached because he said he, "did not have sex with that woman."  That came up during his whitewater investigation....completely different.  They want a special prosecutor so they can trap Trump into "lying' about something....anything.  

Tenshin Headache's picture

So odds that he WON'T be impeached = 70%

I'll take that side of the bet.

monad's picture

Every member of congress and the supreme court need special prosecution.

pc_babe's picture

Impeach Schumer, McConnell, Ryan and Pelosi

coast1's picture

I decided to start supporting Trump again...If they want him out this bad, he must be on MY side..

carbon's picture

Ola, Nobody donate 1 sack of cement for the wall.

Is-Be's picture

Double down Don or die.

espirit's picture


Clean all the steel you can carry.


wally_12's picture

How long to have to wait for Trump to fight back with indictments?

atthelake's picture

Part of the reason Trump may be impeached is that his, many, followers refuse to come to his aid. Damn shame.

RabbitOne's picture

We are one step closer to civil war...

wains's picture

Except this isn't even really about Trump per se.  He just happens to be Prez right now as these jackasswholes attempt to regain control. 

shimmy's picture

Impeach him so I can watch all hell break loose in that banana republic.


RozKo's picture

Any Republican who votes for impeachment will never make it past the next election, they will lose more than he will.  For good or bad Trump was elected president and anything else will be a coup, people have reached their max restraint and the US will implode. (I wonder what those latte drinking women marchers will do when the shit gets real?)

Cassandra.Hermes's picture

Roger Stone's puppet should be impeach, and please accept that Roger Stone is the biggest insider in Washington DC since 1972, ans Trump would never clean up the swamp since behind him is Stone. He plays with all of you Alex Jones listeners. BTW How dumb are you?

ThrowAwayYourTV's picture

Impeachment my ass. Trump has around 3 million military members who took an oath to obey the orders of the President of the United States.

Each person enlisting in an armed force shall take the following oath:
"I, (state name of enlistee), do solemnly swear (or affirm) that I will support and defend the Constitution of the United States against all enemies, foreign and domestic; that I will bear true faith and allegiance to the same; and that I will obey the orders of the President of the United States and the orders of the officers appointed over me, according to regulations and the Uniform Code of Military Justice. So help me God."

Never mind the millions and millions of Americans who are ready, willing and able to stand behind him.

Impeachment? BS! What are your orders Mr. President?

espirit's picture


Not to mention about 10 million others that believe in a Constitutional Republic.


knotjammin2's picture

Those that attempt to impeach Thrump won't survive it one way or another.  The elites won't survive it either.  It will be all out civil war and the politicians who have been the ass puppets for the elites will be first.  Just my observation.  The liberals have truly under estimated the resolve of the taxpayers.  

VW Nerd's picture

Funny how Bibi is conspicuously silent on this.  Wonder what side he's on?

Danedog's picture

There is noimpeachable offence.

AlbertthePudding's picture

Everyone knows the market is rigged!

Anarchyteez's picture

This whole day has been bullshit news via the IC.


metafaux's picture

Proving that betting odds are just as stupid as any other method of guessing the future. 

navy62802's picture

So they want Mike Pence to be president? LOL!

khakuda's picture

President Trump did obstruct justice - when he decided not to investigate Hillary.  Maybe it's time he changed his mind?

YourAverageJoe's picture

If they get there way there will be retribution

Davidduke2000's picture

These odd makers never took any odds for obama nor for bush nor for clinton . Fake crap, propaganda, data made up, blowing smoke up their own ass.

PitBullsRule's picture

No No NO!  Not ITM!  That sounds too much like TMI.  Try this;



PitBullsRule's picture

Thats Trademarked by the way, don't even think of stealing it!

skunzie's picture

Remember the whole NYT story is a complete fabrication.  There was NO mention of Russian meddling until after Hitlery lost the election.  Even then, that rotten POS (NYT) never once has named a source or shown any scrap of evidence that there was any Russian meddling in the election.  If Trump should be impeached the deep state will have won and this country will effectively cease to exist.

Don in Odessa's picture

If Trump asked Comey to drop the Flynn investigation that is obstruction of justice. There is no other way to look at it. I voted for Trump, but I can not abide this if it turns out to be true.

Don in Odessa's picture

If it can be proven Trump is guilty of the Comey memo, that is obstruction of justice, plain and simple. If he did it he should be removed from office and I voted for the man.

DeaconPews's picture

Just because they impeach doesn't mean he's gone. Billy Jeff the rapist in chief and the only president to ever be impeached served the rest of his term.


As a sidenote, The NYT is flailing in the wind. WaPo, Politico.....desperately throwing everything they can make up at the wall hoping something, anything will stick.

They got nothing, if they had anything at all, we would have seen the evidence. They have nothing.

Smilygladhands's picture

What odds did this site give that he would be elected?

roadhazard's picture

I like how Trump takes charge and smooths things over and is careful of what he says... heh.

Russdiamon's picture

This doesn't sound like a very stable thing for the market. I like to follow this guy for timing tops though. Great info from him, I highly recommend him. Check it out